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A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby bodigami » Sat 06 Oct 2007, 00:10:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Cabrone', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')eople will not change until they have too


Exactly. Instead of fretting about whether other ppl are aware just do whatever you can to get yourself ready. Power down, find out about your local suppliers, educate yourself and try to learn practical skills that will help you (permaculture etc).

Don't concern yourself about the rest, it will drive you nuts so just accept that they will learn when the time is right. If you've mentioned this topic to your friends\family already just leave it at that, if they want to take note they will.

Just concentrate on giving yourself a head start. You never know, you might just find them needing your advice in the years ahead.


I disagree. In free-enough countries one can start an ecological theorical and practical group. The goals are similar or the same as PO groups. The Design University I'm attending is starting ecological initiatives (yesterday there was a conference on practical methods for architecture design).
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby muon » Sat 06 Oct 2007, 13:08:00

[quote=btu2012]-a program to reduce pointless consumption; this in particular means the deconstruction of the present consumer economy and its replacement with a more frugal and rational economic system, a system which intrinsically takes into account the natural limits of its inputs as well as ecological costs[/quote]

I was reading a little bit about trade, and this story mentions something I had noticed. In many countries we are sending abroad the same type of products we're importing. The article gives bottled water for an example:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')As the world creeps closer to irreversible global warming and goes deeper into ecological debt, why on earth, say, would the UK export 20 tonnes of mineral water to Australia and then re-import 21 tonnes," said NEF director Andrew Simms.

"And why would that wasteful trade be more the rule than the exception," he added.


This might make sense from an economic standpoint, and from a consumer choice standpoint, but it seems to me that a country or region might be better off using it's resources for itself first, then exporting excess and importing what it doesn't have - isn't that what trade used to be for thousands of years? In some ways I think that would make regions better suited for survival purposes than they are now. If a region is concentrating on farming one particular export crop then if suddenly there's a transportation issue they are stuck with an excess of that crop which is not good for them financially or the region from a survival standpoint, when they could be better off with a greater diversity of crops that could easier be channeled to the local region in the event of a transport problem. I realise some regions are naturally rich in a particular resource but other areas you have to use artificial means to impose this imbalance on the area. I think paying better attention to this on the local level would mean help in mitigation for global warming and peak oil, and be good in emergency situations, also wouldn't it be better if a region that was naturally diverse in local crops to take advantage of those crops if it can rather than supplanting them with 'foreign' crops (or animals), especially where this can create havoc on entire ecosystems. While change is natural, I don't think we've been fully prepared for the changes we have brought on ourselves.

Then I read about developing countries focusing on producing export items to go to richer countries, while they have to import food for themselves and they're unable to do this due to the market making that food more expensive. Some can't afford the crops they grow in their own countries as it's worth more on the global market than in their own countries. That makes them more reliant on oil to import food, especially in droughts and famines which then do even more harm on an individual and regional level with the damage to what infrastructure they have, and damage to health and other more individual areas which can spread in outbreaks of disease.

I wonder if there would be a way to reorganise these things to make it better for everyone from a survival point of view rather than a monetary point of view as it seems we use now?
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Blacksmith » Sat 06 Oct 2007, 14:45:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Nicholai', 'S')omeone had asked several pages back if overpopulation is ever discussed in the public school system.

I was at a provincial environmental conference and I asked a panel of Shell representatives if they thought that overpopulation might be one of the root causes of our enormous global warming dilemma. The first to respond mocked the question immediately, "Oops, I have 3 kids, I guess you want to put me in jail now, eh? (all members of the panel laughed as well as the audience)" I then sat back down without an answer to my question. I was laughed off stage and this was just under a year ago. Members of our provincial government were also in attendance and laughed with the rest.

I wish the worst for these people.


To make a joke of something you cannot answer is a common trick. What you do next time is be a broken record and keep repeating the question. Or ask him if he fells global warming is a joke.

I'm old now and if you read my post you will see I have no respect and I give no quarter.
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Ferretlover » Sat 06 Oct 2007, 15:44:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Blacksmith', ' ')To make a joke of something you cannot answer is a common trick. What you do next time is be a broken record and keep repeating the question. Or ask him if he fells global warming is a joke.


Blacksmith is quite right.
I think I would ask the panelist if he thought GW was a joke first. It would shut him up, the audience would get quiet to see his response, then ask your initial question first. That will really put him on the spot, and he will be compelled to answer with something... Of course, being older than you, I would finish off with sacasm, saying" Three kids? Yes, I think that some sort charges should be filed."
Course, I am, at times, a very crabby old lady.... :-)
"Open the gates of hell!" ~Morgan Freeman's character in the movie, Olympus Has Fallen.
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Tue 09 Oct 2007, 05:50:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('albente', 'F')orgot about the topic here, can anyone remind me what the discussion is all about?
Image


It was meant to be about people's proposals for dealing with PO. I was trying to get a summary of what they would propose technologically and socially.

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Tue 09 Oct 2007, 05:58:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('muon', ' ')I wonder if there would be a way to reorganise these things to make it better for everyone from a survival point of view rather than a monetary point of view as it seems we use now?


One way would be tax environmentally destructive components of the economy such that the externalized costs are fully contained in the market price.

Say you were to tax oil, shipping and plastic bottle production proportional to the scarcity of the materials they use and to their environmental impact. Then imported bottled water would become unfeasably expensive, and the trade would disappear.

You could reorganize the whole tax system in this manner, while reducing other taxes which are economically destructive (such as the income and payroll tax).

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Ludi » Tue 09 Oct 2007, 17:13:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('btu2012', '[')It was meant to be about people's proposals for dealing with PO. I was trying to get a summary of what they would propose technologically and socially.

Btu



There are good suggestions in the following books:

"Permaculture: a designer's manual" by Bill Mollison. especially the final chapter about social organizations

"Solviva" by Anna Edey
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Wed 10 Oct 2007, 01:28:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')
There are good suggestions in the following books:

"Permaculture: a designer's manual" by Bill Mollison. especially the final chapter about social organizations

"Solviva" by Anna Edey


Thanks for the references.

In this forum I am asking for ideas on how to achieve a transition to a sustainable society. I am surprised at the scarcity of well thought out proposals to that effect. The doomerosity level on these lists is very high. It seems that a lot of people didn't think seriously about what could be done at macro-social level.

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Ludi » Wed 10 Oct 2007, 11:40:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('btu2012', 'I') am surprised at the scarcity of well thought out proposals to that effect. The doomerosity level on these lists is very high. It seems that a lot of people didn't think seriously about what could be done at macro-social level.

Btu


That may not be true - they may just not feel like posting stuff they've posted already a zillion times. There are plenty of plans out there if you look around the 'net. Since most of us aren't in positions of power, it's not of much use for us to spend our time developing macro-social plans. Most of us are busy enough with our micro-social plans.
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Ludi » Wed 10 Oct 2007, 11:48:27

Here's a plan (community scale): http://www.communitysolution.org/solutions.html

Another plan (home scale): http://pathtofreedom.com/


More ideas (community scale): http://www.solviva.com/


Bill Mollison's book referenced above gives in the final chapter a complete plan for new social organization (world scale) based on sustainability, which can be implemented immediately if people want to. Actually. there's nothing stopping immediate action on any of these plans.



Many people here on po.com are actively working toward a sustainable way of life on the home and community scale. If you want more ideas, you might try posting in the Planning forum, which is the forum for planning and implementing change. This forum is more for discussing peak oil itself.
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby muon » Sat 13 Oct 2007, 03:24:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('btu2012', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '
')
There are good suggestions in the following books:

"Permaculture: a designer's manual" by Bill Mollison. especially the final chapter about social organizations

"Solviva" by Anna Edey


Thanks for the references.

In this forum I am asking for ideas on how to achieve a transition to a sustainable society. I am surprised at the scarcity of well thought out proposals to that effect. The doomerosity level on these lists is very high. It seems that a lot of people didn't think seriously about what could be done at macro-social level.

Btu


This is very much what I am interested in and why I hunted out this forum. The apparent doomer focus around here concerns me... then I look in the economics forum and try to learn about that aspect and consider the political focus of governments and I can sort of understand why this isn't talked about much here.

Before TSHTF what government would want to be the one to tell their country about peak oil and that they are going to really do stuff to prepare, mitigate, adapt? What people would vote for that government at the next election when they find out what is necessary for it? What businesses would put up the money for an election campaign for such a political party to run?

When TSHTF then more major things could be introduced and that is about all that 'can' be discussed here, all else is utopian musings. But, politics will say that it needs to be covered up in doublespeak the way it normally is now. Like there's no such thing as peak oil, we don't believe in Hubbert's peak, it's more likely to plateau! Oh I feel safe now then. Or that there's no peak oil, it's more likely that demand will force this before geology does. That makes me feel better then. So instead of talking about peak oil, they'll say it's a capacity problem. It's a demand problem but nothing major, don't change your buying lifestyle if you live in a developed country, we need you to buy or you won't have a job to go to!

Taxation and disincentives paying for incentives is the only thing I can think of on a macro level, but look at the effect they will have on the very businesses that prop up the governments. I get the IEA and EIA muddled but one of them had a report for what measures governments should take in the event of an oil shortage, those things make sense for mitigation, with these and proper incentives for change they can mitigate Jevons Paradox because you could put the money saved into mitigation strategies instead of further fuelling the problem. But what will it take to get this to happen in practice?

I think we have to be ready and willing to make major changes to the way we look at economics on a global level, and I don't see any governments being likely to want to start that off or live through it or guide it willingly or effectively. Now I sound like a doomer :cry:
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Sat 13 Oct 2007, 06:35:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('muon', '
')I think we have to be ready and willing to make major changes to the way we look at economics on a global level, and I don't see any governments being likely to want to start that off or live through it or guide it willingly or effectively. Now I sound like a doomer :cry:


Remember that governments are chosen by the people. When the situation gets critical people will vote new governments.

However governments are not the only centers of power, there are also the military/economic/beaurocratic strategic planners who wield considerable influence. They advise governments and so they could change their perceptions.

This, however, will not be possible until a serious crisis happens.

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Ludi » Sat 13 Oct 2007, 10:37:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('muon', 'I') think we have to be ready and willing to make major changes to the way we look at economics on a global level, and I don't see any governments being likely to want to start that off or live through it or guide it willingly or effectively. Now I sound like a doomer :cry:



I don't expect governments to take the lead in the changes we need to make. Those of us who feel strongly about the need for change, who are "ready and willing to make major changes" to the way we look at and do things, need to act and model these changes, starting now.


We can't just keep talking and planning indefinitely. The time for action is now, in my opinion.
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby dohboi » Sat 13 Oct 2007, 17:24:03

btu claimed: "Remember that governments are chosen by the people..."

Bwahahahahahahahahahahahahhahha.

OK, sorry. First of all, not all governments even pretend to be democratic, so this statement clearly doesn't apply to them. Second, in for example the US 2000 presidential election less than 1/2 of the population voted and of those less than 1/2 (that adds up to less than 1/4 of the total, by the way) voted for the shmuck who won.

Furthermore, moneyed interests, especially if they see themselves threatened, will and do do everything in their power (which is considerable) to subvert the "will of the people" both before (through massive and deceptive TV ads...) and after the election (through lobbying, bribery, threats...).

When the top one percent controls more money (=power) than the bottom 50% (as in Amerika), the pretence of democracy, where all have equal political power, is clearly just that.

Of course, even if the "people" had their way, in a place accustomed to using up 1/4+ of the world's resource with only 1/20 of its population, can you expect them to embrace policies that would force them to live within their ecological means, that is at about an average of 1/7th of their current consumption rate?

Oh, I could go on, but really, that is one of the most sweetly naive things I've seen written on these boards in quite some time. Was it a slip, or do you really cherish such quaint notions?
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Mon 15 Oct 2007, 05:36:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', ' ')OK, sorry. First of all, not all governments even pretend to be democratic, so this statement clearly doesn't apply to them.


Sure, I am talking about the West.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', 'S')econd, in for example the US 2000 presidential election less than 1/2 of the population voted and of those less than 1/2 (that adds up to less than 1/4 of the total, by the way) voted for the shmuck who won.


Nobody said that the electoral system of the US is perfect, but by and large GWB did have the support of about half of the voters. There was manipulation in Florida and elsewhere as there always is. You must face the fact that about half of US voters did support him for one reason or another. By voters I mean people who actually exercised their right to vote.

That only a small proportion of the population votes does not mean that the government isn't chosen by the people.

Also, those who don't exercise their right to vote can't blame anybody for their mistaken belief that voting makes no difference. Their cynicism is understandable but it is not realistic.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', '
')When the top one percent controls more money (=power) than the bottom 50% (as in Amerika), the pretence of democracy, where all have equal political power, is clearly just that.


Democracy means one person, one vote. It does not mean equal political power. As I said there are many other centers of power beyond elected governments. As disappointed as you are with US politics, you would probably be even more disappointed by what's going on in other countries. Actions which would produce huge scandals in the US regularly go unchallenged and even unknown in many Western European countries. The ethos of "civil rights" is much more developed in the US.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', 'O')f course, even if the "people" had their way, in a place accustomed to using up 1/4+ of the world's resource with only 1/20 of its population, can you expect them to embrace policies that would force them to live within their ecological means, that is at about an average of 1/7th of their current consumption rate?


Here we are getting real. "The people" for the most part are completely unaware of the real issues since they have been sold lies for decades, through the media and the education system. This has been one of the main achievements of what you call "moneyed interests", i.e. dumbing down the voters. Political parties just cater to what the voters clamor for, which is mostly not realistic. The content of the left/right debate for the past 30 years has been pathetic
(the "culture wars", "value wars", sexual politics etc--what some on these boards call the "full stomach syndrome").

This can change if voters start hearing the truth. "The people" have dealt with hardship before, such as the Great Depression, WWII etc. It is possible to do that again provided that they have leaders whom they can trust. I agree with you that the current crop of leaders isn't inspiring.

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby muon » Mon 15 Oct 2007, 07:04:51

I have a somewhat crazy idea here for the macro level...

How about rationing via personal ecological (and/or energy) tokens? Each person on earth would be given a ration around 0.7 of a planet (where the WWF calculator approximates around 3 planets currently to the average UK citizen). This wouldn't supplant currency but work alongside it. The tokens would be transferable so that you could swap money for a token inside or outside your country. However if you swap outside your country you pay the value that is set for your country, eg if a token was US$1 then you would pay that to buy a token no matter what country it was from. If a certain product is marked at 10 tokens, then you still have the choice of buying the $50 product and paying 10 "ECOs" (or EEOs) or buying the $5000 version and paying 10 ECOs, so that this still works with capitalism and not moving to a communist economy.

The ECO would automatically give more bang for the ECO in local trade networks but would still allow for global trade. Companies selling high ECO products would be motivated to move to lower ECO production and selling but would not necessarily go out of business as they could first make changes where applicable and viable. A product like a house might be given permission to have ECO loans that are repayable over 25 years. The number of ECOs in circulation should never go above 1 planet. Healthcare would not be included in the personal limit. Global population data would be used in limited periods of years, and unused tokens at the end of the period would be handed in, then you would receive a refund according to the most current data, so that if population rises the refunded ECOs are worth less, if population is lowered, they are worth more.

There would be a gradual phase in, maybe a ten year period where the ECOs are worked out for products and people can see what the cost is of what they are selling and buying and what effects they have, and what changes they need to make to get ready for the active phase.

I have no idea how this would be policed on a national level. On an international level I can only think of total trade sanctions against non-compliant countries.

This wouldn't be just about ecological footprints, but also about peak oil (or other resources). For instance, fossil fuels would naturally be costed high in ECOs and this could rise as reserves go down, but also things like solar or wind power would be factored in according to their footprint, if they're using a resource which the planet is low on, then their ECO cost goes up too.
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby centralstump » Mon 15 Oct 2007, 10:47:29

Quote "Furthermore, moneyed interests, especially if they see themselves threatened, will and do do everything in their power (which is considerable) to subvert the "will of the people" both before (through massive and deceptive TV ads...) and after the election (through lobbying, bribery, threats...)."

[edit: I suck at quoting]


I gotta go with btu on this one. The United States of America is democratic to the EXTREME. To suggest it isn't is scapegoating.

Every single $ that goes towards Britney Spears new fragrance or that brand spanking new 42" Plasma Screen TV (personally guilty) in our basement is a VOTE for the status quo. The business interests compile our votes and then help to elect people that will further OUR interests. Even if our interests are stupid.

We have no one to blame for our problems except ourselves.
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby dohboi » Mon 15 Oct 2007, 13:16:27

Nicely put, Btu. Any suggestions on how to start changing the problems you point out, especially in your last two paragraphs? How to get "truth" out when the media are owned by a few moguls?

cemtralstump, "EXTREME" sounds rather exteme to me. Dollars are not supposed to be the same as votes. I agree that we pretty much desrve the leaders we get. But most people even in the US have views on the environment that are far ahead of their leaders (though still not quite adequae to the problem, and largely contradicted by their purchacing behavior.)

I just can't begin to go into the reasons that the US is far from being a real dmocracy beyond what I've already said. Read some Chomsky or just about any one else with a bit of insight. Of course recent by changes have further eroded what was left of American democracy.

(I suck at quotes, too.)
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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby btu2012 » Mon 15 Oct 2007, 16:15:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', 'N')icely put, Btu. Any suggestions on how to start changing the problems you point out, especially in your last two paragraphs? How to get "truth" out when the media are owned by a few moguls?


That's one of the things I am hoping to get from this thread. One thing which has worked before is to pressure the media (write letters), take out one-page ads, organize pressure groups (even a lobby). Support public television and pressure it to discuss the issues. Many of these things are being done but they can be intensified.

About the media, lobby Congress to change the rules; vote politicians who are aware of the real issues. There is support among strategic planners for these things, it is mostly the career politicians who are the problem.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('dohboi', '
')I just can't begin to go into the reasons that the US is far from being a real democracy beyond what I've already said. Read some Chomsky or just about any one else with a bit of insight. Of course recent by changes have further eroded what was left of American democracy.


That depends what you mean by a real democracy -- obviously you mean something more than one person, one vote. Democracies tend to create diffuse centers of power and in particular plutocracies, this happened anywhere they were tried. You can improve on those effects by having more direct voting, changing electoral rules (campaign finance reform), changing the remuneration system of executives etc. All these can be achieved given enough political will. Voters in the West have been rather apathetic on the issues that matter, that's why the system has been degenerating.

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Re: A "best ideas" program for dealing with PO

Postby Ludi » Mon 15 Oct 2007, 16:23:51

Or one could pursue a plan which does not require action from politicians.


Wouldn't that be easier, or at least faster?
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