by yesplease » Mon 11 Feb 2008, 19:24:20
My bad about the ICE thing, I got mixed up. What I meant to say is the Aircar can run on liquid fuels as well...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JRP3', 'S')econdly you're trying to compare mass marketed ICE vehicles with small volume EV's. Mass produce Lithium batteries which will last the life of the vehicle and maybe beyond and your argument completely falls apart.
If we mass produce Lithium batteries supply starts becoming a problem at current prices, so any advantage from large format mass production would likely be wiped out due to supply issues. The only format I know of that wouldn't have this problem would be lead acid, and even then, we would need greater energy capacity than what we have now at reduced cost.
Lets assume we have the same glider, a small city car platform that used, on average, about 100Wh/mile. Like you and WisJim pointed out, compressed air is inefficient, and batteries are fairly efficient. Lets say batteries are five time more efficient than compressed air. Right now, at the extremes, lead acid batteries cost 7Wh/$, and will last around 800 cycles to 80% dod.[1]
With electricity at $.2/kWh, if the EV was 100% efficient, electricity costs would be $.002/mile. Given the 7Wh/$ price, 800 cycles at 80% dod, and 100Wh/mile range, the batteries would go 1 mile 800*.8=640 times, for $14. The cost over their lifetime is around $.0218/mile, and with electricity this is about $.022/mile. If the air car was five times less efficient and used five times more electricity to travel the same distance, it would cost $.01/mile.
Since the EV version will probably cost more as well, either electricity is gonna have to get really expensive, or batteries really cheap, or both to a lesser extent, for a BEV to be cheaper than a compressed air/liquid fuel vehicle.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'I')f it is so inefficient why is it being proposed to be developed en masse?