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Something has changed recently

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby jedinvest » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 14:58:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('alokin', 'I') don't know, if it 's only me thinking like that, but the last two days something has changed in a way that I'm thinking we're doomed. I don't know what exactly it is, the world food crisis or $115 a barrel, the melting arctic ice, bancruptcy of airlines it's just everything how the doomers said.

Meanwhile Obama and Clinton fight each other instead of fighting for political concepts -disgusting!

How many time we have left? I guess not too much!


Alokin, I have been feeling the same way as of late. In fact, I had insomnia the other night (from too much allergy medication, as I have already accepted the consequences of peak oil and don't lose sleep over it anymore). So I tune into Public Radio on my i-Radio (while in bed) which is really Public Radio International in the middle of the night (much, much better than plain domestic PBS). Well, between all the food crises and proping up of banks and home foreclosures and climate reports, I feel that I haven't left PO website at all. Now that is SCARY!

My metaphor is that we are on a very long train (industrial society) that has been picking up speed until now that the front of this train is colliding with ecological and systemic reality. We hear of the commotion occurring far away, but it doesn't touch us yet. Some of us understand what is happening (but most people are not paying attention yet). That's what I feel and it is a very CREEPY feeling. '8O'
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby keehah » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 15:31:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('chakra', ' ')I feel like I went through all the stages and I'm back at denial again. I've been reading this site for years now, and things seemed pretty hopeless even 3 years ago, but here we are, business as usual.


"Eddying out"

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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby Fiddlerdave » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 15:32:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('chakra', 'I') seem to be in the opposite boat. I feel like I went through all the stages and I'm back at denial again. I've been reading this site for years now, and things seemed pretty hopeless even 3 years ago, but here we are, business as usual.

You think things are falling apart and then the markets rally and everyone is smiling again for a few weeks or months. It seems no matter how many bad things are happening people make adjustments and continue on the same coarse. It seems like in the media there isn't any crisis but just small problems that just require some policy changes and everything will be fine.

The local economy where I am is better then it's been in 25 years, and the housing market here is on fire and still rising.

I'm pessimistic still, and would be a doomer in many peoples eyes, but I'm more optimistic about the future then I've been in years even with the historically high commodity prices.
SOME "People make adjustments and continue on the same course". Others run out of all options with each uptick in costs, and lose their medical, end up homeless, and all the other fun things that mean the American Dream in the New Economy is over for them permanently. The shadow hasn't reached your neighborhood yet, and maybe it never will, although you may want to keep in mind your own distance to fall will be much farther if whatever holds you there cracks under the strain of $115/bbl oil. Companies are doing what I call "Evaporate", simply gone overnight from a position of apparent strength to nothing, at an ever increasing rate. The stunned look in these people's eyes should be a reminder for everyone of the unpredictability of the economic collapse we are living. Soon, municipalities and states will be joining that parade, and the terror will be palpable.

I want to throw up at the MSM articles about couples who are losing their "dream of retiring at 55" as examples of our bad economy. Really, it seems a person has to earn at least $80,000 a year to even exist as far as public perception goes. Looking at single parents with 3 kids living on $45 k is just verboten.

Jedinvest is right with this analogy, except the attendants are turning up the music, and handing out blindfolds and "good news" pamplets to the rear cars. We are herd animals, and it is difficult to be truly concerned if your nearest leader is calm. $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')y metaphor is that we are on a very long train (industrial society) that has been picking up speed until now that the front of this train is colliding with ecological and systemic reality.
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby Ibon » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 15:37:10

Is Alokin's intuitive sense part of his personal dealing with the truth of peak oil or is he/she really tuning into the collective? I am guessing it is the latter or a maybe a combination of both.

We live in very interesting times. It requires a big picture holistic insight to understand peak oil and all the ramifications. Some of us were early pioneers in getting this years ago.

What I think has changed recently is that concrete events are leaving the arena of future risk and becoming in your face here and now reality events. When this is understood by the collective as it is starting to now this becomes a very powerful point in the culture at large where the stuck inertia can move forward.

This goes hand in hand with the unfolding hardships whether it is the global food crisis, housing market collapse or rapid increase in fuel prices etc.

Volatility will increase in our society and culture at large as disruptions increase but the wonderful part of this is that the collective can begin to lower the shields of denial.

This is happening right here and now. What a wonderful evolution from the past years of only speculating on this. TO see it before our eyes unfolding holds great promise for change.
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby vision-master » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 15:39:46

Sometime I feel like a street preacher.

I'm sounding the alarm bells to whoever I meet. Look em straight in the eyes tho when talking. :razz:
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby threadbear » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 16:20:57

About 3 years ago, I mentioned to a good friend that I was concerned with the unwinding of the derivatives market. She looked at me like I had a third eye. Funny, now I'm no longer "fear based", in her mind. I had to endure years of her criticism, on that score.

In june of 2006, we had a fellow over for dinner, a top economist who has worked directly under several heads of state. He's a very cosmopolitan guy with several phd's. I brought up the potential for economic meltdown, and he totally pooh poohed the idea, like I was a complete nutter. Now he won't look me in the eyes. A little embarrassed? I think so. It's all on-line. It's no mystery and nobody has to be a genius to know/feel which way the wind's blowing.

The most educated people often just get it wrong, until it's upon them.
This is the scary part, to me. You really can't trust the judgement of almost anyone in your local sphere, until it's almost too late to make significant preps. Pretty sad.

Anyway, about original poster's point. Something has changed recently for me, and it has to do with the food riots. This seriously freaks me out. It's just so darned apocalyptic in nature. There have always been localized famines, and they have been getting worse, because of climate change. But to have wheat doubling and rice tripling in price, causing across the board difficulties getting affordable food? That just gives me the shivers.
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby dorlomin » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 16:28:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'S')ometime I feel like a street preacher.
Perhaps kevincarter feels a bit like a Manic Street Preacher....
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby JoeW » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 16:31:59

alokin, it isn't just you. i have been feeling it also. things are starting to happen fast now.

if this whole thing unravels too quickly, i cannot predict the outcome for myself and my interests. this pains me greatly. although i have been peak-aware since around 1995 [the internet is a great thing], i have done very little to prepare for it. i have avoided buying an suv or a mcmansion.

but am i ready for this? not remotely. someone decided the other day they were going to plant a garden and i said, 'good idea. i'll till the soil.' as i ran the tiller yesterday, i thought to myself, 'it's not enough'.

i have mostly squandered thirteen years of preparation time. i doubt i have the time or resources to adequately prepare, if one can ever be prepared for what may come.

good luck and God bless the good people at peakoil.com.
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby threadbear » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 16:36:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JoeW', 'a')lokin, it isn't just you. i have been feeling it also. things are starting to happen fast now.

if this whole thing unravels too quickly, i cannot predict the outcome for myself and my interests. this pains me greatly. although i have been peak-aware since around 1995 [the internet is a great thing], i have done very little to prepare for it. i have avoided buying an suv or a mcmansion.

but am i ready for this? not remotely. someone decided the other day they were going to plant a garden and i said, 'good idea. i'll till the soil.' as i ran the tiller yesterday, i thought to myself, 'it's not enough'.

i have mostly squandered thirteen years of preparation time. i doubt i have the time or resources to adequately prepare, if one can ever be prepared for what may come.

good luck and God bless the good people at peakoil.com.


Joe, Do you mind if I inquire as to your location and the preps that you have managed up to this point?
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby americandream » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 17:23:42

I've been waiting for the demise of capitalism, hoping I suppose that I might outlive it.

As a Marxist, it is self evident that a system based around the wasteful use of common resources is doomed to regress us back to a brutal age in due course due to depletion.

However, given the current corporate acculturated climate, I suspect that the slide out of civilisation will be protracted but the drop into barbarism will be swift and brutal.
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby bodigami » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 17:34:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('steam_cannon', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newfie', '
')7 Acceptance and Hope
I'm not angry, I'm not depressed. But I do accept things are how they
are. And I hope to eat my Popcorn of Doom ™ as I enjoy the show.

[smilie=new_popcornsmiley.gif]


I concur, but I prefer nuts :)
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby Pops » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 17:39:10

Ya know, I'm thinking all the jokers should go off and joke on the Open forum and all those who what to analyze should continue but everyone feeling such feelings should go off to PFTF and start doing something aside from guessing when they should.

Just me though...
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby threadbear » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 18:59:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', 'Y')a know, I'm thinking all the jokers should go off and joke on the Open forum and all those who what to analyze should continue but everyone feeling such feelings should go off to PFTF and start doing something aside from guessing when they should.

Just me though...


I started a vegetable garden a couple of weeks ago, with a friend. So there, you old grump! Won't have this lazy paranoid to kick around anymore. :lol: :lol:
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby TheDude » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 19:08:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KingDavid', '.')..not the f***ing eagles man....
This is actually the dudes line, but since he's not here...


"We've been frantically trying to reach you, Dude."

Image

" DUDE
No, man, nothing is fucked here--

LEBOWSKI
NOTHING IS FUCKED! THE GODDAMN PLANE
HAS CRASHED INTO THE MOUNTAIN!"
Cogito, ergo non satis bibivi
And let me tell you something: I dig your work.
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby Pops » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 20:20:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'S')o there, you old grump! Won't have this lazy paranoid to kick around anymore. :lol: :lol:

About time you Slacker!


:)
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby KingDavid » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 20:32:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KingDavid', '.')..not the f***ing eagles man....
This is actually the dudes line, but since he's not here...


"We've been frantically trying to reach you, Dude."

Image

" DUDE
No, man, nothing is fucked here--

LEBOWSKI
NOTHING IS FUCKED! THE GODDAMN PLANE
HAS CRASHED INTO THE MOUNTAIN!"


Hihihi, it's one of my favorite movies. Fargo, millers crossing are also brilliant. But after the dude it went downhill with the coen bros. :(
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby patience » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 21:49:39

Alokin,
I feel the change in people around me. The crazy, unfounded US optimism is gone. Even those most in denial up to now are looking worried. I agree that it is because the mainstream is "getting it", along with the constant stream of bad news. If enough people understand soon enough, it will help by starting to change behaviors. The poor here are starting to think now, instead of letting the TV ads think for them.

But, as others have said, it is too little, too late.
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby alokin » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 21:53:08

So, there are others who have the same impression. We might be right we might be wrong about the time scale, not about the fact.

Here in Australia people do not talk about politics. I try to make remarks like:expect the food prices to go up very much. But I definitively should tell them: "your husband is mechanic - send him to learn something else"
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby Newfie » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 22:30:59

Hey Pops,

I ordered about 30 fruit and nut trees for my property. Gonna go plant them next month.

That count?

The exercise should help my depression.
Last edited by Newfie on Thu 17 Apr 2008, 22:43:43, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Something has changed recently

Unread postby threadbear » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 22:36:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pops', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'S')o there, you old grump! Won't have this lazy paranoid to kick around anymore. :lol: :lol:

About time you Slacker!


:)


Just heard they're forecasting snow for Sunday. Great timing!
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