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No bread on the shelves

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby steam_cannon » Fri 28 Dec 2007, 04:48:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', 'W')here are you people shopping? Whole Wheat bread at Food Lion was $1.29 a loaf today. That is much higher than it was in 2001 when it sold for $0.99, but it certainly is not the $3.75 RedStateGreen is paying.
You really are young LoneSnark, where to begin... The $3.75 bread is probably a whole grain wheat bread with real butter and less preservatives to drive kids in circles. And that kind of bread always costs a little bit more, but it wasn't so much more last year.

But hey, it seems you're not the only one who doesn't know how much prices have gone up...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')iuliani Clueless on Milk and Bread Prices (April 11, 2007)

Republican presidential candidate Rudy Giuliani hasn’t done a lot of grocery shopping lately — at least based on his answers about the cost of milk and bread. Campaigning in Alabama on Tuesday, the former New York City mayor portrayed himself as a fiscal conservative and an aggressive fighter of terrorism who has a lot in common with the Deep South state.

But when asked about more mundane matters — like the price of some basic staples — Giuliani had trouble with a reporter’s question. “A gallon of milk is probably about a $1.50, a loaf of bread about a $1.25, $1.30,” he said.

A check of the Web site for D’Agostino supermarket on Manhattan’s Upper East Side showed a gallon of milk priced at $4.19 and a loaf of white bread at $2.99 to $3.39. In Montgomery, Ala., a gallon of milk goes for about $3.39 and bread is about $2.
http://tinyurl.com/2qu75n
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby steam_cannon » Fri 28 Dec 2007, 05:26:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('IslandCrow', 'I')n the community where I live (only 800 - 900 people 'year round' including all the outer islands) there is a small bakery. The price of bread has been the same for the last couple of years (€1.30). This price undercuts the store bread by about 20%.

I was just talking to the baker a couple of minutes ago and he has no plans to raise the price, as at the current price level he is already making a good profit (ie earning substantially more than I am earning).

Realizing that not many people would want to work the hours the baker does, I find it interesting that a small scale business catering for the locality can profitably undercut the large firms with their long lines of delivery. This is one case where small scale localization is financially viable.

The one drawback is that the bakery closes if he wants a holiday!
That's interesting that your local bakery is doing well.

Small bakeries may have advantages over large distributors. I worked in a small bakery some time ago and it was interesting, by the end of the day there was maybe a few barrels of scrap. But for a large food store, losses from bread may be much higher. Also I worked at a large bread factory once, making all those perfect loaves means piles of loaves overdone, stuck to pans, misshapen... And this factory scrap is tossed in piles to be discarded, which adds to cost.

But for bread sold in local bakeries, well if a loaf is little bigger on one side it's just artistic. And if bread in a local bakery is made just in time, there are less costs like preservatives and less losses from bread getting old and not selling. So sure, small bakeries may have an advantage which will probably become more obvious as prices go up.

The best deal I've seen for bread is French bread made at a bakery in a store I shop at. It went up from $1 to $1.60 It goes stale fast but relatively, but it's still a good deal. :-D

----------------------------------------------------------------

A few more articles:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Wheat costs raise bread prices again
December 14, 2007

Ball Park hot dogs and its namesake frozen pies, is raising bread prices in North America for the second time since September to counter higher wheat costs.

"We increased prices by 5 percent in September and we are doing it again at this moment," Sara Lee Chief Financial Officer Theo de Kool said Wednesday. He declined to say how much Sara Lee is raising prices this time.
http://www.chicagotribune.com/business/ ... 0564.story


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Why is the price of bread important?
9 January 2007, 11:43 GMT
The price of bread could soon rise to £1 a loaf, bakers are warning. But why is the cost of bread so important?

...The public view bread as a general gauge for inflation...
http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/magazine/6240619.stm
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby Lanthanide » Fri 28 Dec 2007, 05:58:31

Here's a little info on the dairy side of things:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ew Zealand's Fonterra Cooperative Group, the world's largest dairy exporter, on Thursday raised to record level its payout to farmers for the 2008 fiscal year on the back of record dairy prices.

The New-Zealand based dairy giant will pay 6.90 New Zealand dollars (US$5.43; €3.69) for each kilogram (2.2 pounds) of milk solids for the current fiscal year ending May 31, 2008, saying an increase in milk supply had flowed through to higher sales volumes at higher prices.

That's an increase of NZ$0.50 (US$0.3935; €0.2675) on the NZ$6.40 (US$5.04; €3.42) per kilogram (2.2 pounds) of milk solids that Fonterra forecast in August that it would pay its nearly 11,000 farmers.

Fonterra Chairman Henry van der Heyden said higher sales volumes and a higher milk price had been offset somewhat by the higher New Zealand dollar.

The company also said it still expects the long-term outlook for dairy prices to be well above traditional averages.

Fonterra is the world's largest dairy exporter and the fifth-largest dairy company by sales, with annual revenues of NZ$14 billion (US$11 billion; €7.5 billion).

Fonterra sells 95 percent of its production abroad and accounts for seven percent of the New Zealand economy's annual gross domestic production.

Last month the cooperative said it is considering an initial public share offering that could be worth as much as 2.5 billion New Zealand dollars (US$1.9 billion; €1.3 billion).


NZ dairy payout


I've seen other articles saying that the average NZ diary farmer is going to be paid ~$690,000 due to the high milk prices. Pretty much in a lump sum - nice windfall. This is putting a lot of extra cash into our economy and adding inflation pressure.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby steam_cannon » Fri 28 Dec 2007, 15:24:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('article', 'F')onterra sells 95 percent of its production abroad and accounts for seven percent of the New Zealand economy's annual gross domestic production.
That's interesting, I guess as a major exporter of milk higher milk prices is doing New Zealand lots of good!

In New Zealand Prices aren't too bad or too good...
item price (nz$ - US$)
Apples 1kg 1.89 - 1.45 USD
Beer Local (12 pack 330ml) 17.95 - 13.81 USD
Big Mac Burger 4.45 - 3.42 USD
Bread (Sliced White 700g) 1.75 - 1.35 USD
Bus Fare (Adult) 3.10 - 2.39 USD
Butter (500g) 2.20 - 1.69 USD
Carrots 1kg 1.99 - 1.53 USD
CD (New Release) 35.00 - 26.93 USD
Cheese (500g) 5.79 - 4.45 USD
Chicken Drumsticks (1kg) 8.99 - 6.92 USD
Chocolate Block (150g) 3.45 - 2.65 USD
Coca Cola (1.5L) 2.00 - 1.54 USD
Coffee (Instant 100g) 3.99 - 3.07 USD
Ground Beef (Prime 1kg) 9.99 - 7.69 USD
Ice Cream (3 L) 3.70 - 2.84 USD
Milk (1 L) 1.80 - 1.38 USD
Milk (1 Gallon) 5.22 USD
Movie Theatre Pass (Adult) 14.00 - 10.77 USD
Newspaper 1.80 - 1.38 USD
Pasta (Spaghetti Dry) 1.85 - 1.42 USD
Petrol (1 L Unleaded) 1.55 - 1.19 USD
Sugar (1.5 kg) 2.19 - 1.68 USD
Taxi Fare (per km) 1.90 - 1.46 USD
Toilet Paper (4 pack) 3.30 - 2.54 USD
Toothbrush 2.99 - 2.30 USD

Some links from a NZ immigration page
http://www.nz-immigration.co.nz/cost-of ... enses.html
http://www.nz-immigration.co.nz/cost-of ... ation.html
http://www.nz-immigration.co.nz/cost-of ... ation.html
http://www.nz-immigration.co.nz/cost-of ... using.html
http://www.stats.govt.nz/populationclock.htm

---------------------------------------------------

Things are looking up...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Situation and outlook for New Zealand agriculture and forestry (August 2007)

Image

European Union
The supply of powders onto international markets from the European Union (EU) fell due to a switch in production from powders to cheese as a result of changes to the Common Agriculture Policy in 2003.

Australia
The rise in international dairy prices was reinforced by the drought in Australia, particularly in Victoria where 65 percent of Australian dairy production occurs. Australian production data from 1 July 2006 to 30 April 2007 show the cumulative loss at 4.3 percent, and full-year (to 30 June 2007) dairy production is estimated to be down 7 percent.

Argentina
Severe rainstorms in Argentina interrupted dairy production there.

United States
The expansion of ethanol production in the United States (US), through the increase in the price of feed corn, has limited the ability of dairy producers to respond to high international dairy prices. In the past, the US supply response has limited rising international dairy prices.

New Zealand
Over the forecast period, New Zealand dairy export prices, expressed in US dollars, are forecast to peak in the March and June quarters of 2008 as forward contracted sales are realised. Dairy Australia recently forecast a further 2 percent production fall due to flow-on effects from last year’s drought. Further falls in EU milk powder exports are likely, and export availability from the US could be constrained by higher grain costs.

In response to the current high dairy prices, increasing export supply will come from New Zealand and other producers such as Argentina, Uruguay, Brazil, and the Ukraine. Domestic production in developing countries will also respond to the current high international dairy prices.

Exports of skim milk powder out of the EU will continue to slowly fall because of a change in the manufacturing mix. Milk production quotas and constrained export subsidies place an effective ceiling on EU exports.

http://tinyurl.com/yuycnq
So perhaps; low world grain stocks (overpopulation), unusual weather around the world (climate change) and ethanol production in the US (due to peak oil) is driving milk prices up boosting profits for New Zealand exporters...
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby Lanthanide » Fri 28 Dec 2007, 17:35:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')In New Zealand Prices aren't too bad or too good...
item price (nz$ - US$)
Apples 1kg 1.89 - 1.45 USD
Beer Local (12 pack 330ml) 17.95 - 13.81 USD
Big Mac Burger 4.45 - 3.42 USD
Bread (Sliced White 700g) 1.75 - 1.35 USD
Bus Fare (Adult) 3.10 - 2.39 USD
Butter (500g) 2.20 - 1.69 USD
Carrots 1kg 1.99 - 1.53 USD
CD (New Release) 35.00 - 26.93 USD
Cheese (500g) 5.79 - 4.45 USD
Chicken Drumsticks (1kg) 8.99 - 6.92 USD
Chocolate Block (150g) 3.45 - 2.65 USD
Coca Cola (1.5L) 2.00 - 1.54 USD
Coffee (Instant 100g) 3.99 - 3.07 USD
Ground Beef (Prime 1kg) 9.99 - 7.69 USD
Ice Cream (3 L) 3.70 - 2.84 USD
Milk (1 L) 1.80 - 1.38 USD
Milk (1 Gallon) 5.22 USD
Movie Theatre Pass (Adult) 14.00 - 10.77 USD
Newspaper 1.80 - 1.38 USD
Pasta (Spaghetti Dry) 1.85 - 1.42 USD
Petrol (1 L Unleaded) 1.55 - 1.19 USD
Sugar (1.5 kg) 2.19 - 1.68 USD
Taxi Fare (per km) 1.90 - 1.46 USD
Toilet Paper (4 pack) 3.30 - 2.54 USD
Toothbrush 2.99 - 2.30 USD

These prices are all out of whack compared to what I see in the shops. Here are my prices for most of these items - NZ$ only:
bread - cheapest is 93 cents
bus - $2.50
carrots - typically around 99 cents/kg
CD - no one pays $35. Everyone buys from The Warehouse (local mini-Walmart, and largest music retailer in the country) who charge $23. The RRP is $35 however.
coca cola - more like $1.49 for 1.5 litre, but frequently on sale
coffee - more like $2-3, depending on brand, for instant
ice cream - typically sold in 2L for 2.50-4.00, depending on brand. Frequently on sale.
milk - 2L costs about $3 or so.
Movie ticket - $15, unless you go on tuesday when it is $10.
Petrol - currently $1.709 / L. My last fillup cost $84, and I already had a little in the tank (I buy the more expensive type though). That lasts me about 3 1/2 weeks of normal driving.
Toilet Paper - 50 cents a roll for the cheap stuff, so 4 pack = $2.
Toothbrush - you can get basic ones for $1 or so.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby steam_cannon » Fri 28 Dec 2007, 18:15:55

Good points, government statistics are often very different from what people see on the ground.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Lanthanide', '
')milk - 2L costs about $3 or so.
Ok and...
1 US gallon = 3.7854118 liters
$3.00 per liter / 2 liters = $1.50 per liter
$1.50 per liter * 3.7854118 liters per gallon = $5.6781177 per gallon

So as that chart pointed out, you are paying $5.68 USD or more for a gallon for milk. Wow!
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby Lanthanide » Fri 28 Dec 2007, 23:09:36

Yes, dairy (particularly milk) prices have risen ridiculous amounts this year, something like 30-40%, because of the increase in worldwide milk prices. Even though we have so much milk to spare, because we're in a worldwide market we have to pay market rates for it.

However, come PO, when other countries are starting to run into food shortages, we'll be having massive surplusses that we don't know what to do with.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby LoneSnark » Sat 29 Dec 2007, 00:51:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')owever, come PO, when other countries are starting to run into food shortages, we'll be having massive surplusses that we don't know what to do with.

Why? It burns more oil getting the food across town to your house than it would shipping it across the pacific.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby katnipkid » Sat 29 Dec 2007, 01:58:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RedStateGreen', 'L')ots of bread on the shelves but I paid $7.50 for two loaves of whole wheat.


Are you purchasing an organic,natural food store type of bread? Those have always been about 3.50 a loaf, or more. Where are you shopping? A boutique type of store, or a national chain store? If your kids like that type of bread better, ask them why they like the store bought better. Then, try to make a similiar bread at home. I always disliked homemade breads when I was young because they were too sweet. Or too soft. And I hated sourdough bread, although I would like it now.

I have found vegetable to have gone waaay up in price.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby Lanthanide » Sat 29 Dec 2007, 07:29:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')owever, come PO, when other countries are starting to run into food shortages, we'll be having massive surplusses that we don't know what to do with.

Why? It burns more oil getting the food across town to your house than it would shipping it across the pacific.

Um, no? It costs the same amount of oil getting the food from the fields to the city and eaten in the city or put on a boat in that same city. The former also pays off more quickly, and doesn't run into as many problems with food spoilage (which would presumably be increased with fewer pesticides etc available).

It was a fairly narrow thing to say, in any event. I don't think there is going to be a hard doomer crash, but rather an escalating emergency over several years (at least in NZ, other countries may fare differently). During that time food would still be sent overseas, particularly if it affords even greater profits. As the profits get higher and higher, the costs for shipping and production become less important, to the point where the food must be shipped overseas in order to recoup the money spent to actually grow it in the first place. At some point the bubble bursts and people stop worrying about the current economic order and just make-do with what is available, and all the happy country-living sharing-with-neighbors stuff, but I don't envision seeing that sort of thing happening for a good 30 years at least.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby LoneSnark » Sat 29 Dec 2007, 12:24:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'U')m, no? It costs the same amount of oil getting the food from the fields to the city and eaten in the city or put on a boat in that same city.

I said across town to your house, not to the rail terminal. You are right, it should cost the same oil getting it to the rail terminal as it does getting it to the port, but you do not live either at the terminal or at the port. Presumably it will need to be trucked to your grocery store and if your store happens to be across town, then it should burn more oil getting it there than shipping it across the ocean to a grocery store nearer the port than you are to the rail-terminal.

Second point. Most food we eat because it is either spoil proof or heavily resistant to spoilage. Cattle can be shipped alive. Grain can be stored for years as grain. And anything can be canned or bottled. In the case of fruits and vegetables, which we today get fresh using airplanes, will most likely be gotten canned or frozen using trains and ships.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby steam_cannon » Sat 29 Dec 2007, 16:23:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', 'A')nd anything can be canned or bottled. In the case of fruits and vegetables, which we today get fresh using airplanes, will most likely be gotten canned or frozen using trains and ships.
You're right that we are going to use rail and shipping more for food transport. But have you ever heard the term "the oil we eat"? Making cans for canning foods costs lots of energy/money. That's why "pot in a pot" evaporative refrigerators are so important for Nigeria. Canning farm produce or any food is expensive. In Nigeria spinach for example would normally be wilted and ruined a day after picking because canning is not an option. Now that same spinach can last up to 12 days an evaporative refrigerator.

Nigerian method of keeping food cool (Zeer Pots)
http://peakoil.com/fortopic35024.html
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pot-in-pot_refrigerator

And sure, evaporative refrigerators can help us too. But the truth is, that's still not the same as canning. 12 days is better then 1 day, but canned spinach lasts for a whole year or longer. Canning is great! But the shelves of canned foods you see in the grocery store really illustrates the problem that all our food processing requires lots of energy!

Examples energy we eat:
* pouring molten glass for jars
* canning
* making or recycling metal cans
* grain dryers
* refrigeration
* transportation
* mining fertilizers
* ...

Sure we can "can" foods, but this is only because we have energy to do so. In the rest of the world farmers without access to cheap energy don't have that option. As we lose access to cheap energy, we will also have less access to luxuries like canning and we will lose much more food because of it. People often comment on how much food Americans waste. But think about how much food is lost by people in the rest of the world, by people who don't have access to cheap energy. Like the Nigerian spinach problem, if we didn't have the energy for canning the result would be much less available food.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby Lanthanide » Sat 29 Dec 2007, 18:19:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'U')m, no? It costs the same amount of oil getting the food from the fields to the city and eaten in the city or put on a boat in that same city.

I said across town to your house, not to the rail terminal. You are right, it should cost the same oil getting it to the rail terminal as it does getting it to the port, but you do not live either at the terminal or at the port. Presumably it will need to be trucked to your grocery store and if your store happens to be across town, then it should burn more oil getting it there than shipping it across the ocean to a grocery store nearer the port than you are to the rail-terminal.

Here's where your lack of familiarity with the geography skewers your arguement.

I live in Christchurch, the largest city in the south island (where a large portion of the food is grown) which also has the largest shipping port, under the hills in Lyttleton. The train tracks do not go to Lyttleton - it is about a 20 minute truck drive from the train station to the port. Just as easy to stop that truck at some supermarkets on the way.

Also, "across town" in this case is about a 1 hour drive, which is not excessive in terms of petrol use in a few trucks, especially compare to shipping it overseas to have it loaded and unloaded at each port, which uses electricity, which in turn (most likely) uses fossil fuels.

Further, our city is surrounded by farmland, while the railroads do -not- criss-cross into every little town, so the only way for that food to get around is going to be by truck anyway. So you can either truck it some long distance to a train where it goes away overseas, or you can just truck it to the local city where it will surely be consumed.

Add in the government regulation that says "thou shalt not export food" and hey presto, we have no food problems.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby RedStateGreen » Sat 29 Dec 2007, 19:22:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('steam_cannon', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', 'W')here are you people shopping? Whole Wheat bread at Food Lion was $1.29 a loaf today. That is much higher than it was in 2001 when it sold for $0.99, but it certainly is not the $3.75 RedStateGreen is paying.
You really are young LoneSnark, where to begin... The $3.75 bread is probably a whole grain wheat bread with real butter and less preservatives to drive kids in circles. And that kind of bread always costs a little bit more, but it wasn't so much more last year.

Yeah, I only buy good stuff. 8)
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby RedStateGreen » Sat 29 Dec 2007, 19:26:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('katnipkid', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RedStateGreen', 'L')ots of bread on the shelves but I paid $7.50 for two loaves of whole wheat.


Are you purchasing an organic,natural food store type of bread? Those have always been about 3.50 a loaf, or more. Where are you shopping? A boutique type of store, or a national chain store? If your kids like that type of bread better, ask them why they like the store bought better. Then, try to make a similiar bread at home. I always disliked homemade breads when I was young because they were too sweet. Or too soft. And I hated sourdough bread, although I would like it now.

I have found vegetable to have gone waaay up in price.


That was whole wheat 'natural' at Wal-Mart. I was in a hurry and couldn't get to the health food store, where the bread I like to buy is (organic and actually costs less). I didn't like this stuff I got as well, but one of my sons really liked it.

I'm learning to make bread, it's harder to learn to make a good loaf than it sounds.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby cube » Sat 29 Dec 2007, 23:46:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', 'W')here are you people shopping?
answer: California

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', 'W')hole Wheat bread at Food Lion was $1.29 a loaf today. That is much higher than it was in 2001 when it sold for $0.99, but it certainly is not the $3.75 RedStateGreen is paying.
$1.29 bread does NOT exist in California. Except maybe at a (discount retailer) aka a store that buys surplus bread which is 3 days away from expiration but that's still no guarantee you'll get $1.29 bread.
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby LoneSnark » Mon 31 Dec 2007, 17:18:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s we lose access to cheap energy, we will also have less access to luxuries like canning and we will lose much more food because of it.

Canning is not a luxury, it is a cheap necessity. Canning was common and cheap back in the early 20th century when energy was still ungodly expensive. This is because the energy used in canning is far less than what would be needed to grow more food. That said, the form of energy needed for canning (stationary heat and electricity) are under no threat of running out. Peak Oil affects liquid fuel, not energy in general. Electricity production uses coal, natural gas, wind, solar, hydro, of which we have plenty (at least 100 years).
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby vfr » Mon 31 Dec 2007, 20:43:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('heroineworshipper', 'N')oticed a lot less bread on the shelves lately. They only make enough Dutch crust for a fraction of the shoppers. Sourdough was completely sold out on XMas eve. Never saw that before. At least sausages were only 25% more expensive instead of out of stock.

One problem is massive housing and no stores being built, to take advantage of mortgage bailouts. The other problem is no wheat, to take advantage of the oil shortage. What we need is a subprime wheat bailout.




I've been baking all my own bread since 4-97. I suggest you learn some self sufficiency skills if you wish to survive the post carbon change that awaits us. I can grind flour from a number of grains as well as wheat.


A few Book and DVD for your perusal...


The Alcohol Fuel Handbook / by Lynn Ellen Doxon.
by Doxon, Lynn Ellen

Art of Nothing
An excellent series of DVD's showcasing primitive skills:
http://www.hopspress.com/Videos/Art_of_Nothing.htm

Barnyard In Your Backyard
edited by Gail Damerow

Basic Essentials. Edible Wild Plants & Useful Herbs
by Meuninck, Jim

Beyond Civilization: humanity's next great adventure
by Quinn, Daniel

Beyond Oil: the view from Hubbert's Peak
by Deffeyes, Kenneth S.
http://www.princeton.edu/hubbert/

The Biodiesel Handbook
by Gerhard Knothe

Bowling Alone: the collapse and revival of American community
by Putnam, Robert D.

Breathe No Evil
Safe-Tek Publishers

Brown's Second Alcohol Fuel Cookbook.
by Brown, Michael Halsey

Bushcraft
by Mors Kochanski
Great reference on primitive wood skills.

The Citizen-Powered Energy Handbook: community solutions to a global crisis
by Greg Pahl
http://www.chelseagreen.com/2007/items/citizenpowered

Collapse
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Collapse_(book

The Coming Economic Collapse - how you can thrive when oil costs $200 a barrel
by Leeb, Stephen

The Complete Book of Dutch Oven Cooking
by Fears, J. Wayne

The Complete Book of Fire: building campfires for warmth, light, cooking, and survival
by Tilton, Buck

The Complete Book of Survival
by Stahlberg, Rainer
An outstanding all encompassing guide to the philosophy of surviving - Highly Recommended.

The Complete Guide to Edible Wild Plants
by Lyle, Katie Letcher

Country Wisdom & Know-how
Numerous authors and publishers...all contain worthwhile information.
http://www.amazon.com/Country-Wisdom-Kn ... 1579123686

Crossing the Rubicon: the decline of the American empire at the end of the age of oil
by Ruppert, Michael C.

A Crude Awakening - the oil crash
Lava Productions AG, Switzerland DVD
http://www.oilcrashmovie.com/

Edible Wild plants
by Meuninck, James

Edible Wild Plants of Pennsylvania and Neighboring states
by Medve, Richard J.

Edible and Medicinal Plants of the West
Gregory L. Tilford
http://www.amazon.com/Edible-Medicinal- ... 0878423591

Emergency Preparedness. Awareness & Survival
DVD Apogee Communication, 2006 - Highly Recommended.
http://www.apogeevideo.com/emergency/emergency.htm

The End of Suburbia - oil depletion and the collapse of the American dream
by Greene, Gregory DVD
Don't miss the commentary. Lots of Canadian prejudice against the US as well as snobbery, but very worthwhile behind the scene info.
http://www.endofsuburbia.com/

Farming for Self-sufficiency
by John and Sally Seymour

Field Guide to Edible Wild Plants of Eastern and Central North America
by Peterson, Lee.

First Aid for Dogs.
Various authors under related titles...First Aid for Cats...Horses...Pets....even Insects!

Four-Season Harvest:organic vegetables from your home garden all year long.
by Eliot Coleman

Going Local: creating self-reliant communities in a global age
by Shuman, Michael

Grit Magazine
http://www.grit.com/

Guns and Ammo Magazine

High Noon for Natural Gas: the new energy crisis
by Darley, Julian
http://www.highnoon.ws/

House on a budget:making smart choices to build the home you want.
by Duo Dickinson

How to Dry Foods
by DeLong, Deanna.

The Long Emergency: surviving the converging catastrophes of the twenty-first century
by Kunstler, James Howard

Making Your Own Motor Fuel
by Fred Stetson

Mother Earth Magazine
Al back issues available on CD ROM for nominal cost from:
http://www.motherearthnews.com/

Natural Home Heating: the complete guide to renewable energy options
by Pahl, Greg

Off the Grid Homes:case studies for sustainable living
and
Off the Grid:modern homes + alternative energy
by Lori Ryker

Oil Apocalypse
History channel DVD

The Oil Depletion Protocol : a plan to avert oil wars, terrorism and economic collapse
by Heinberg, Richard

Peak Oil Survival: preparation for life after gridcrash
by McBay, Aric

Powerdown: options and actions for a post-carbon world
by Heinberg, Richard

Primitive Living, Self-sufficiency, and Survival Skills : a field guide to primitive living skills
by Elpel, Thomas J.

The Renewable Energy Handbook:a guide to rural independence, off-grid and sustainable living
by William H. Kemp

Resource Wars: the new landscape of global conflict
by Klare, Michael T
http://www.amazon.com/Resource-Wars-Lan ... 0805055762

Seed to Seed: seed saving techniques for the vegetable gardener
by Ashworth, Suzanne

Shelters, Shacks, and shanties: the classic guide to building wilderness shelters
by Beard, Daniel Carter

A Thousand Barrels a Second: the coming oil break point and the challenges facing an energy dependent world
by Tertzakian, Peter

Twilight in the Desert: the coming Saudi oil shock and the world economy
by Simmons, Matthew R.
Well written book examining 12 of the key Saudi oil fields.

U.S. Army combat skills handbook / Department of the Army.
Lyon's Press

Who Killed the Electric Car?
Sony Pictures Classics release
http://www.sonyclassics.com/whokilledtheelectriccar/

Zoom:the global race to fuel the car of the future
by Iain Carson and Vijay V. Vaitheeswaran.



All of these items are available from your local library or through interlibrary loan.


Good luck,



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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby steam_cannon » Thu 03 Jan 2008, 14:51:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', 'C')anning is not a luxury, it is a cheap necessity.
A "necessity" that much of the world cannot afford. To many "Soccer Moms" SUV's are a necessity too. To paraphrase Mary Antoinette, "Let them eat canned cake!" It'd be nice if everyone could, but there just aren't enough resources.
Image

If the world ate the way the United States eats...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')David Pimentel, an expert on food and energy at Cornell University, has estimated that if all of the world ate the way the United States eats, humanity would exhaust all known global fossil-fuel reserves in just over seven years. Pimentel has his detractors. Some have accused him of being off on other calculations by as much as 30 percent. Fine. Make it ten years."

http://www.ofbyandfor.org/node/view/285

But how much energy goes into these cans?
A couple months ago I came across a website about burning aluminum cans to heat your house. Think about that for a second, this should give you a good image in your mind of how much energy goes into the soda can on your desk.
Image
We put huge amounts of energy into simply producing aluminum cans. And we put even more into the isles of steel and glass you see in the supermarket. The whole world cannot live like this because they don't have enough energy. And we are headed towards living like the rest of the world.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', 'T')hat said, the form of energy needed for canning (stationary heat and electricity) are under no threat of running out. Peak Oil affects liquid fuel, not energy in general. Electricity production uses coal, natural gas, wind, solar, hydro, of which we have plenty (at least 100 years).
I don't suppose you own a house or pay rent? But electricity prices and heating prices are skyrocketing. Home owners are being forced to turn down thermostats and cut electricity use. Even though we are having mild winters and peak liquid fuel problems are just beginning, it's obvious all energy sources are becoming much more expensive. I could give a long winded detailed explanation as to why this is, but an explanation is unnecessary. Everyone can see it. Just pick up a newspaper or google it.
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=en ... tnG=Search

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', 'w')ind ...we have plenty
Here's an idea, canning with the wind! Perhaps we should tell the Nigerians and Mexicans to try this! Maybe they just didn't think of using wind power? I'm being sarcastic, I think using wind to produce cans probably isn't practical. Canning food isn't an easy option when energy for smelting steel isn't there, when the energy is unreliable and when money isn't there. Prices are going though the roof and people are rioting. If there was a tech solution, these would be the first people to latch onto it. As great as it would be, so far I'm not seeing that.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', '.')..of which we have plenty (at least 100 years)I think you are 100 years behind, because 100 years ago this would have been true. But exponential population growth has changed the equation. In simulations with the population we've achieved most earth resources start running out around now. But you don't need to believe a computer, you can see it in skyrocketing metal prices, skyrocketing solid fuel prices, skyrocketing liquid fuel prices, and the skyrocketing food prices this discussion is about.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('LoneSnark', 't')he energy used in canning is far less than what would be needed to grow more food.Right, that's why it's called "The oil we eat".
http://www.ofbyandfor.org/node/view/285
http://www.google.com/search?hl=en&q=Th ... tnG=Search
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Re: No bread on the shelves

Unread postby steam_cannon » Thu 03 Jan 2008, 15:16:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vfr', 'A') few Book and DVD for your perusal...

...
Seed to Seed: seed saving techniques for the vegetable gardener
by Ashworth, Suzanne

Edible Wild plants
by Meuninck, James

Edible Wild Plants of Pennsylvania and Neighboring states
by Medve, Richard J.

Edible and Medicinal Plants of the West
Gregory L. Tilford

How to Dry Foods
by DeLong, Deanna.
...
Great reading list and an interesting perspective, I see a lot of books on growing/finding your own food. I think Victory Gardens and local farms will come back into popularity, to a large extent to fight high food prices and shortages. Certainly many people on this site have gotten into gardening to save money and provide greater security for their families. And there are many great books on things like making your own bread, growing crops, agrichar, permaculture gardening... Right now I'm working on an old classic "Square Foot Gardening by Mel Bartholomew". :-D
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