by charliebrownout » Tue 06 May 2008, 18:12:18
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mefistofeles', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')t seems like this oil problem really plays well for rich folks and really screws poor folks. It is like some kind of beautiful gift for the uber-rich. It's like an industrial strength can of Raid for their human cockroach problem. Isn't it?
I would disagree on that count. I think peak oil will help farmers and people who engage in small scale manufacturing.
The highest paying jobs today tend to be doctors and lawyers. Why, because these professions have benefitted the least from advancedments in technology and productivity. In other words a doctor can't treat more patients today than he could 100 years ago likewise the same is probably true with a lawyer.
Manufacturing on the other hand has benefitted immensely from the energy provided by oil as had food production via mechanization and fertilizers.
Well what happens during peak oil far less energy is going to be available for agriculture and manufacturing? Manufactured goods are going to be very scarce. Things like shoe repair are actually going to make a big come back because it won't be possible to simply throw away a pair of shoes when they become too old.
Manufacturing will become much more expensive and probably far more labor intensive. The actual labor input costs will go up tremendously.
I think many rich people will be hurt because people who owns things such as malls and factories could be totally SOL.
Granted being rich will give you more options than being poor but I feel that having physical resources or skills in hand will be worth alot more when peak oil hits than "money".
Peak oil will in effect be a revolution than changes the balance of power within societies and between nations. Land owners and small manufacturers will be the main beneficiaries , at least the ones that I see.
That would be nice: a Biblical world turned over to peace and ploughshares. It would be a good thing, if that were the case.
I just don't see anyone who has ever aspired to any sort of power giving up that easily or letting themselves go over the proverbial cliff. Nope, can't picture it.
Death may be the great equalizer, but I don't think Peak Oil will be--even if it brings with it copious amounts of death.