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Message Sent To Roger Hedgecock

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Message Sent To Roger Hedgecock

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Sun 20 Apr 2008, 19:45:33

He's a local talk radio guy. Used to be the Mayor. He sometimes fills in for Rush Limbaugh. He's got no idea what we're in for. He thinks that environmental wackos are preventing us from getting the oil we need. As I said, clueless. Here's the message:

Roger, you've got the oil situation all wrong. We import 15 million barrels of oil daily. There is no way on Earth we are going to replace that with Anwar and offshore drilling. We're stuck. You know as well as I do that solar and wind won't replace oil. You are misinforming your audience. They might as well know the truth.
Turn those Machines back On! - Don Ameche in Trading Places
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Re: Message Sent To Roger Hedgecock

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sun 20 Apr 2008, 20:37:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', ' ')We import 15 million barrels of oil daily. There is no way on Earth we are going to replace that with Anwar and offshore drilling.


Absolutely right.

Lets check the math.

You'd get about 2 million barrels per day from ANWR tops, if its similar to Prudhoe Bay.

That would still leave 13 million from offshore. Lets say you got 2 million barrels per day from offshore Florida, 2 million from offshore mid-Atlantic New England, and 2 million per day from Oregon and Washinton offshore.

You'd still need another 7 million barrels per day.

Add in offshore Bristol Bay and Gulf of Alaska at 2 million per day each,
and you'd still need ANOTHER 3 million per day.

Add in Arctic Ocean off Alaska and you miiiiiiiiiight just get enough, but by the time everything was drilled and developed, you'd probably need even more, because existing fields would be running even lower.

Realistically, I'd guess you could only probably get about 7-8 million more barrels per day from the easiest spots (ANWR, FLORIDA, EAST COAST< PACIFIC NW) if the congress passed new laws to allow it, but the democrats in Congress are NEVER going to allow any of these sites to be developed anyway. :)
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Re: Message Sent To Roger Hedgecock

Unread postby Plantagenet » Sun 20 Apr 2008, 20:48:04

Also, its very hard to estimate how much oil is in offshore oil fields until they are actually drilled. The geology can be very complex, and the fields can sometimes be subdivided into smaller basins, each of which must be drilled and tested individually.


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