by muon » Fri 13 Jun 2008, 13:02:38
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('hope_full', 'W')hat would you say the odds are that this fellow is right? Because I'd be happier thinking he *is* right. I'm in the very unfun stage of "new information overload" and "massive tsunami-type paradigm shift" and these days (and nights) peaceful sleep eludes me. Yeesh.
http://finance.sympatico.msn.ca/savings ... id=7083127
I think this part is spot on:
Life as you know it will continue. It's just that you won't be able to eat or drive.
But seriously, I think that in one way the article is right, panic isn't the best choice. On the other hand, too much relaxation will breed apathy at a time when we need action, it just has to be sensible and with an eye to the future instead of only meeting today's needs.
I think a lot of the media has been talking down against peak oilers for years and some still want to do that because they want to reassure people the world isn't going to end. But one day last week I saw a news video with the guest experts saying how we should imminently expect oil to go down to $100. The next day we had the spike up to $139. Those guests haven't been back. Last night I went to latoc and clicked some of the current news links, one was to a UK newspaper article, it was stuck in the environment section but was one of the top emailed stories of the day and it was pretty doomerish. The press don't seem to have a consensus among them yet, some are holding out reassuring the masses, others are like
oh shit the peak oilers were right after all, lets push this baby and sell papers cos doom sells, it's the end of the world as we know it is surely almost as good as aliens landing.
One opinion article I read recently said that there was a shortage of silver years ago so people just took their unwanted silver in to be melted down and the problem was sorted. We can't do that with oil. I think some of the reassurance and platitudes are the wrong thing because I don't think this is a good time for complacency. Panic is not good either though, so take the scare stories and scare yourself silly, and then think what can I do to try to make sure the worst case scenario doesn't play out.