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Oil price falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

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Oil price falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby ClassicSpiderman » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 12:43:01

Take that, you pessimists! Peak oilists now have egg on their faces
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby jeezlouise » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 13:41:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')rude futures briefly passed $90 a barrel -- rising as high as $90.07 -- twice in electronic trading overnight, despite a growing consensus among analysts that the oil's underlying supply and demand fundamentals do not support such high prices.


I keep hearing that phrase... the "supply and demand fundamentals don't support these prices"... yet the people who say it never seem to want to elaborate. If anything, considering crude oil's incredible utility, one could wonder why prices are so low. Of course, economics doesn't work that way... it would require restraint and far-sightedness. Bah.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby ClassicSpiderman » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 14:00:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jeezlouise', 'I') keep hearing that phrase... the "supply and demand fundamentals don't support these prices"... yet the people who say it never seem to want to elaborate. If anything, considering crude oil's incredible utility, one could wonder why prices are so low. Of course, economics doesn't work that way... it would require restraint and far-sightedness. Bah.


Bah. You should know by now that $40 oil is just around the corner at any time and that house prices are bound to pick up at any time soon.

Besides, ETHANOL will save us.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby Starvid » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 14:25:00

"Today oil fell from $88 to $89."
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby peasea » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 14:38:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ClassicSpiderman', 'T')ake that, you pessimists!

Peak oilists now have egg on their faces


well , its been said before , peaks and troughs in the price

not forgetting dollars are worthless now :-)

the slop downwards will be bumpy in supply and prices as "classic" economics takes place.

sorry no cigar !

P.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby jdmartin » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 14:40:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ClassicSpiderman', '
')
Bah. You should know by now that $40 oil is just around the corner at any time and that house prices are bound to pick up at any time soon.

Besides, ETHANOL will save us.


:lol: How true. Let me dig up one of my old quotes:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')Mother Nature is going to be huge in the next several weeks," said Kyle Cooper, at Citigroup Global Markets. "Long term I think we're headed to $30-35 but I don't think we're doing that yet. We have a lot of winter left."

:lol: This guy could've taken the place of that other guy workin' for Saddam...
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby rockdoc123 » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 15:12:45

One point that is being missed quite often is that the US dollar has undergone considerable devaluation over that last 2 years against all currencies. The price today would correspond to ~ $70/bbl with the dollar value of a couple years previous.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby seahorse2 » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 15:56:29

rockdoc,

I can't find the article right now, but I read in the last day or two that a falling dollar does not account in full for the substantial increase in oil prices. For example, the dollar has fallen about 7% in the last year while crude oil has risen substantially faster than that. I will continue to try to find the article. I may have read it here somewhere.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby Starvid » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 16:51:25

The recent fall of the dollar only explains about 30 % of the recent increase in oil prices.

So the real price of oil has risen, even in Europe.
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby Pablo2079 » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 18:08:23

This may affect the mood on Wall Street. Not sure how big this is yet though...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')irefighters battle Shell refinery fire in Anacortes
By Sara Jean Green

Seattle Times staff reporter

Firefighters are battling a blaze at the Shell Puget Sound Refinery in Anacortes.

The fire began just after noon, igniting a storage tank that contains about 50,000 barrels of diesel, said Jaunty Rutter, the refinery's external affairs manager. The refinery's emergency response team is fighting the fire, along with firefighters from the Anacortes Fire Department and Tesoro, a neighboring refinery, he said.

Rutter could not say how big the fire was or how it started. One person received minor injuries. No further details were immediately available.

According to Shell's Web site, the refinery was built and operated by Texaco from 1958 to 1998 and originally supplied West Coast cities with Canadian crude oil. Shell acquired the refinery in 2002.

Located in the north Puget Sound, the refinery employs more than 400 people and several hundred more contractors. The refinery has won several environmental awards, the Web site says.



http://seattletimes.nwsource.com/html/l ... re19m.html
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby DantesPeak » Fri 19 Oct 2007, 20:13:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')the "supply and demand fundamentals don't support these prices"...


Persons making these statements should actually look at supply and demand.

Supply - Down in November, mostly because the UAE is shutting its fields, and reports that Iraq's exports through Turkey have been halted.

Demand - Goes way up in the fourth quarter, in preparation for the Northern Hemisphere winter.
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby jdmartin » Sat 20 Oct 2007, 02:30:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rockdoc123', 'O')ne point that is being missed quite often is that the US dollar has undergone considerable devaluation over that last 2 years against all currencies. The price today would correspond to ~ $70/bbl with the dollar value of a couple years previous.


Not being missed by me. Even the "corrected" value of $70/bbl doesn't equal this cornucopian view of $35/bbl. It's double that. Before this year you couldn't even get long-term viewpoint from EIA of $70/bbl, corrected dollar value or not.
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby Ardalla » Sat 20 Oct 2007, 04:56:20

At the Dan Yergin School of Economics, supply always rises to meet demand given a free market. Been hearing permutations on this all week from Fred Thompson, Al Greenspan and 90% of the 'experts' on CNBC.

Might as well forget about expecting anything else out of these guys. All they're gonna be saying is there is plenty of oil out there, blah blah. It would be nice to hear just one presidential candidate make at least an occasional reference to PO. It's amazing that these cornies have been wrong 100% of the time for the last 5 years and they are still lionized by the media and treated as 'experts'.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby Tanada » Sat 20 Oct 2007, 05:39:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ardalla', 'A')t the Dan Yergin School of Economics, supply always rises to meet demand given a free market. Been hearing permutations on this all week from Fred Thompson, Al Greenspan and 90% of the 'experts' on CNBC.

Might as well forget about expecting anything else out of these guys. All they're gonna be saying is there is plenty of oil out there, blah blah. It would be nice to hear just one presidential candidate make at least an occasional reference to PO. It's amazing that these cornies have been wrong 100% of the time for the last 5 years and they are still lionized by the media and treated as 'experts'.


The funny thing is in a truely free market it works the other way around, demand falls to meet supply at any given price point.

Pretending it works the other way around is.....interesting. You hear about the switch from Whale Oil to Coal Oil for lighting frequently, but for some reason they fail to mention Whale Oil was growing more expensive over time while simultaneously Coal oil was falling in price. After they had passed one another by a sufficient margin people switched over en masse, but they still preferred the Whale Oil. Coal oil was a workable substitute, not a preferred solution.
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To strive, to seek, to find, and not to yield.
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby jbrown » Sat 20 Oct 2007, 06:19:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ardalla', ' ')It would be nice to hear just one presidential candidate make at least an occasional reference to PO.

Dennis Kucinich has referred to PO many times. Here is one link
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Re: Oil falls below $90! Peak oil is defeated!

Unread postby Twilight » Sat 20 Oct 2007, 14:52:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ardalla', 'A')t the Dan Yergin School of Economics, supply always rises to meet demand given a free market. Been hearing permutations on this all week from Fred Thompson, Al Greenspan and 90% of the 'experts' on CNBC.

I wonder how well that works in a market dominated by national oil companies and a cartel. How do they reconcile the theory?

Let's use their logic here. In a free market, when demand rises to capacity, prices rise, and new supply becomes available to meet demand. But national companies and international cartels inhibit the correct operation of a free market. Therefore if the market is prevented from functioning properly, new supply may not be forthcoming.

It follows, doesn't it? So either state industries and cartels are compatible with a free market 8O or new supply is not a given.

Which statement is going to make them splutter into their coffee harder?
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