by roccman » Mon 05 May 2008, 18:34:21
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PeakingAroundtheCorner', 'W')hat the hell are ya'll talkin' 'bout?
No, really.
here$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'L')ast night out of the middle of nowhere we had a huge downward spike in the futures market. Much time and effort was spent trying to figure out if it was a fat-fingered trade (as occurred in January), but Globex said no, and the trades stood.
The interesting thing about this was that it didn't have the appearance of a "fat finger" mistake at the time; it was across all markets, including Treasuries and The Dollar, Gold, and the futures in all three primary indices, and was accompanied with real volume.
Was that someone bailing on a long or getting aggressively short ahead of a potential explosion? Its impossible to know with certainty, but we never did see an actual mushroom cloud, so its difficult to know what was in the mind of person(s) involved. But a 15-handle move in seconds accompanied by volume in the overnight session certainly wakes you up fast when you're casually glancing at your computer!
I'll note that the last time we saw this sort of "overnight dislocation", which at the time was claimed to be a "fatfinger mistake" by Globex (and resulted in thousands of busted trades), we started a precipitous decline in the market that spanned several days the next morning.