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How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby threadbear » Wed 28 May 2008, 15:46:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'I') think the bigger problem than "civilization" is the idea of infinite growth. Some people think that the two go hand in hand, that you can't have civilization without buying into the infinite growth paradigm. It's understandable, since that's how it's been in the past. That's not how it has to be forever, should humanity collectively learn a very hard lesson in limits to growth.


Amen. People also falsely conclude that all tribal societies are somehow more "in balance". This is just plain funny. Some tribal societies are just as psycho and out of whack, in their own way, as we are, with our perpetual growth paradigm. The role of superstition, scapegoating, sorcery, etc... is part of the spiritual milieu of many of these cultures, and does indeed help keep population in control, through family and tribal conflicts.

As Aaron asked, isn't there some other way, some kind of middle ground?
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby Fishman » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:01:01

jdumars
Your avatar is a domesticated cat, a product of "civilization". You whine on about civilization, do you have a way to feed said cat without all the benefits of "civilization"? Or is this your next meal? Can I eat it?
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby Aaron » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:14:01

The most rudimentary study of history shows that no civilization (we know of) is sustainable.

As a matter of fact, no species has endured the test of time.

Much less mere groups.

I'm just wondering if I have enough info to determine, (as you seem to have done), that "civilization" is required to produce interesting or beautiful stuff.

Of course proving a negative is impossible as you mentioned, & it's not exactly fair for me to posit that argument. On the other hand, how else to express my suspicion that art can, and does exist absent the benefits of the modern world?
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby firestarter » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:50:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mos6507', 'I') think the bigger problem than "civilization" is the idea of infinite growth. Some people think that the two go hand in hand, that you can't have civilization without buying into the infinite growth paradigm. It's understandable, since that's how it's been in the past. That's not how it has to be forever, should humanity collectively learn a very hard lesson in limits to growth.

Amen. People also falsely conclude that all tribal societies are somehow more "in balance". This is just plain funny. Some tribal societies are just as psycho and out of whack, in their own way, as we are, with our perpetual growth paradigm. The role of superstition, scapegoating, sorcery, etc... is part of the spiritual milieu of many of these cultures, and does indeed help keep population in control, through family and tribal conflicts.
As Aaron asked, isn't there some other way, some kind of middle ground?

Actually, pre civilized tribal life (tribes-gatherer hunters-- existing before civilization) was essentially ludic/peaceful, egalitarian, exhibited little if any organized violence, was non sexist, non materialistic, had no conception of private property, and existed in this general condition for some two million years. Eminent Harvard anthropologist, Marshal Sahlins rightly attributed it as the original affluent society. In fact, much of contemporary anthropology largely rejects the Hobbesian/ Freudian views of pre civilized life as nastsy, brutish and short. There are enough thinkers out there to drive this fact home, some of which I'll list:
Threasa Kintz
Theodore Koszak
Marshall Sahlins
John Zerzan
Bob Black
Joseph Tainter
Kirkpatrick Sale
Derrick Jensen
Tamarack Song
Max Horkheimer
William H. Koetke
Richard Heinberg
Ivan Illich
Fredrick Turner
Daniel Quinn
Fredy Perlman
Theodor Adorno
...and many more.

You read a handful of these folks and you never think of civilization in the same way again.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby jdumars » Wed 28 May 2008, 17:51:15

Aaron, now you're getting at the heart of the matter! Thanks for conceding on the way your previous argument was framed.

Art, music, culture, creativity are not inextricably linked to civilization at all. In uncivilized cultures, these things are typically deeply integrated into all aspects of life -- it is typically not the role of a specialist. Uncivilized art is constructed from materials available on the landbase, so is thus completely unique to the place it comes from. Think totem poles in the Northwest, or shell necklaces in island populations. Also, such artistic/music/creative items are obtained sustainably. This is reinforced because many ceremonial items came from rare species, which if completely depleted would destroy the cultural tradition.

This gets to your and Threadbear's question about what the middle ground is.

In a nutshell, it is the flourishing of local cultures each responsible to their landbases for their survival. If you eat a fish, you ensure by whatever means possible that the fish population grows and thrives. If you want art, you make it from what is available ensuring there is enough for future generations.

The unfortunate problem is that civilization doesn't co-exist well with non-civilized arrangements. For example, if you and your family/community have a habitation in a forest where you very carefully restore Salmon runs, the mixed native forest, leave minerals in the land, etc. And there is a civilized population anywhere nearby... your resources will eventually be taken from you by force. This is because the needs of the civilized population would grow indefinitely until there was simply nothing left. They would try and offer you money, tools or other unsustainable things which would have no value to you, and when that didn't work, they'd say you were "wasting the valuable natural resources!" Where their rivers were depleted of fish, yours would be teeming with them. Where their forests were felled, yours would be thriving and enormous. The civilized population would decry that their needs, their many thousand hungry mouths, outweigh you and your quaint little tribe.

This is of course fictional, but it has been played out time and time again in history as we have used various reasons to take remote resources from peoples that had carefully tended to them for thousands of years.

------------

Fishman, the cat as my avatar is Oscar the Death cat. Are you trying to make some sort of point? If so, please do.

If I can loosely infer your point, it's that "if I am so anti-civilization, why am I not wearing a loin cloth and living in the woods using stone tools"

The answer has a lot to do with the last paragraph above. Because civilization is global, there are very few places left in the world where you can live in an uncivilized manner without the constant threat of violence. If I go live in the woods, I am still at the mercy of the laws that govern those woods. I cannot entertain into a sustainable relationship with a place, because such places simply don't exist anymore.

I am doing everything I can to extract myself from civilization, including:

- learning all wild edibles in my area
- learning traditional hunting, tracking and tool-making
- eating a 95% local seasonal diet
- preserving all of my own food
- learning everything I can by actually doing it

You can't un-ring a bell. But, you can try and work toward a more sustainable future for yourself and future generations. This doesn't mean green capitalism, or "sustainable technology" -- it means realizing that the only thing that ultimately works is the right thing for the right place. Every answer is a local answer. And to get it, you have to know the land you are on.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby Aaron » Wed 28 May 2008, 19:33:20

Nice post.

That's what I meant about not abandoning everything... just lose the parts which don't work so well.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby seldom_seen » Wed 28 May 2008, 19:58:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jane', 'T')rust me, to all you gun toting Peak Oilers, you are the minority and if its your food the majority wants they will eventually get it. If anything you shooting at them will make people more violent in their bid to steal your provisions.

Self defense is part of human nature. Part of nature. The turtle has its shell, the porcupine its quills. The sting of a bee, and the venomous bite of the rattlesnake. If you swallow certain beautiful and peaceful mushrooms or plants you will drop dead as a door knob.

You're argument for humans to live a more natural, tribal existence, seems to lack this essential element of nature.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby firestarter » Wed 28 May 2008, 22:00:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seldom_seen', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jane', 'T')rust me, to all you gun toting Peak Oilers, you are the minority and if its your food the majority wants they will eventually get it. If anything you shooting at them will make people more violent in their bid to steal your provisions.

Self defense is part of human nature. Part of nature. The turtle has its shell, the porcupine its quills. The sting of a bee, and the venomous bite of the rattlesnake. If you swallow certain beautiful and peaceful mushrooms or plants you will drop dead as a door knob.
You're argument for humans to live a more natural, tribal existence, seems to lack this essential element of nature.

Then explain how it was accomplished for nearly two million years?
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby jdumars » Wed 28 May 2008, 23:06:42

Seldom, I think know what you are getting at.

What I am saying/advocating is not some neo-hippie, everyone hug each other, bucolic forest love fest.

I am no idiot, and certainly don't expect post-civilization life to be free of things like murder, rape, aggression, and all the other fun stuff people do to each other. Every group of people -- be them native American, Amazon rain forest dwellers, or Buddhist monks, has a certain percentage of assholes. Each local group has their own way of dealing with such individuals ranging from ostracism to execution.

There will also undoubtedly be fights over borders, food and women/men. These will be settled, again, differently by each group of individuals.

Without civilization, things like strength, cunning, speed, and ability to craft weapons becomes the defense mechanism you speak of. Some groups are very good at crafting weapons and using them, while others are not. A great example of this is the Macah tribe on the Northwest coast of the Olympic Peninsula in Washington. They are a fierce bunch of folks. They literally decimated several other tribes. They were also formidable whale hunters. But, just 40 miles south, the Quillayute tribe is as peaceful as can be. They occasionally had to defend their land from Macah incursions, but somehow over thousands of years settled the arguments and maintained autonomy.

The weapons used in those battles were typically clubs or spears and were quite effective.

The future is destined to look a lot like the past, especially once the energy party is o - v- e- r.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby seldom_seen » Thu 29 May 2008, 00:52:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('firestarter', 'T')hen explain how it was accomplished for nearly two million years?

Clubs, bows, spears, rocks, sticks, pitfalls, snares, traps.

It is an old saying not to bring a knife to a gun fight. For better or for worse, the spear and bow has now been replaced by the Glock 9mm and the 12 gauge. That is how things are. At some point modern weapons manufacturing will go the way of the buffalo and we can all use spears and bows again. Until then, If you think self defense is not an essential component of preparation for our energy scarce future, you are living in la la land.

Lately we've had a run on banks, a run on hedge funds, a run on rice and other food stores. At some point, we will have a run on ammunition and firearms. If you don't think you need one, don't get one. I can assure you though, that minds change quickly with circumstances. Some of the people standing in that line that wraps around the gun store will be some of the people who thought they'd never need a gun during the "good times." Which are now.

The mindset that we don't need to defend ourselves is a very recent phenomenon. A sort of pathological side effect of our decadent, relatively peaceful, oil soaked lives. It will vanish so quickly that many will forget that it even existed, because it is such an anomaly in human history.

Americans are now by and large insulated from the killing. They may see an Apache helicopter blow up some Taliban, or an F-16 take out a minaret somewhere in Iraq. The violence is mostly an abstract afterthought occurring somewhere across oceans. It's real though, and it would be very naive to assume that your neighborhood couldn't come to resemble Fallujah or Basra when the lights go out.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby jdumars » Thu 29 May 2008, 00:56:56

Seldom, FWIW I just bought 2 NOS P38s for the collection today.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby seldom_seen » Thu 29 May 2008, 01:05:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdumars', 'S')eldom, FWIW I just bought 2 NOS P38s for the collection today.

Hehe, nice. Hey do you still have your river property? I love the Bogey.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby jdumars » Thu 29 May 2008, 01:13:05

Yes, we do! We're trying to sell it. Ready to give it away. We've dropped the price to $55k. ugh.

The river moved a little so now it isn't so flood prone. It's the perfect bug out locale.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby firestarter » Thu 29 May 2008, 10:07:09

I really don't get the middle ground/synthesis between the primitive and civilization argument at all. No one, whether they go by the name Heinberg, Zerzan, Kaczynski, et al ever demonstrates how the world can function any more harmoniously in this half baked state, although I don't believe Zerzan buys in to it as a viable possibility. Do we get THERE (half baked state) from here by force? Does technology function THERE as it does here? Is this synthesis a golden age ushering in freedom and thus anti authoritarianism writ large or must it be constantly proctored by gurus and experts exhibiting loving force where needed?

I need more convincing, otherwise it comes off as Utopian nonsense which is much more fanciful than (re)embracing our historically PROVEN, biospheric sustaining, primitive roots.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby buzzard » Thu 29 May 2008, 15:20:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdumars', 'b')tu, I defined exactly what I mean by civilization above. In fact, I will re-quote it here:
"as a culture­ - that is, a complex of stories, institutions, and artifacts­ - that both leads to and emerges from the growth of cities (civilization, see civil: from civis, meaning citizen, from latin civitatis, meaning city-state), with cities being defined ­so as to distinguish them from camps, villages, and so on ­as people living more or less permanently in one place in densities high enough to require the routine importation of food and other necessities of life."
History has two very long, highly-indicative trails of evidence that support my assertions:
1. There are histories of peoples such as the Tolowa, Urok, Quillayute, etc. that lived in one regional area for over 12,500 years with an extremely minimal ecological footprint.
2. There are histories of civilizations that have collapsed because they were unsustainable.
So where exactly is your logic coming from? I am misinformed because it's never happened before? That's a problem on two fronts... yes, it has happened before, many times, and, my arguments are based on simple laws of resource consumption/ecological stability required for living organisms. Are you saying that nothing can be deducted unless it happens?
Someone please come up with a good argument for their point other than I am wrong and you are right. Read Collapse by Jared Diamond. Read Endgame by Derrick Jensen. Walk out your front door and look around.
If there were suddenly no electricity, no fossil fuels, no running water. How long would you and everyone around you be able to survive? What about the people in densely-populated cities?
Peak oil is simply another puzzle piece in the greater picture. Limits to growth. Carrying capacity. Ecological tipping points. The arguments for civilization are academic. The arguments against it are endemic.

I am always mildly surprised when someone "gets it" as it were. I am also surprised when those who are aware of many of the pieces of the puzzle don't get it. What appears to be quite obvious to you and me still confuses many others. I was going to wade into this when the defenders of civilization showed up. But, I think what you have said couldn't be more clear and concise. Deep study with a certain kind of awareness is necessary to see the whole picture.

All I can add is: Study history in depth and study pre-history. The answers are there. Then if one still believes that "Civilization" is redeemable in any way, the blindness is uncurable. Jdumars, it is a pleasure to meet another who sees.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby CrudeAwakening » Thu 29 May 2008, 19:39:12

Interesting thread, and some great points raised by jdumars and others.

I think this quote encapsulates the problem well:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdumars', ' ')Civilized people do not understand the systems and resources on which they live because they rely on others to provide it.

This lack of understanding is, IMO, a primary reason why civilization is prone to develop in an unsustainable manner, because the feedback signals that would normally regulate behaviour towards sustainability are distorted and misdirected, allowing the biggest beneficiaries of the surplus to be the greatest externalizers. And the greater the capacity to externalize, the less the impetus for reform. As long as the chiefs are living well in the centre, what matter that a tide of detritus is piling up on the boundary?
"Who knows what the Second Law of Thermodynamics will be like in a hundred years?" - Economist speaking during planning for World Population Conference in early 1970s
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby Cog » Thu 29 May 2008, 20:20:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('firestarter', 'A')ctually, pre civilized tribal life (tribes-gatherer hunters-- existing before civilization) was essentially ludic/peaceful, egalitarian, exhibited little if any organized violence, was non sexist, non materialistic, had no conception of private property, and existed in this general condition for some two million years.

Since recorded history only goes back around 6000 years, how would you possibly know that tribes were peaceful, non-violent, and non-sexist? Sounds more like dream land and wishful thinking to think that humans were any different then, then they are now.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby jane » Fri 30 May 2008, 07:26:33

Ok, well I am happy with the responses to my post! I always take a couple of days to watch where it goes and pick up after getting the running them.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'A')men. People also falsely conclude that all tribal societies are somehow more "in balance". This is just plain funny. Some tribal societies are just as psycho and out of whack, in their own way, as we are, with our perpetual growth paradigm. The role of superstition, scapegoating, sorcery, etc... is part of the spiritual milieu of many of these cultures, and does indeed help keep population in control, through family and tribal conflicts.
As Aaron asked, isn't there some other way, some kind of middle ground?

Well, I would like to address this by saying. I think we should “progress” into a “regression.” Obviously we know enough now to not be as superstitious and believe the world to be flat or any other illogical nonsense because we know better. But we can use what we have learned from the past to move forward.
And there was no tribal society that was ‘psycho” and “out of whack.” Every tribal society did things for a reason because they HAD to, key word. Headhunters took heads for a reason, certain Native American tribes were brutal for a reason. Even art served a purpose, pots and clothing ornately decorated were used, among other valid purposes, as record keeping devices for instance. Records with some permanence, because they all were well familiarized with the passing of things, be it seasons or death. Something we are not willing to understand these days. That’s why people are so shocked! “No more oil!, Oh no!” that is just plain funny.
I love a lot of the former American ideals, but now America is going the way of Rome. I am patriotic as anyone, I would defend my country before another. And this is why its even more disappointing to me, the direction America is going. Tell me what is the use of an SUV in the city, shows like “Survivor”, entertainers getting paid more than teachers? That is a “psycho” society, at the forefront of the decline of the human species with its capitalist, selfish, consumerism centered around oil! The stone was cast from our very beginnings and instead of people getting smarter, they got worse in America. Its like we didn’t learn anything and only care when there is an obvious problem. Then there is always a search for the radical quick fix, the middle ground.

As for middle ground, there is none. I think it’s a half hearted attempt to work around a serious issue. In nature there is no gray, it is or it isn’t and you die or you live. You only take what works for you and forget about the rest, for that why bother? Also for the middle ground to work there are too many obstacles, as some of you have recognized, in the way of returning to a true, natural self sustaining state. Even if you were to move into the backwoods of Montana, you can have toxic rains affecting you or some pesticide somehow reaching you. The fat lady sang and came back for a standing ovation. I doubt the human species will or can regress anyway. No, the reach of civilization is too far, its global.
And human nature, heck nature in itself does not regress from a state of success, once it has reached it on its own accord. It only adapts when a change needs to take place, specifically when its forced to.
Everyone thinks because we are capable of thought, we are not governed by nature and can circumnavigate our own nature. Men are still men and women are still women and all living things act and do things according to their nature. By shear virtue of preparing yourself against the oil decline and subsequent collapse, you are doing what comes natural to any creature on this earth that believes its end is near, which is selfishly trying to protect yourself. And no, selfishness is not always a bad thing, its one of the natural survival mechanisms, its in our nature to be selfish, but to a point.
While some would practice preventative maintenance, i.e. making a move to a self sustaining lifestyle, ultimately I doubt anyone can fully commit to it. Simply because you cant. I think it is highly admirable and a step in the right direction, although.
And yes, bikes do need grease made from oil. How do you think they are made? huge oil using, oil burning factories. If you drop a lot of money on a custom, small garage made one guess what? its parts were made from huge oil burning factories, its paint- made with oil. You cant escape it, only prolong the inevitable it seems. The only way we can escape it is when we have to I believe.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby firestarter » Fri 30 May 2008, 08:59:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cog', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('firestarter', 'A')ctually, pre civilized tribal life (tribes-gatherer hunters-- existing before civilization) was essentially ludic/peaceful, egalitarian, exhibited little if any organized violence, was non sexist, non materialistic, had no conception of private property, and existed in this general condition for some two million years.

Since recorded history only goes back around 6000 years, how would you possibly know that tribes were peaceful, non-violent, and non-sexist? Sounds more like dream land and wishful thinking to think that humans were any different then, then they are now.

So the only history that exists is that which is, as you say, recorded? I think archaeologists, paleontologists and anthropologists, among others, would get more than a chuckle out of your assertion.
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Re: How my own observations mirrored Peak Oil...

Unread postby Cog » Sat 31 May 2008, 09:47:55

I did not make the assertion that primitive people were peaceful. You did.

You have bone fragments and pottery shards. I have recorded history to prove the contrary. Maybe you are making the assertion that as soon as man figured out written language it made him violent. :lol:
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