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The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

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The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby REDEYE » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 13:50:35

Have you noticed who's being blamed for the current economic Chernoble? Everyone. Everyone from the Fed, to Merrill Lynch to oil prices to ignorant, hapless mortgage-holders like us. But nobody seems to want to face up to the obvious villain: our beloved free market capitalism. It's a deeply flawed system that implodes regularly from its inherent imperfections. It is, to paraphrase Churchill, the worst system of all, except for all the others.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby mkwin » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 14:31:57

Recessions happen from time to time it's not the end of the world. The FED set rates too low in the last downturn and the regulators failed to regulate this CDO development. As Churchill pointed out, capitalism isn't perfect but it's the best we have.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby seldom_seen » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 14:50:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('REDEYE', 'B')ut nobody seems to want to face up to the obvious villain: our beloved free market capitalism.

I don't think you could be anymore wrong.

What we are seeing is far, very far from free market capitalism.

I think we are seeing precisely what Thomas Jefferson warned us about:

The central bank is an institution of the most deadly hostility existing against the Principles and form of our Constitution. I am an Enemy to all banks discounting bills or notes for anything but Coin. If the American People allow private banks to control the issuance of their currency, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them will deprive the People of all their Property until their Children will wake up homeless on the continent their Fathers conquered.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby REDEYE » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 15:18:12

Actually, I agree with all the above. My problem is with those who (like the many, strident voices of CNBC) will not tolerate ANY criticism of capitalism. And so when something like this happens, they search wildly for somebody (like poor, lost Ben Bernanke) to blame. Anyone or anything but the Divinely Inspired Free Market. It's willfull, stupid and trouble-making.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby seldom_seen » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 16:19:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('REDEYE', 'A')ctually, I agree with all the above. My problem is with those who (like the many, strident voices of CNBC) will not tolerate ANY criticism of capitalism. And so when something like this happens, they search wildly for somebody (like poor, lost Ben Bernanke) to blame. Anyone or anything but the Divinely Inspired Free Market. It's willfull, stupid and trouble-making.

I understand where you're coming from.

The best description I've heard for the system we live under is "Friendly Fascism."
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby aflurry » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 16:41:44

Ya, I am so sick of the Capitalism-as-Religion-Larry-Kudlow fanatics. I mean, my claw hammer is a great tool. Good for a lot of useful things. You don't see me worshiping the damn thing.

Besides, the whole idea of what constitutes a "free" market is so obfuscated as to be generally useless in serious conversation. Rarely is it used in any context except that the speaker is trying to convince your to give him more money.

Any time someone tries to sum up a complicated argument in two words, you can bet they are either 1. retarded, or 2. trying to pull a fast one on you.

one problem that has occurred is that people loaning money found they could make more just by collecting a signing fee, than by collecting the loan payments and accepting the default risk. So, as soon as they found a way to package those loans into attractive securities for other investors, they began selling them off along with the default risk, and just collect the signing fees. So what happened? Naturally, lending standards fell, which led to people flocking in to buy houses, which led to price inflation, which led to refinancing, and higher loan amounts, and an artificial and temporary suspension of risk and a positive feedback loop.

as long as prices were inflating, risk was underestimated by investors, ratings agencies, insurers, and loan originators, builders, etc. Not to mention everyone in that list was making a mint because they all charge fees for their services. So it was in no one's interest to check the problem.

how could this have been avoided? by making sure that risk stays attached to investment. i read some blurb in the paper about in initiative in california to only allow loans for people who can afford them, through regulation. here is an example of a bad idea - like banging in a nail with the flat side of a wrench. you may get the nail in but you will most likely bend it over and mash up your hand. In this case, intelligent application of free market forces is a better solution.

but here's an idea: require that loan originators retain the default risk (or some portion of it) for the loans they sign. some would say that this is anti-free market. i disagree. trading risk for reward is a core market principle. obfuscating it in a bubble and churning out fees risk-free is just graft.

regulation that would require alignment of interest through sharing of risk with all loan originators and re-packagers would have avoided the dropping of loan standards. a side effect would be a drastic reduction in financial "innovation" and alot of people would call you a communist. but they are full of shit. the free market must sit on a foundation of trust, fortified with regulation and transparency.

The term "free" in the phrase "free market" can mean alot of things. it doesn't have to mean crippling regulatory agencies. and it can mean outlawing certain innovative structures that ultimately amount to or encourage securities fraud.

Reaganite deregulation proponents who claim that the market needs no policing also cry that policing the streets is necessary for the freedom to walk down them safely. should we just go right up and ask the drug dealers how many police we should have on the streets?

When new financial tools arrive and drastically change the investment landscape, it may take an initial period of instability for people to understand the new risks associated with the new landscape. so maybe this is a temporary crisis. but the depression was temporary too. and that was founded on a crisis of confidence that arose from the same type of bonanza of graft. it's not like people didn't understand what was going on.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby mattduke » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 17:14:32

I'll never understand why the calamitous results of government manipulation of money are blamed on freedom.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby NeoLotus » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 17:17:17

I think the real problem is greed and the taking over of one's soul (humanity) to pursue profit at all cost.

I think Charles Dickens said it best in "A Christmas Carol" when he wrote:

`Business!' cried the Ghost, wringing its hands again. `Mankind was my business. The common welfare was my business; charity, mercy, forbearance, and benevolence, were, all, my business. The dealings of my trade were but a drop of water in the comprehensive ocean of my business!'

Unless people start understanding that no "ism" can make up for a lack of empathy or the need for cooperation as social beings we are doomed to annihilate ourselves for want of simple kindness and mutual aid in this thing called life.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby Concerned » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 17:51:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mattduke', 'I')'ll never understand why the calamitous results of government manipulation of money are blamed on freedom.


Clearly you are either an idiot or have no idea whatsoever what you are talking about.
"Once the game is over, the king and the pawn go back in the same box."
-Italian Proverb
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby americandream » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 18:23:22

Freedom to do what...follow one's natural instincts to maximise one's profits by all means possible! Be objective when considering a system. Ask yourself what YOU would do given the opportunity....and be HONEST.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby heroineworshipper » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 18:50:29

It's not a free market. Your government has total control over the value of money and free will. It is the natural human tendency to give ever more power to a few leaders which is now killing everyone off but executives.
People first, then things, then dollars.
There will be enslavement, cannibalism, & zombie invasions.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby mattduke » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 19:02:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Concerned', 'C')learly you are either an idiot or have no idea whatsoever what you are talking about.
The more you study, read, and learn, the crazier you seem to typical people.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby aflurry » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 20:30:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mattduke', 'I')'ll never understand why the calamitous results of government manipulation of money are blamed on freedom.
can you elaborate a little?
i understand how clumsy manipulation of interest rates may have exacerbated the credit bubble. but it still seems to me that it would not have had the same calamitous effect were it not for securities innovations that allowed the loans to be written by people who had no intention of accepting the default risk.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NeoLotus', 'A')re you referring to typical people like yourself who think selfishness is a proper value in a family or typical people like myself who teach children impulse control, taking turns, and sharing as the first step in civilized behavior and social maturity?
You can teach whatever you want, but still read the fine print before you sign.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby yeahbut » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 20:51:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('REDEYE', ' ')free market capitalism...is, to paraphrase Churchill, the worst system of all, except for all the others.
In the interests of accuracy, and possibly because I'm a pedantic pain in the arse, that quote actually refers to democracy, not the free market.

Incidentally, another, not quite so widely quoted remark of Churchill's re democracy is "the best argument against democracy is a five minute conversation with the average voter"...
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby mattduke » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 21:03:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('aflurry', 'c')an you elaborate a little?
About eight years ago I set out to understand *exactly* what the Fed does, so that I might be a better investor. What a deep rabbit hole that turned out to be. The so-called "business cycle" is caused by government inflation of the money supply in collusion with "private" banks and embodied in the Federal Reserve. As Peter Schiff put it, "the fed spiked the punchbowl, wall street just served it up." Friedrich Hayek won the Nobel prize for the work, but his work was really based on Ludwig von Mises' who deserves the credit (pun unintended!). Austrian economics is not taught in government schools. I'll leave you to discover why.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby mattduke » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 21:05:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')I do not understand this sqeamishness about the use of gas. I am strongly in favour of using poison gas against uncivilised tribes."


Churchill, in reference to the Kurds
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby NeoLotus » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 21:09:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('aflurry', 'Y')ou can teach whatever you want, but still read the fine print before you sign.
I agree.

On another note tho, this presupposes that the underwriter of the contract has any intention of honoring it. Our country is a signatory on many treaties but we have yet to fully honor any of them even when it is in our best interest to do so. Geneva Conventions anyone?
-We don't need an ownership society,
we need a 'give-a-shit' society!
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-Making judgments without intellectual justification is prejudice.
-We do not act rightly because we have virtue, we have virtue because we act rightly.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby aflurry » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 21:10:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mattduke', 'A')bout eight years ago I set out to understand *exactly* what the Fed does, so that I might be a better investor. --snip-- I'll leave you to discover why.
hmm. so the answer is no then?

well, i'll note the Hayek and Von Misis references for later reading. but damn i sure do hope i don't become a ron paul moonie after all this. i've tried to understand the fed paranoia people and i never get more than "rabbit hole" babble...
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby mattduke » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 21:11:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NeoLotus', 'A')re you referring to typical people like yourself who think selfishness is a proper value in a family or typical people like myself who teach children impulse control, taking turns, and sharing as the first step in civilized behavior and social maturity?
You lost me.
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Re: The Invisible Hand is At Your Throat

Postby mkwin » Wed 23 Jan 2008, 21:17:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mattduke', 'A')bout eight years ago I set out to understand *exactly* what the Fed does, so that I might be a better investor. --snip-- I'll leave you to discover why.
The business cycle is not soley caused by the government inflation of the money supply. There were booms and busts way back into the 18th century. Credit/money expantion interacts with asset prices/real estate and business activity to determine the shape of the business cycle. There are many so called economic experts who focus on one of the variables and say it is the sole cause of the boom/bust business cycle but they are simply wrong. You have a variety of interlocking varibles that have self reinforcing postive and negative feedbacks on one another. Credit and real estate are two very important variables but neither soley cause business cycles. The mistake is confusing causality with correlation.
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