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THE Power Grid Thread (merged)

Discussions of conventional and alternative energy production technologies.

Re: Power Grid Limits Potential of Renewable Energy

Postby vilemerchant » Thu 28 Aug 2008, 15:24:28

We don't need EVs because it's the cheapest or most efficient means of powering personal transportation, we need EVs because they would mean massive demand destruction basically solving peak oil! We need to keep enough oil supply for farming, freight, plastics etc, not wasted driving around.

In the short to medium term who cares how much extra coal gets burnt? Not that it would be all that much, since any grid is massively under-utilized at night, which is exactly when EVs would be charged.
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Re: Power Grid Limits Potential of Renewable Energy

Postby lper100km » Thu 28 Aug 2008, 15:27:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', 'T')he assumption for efficiency of delivering power to the wheels is a bit more than twice the average lper100km, at least in the US. Something like a hybrid may see ~25%+ BTE, but the average vehicle is somewhere around 15%.


Unless I am mistaking your comment, I noted that the ICE auto power to the wheels efficiency is 14%, so I think we are agreeing on that point. The EV efficiency is much higher.
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Re: Power Grid Limits Potential of Renewable Energy

Postby yesplease » Thu 28 Aug 2008, 15:51:43

You probably did IIRC, but in the above comparison it seems you used 25% instead, unless of course I'm reading it incorrectly.$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lper100km', 'E')fficiency in delivering energy to the road wheels: 25%
Last edited by yesplease on Thu 28 Aug 2008, 16:56:58, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Power Grid Limits Potential of Renewable Energy

Postby lper100km » Thu 28 Aug 2008, 16:23:22

Oh OK Yes, I calculated the overall efficiency at 14% Maybe I'm being overly generous in setting the drive train efficiency at 25%. If you take ICE power to the wheels at as low as 15% the overall energy efficiency reduces to 8.5% nominally. For auto use, we are wasting 91.5% of the oil energy that is pumped from the ground!! It's criminal.
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Re: Power Grid Limits Potential of Renewable Energy

Postby JRP3 » Thu 28 Aug 2008, 18:19:28

Your charging efficiency number is off as well. Flooded lead comes in around 70%, sealed lead AGM types even higher above 90%
Charging
Lithium even better near 99%
Lithium
These numbers and the other changes yesplease pointed out push your calculations even further in favor of EV's and further points out the irrationality of wakeupman's rant.
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Re: Power Grid Limits Potential of Renewable Energy

Postby lper100km » Thu 28 Aug 2008, 20:33:08

As I understand it, there are two components to charging. The charger itself is between 70 - 75 % efficient and the battery charging performance can be as you have stated.

I would certainly like to see the electrical systems become really efficient. There is no question that they offer the greatest hope, but storage for use on demand represents a major and difficult challenge.
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Re: Power Grid Limits Potential of Renewable Energy

Postby Frank » Thu 28 Aug 2008, 21:07:21

I think that battery charger efficiency can be all over the board, depending on quality of components chosen.

One strategy for charging lead-acid (that I use a fair amount) is to charge only to the gassing or Absorption voltage (i.e. about 14.4 volts for a 12 volt battery) then shut off the charger. This typically works more efficiently as energy isn't used to "bubble" the electrolyte. This returns 80-90% of capacity to the battery, which is enough, particularly in warmer weather when lead-acid works best. Lead-acid batteries need to be completely charged i.e. sit at constant voltage at least once a week minimum (approx.) but this is a bit less efficient.

ICE's are constrained by Carnot. Fossil fuels are so energy/power dense that we've let vehicles get way too big and heavy and haven't spent much attention on innovative design. EV's demand cleverness and I think we'll see a lot of new, great ideas in the next few years.
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Re: Power Grid Limits Potential of Renewable Energy

Postby yesplease » Thu 28 Aug 2008, 21:15:30

According to the DOE, after taking into account the charging/discharging efficiency of NiMH batteries, the charger efficiency was ~85%. Supposedly the charging efficiency of the AC-150 is 90%+, which is supported by the manufacturer although it can drop to 50% w/ 110V and the lowest charging current at around ~200W.
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Re: Power Grid Limits Potential of Renewable Energy

Postby JRP3 » Thu 28 Aug 2008, 21:20:28

85% and greater seems fairly common for lead acid chargers. I'm sure that could be much better for SLA and lithium chargers since those batteries don't need to bubble for complete charging.
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Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby jasonraymondson » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 18:15:57

How many of you are prepared?

What will you do without your computer and internet friends to keep you company?

How many of you, are going to be able to cope, with only access to book for your entertainment?

Next year the power failures will start.

Good luck.
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Re: Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby vtsnowedin » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 18:34:19

8) Well lets see... The water will still run, the toilet will still flush, the wood stove and furnace will still heat. I can get all the hot water I need off the wood furnace with a days plumbing changes. I will lose the freezers and their contents assuming there is no fuel for a back up generator. Have to build an ice house but the first summer would be a pain. I have several hundred books including a set of encyclopedia and can walk the five miles to the library. While there I could drop in at the local restaurant anf gossip with the old bucks. Their cliental might be differnt and their menue would change if they were off grid. I might hear some new points of view. At sundown light a candle or go to bed. After a ten mile walk perhaps the later. Life might actually be better up to the point that I have to go to the health center and need an X ray.

How about you??
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Re: Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby highlander » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 18:44:50

With all the hydropower i our neck of the woods, not too likely for the grid to "fail"
It might get piped to SoCal or Vegas.
I have generators for freezers and water
I have propane for cooking
I have books and wildlife for entertainment
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Re: Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby da23 » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 19:51:05

Are you Jason?

I have a Lister genset, 110/240 nps here, I like books as well, and friends that find you in brownouts.

My post apocalypse cinema is coming on great :)
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Re: Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby Zardoz » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 20:07:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jasonraymondson', 'H')ow many of you are prepared?

I'm not. No reason to be.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ext year the power failures will start.

No they won't.
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Re: Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby PenultimateManStanding » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 20:35:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jasonraymondson', 'H')ow many of you are prepared?

I'm not. No reason to be.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ext year the power failures will start.

No they won't.
These are very uncertain times. Even people in the power industry are warning about next year. I wouldn't be too sure about anything, Zardoz.
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Re: Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 20:40:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jasonraymondson', 'H')ow many of you are prepared?

I'm not. No reason to be.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ext year the power failures will start.

No they won't.
These are very uncertain times. Even people in the power industry are warning about next year. I wouldn't be too sure about anything, Zardoz.


Huh? REally? did I miss that one? anything you can point to (articles) there sweets?
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Re: Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby PenultimateManStanding » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 20:48:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('uNkNowN ElEmEnt', '
')
Huh? REally? did I miss that one? anything you can point to (articles) there sweets?
Sorry, I read over 50 articles a day. There was one where some power guys were saying we may have some real problems in '09. Not enough maintenance and too few new plants. Then again, I'm thinking maybe demand will drop because of the bad economy.
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Re: Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby wisconsin_cur » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 21:08:32

I do not know what I have not thought of... I am prepared for what I have thought of...

all of that being said I do not expect the grid to fail in any spectacular manner in 2009.

More likely would be prices increase causing some conservation and the poorest members of society going with out,
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Re: Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby dunewalker » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 21:25:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shannymara', 'G')rid failure is one of the first things we prepared for. The only thing that concerns me about that is the potential for social unrest and increased crime.


Exactly. Widespread grid failure will mean much more than just no power. It will result in lots of social unrest, desperation and violence. I've been off-grid for 7 years now, but am not sure how to prepare for the ramifications of others being off grid en masse.
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Re: Are you prepared for the grid to go off?

Postby eastbay » Wed 26 Nov 2008, 21:39:40

My first Social Security check arrives in eight years so I should be ok.
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