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Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby xarkz » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 12:58:41

diesel is cheaper in many countries in europe. Is it subsidized there?
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby Zardoz » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 14:19:25

Diesel: The truck stops here

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he kid who delivers your pizza may be charging you an extra buck for gas, but for the guy that trucked the tomatoes, hauled the dough or milked the cows, passing along the fuel increase isn't as easy as pie.

From truckers and farmers to loggers, construction workers and fishermen, skyrocketing diesel prices are pushing what many consider the backbone of the American economy right up to the breaking point.

"I'm in debt," says Jim Gossett, an owner/operator truck driver with a wife and daughter in Chapel Hill, N.C. "Do I turn in all my equipment, potentially lose my home?" For the last nine years Gossett has driven a truck. For the last few he's been running a specialized carrier, delivering boats to marinas and dealers across the country.

He says his profit margin used to be around 25%. But with the near-tripling of diesel prices over the last few years, he now says that has been cut to 5%. He says cutthroat competition in the industry means he's unable to pass along the increased cost.
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby Waterthrush » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 19:49:20

Do you think it's possible that producers are passing along higher producer prices on diesel and not on unleaded gasoline? I know the two products are different, but if oil companies were desperate to keep the lid on public outrage over fuel costs (and the resulting possibilities of windfall profits taxes, regulation, and liberal progressive government, might they just jack up the price of diesel to balance the budgets?

Let me know if this is an impossibility. I'm just trying to figure out what is going on.
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby DantesPeak » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 20:57:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Waterthrush', 'D')o you think it's possible that producers are passing along higher producer prices on diesel and not on unleaded gasoline? I know the two products are different, but if oil companies were desperate to keep the lid on public outrage over fuel costs (and the resulting possibilities of windfall profits taxes, regulation, and liberal progressive government, might they just jack up the price of diesel to balance the budgets?
Let me know if this is an impossibility. I'm just trying to figure out what is going on.

I am not an expert on refinery operations but from what I've read here on how a barrel of oil is cracked into components, such as diesel and gasoline, output can not be varied very much once the refinery is set up to operate in a certain way (some adjustments can be made during maintenance operations).

Presently diesel is in short supply around the world, and since diesel is largely a free market worldwide, the US price pretty closely reflects the world price (if taxes were ignored).

Since gasoline is not in short supply, the price of gasoline may actually reflect the minimum price the refiners can sell it for. So no I don't believe that refiners have much control over the price once it's produced. However refiners could, and are, choosing to run refineries at reduced rates if their profit overall margin per barrel is low.
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby DantesPeak » Thu 27 Mar 2008, 21:09:39

Note that South Korea has halted exports of gas oil (similar to diesel) and gasoline. I am not sure how much SK actually sends to the US, if anything, but it does mean that the US has to compete for a more limited supply of diesel due to many problems with supplies around the world.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')-Oil declares force majeure after outage-sources

SEOUL, March 26 (Reuters) - South Korean refiner S-Oil (010950.KS: Quote, Profile, Research) has declared force majeure on April-loading oil products including gas oil and gasoline due to an outage earlier this week, two trading sources said on Wednesday.

Whether jet fuel supplies will be disrupted was not immediately confirmed as traders had different information. "Gas oil and gasoline supplies will be delayed for sure, but S-Oil is saying that it has some stocks left for jet fuel," said a trader who buys products from the refiner.

But another jet fuel buyer in Asia said S-Oil had notified supply disruptions earlier in the day.

Reuters
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby shortonoil » Fri 28 Mar 2008, 12:59:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', ']')Note that South Korea has halted exports of gas oil (similar to diesel) and gasoline.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_code('', ' Yr Gas$ Crude$ Crude$ Ratio ........ /gal /b /gal
1993 1.071 16.80 0.400 0.373
1994 1.078 12.40 0.295 0.274
1995 1.158 16.63 0.396 0.342
1996 1.269 18.20 0.433 0.341
1997 1.244 22.98 0.547 0.440
1998 1.072 15.50 0.369 0.344
1999 1.170 10.03 0.239 0.204
2000 1.523 24.78 0.590 0.387
2001 1.460 20.30 0.483 0.331
2002 1.386 17.68 0.421 0.304
2003 1.603 27.39 0.652 0.407
2004 1.895 27.08 0.645 0.340
2005 2.314 31.86 0.759 0.328 0.340
2006 2.618 60.85 1.449 0.553
2007 2.843 68.41 1.629 0.573
Average crude cost/gal 0.37')
data - EIA

Using the historical ratio of crude costs to gasoline, 34%, oil at $105/barrel would now put gasoline at $7.35/gal. Someone is eating a whole lot of losses.
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby gnm » Fri 28 Mar 2008, 13:03:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', 'U')sing the historical ratio of crude costs to gasoline, 34%, oil at $105/barrel would now put gasoline at $7.35/gal. Someone is eating a whole lot of losses.

Brilliant! Succinct. Thanks for that chart. I have been wondering for quite a while now who is eating that and why. Are the refiners being magnanimous? Did they just wake up and say, Hey, these prices are going to be hard on the people, lets reduce our margins to barely above operating costs....
:evil:

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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby frankthetank » Fri 28 Mar 2008, 13:08:50

I know people here disagree, but i think someone in the government or in the shadows is keeping the costs low... I still wonder if we'll see $4 before GWB is out of office. Remember his little response to that reporter mentioning the prospect of $4? He hadn't heard about that. Maybe they'll keep the price low/riots low until they are in Paraguay?
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby shortonoil » Fri 28 Mar 2008, 13:56:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', ']')Brilliant! Succinct. Thanks for that chart. I have been wondering for quite a while now who is eating that and why. Are the refiners being magnanimous? Did they just wake up and say, Hey, these prices are going to be hard on the people, lets reduce our margins to barely above operating costs....

Well, where are the increased costs being made up. Ratios couldn’t have changed that much in 3 years, it is the same infrastructure, and profits were never enough in the industry to make up that kind of difference. Where is the money going, or rather, coming from?

The point is, that South Korea is shutting off gasoline exports because they aren’t making any money by refining gasoline and diesel. I seriously doubt that anyone is, and that is probably why utilization is now at an all time low.
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby DantesPeak » Fri 28 Mar 2008, 19:05:06

Guess who is making up for the shortall caused by South Korea?

Yes the US. While US supplies of diesel run down to low levels and truckers complain about high diesel prices and plan protests, diesel exports have increased. While I am not an expert on this, usually the US does not export much diesel.

Per the Wall Street Journal, diesel prices are up 8 cents/gallon today and 126 cents/gallon over the last year.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')I heard two, maybe three, cargoes done within the past 48 hours," said one Gulf Coast distillate trader.
Other sources said the cargoes were said to have been sold by Valero, and were destined for Chile and possibly Mexico who was short due force majeure due of South Korean barrels.

Diesels flat to strong on cargoes Fri Mar 28, 2008 2:42pm EDT
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby whereagles » Sat 29 Mar 2008, 09:56:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('xarkz', 'd')iesel is cheaper in many countries in europe. Is it subsidized there?

Usually it's due to less tax on it. It's also low sulphur, so it's used on private vehicles, some of which get 50 mpg.
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby whereagles » Sat 29 Mar 2008, 10:00:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')I am not an expert on refinery operations but from what I've read here on how a barrel of oil is cracked into components, such as diesel and gasoline, output can not be varied very much once the refinery is set up to operate in a certain way (some adjustments can be made during maintenance operations).

I think you can dieselize gasoline and kerosene into diesel fuel, but that's a bit of an expensive technique.
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby Tanada » Sat 29 Mar 2008, 14:59:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('whereagles', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')I am not an expert on refinery operations but from what I've read here on how a barrel of oil is cracked into components, such as diesel and gasoline, output can not be varied very much once the refinery is set up to operate in a certain way (some adjustments can be made during maintenance operations).
I think you can dieselize gasoline and kerosene into diesel fuel, but that's a bit of an expensive technique.

Kerosene already IS diesel fuel, #1 to be specific.

How the heck do you make Gasoline diesel engine compatible, mix it 50:50 with motor oil?
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To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby whereagles » Sat 29 Mar 2008, 20:03:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tanada', '1'). Kerosene already IS diesel fuel, #1 to be specific. 2. How the heck do you make Gasoline diesel engine compatible, mix it 50:50 with motor oil?

1. Well, it's just a matter of definition. I'm used to 3-7 carbons = gasoline, 8-12 = kerosene, 13+ = diesel. This may vary.

2. No, you fuse small chain hydrocarbons into bigger ones. I.e. lump together 3 molecules of gasoline to make 1 of diesel. How is this done? I dunno, I just heard a guy from the local NOC saying they're thinking of doing it to get around diesel shortages. Maybe they heat up and pressurize the gasoline?
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby frankthetank » Sat 29 Mar 2008, 20:58:19

If this in any indicator, they still want an arm + leg for a TDI Jetta on craigslist when i see them from time to time. However, i have seen a LOT of diesel trucks for sale lately around here. I'd still love a TDI Jetta...
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby Gerben » Sun 30 Mar 2008, 01:36:05

The largest trucking company in the Netherlands (one of the largest also in Europe) is switching from diesel to LNG. Also a lot of city distribution companies are now experimenting with CNG. 1 company I know bought a couple of diesel/CNG dual fuel trucks. Also lots of public transport is switching to CNG. We will adapt.

I sometimes add a few bottles of vegetable oil to my tank. Not sure if my next car will be a diesel again though. I don't drive as much as I used to.
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby Pholostan » Sun 30 Mar 2008, 22:32:11

Ethanol Powered Diesel Car

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Technical facts
Saab 9-3 with an original Saab diesel engine, where combustion chamber, fuel system and engine software have been modified.

- Max power 195 h.p., torque 410 Nm

- Low fuel consumption, road tests show approx. 5 lit/100 km

- 95 % less fossil CO2, minimal dangerous hydrocarbons and nitric oxide exhaust emission and basically complete elimination of particle emission.


What do you guys think? I'm impressed with the low emissions and the elimination of the dangeorus particles. Of course, it is a merketing hyped text, but what I do know about E95 in diesels it doesn't sound completely off the chart.
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Sun 30 Mar 2008, 23:14:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', 'I')f this in any indicator, they still want an arm + leg for a TDI Jetta on craigslist when i see them from time to time. However, i have seen a LOT of diesel trucks for sale lately around here. I'd still love a TDI Jetta...


I've got a TDI Golf and it is great. Mine has had some electrical problems but nothing that could not either be worked around or fixed. 240,000 miles and it has only left me walking once (and that was my fault).
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby wisconsin_cur » Sun 30 Mar 2008, 23:17:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Pholostan', '[')url=http://www.e95.eu/]Ethanol Powered Diesel Car[/url]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Technical facts
Saab 9-3 with an original Saab diesel engine, where combustion chamber, fuel system and engine software have been modified.

- Max power 195 h.p., torque 410 Nm

- Low fuel consumption, road tests show approx. 5 lit/100 km

- 95 % less fossil CO2, minimal dangerous hydrocarbons and nitric oxide exhaust emission and basically complete elimination of particle emission.


I would have to think that those would be some pretty significant mods to get that to work... but I'm the first to confess that engines are not my forte.

What do you guys think? I'm impressed with the low emissions and the elimination of the dangeorus particles. Of course, it is a merketing hyped text, but what I do know about E95 in diesels it doesn't sound completely off the chart.
http://www.thenewfederalistpapers.com
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Re: Record Diesel engine fuels price thread.

Unread postby Smudger » Mon 31 Mar 2008, 06:32:01

I certainly recommend the VW Polo Bluemotion. I have now had for three months and no complaints. It's not hitting the 70 mpg urban cycle but I do live on top of a hill. It has however given 40 mpg even when driving quite hard. its nippy too.
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