by FoxV » Tue 18 Sep 2007, 18:12:04
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('roccman', 'T')hey cut and the 10 year yield went up!!!
This is actually the very predictable (albeit ironic) outcome of a Fed rate cut.
With the the dollar tanking (which started last week, so no "I didn't see it coming" excuses for Ben), they're going to have to give foreigners a lot more than 4.5% for US bonds. This is why I'm not too upset about my housing short getting spanked. The Law of Gravity will prove itself soon enough.
The FED has just proven how ineffectual its going to be in all of this. As was mentioned many times before, this is not a liquidity crisis, its a solvency crisis. If Ben really wanted to help home owners he would of actually raised rates. This would have driven up the dollar and brought foreigners back into the bond market.
But ultimately, this rate cut was not about bailing out homeowners was it Ben.
Personally I'm surprised at how ball-less Ben demonstrated himself to be. A decent Fed would have only gone 0.25%. A good Fed would have done nothing. A great Fed have acted the first day in office.