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THE "UG99" Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby nerdseeksblonde » Sun 20 Jan 2008, 21:04:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', ''')Round-up ready' just means it can be planted in acreage previously cleared with Round-up. If Monsanto knew how to genetically modify wheat to resist this, they would. It WOULD be worth big money. How to do it IS the billion dollar question. Currently, all genes known to impart rust resistance don't work against this stuff.



You may have it confused with soybean rust as this is where it was first observed and they may have subsequently tested it against other pathogens and plants. There were some claims that Roundup had incidental activity against that. It would be quite interesting if it had broader anti-pathogen utility as it isn't designed for that. Obviously, Roundup would have no value if it kills the plant it is trying to protect so essentially roundup-ready means that it is able to benefit from disease protection due to Roundup.




Disclosure, I own related stocks.
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby Cid_Yama » Mon 21 Jan 2008, 01:31:41

Actually it was Dinopello that was bringing up Round-up. I was trying to explain it was the wheat's lack of resistance to <b>Ug99</b> that was the problem.

<i>roundup-ready means that it is able to benefit from disease protection due to Roundup.</i>

Misleading if not outright untrue. Round-up kills weeds in competition with crops and does not impart 'disease resistance'.
The fact that it might act as a fungicide as well as an herbicide does not impart disease resistance.

Currently all genes known to impart <b>Wheat Rust</b> resistance don't work against this stuff. <b>NO CONFUSION WHATSOEVER</b>

I <b>don't</b> own any related stocks
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby dinopello » Mon 21 Jan 2008, 04:44:51

Sorry if I started a confusing side bar. I don't own related stock and don't like the idea of drowning crops in fungacide, and as pointed out this may not be possible large scale anyway.
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby nerdseeksblonde » Mon 21 Jan 2008, 09:50:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dinopello', 'S')orry if I started a confusing side bar. I don't own related stock and don't like the idea of drowning crops in fungacide, and as pointed out this may not be possible large scale anyway.


This discussion is quite relevant as there aren't any good approaches, afaik, to control Ug99.

Besides things like keeping plants and pathogen separated,
there are basically two approaches to controlling disease in plants- control the pathogen or modify the plant. "Roundup-ready" is a modification to the plant that allows it to effectively benefit from a roundup application that arguably kills or slows the pathogen.


I hadn't looked at the details lately and tried to post from memory. But, from what I could find, the enzyme that Roundup attacks
is shared by fungi so it is at least possible it helps. It is
worth noting that roundup-ready weeds are quite
common now and you may expect the same for pathogens.

Personally, I'm not sure if globalization is compatible with organic agriculture. That is, rapid human and ag product transporation will make emerging diseases spread more quickly than in the past and it isn't clear "nature" can breed resistance fast enough.
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby yesplease » Mon 18 Feb 2008, 19:17:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'I')f Monsanto knew how to genetically modify wheat to resist this, they would. It WOULD be worth big money. How to do it IS the billion dollar question.

<tinfoil hat>
I wouldn't be surprised if they already knew and are hoping it will be worth big money. In fact, how awesome would engineering this be as a response to those uppity farmers who banded together and snubbed their nose at buying a set of GE seeds every year? Is there any way to show that something, such as Ug99, is or isn't GE?
</tinfoil hat>
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby steam_cannon » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 00:25:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'I')f Monsanto knew how to genetically modify wheat to resist this, they would. It WOULD be worth big money. How to do it IS the billion dollar question.

<tinfoil hat>
I wouldn't be surprised if they already knew and are hoping it will be worth big money. In fact, how awesome would engineering this be as a response to those uppity farmers who banded together and snubbed their nose at buying a set of GE seeds every year? Is there any way to show that something, such as Ug99, is or isn't GE?
</tinfoil hat>
Well, honestly weaponised wheat rust type stuff has been engineered
before by the soviets as an option for war, probably by us too... And
natural selection would probably be used to find the most effective
variety instead of trying to insert genes, so if it was "Engineered"
there would probably be no way to know. Well unless you find
Monsanto has taken out a patent on it! Hahaha :lol:

Seriously though, I don't think this is a conspiracy or anything like that...
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby yesplease » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 01:42:51

But imagine the profit! And it's plausibly deniable if it's anything. ;)
Not to say it is or isn't the case, just that if I were trying to make lotsa cash, and had the resources available to me as well as assurance it would be practically impossible, or at the very least quite hard, to catch me, I might be tempted.
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby Cid_Yama » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 01:49:32

The same would hold true if you were taking action to reduce the population of the the planet by a significant number in the near future, to prevent it's ultimate destruction. Notice Africa, India and China are most immediately threatened. Of course, a resistant strain will miraculously appear in time to save North America.
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby yesplease » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 01:54:24

I think the planet will be o.k. no matter what we do. :-D

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e're so self-important. So self-important. Everybody's going to save something now. "Save the trees, save the bees, save the whales, save those snails." And the greatest arrogance of all: save the planet. What? Are these fucking people kidding me? Save the planet, we don't even know how to take care of ourselves yet. We haven't learned how to care for one another, we're gonna save the fucking planet?
[...]
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby steam_cannon » Wed 27 Feb 2008, 01:56:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cid_Yama', 'T')he same would hold true if you were taking action to reduce the population of the the planet by a significant number in the near future, to prevent it's ultimate destruction. Notice Africa, India and China are most immediately threatened. Of course, a resistant strain will miraculously appear in time to save North America.
I admit, that would make a great conspiracy theory... :roll:
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby coonskincapp » Thu 06 Mar 2008, 14:57:08

This rust is planned and designed.
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby Cid_Yama » Thu 06 Mar 2008, 16:10:14

<b>Ug99 strikes Iran, countries east on High Alert</b>

A new and virulent wheat fungus, previously found in East Africa and Yemen, has moved to major wheat growing areas in Iran, FAO reported today. The fungus is capable of wreaking havoc to wheat production by destroying entire fields.

Countries east of Iran, like Afghanistan, India, Pakistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, all major wheat producers, are most threatened by the fungus and should be on high alert, FAO said.

link
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby Cid_Yama » Thu 06 Mar 2008, 16:40:47

<b>Indian wheat producers warned about deadly fungus</b>

The United Nations has warned wheat producing countries in Asia, including India and Pakistan, against the possibility of a new dangerous fungus which has the ability of destroying entire crop fields.

Up to 80 per cent of all Asian and African varieties are susceptible to the fungus which has been detected in Iran.

"The fungus is spreading rapidly and could seriously lower wheat production in countries at direct risk," said Shivaji Pandey, Director of FAO's Plant Production and Protection Division.

link

With current global wheat shortages, additional wheat research has become an even greater priority.

National Wheat Improvement Committee members converge on Washington, D.C. next week to discuss the need for increased federal appropriations for emerging cereal diseases.

Members of the NAWG Research and Technology Committee passed the following resolutions during their meeting February 28 at the Commodity Classic in Nashville, Tenn.

"NAWG recognizes Ug99 as a major threat to national and global wheat production and strongly supports additional funding for rust research and resistant variety development."

link
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby Cid_Yama » Sat 08 Mar 2008, 01:25:17

"This disease could be devastating because right now with no resistance, it virtually, it potentially could wipe out the entire US wheat crop. It could potentially wipe out the world wheat crop, but it certainly could wipe out the US wheat crop." Wogsland says currently there are no varities of wheat that are resistant to Ug99 in the United States.

Research shows that if Ug99 and other stem rust diseases did enter the US, wheat production losses could total over 1.4 billion bushels per year.

http://www.kxmb.com/getArticle.asp?s=rs ... eId=216697
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby Gandalf_the_White » Sat 08 Mar 2008, 02:37:44

"a quart of wheat for a days wages"

Not easy to calculate but probably about $500 per bushel.
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby eastbay » Sat 08 Mar 2008, 03:15:54

This sounds very bad. Add this to the ethanol disaster and we could witness tens of millions more starving. Is it as bad as it sounds? Anyone here up on the specifics?
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby Chesire » Sat 08 Mar 2008, 03:27:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gandalf_the_White', '"')a quart of wheat for a days wages"

Not easy to calculate but probably about $500 per bushel.


I am guessing you are a devil worshipper . Watch Spawn and pay attention to graveyard section . Where the evil clown says Why does God get all the good worshippers and we get all the fucking retards /hint he's talking about people like you.

37.4 iirc quarts of wheat in a bushel. Nother hint for you , you , you, victim of public education . There are 1 billion people that live on a dollar a day or less in the world there about 1.8 billon more that live on 2 dollars a day or less. So Einstein , well if you can use a calculator you are an Einstein in America these days it looks like. Do that math again and take a look at globe .
You can correctly identify a globe 3 times out of 5 right ? America is a section of one of the land masses . Can you guess which one ? If not ask mommy to help you out. Now spin the globe around . OOO look more land masses , its not important if you can identify them or not . Since you are not going to any of them any time soon if ever ,unless the chinese ass rape pirates kidnap you that is . Ok stay with me here Alfalfa other peoples live in those land mass areas and they do not make American wages .

Please post that you don't live in America. That your really Eurotrash that would make this even funnier than it already is :lol:
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby Cid_Yama » Sat 08 Mar 2008, 04:53:45

<i>This sounds very bad. Add this to the ethanol disaster and we could witness tens of millions more starving. Is it as bad as it sounds? Anyone here up on the specifics?</i>

Eastbay,

Look at the links on the first post.

Also, the most important quote in the last article, which I neglected to copy:

"It is only a pant leg away, It's only a tradewind away as to whether or not it gets to the United States. It is not whether or not it does. It is when it does."

Also, your figure is low. Try <b>billions</b>.

Lose 80% of worldwide wheat production and you've got your overshoot die back. It won't happen all at once. It will progress around the globe. Although, with planes, the spores could be transported on clothing anywhere overnight.
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby seahorse » Sat 08 Mar 2008, 11:37:54

I'm still confused by some of the articles:

(1) Where is wheat rust known to be? In which countries?

(2) Is there any data on when the rust was first confirmed to be in those countries and what effect it has had on overall grain production? Basically, what percentage of wheat has been lost to the rust in what span of time?

(3) How fast is wheat rust spreading in Asia?
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Re: World Wheat Supply Threatened - More Virulent Ug99 confi

Postby eastbay » Sat 08 Mar 2008, 12:44:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seahorse', 'I')'m still confused by some of the articles:

(1) Where is wheat rust known to be? In which countries?

(2) Is there any data on when the rust was first confirmed to be in those countries and what effect it has had on overall grain production? Basically, what percentage of wheat has been lost to the rust in what span of time?

(3) How fast is wheat rust spreading in Asia?


Me too. I was hoping someone could describe the threat in very specific terms, such as those pointed out by seahorse. After a quick web search I suspect it's not a large scale issue yet.
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