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THE Offshore Drilling Thread (merged)

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: Some offshore projects

Unread postby Chuckmak » Thu 03 Jul 2008, 08:16:57

I think vampyregirl is either OF2's wife or alias...
"if god doesn't exist, it is necessary that we invent him" - Voltaire

"they say prescott bush funded hitler" - Nas

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Re: Some offshore projects

Unread postby TheDude » Thu 03 Jul 2008, 12:45:37

Some of the GOM fields haven't paid out like expected - salt layers distort seismic, giving false estimates of field characteristics. Flows haven't been what were expected, and 275F temps and 17k lb/sq inch pressure don't help, either. So I wonder if the Brazilian fields will flow per expectations.
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Re: Democrats Cave-In On Offshore Drilling

Unread postby The_Toecutter » Thu 10 Jul 2008, 00:10:59

Offshore drilling is only going to amount to a small fraction of today's oil consumption in the U.S. at the peak of its extraction 15-25 years after it is started...

...meaning, it's not going to do anything to lower gasoline prices and further risks making our oceans even more polluted.

The best solution is to use less oil. We have technology for electric cars with 200+ miles range and it would be affordable in mass production; we can have no-compromise 80 mpg midsize cars and 35 mpg full size SUVs with proper attention to aerodynamics; force the automakers to produce them immediately with their next model year or they can't sell cars here! They've already developed prototypes since the 1970s that were market ready, but never sold them. Given that the auto fleet turns over every 17 years, we'd cut our oil consumption by nearly 30% in that timeframe without any sacrifice just from changing our automobiles(and we could be doing plenty of that too).

Of course, this would have the side effect of saving Joe sixpack money and transferring less of his money to society's elite, therefore neither democrats nor republicans like the idea. They support more drilling and more oil use because it keeps us spending money, but the real problem is that we're spending/consuming too much. We can have the same living standard on less resources, but it means that a wealthy few won't be as wealthy.

Forget more drilling. It's a losing proposition because it does not address the underlying problem that we are consuming an irreplacable resource, and consuming far much more than we need to for a given living standard. We need a form of conservation that focuses on first and foremost saving the average American money and encouraging less spending.
The unnecessary felling of a tree, perhaps the old growth of centuries, seems to me a crime little short of murder. ~Thomas Jefferson
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Re: Democrats Cave-In On Offshore Drilling

Unread postby mos6507 » Thu 10 Jul 2008, 00:49:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('The_Toecutter', '
')Offshore drilling is only going to amount to a small fraction of today's oil consumption in the U.S. at the peak of its extraction 15-25 years after it is started...


Everybody's turned into armchair oil men these days. They think they know better than geologists. I think the public just need to find that out about oil depletion and supply vs. demand the hard way. Just give them the closure they want and we can move down the line to the next stage of grief.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('The_Toecutter', '
')force the automakers to produce them immediately with their next model year or they can't sell cars here!


They might just go out of business before we have a chance of dictating to them. We might just wind up with a DIY conversion future after all.
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Re: Democrats Cave-In On Offshore Drilling

Unread postby 3aidlillahi » Thu 10 Jul 2008, 07:48:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonsieurX', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('The_Toecutter', 'w')e are consuming an irreplacable resource

Um, no we aren't. Hydrogen is the most common element in the universe and carbon is the fourth most common element in the universe. Hydrocarbons are infinite and renewable.

"It is obvious that the total amount of petroleum in the rocks underlying the surface ... is large beyond computation." -- Edward Orton, 1888


Let me speak for everyone on this forum with the following:
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

*pause*
:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:

What most people seem to forget about off-shore drilling is that the states can still veto it. It's up to them, IIRC, to issue permits and it's a virtual no-go for the next 50 years in CA. The Legislature won't approve of it and the Gov is against it as well.

FL is a bit trickier. The GOP has a 65% majority in both houses of the legislature, but even they are generally against drilling and have been for quite some time. There's starting to be a trickle of GOP for support of drilling, but they will likely need 90-100% of the GOP part of their congress to get drilling approved which seems doubtful over the next few years.

But just like everything else in American politics, states' rights are neglected, by and large. What a disgrace.

So the real question becomes: when will the GOP cave-in to off-shore drilling?
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Re: Democrats Cave-In On Offshore Drilling

Unread postby skeptik » Thu 10 Jul 2008, 08:11:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonsieurX', '
')Um, no we aren't. Hydrogen is the most common element in the universe and carbon is the fourth most common element in the universe. Hydrocarbons are infinite and renewable.
Try renewing some then. What you have there Monsieur X is an energy sink, not an energy source. Once you understand the energetics behind your statement you will realize why 3aidlillahi is laughing.
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Re: Democrats Cave-In On Offshore Drilling

Unread postby Windmills » Thu 10 Jul 2008, 09:55:47

Even if it were true, it's irrelevant. Assuming you're talking about abiotic oil, the point you're still missing is rates. The issue at the heart of peak oil is production rates. A few drops of oil being produced by whatever method is a ludicrous point to bring up compared to the rate at which oil is being consumed.
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Re: Democrats Cave-In On Offshore Drilling

Unread postby TheDude » Thu 10 Jul 2008, 10:17:57

This notion of a massive ban on offshore drilling is an obnoxious fiction.

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Re: Democrats Cave-In On Offshore Drilling

Unread postby 3aidlillahi » Thu 10 Jul 2008, 11:41:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') can assure you, the mantle contains more than "a few drops" of hydrocarbons.


So then you're saying that oil is related to magmatism? If oil is from the mantle and it's well-established that magma is from the mantle, then it can be assumed that oil and magmatism are related, no?
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Re: Democrats Cave-In On Offshore Drilling

Unread postby Windmills » Thu 10 Jul 2008, 12:02:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonsieurX', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Windmills', 'E')ven if it were true, it's irrelevant. Assuming you're talking about abiotic oil, the point you're still missing is rates. The issue at the heart of peak oil is production rates.

Production rates are at an all time high. 85.9 mbpd I think was the last number I saw.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') few drops of oil being produced by whatever method is a ludicrous point to bring up compared to the rate at which oil is being consumed.

I can assure you, the mantle contains more than "a few drops" of hydrocarbons. Proven reserves on earth are over 1 trillion barrels. Proven reserves on Titan are over 300 trillion barrels.


Of course production rates are at an all time high. That is the very definition of peak oil.

Ultimately, this is once again the mistake of assuming that reserves and production rates are the same thing.
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Bush lifts offshore drilling ban

Unread postby frankthetank » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 10:36:09

Not that this is going to change much...

Congress still have to lift the legislative ban...

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/25674571/
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Re: Bush lifts offshore drilling ban

Unread postby killJOY » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 10:38:15

Every supply side "solution" will be attempted.

Every supply side attempt to reverse peak will fail.
Peak oil = comet Kohoutek.
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Re: Bush lifts offshore drilling ban

Unread postby Eli » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 10:39:36

Great all we need to do is a detail seismic exploration of the Coast of the US, drill test wells and then get the best fields into production.


That should add some comfort to the PO collapse in 2015.
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Re: Bush lifts offshore drilling ban

Unread postby burtonridr » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 10:58:29

Old habits die hard I guess... :roll:
Tired of high gas prices? [smilie=BangHead.gif] Then stop driving to work, duh..... Learn to Work from home

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Re: Bush lifts offshore drilling ban

Unread postby frankthetank » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 11:20:10

Timing is suspect, considering the economy of this once great nation is near collapse. Any thoughts?
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Re: Bush lifts offshore drilling ban

Unread postby Eli » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 11:22:52

Yeah it is a stick save for the markets, we are very close to an all out panic.

Fre/Fan are fubar Indymac closed and only about 90 other US banks that are highly suspect. Citi hiding 1 trillion in crap debt the list of doom goes on and on.

People are buying Iphones however.


Sobering link to banks and their share price, these are all banks close to collapsing.

Banks close to failure

Look at 52 week average, oh my lord.
Last edited by Eli on Mon 14 Jul 2008, 11:26:43, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Bush lifts offshore drilling ban

Unread postby misterno » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 11:24:47

more oil production means more global warming

we are all farked either way
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Re: Bush lifts offshore drilling ban

Unread postby Plantagenet » Mon 14 Jul 2008, 11:32:59

Same deal as before. The Congressional ban still holds, and the democratic leaders of Congress refuse to allow drilling in new areas offshore. They think the solution to the US energy problem is to sue OPEC and drain the strategic petroleum reserve.
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