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Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

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Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby TheDude » Sun 16 Dec 2007, 18:28:18

link

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')rofessor Bruce Dale from Michigan State University claims, "Net energy analysis is simple and has great intuitive appeal, but it is also dead wrong and dangerously misleading -- net energy must be eliminated from our discourse." Dale's perspective is published in the first edition of Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')or evidence, he points to the markets, where a unit of energy from gas, petrol and electricity are worth 3.5, 5 and 12 times as much as a unit of energy from coal, respectively.

"Clear thinking shows that we value the services that energy can perform, not the energy per se, so it would be better to compare fuels by the services that each provides...not on a straight energy basis...which is likely to be irrelevant and misleading," says Dale.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')or example, biofuels could be rated on how much petroleum use they can displace or their greenhouse gas production compared with petroleum. His calculations indicate that every MJ of ethanol can displace 28 MJ of petroleum, in other words ethanol greatly extends our existing supplies of petroleum. Using corn ethanol provides an 18% reduction in greenhouse gasses compared with petrol, while fibre-produced ethanol gives a 88% reduction compared to petrol.


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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby sameu » Sun 16 Dec 2007, 19:55:02

yes lets cancel those irritating laws of thermodynamics
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby dub_scratch » Sun 16 Dec 2007, 21:23:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')rofessor Bruce Dale from Michigan State University claims, "Net energy analysis is simple and has great intuitive appeal, but it is also dead wrong and dangerously misleading -- net energy must be eliminated from our discourse." Dale's perspective is published in the first edition of Biofuels, Bioproducts and Biorefining.


Of course he wants net energy to be disregarded. His agrofuel ideas look terrible under the net energy examination.

I would like Mr Dale to explain how surplus energy can be obtained when net energy is zero.
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby billp » Sun 16 Dec 2007, 21:47:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'y')es lets cancel those irritating laws of thermodynamics


Liberal arts and legal educations have done this.

Spin is more important to them than those irritating laws of thermodynamics courses which they didn't take [along with math], and could not pass, in college to understand.

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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby Starvid » Sun 16 Dec 2007, 23:03:08

Good point.

Energy isn't what counts here. What counts is liquid energy.

A barrel of oil is about $90.

A barrel of oil equivalent in gas is half that.

A barrel of oil equivalent in coal is about $10-15.

Clearly, just looking at energy gives a hugely warped picture. What matters is liquid fuels, and it's not hugely important if these fuels are energy gainers or energy losers, as energy is quite abundant. After all, depending on how you look at it GTL, CTL and tar sands are all energy negative, as there is less energy in the liquid fuel they produce than there is in the original natgas, coal or bitumen.
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby cube » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 02:30:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('billp', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'y')es lets cancel those irritating laws of thermodynamics


Liberal arts and legal educations have done this.

Spin is more important to them than those irritating laws of thermodynamics courses which they didn't take [along with math], and could not pass, in college to understand.

cheers
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3) but engineers are NOT allowed to do the "engineering" because everybody else thinks they have a smarter idea :roll:

I firmly believe that if decisions were purely left to engineers instead of lawyers and lobbyists our entire energy + transportation infrastructure would have a radically different design.
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby Gerben » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 06:31:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')rofessor Bruce Dale from Michigan State University claims, ...His calculations indicate that every MJ of ethanol can displace 28 MJ of petroleum, in other words ethanol greatly extends our existing supplies of petroleum.

I'd love to see those calculations.
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby lys3rg0 » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 07:24:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gerben', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')rofessor Bruce Dale from Michigan State University claims, ...His calculations indicate that every MJ of ethanol can displace 28 MJ of petroleum, in other words ethanol greatly extends our existing supplies of petroleum.

I'd love to see those calculations.


If you google that part of the phrase, you will find the source to be :

"Thinking clearly about biofuels: ending the irrelevant
‘net energy’ debate and developing better performance
metrics for alternative fuels"

Bruce E. Dale, Michigan State University, USA
Received 3 April 2007; revised version received 23 May 2007; accepted 23 May 2007
Published online in Wiley InterScience (www.interscience.wiley.com); DOI: 10.1002/bbb.5;
Biofuels, Bioprod. Bioref. 1:14–17 (2007)


Here's the paragraph in question:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')irst, alternative fuels (e.g. ethanol) could be rated on
their ability to displace petroleum, our most pressing energy
security policy issue. To produce 1.0 MJ of ethanol requires
about 0.04 MJ of petroleum, while it takes 1.1 MJ of petro-
leum to produce 1.0 MJ of gasoline (Figure 1). us ethanol
displaces 1.1/0.04 equals 28 MJ of petroleum for every MJ of
ethanol produced. We greatly extend our supplies of petro-
leum and thereby reduce its importance by producing corn
ethanol. Cellulosic ethanol has similar petroleum displace-
ment numbers relative to gasoline. Cellulosic ethanol is not
currently in large-scale production, although construction
of large-scale cellulosic ethanol plants based on various
technologies is currently underway. Given the past history
of technological improvement, it is likely that the petroleum
displacement metric will improve as cellulosic ethanol tech-
nology improves.


Who wants to rebut this first? :lol:
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby SchroedingersCat » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 14:24:50

No need to rebut it here. Pimentel already wiped the floor with this guy: The Costs Of Biofuels

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')y focusing only on petroleum use in corn ethanol production, Dr. Dale reports reduced carbon dioxide in corn ethanol production. This is true only if petroleum use is restricted in the total assessment. Dr. Dale fails to consider the carbon dioxide released from all the energy inputs for nitrogen fertilizer, farm labor, farm machinery, hybrid corn, and irrigation. When all of these inputs plus the energy required in processing are included in the assessment, then about 40% more fossil energy is required to produce a gallon of ethanol than is in the ethanol produced. Thus, about 1.4 gal of oil equivalents are required to produce 1 gal of ethanol.
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby TheDude » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 16:40:05

What grabbed me about the 28MJ comment was that he made it sound like we'd be powering vehicles with...reduced CO2 emissions. I think. Not quite a Tiger in the Tank, but he's an Expert according to the article.

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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby aahala » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 16:43:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gerben', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')rofessor Bruce Dale from Michigan State University claims, ...His calculations indicate that every MJ of ethanol can displace 28 MJ of petroleum, in other words ethanol greatly extends our existing supplies of petroleum.

I'd love to see those calculations.


What I'd love to see is the locations of the "large-scale cellulosic ethanol plants" currently under construction.

As far as I can tell, the total amount of cellulosic ethanol that
has been produced and sold on a commercial basis in the US thru 2006 is ZERO! This is a pitiful record for an educated man who by
some accounts has spent the last three decades on the subject.

The whole thing(so far) is nothing more than pipe dreams.
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby yesplease » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 16:58:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', 'W')hat grabbed me about the 28MJ comment was that he made it sound like we'd be powering vehicles with...reduced CO2 emissions. I think.
I don't see how that's implied since Carbon isn't even mentioned.
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby yesplease » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 17:09:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('aahala', 'W')hat I'd love to see is the locations of the "large-scale cellulosic ethanol plants" currently under construction.

Search engines. Learn 'em, use 'em, love 'em, but only in ways sanctioned by the state. ;)
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby yesplease » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 17:50:06

pstarr, if you would reread the comment I quoted and my comment, you may realize that my response was an example of where a commercial ethanol plant was currently under construction. I'm not sure what the point of the rest of your comment is, since it doesn't directly address anything in my comment, but I'm sure it serves it's purpose on a forum that's a promotional tool of corporate America such as peakoil.com. :-D
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby TheDude » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 21:53:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', 'W')hat grabbed me about the 28MJ comment was that he made it sound like we'd be powering vehicles with...reduced CO2 emissions. I think.
I don't see how that's implied since Carbon isn't even mentioned.


What does he mean by this, then?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')Clear thinking shows that we value the services that energy can perform, not the energy per se, so it would be better to compare fuels by the services that each provides...not on a straight energy basis...which is likely to be irrelevant and misleading," says Dale.

For example, biofuels could be rated on how much petroleum use they can displace or their greenhouse gas production compared with petroleum.


How do you power a vehicle with the additional services it provides? What does this ranking of how much CO2 they displace have to do with joules or BTUs?

I know where he's coming from - "ethanol works, and better than gas." I'm hearing echoes of David Blume's screeds against gas here too - Blume has the same contention that oil is a net energy loser, for instance. You know, it takes 12 barrels of oil to produce 10. That's why it takes 100 million barrels a day to produce the 85 we use...

Or am I misreading this somehow?

Thing I take home in the end is that 20% of our corn went into making 2% of our fuel - maybe. If you happen to have a station with ethanol handy. And don't mind lower fuel efficiency. And 6 billion in subsidies for these agribidzness homies of Bush's.

We'll see how this cellulosic schtuff works out. Better pond scum creating fuel than farmers.

http://www.energysupplylogistics.com/index.html has charts of refineries, terminals, ethanol/biodiesel plants.
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby yesplease » Mon 17 Dec 2007, 22:21:30

I believe Dale's point is from the perspective of use and cost, since oil prices have increased by a factor of five compared to other fuel sources. The point being that if we can replace some percentage of a inelastic commodity like oil with something that performs the same function but is inelastic, it's economically advantageous. Granted, i don't think anyone sane would say that ethanol from corn is anything except for a kickback to key voters in the farming states, and something to gauge how receptive automakers and consumers are to it, a trial run for ethanol essentially, with the ideal being cellulosic production from waste streams (something like this may make upkeep of forests viable) and low input crops. But ultimately cellulosic ethanol would be fairly significant when it comes down to a mobile fuel source. That being said, considering the average efficiency of use of a gallon of gasoline for personal transportation is at best ~5%, we have quite a ways to go in terms of reducing demand/increasing the efficiency personal gasoline based transportation.

In terms of oil, or ethanol, or anything being a net energy looser, that's true, but kinda useless in any context other than the second law of thermodynamics/entropy since every energy stream we use is subject to this. We can either use an energy stream, with some efficiency depending on the quality and our use, or we can not use it. Ethanol usually doesn't result in lower fuel efficiency AFAIK. In fact, it's usually higher. It does result in lower fuel mileage since there is less energy per gallon compared to gasoline, just like there's less energy per gallon of gasoline than gallon of diesel.
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Re: Net Energy: A Useless, Misleading And Dangerous Metric

Unread postby yesplease » Tue 18 Dec 2007, 02:35:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pstarr', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', 'I') believe Dale's point is from the perspective of use and cost, since oil prices have increased by a factor of five compared to other fuel sources.
other fuel sources?' what other fuel sources. You drive to work with crude oil. Your food is trucked with crude oil? It is fertilized with crude oil. Your toys, your plastic, your pharmaceuticals are made with crude oil. THERE ARE NO OTHER FUEL SOURCES.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', 'T')he point being that if we can replace some percentage of a inelastic commodity like oil with something that performs the same function but is inelastic, it's economically advantageous.
how can biofuels be inelastic when they are planted, plowed, fertilized, cultivated, harvested, fermented, distilled, purified, distributed and pumped with an 'elastic' material---crude oil. It is elastic because it is in decline and getting rarer and dearer daily.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('yesplease', '[')b]Granted, i don't think anyone sane would say that ethanol from corn is anything except for a kickback to key voters in the farming states
true. oh so very true. So I have been lecturing you on this very point for months now and you finally get it. Do I get any thanks? No. Do you understand you are a complete idiot yet? No. YOU CAN STOP PONTIFICATING RIGHT HERE. THE REST IS BLATHER.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'a')nd something to gauge how receptive automakers and consumers are to it, a trial run for ethanol essentially, with the ideal being cellulosic production from waste streams (something like this may make upkeep of forests viable) and low input crops. But ultimately cellulosic ethanol would be fairly significant when it comes down to a mobile fuel source. That being said, considering the average efficiency of use of a gallon of gasoline for personal transportation is at best ~5%, we have quite a ways to go in terms of reducing demand/increasing the efficiency personal gasoline based transportation.
blah blah blah

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n terms of oil, or ethanol, or anything being a net energy looser, that's true, but kinda useless in any context other than the second law of thermodynamics/entropy since every energy stream we use is subject to this. We can either use an energy stream, with some efficiency depending on the quality and our use, or we can not use it. Ethanol usually doesn't result in lower fuel efficiency AFAIK. In fact, it's usually higher. It does result in lower fuel mileage since there is less energy per gallon compared to gasoline, just like there's less energy per gallon of gasoline than gallon of diesel.blah blah blah


Obvious violation of COC:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('COC', 'A')void flaming and ad hominem attacks within the regular forums. If you have some complaint about a particular thread and wish to flame the object of your derision, please do so in the Hall of Flames. One intent defined by our conduct policies tries to limit "off-topic" posts as much as possible so that the threads stay informative and clear. Flaming and ad hominem attacks are most definitely off-topic. While a certain amount of “off-topic” posting is tolerated, we try hard to manage the most excessive cases for the benefit of the whole forum.

Haven't we been here before?
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