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$115.00 Oil

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$115.00 Oil

Unread postby jasonraymondson » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 17:26:19

Who wants to place bets on how long until $125? $150.00?
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 17:49:18

$125 on April 29th +/- a day

$150 by June 1st

6,666,666,666 people on May 10th
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby jasonraymondson » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 17:59:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', '$')125 on April 29th +/- a day $150 by June 1st 6,666,666,666 people on May 10th

Interesting. I was thinking (earliest) around July for $150.00. Though, right now there are certain people predicting a doubling curve of 18 months for oil. 100 - 200 - 400 - 800
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 18:04:38

The rate of increase has been pretty steady for weeks. I just projected this steady rise out. I'd put more stock in the 125 figure than the 150 though. These are crazy times and its's hard to tell. Oh, the 6,666,666,666 comes from a Drudge link.
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby jasonraymondson » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 18:09:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', 'T')he rate of increase has been pretty steady for weeks. I just projected this steady rise out. I'd put more stock in the 125 figure than the 150 though. These are crazy times and its's hard to tell. Oh, the 6,666,666,666 comes from a Drudge link.

That figure is pretty funny, my first day of finals starts that day. I still can't believe I have a final on saturday
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby auscanman » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 18:14:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', '
')
6,666,666,666 people on May 10th


It will take a hell of a lot longer to reach 7 billion than is projected with the food shortages just getting started now. I think we may never even reach that figure.
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby jasonraymondson » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 18:17:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', '6'),666,666,666 people on May 10th
It will take a hell of a lot longer to reach 7 billion than is projected with the food shortages just getting started now. I think we may never even reach that figure.

You would be suprised the ingenuity of the people Expletive deletedthemselves over further.
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 18:44:38

Adult content text deleted
The whole of human history is a refutation by experiment of the concept of "moral world order". - Friedrich Nietzsche
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby hironegro » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 20:04:15

We procreate as means pass on our genes.
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby bodigami » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 22:01:20

indeed, but 7 billion at 2012 may be Peak Population... 7 333 000 000 at most. any bets on what and when will be the number of Peak Population?
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby Narz » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 22:53:36

$125 by June. $150 by late winter 2009.
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby auscanman » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 22:57:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('zensui', 'i')ndeed, but 7 billion at 2012 may be Peak Population... 7 333 000 000 at most. any bets on what and when will be the number of Peak Population?

Early 2010- 6.8 billion.
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby jasonraymondson » Wed 16 Apr 2008, 23:33:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', 'E')arly 2010- 6.8 billion.

I hope your right, but I doubt it
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby PenultimateManStanding » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 01:40:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Narz', '$')125 by June. $150 by late winter 2009.
Then these current rises will have to slow down. It's gone up 5 or 6 bucks a week for three straight weeks. If anything the rate of increase is accelerating.
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby Zardoz » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 03:22:26

Malaysian Tapis crude's spot price at the moment is $122.38. We may all be shocked at how soon we see Nymex's price hitting highs we thought were way off in the future.
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby Gandalf_the_White » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 03:33:04

$300 per barrel by Sept 1, 2008. Hey, if this is about bidding high enough I'm not playin'. I've seen those Southeby's auctions. You know you just get to were the quaint little english guy is saying 'twice...sssss' and then someone raises it on you.

Forget that. I'm gettin' me some.

$500 per barrel by October 1, 2008
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby Pretorian » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 03:37:32

5 billion earthlings dead by .. ??
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 03:38:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', '
')
6,666,666,666 people on May 10th


It will take a hell of a lot longer to reach 7 billion than is projected with the food shortages just getting started now. I think we may never even reach that figure.

At some point I had a very heated argument with Monte about that.

My claim is that human population would never exceed 7.5 billion because dieoff will set in before that.

Monte was arguing that we will reach 9.0 billion at least, because demographers say so.
My counterarguments were that demographers are living in VR world producing useless computer models not corresponding to physical reality.
I think, he later accepted that we may not go above 8.5 billion if lucky enough (that was base on study of yet another set of demographers).

Emerging food crisis may well vindicate my position of no more then 7.5 billions max.
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby Gandalf_the_White » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 03:42:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('auscanman', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PenultimateManStanding', '
')
6,666,666,666 people on May 10th


It will take a hell of a lot longer to reach 7 billion than is projected with the food shortages just getting started now. I think we may never even reach that figure.

At some point I had a very heated argument with Monte about that.

My claim is that human population would never exceed 7.5 billion because dieoff will set in before that.

Monte was arguing that we will reach 9.0 billion at least, because demographers say so.
My counterarguments were that demographers are living in VR world producing useless computer models not corresponding to physical reality.
I think, he later accepted that we may not go above 8.5 billion if lucky enough (that was base on study of yet another set of demographers).

Emerging food crisis may well vindicate my position of no more then 7.5 billions max.


I think we are at or will very shortly reach peak population. I expect there to be left fewer than 2/3*3/4 = 1/4 of the current world population, or there abouts, by 2020 give or take a couple decades.
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Re: $115.00 Oil

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Thu 17 Apr 2008, 03:58:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gandalf_the_White', '
')I think we are at or will very shortly reach peak population. I expect there to be left fewer than 2/3*3/4 = 1/4 of the current world population, or there abouts, by 2020 give or take a couple decades.

You meant 2050? :)
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