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We'll go down fighting!

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby threadbear » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 14:59:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RonMN', '[')b]Threadbear Wrote:
Isn't it more than worth it, to work towards cleaning up the environment, carbon emissions wise, particularly if you have children?Your grandchildren will likely be alive then.

.

And the species has not died out...We're not going to get people to stop driving cars, or stop heating / ACing their homes...it simply wont happen...We wont stop burning coal & live without electricity.


You actually believe we'll face die off because some hopelessly esoteric movement like -'the Voluntary Simplicity Movement' just won't take hold? You're kidding me, aren't you? Listen, the restraints placed on people, very soon (as a matter of fact it's starting to happen in a big way now) are going to be anything but voluntary. This isn't a democratic process.

The eco-damage we have already caused is severe, but there is absolutely no general scientific consensus that the planet can't survive it, nor people, through die-back.

Your way of thinking has people thinking, " I'll just party, burn all of the gas I can, invest in oil companies, for the short term, and to hell with it".

You want to help the planet and your kids, have a shred of hope.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby threadbear » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 15:09:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Montequest', 'H')ad we been truly intelligent, we could have limited our numbers on the commons. Think of the world we could have had: a small healthy population, relatively free of disease and suffering with a high quality of life—almost forever. In our insistence to breed with freedom on the commons, we squandered that opportunity. And since the population went up due to the population sustainability of fossil fuels, it will go down as they decline—although there is uncertainty as to what a sustainable global population would be without them.


Has there ever been an example of this kind of self-restraint in any group of people or any other any creature for that matter?

The tragedy of the commons is illustrated perhaps more pointedly by an all you can eat buffet--everyone eats more than they should and no one has a clue when it's time to stop eating, other than when their stomachs begin to hurt. Imagine a pack of wolves in an all you can eat buffet, though, and I think it would be just as ugly; in other words, I don't think depleting resources in an irrational manner is unique to humans (we just do it on a larger scale) and have managed to do away with all of our natural predators (other than the germs).

I agree that such a sustainable world would be nice, but do you really think that kind of structure is compatible with human nature? I think that however enlightened an individual may be, there is something about getting into a group or social situation that causes him to lose some of that enlightenment and act less rationally.


You have a counter situation, when it comes to natural resources, often times. Land is sold out of Crown lands, privatized and then raped by investors, in Canada.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby Jack » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 15:23:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'Y')our way of thinking has people thinking, " I'll just party, burn all of the gas I can, invest in oil companies, for the short term, and to hell with it".


You say that as if it's a bad thing.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')You want to help the planet and your kids, have a shred of hope.


Why?

No - I'm not just being nasty. Why should I let some hypothetical child have a shred of hope? More pointedly, why should I inconvenience myself in the slightest in order to benefit some other person?

Unless and until you come up with a compelling reason, I see trouble persuading others to rally to your cause.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby RonMN » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 15:26:44

Threadbear Wrote:
You actually believe we'll face die off because some hopelessly esoteric movement like -'the Voluntary Simplicity Movement' just won't take hold? You're kidding me, aren't you?

Nope, I believe we will face die off because of resource depletion & lack of cooperation...But I'm not kidding about the "Voluntary Simplicity Movement' just won't take hold"...Remember Jimmy Carter saying turn down your heat & put on a sweater?

Boy, that went over like a fart in church! :lol:

I suspect it will go over about the same today...even as there are accute energy shortages/disruptions, people will continue to believe the "all is well" shpeel.

Be affraid of stupid people in large numbers!!!
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby Bas » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 15:30:25

re: French revolution

In order for us to keep our heads the next time, we, Monseigneurs might have to have some more attention for the needs and justice of the common man.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby keehah » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 15:34:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')as there ever been an example of this kind of self-restraint in any group of people or any other any creature for that matter?


Sure there has been and are. They just get overrun by groups without the self-restraint that over-populate and destroy their land base.

As it alway will be until (for example) no-population growth Luddite tree-huggers' also have the most power and biggest guns and regularily use them! That and they live on another planet that is not already in human population over-shoot.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby threadbear » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 15:51:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'Y')our way of thinking has people thinking, " I'll just party, burn all of the gas I can, invest in oil companies, for the short term, and to hell with it".


You say that as if it's a bad thing.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')You want to help the planet and your kids, have a shred of hope.


Why?

No - I'm not just being nasty. Why should I let some hypothetical child have a shred of hope? More pointedly, why should I inconvenience myself in the slightest in order to benefit some other person?

Unless and until you come up with a compelling reason, I see trouble persuading others to rally to your cause.


Social capital is the best insurance. We don't live and die in a vacuum, and the spin off effects, of doing unto others, have multiplier effects, even when resources are scarce. Doing simply for yourself ultimately shrinks your life to a dot and diminishes you chance of survival. This may be the best strategy in the bleakest possible scenario, but it's not likely we'll face a world quite that uninhabitable.

The Golden Rule works and has worked through the ages, because it is a basic survival mechanism.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby JPL » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 18:30:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', 'W')hy should I let some hypothetical child have a shred of hope? More pointedly, why should I inconvenience myself in the slightest in order to benefit some other person?


Hi Jack,

Simply because people without fossil fuels once built THIS (temple of Artemis, artist's reconstruction):

Image

What did they have that we don't have, old friend???

(Clue - one word, four letters, begins with 'h')

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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby Jack » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 19:11:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '
')What did they have that we don't have, old friend???

(Clue - one word, four letters, begins with 'h')

JP


I confess that I'm at a loss. I even did a dictionary search for 4-letter words beginning with h...

help? hips? hate? hops? hemp? :twisted:
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby JPL » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 19:40:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '
')What did they have that we don't have, old friend???

(Clue - one word, four letters, begins with 'h')

JP


I confess that I'm at a loss. I even did a dictionary search for 4-letter words beginning with h...

help? hips? hate? hops? hemp? :twisted:


Second letter 'o'. Rhymes with 'dope'...

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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby JPL » Fri 24 Aug 2007, 22:07:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', 'T')here isn't going to be a 'Die Off'. (I think most of us have figured that out by now...)


Naw, only about 10% think that.


Enforceable laws (e.g. one child per couple laws) 22.57% (146)
Economic solutions will suffice 7.42% (48)
Education and promotion alone will suffice 7.88% (51)
Ending immigration is the key. 10.82% (70)
Die off is the only solution 41.73% (270)
There's not a population problem. 9.58% (62)

Are we in overshoot? Do we need to reduce the world's population?
Yes
87% [ 57 ]
No
12% [ 8 ]

Will there be a die-off? Yes, we have overshot our carrying capacity
70% [ 34 ]
Yes, but it will be minor and localized
20% [ 10 ]
No, not a all
8% [ 4 ]

Total Votes : 48

Will there be a die-off in the U.S. as oil production declines to zero?
Yes
74% [ 35 ]
No
25% [ 12 ]

Total Votes : 47


You had 270 votes for 'die-off'...impressive.

Last time I looked, there were over 6 billion people on the planet. You going to give all of them the same set of tick-boxes? Love to see the results (grin).

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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby SeasonOfPain » Sat 25 Aug 2007, 00:22:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', 'S')imply because people without fossil fuels once built THIS (temple of Artemis, artist's reconstruction):

<snip>

What did they have that we don't have, old friend???


Um, slave labor? (Assuming you didn't mean the artist's reconstruction itself, obviously, which is pretty)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '(')Clue - one word, four letters, begins with 'h')


Hoof? Hemp? Hump?

Hurt?

Hope is irrelevant. Any intersection of what we personally hope for and what will actually happen to us as a species is entirely coincidental.

Whatever any survivors of the coming die-off believe in or aspire to will seem as foreign to us as the worship of Artemis would seem to a dyed-in-the-wool Baptist. Therefore it seems rather silly to hope for things for your offspring that they may not even want (much less be actually able to achieve).

Those who adapt to live within their paradigm will be much happier (and more successful) than those trying to impose their own incompatible ideals on it.
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 25 Aug 2007, 01:19:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', ' ')You had 270 votes for 'die-off'...impressive.

Last time I looked, there were over 6 billion people on the planet. You going to give all of them the same set of tick-boxes? Love to see the results


Just refuting your claim that "most" of the posters on here have decided there isn't going to be a die-off.
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby JPL » Sat 25 Aug 2007, 18:38:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', ' ')You had 270 votes for 'die-off'...impressive.

Last time I looked, there were over 6 billion people on the planet. You going to give all of them the same set of tick-boxes? Love to see the results


Just refuting your claim that "most" of the posters on here have decided there isn't going to be a die-off.


I accept your core point. You are right in this instance.

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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby JPL » Sat 25 Aug 2007, 18:52:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SeasonOfPain', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', 'S')imply because people without fossil fuels once built THIS (temple of Artemis, artist's reconstruction):

<snip>

What did they have that we don't have, old friend???


Um, slave labor? (Assuming you didn't mean the artist's reconstruction itself, obviously, which is pretty)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JPL', '(')Clue - one word, four letters, begins with 'h')


Hoof? Hemp? Hump?

Hurt?

Hope is irrelevant. Any intersection of what we personally hope for and what will actually happen to us as a species is entirely coincidental.

Whatever any survivors of the coming die-off believe in or aspire to will seem as foreign to us as the worship of Artemis would seem to a dyed-in-the-wool Baptist. Therefore it seems rather silly to hope for things for your offspring that they may not even want (much less be actually able to achieve).

Those who adapt to live within their paradigm will be much happier (and more successful) than those trying to impose their own incompatible ideals on it.


'Hope' is negotiable. It is a subjective expression - it means different things to different people (grin).

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Re: We'll go down fighting!

Unread postby BigTex » Mon 27 Aug 2007, 12:17:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BigTex', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Montequest', 'H')ad we been truly intelligent, we could have limited our numbers on the commons. Think of the world we could have had: a small healthy population, relatively free of disease and suffering with a high quality of life—almost forever. In our insistence to breed with freedom on the commons, we squandered that opportunity. And since the population went up due to the population sustainability of fossil fuels, it will go down as they decline—although there is uncertainty as to what a sustainable global population would be without them.


Has there ever been an example of this kind of self-restraint in any group of people or any other any creature for that matter?


Of course. Can you not think of any?


Perhaps you can name a few.

As someone else noted, I believe that there is a kind of feudal Jevon's paradox that plays out any time one group or society manages its resources well--someone else comes along with bigger guns and smaller brains and overruns the whole thing and consumes the well balanced system like in my all you can eat restaurant example.

South American civilizations--Spanish took them out

American Indians--Europeans (and new Americans) took them out

Ralph Nader--Pat Buchanan took him out

Utopian worlds in science fiction--they're not real; it's just fiction

One of the fundamental problems I think we will see in a die off, power down, etc., is that there is no guarantee that the survivors will be the enlightened ones.

To the extent that the survivors are the enlightened ones, I'm afraid they are going to need to maintain a large pantry of #10 cans of zombie whupass, because I have trouble seeing why there won't be increasingly desperate have-nots who want to get into the new Eden as well.
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new Edens

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 27 Aug 2007, 12:35:06

Why couldn't they be helped to create their own new Eden?


http://www.greenbeltmovement.org/

http://www.iirr.org/saem/page106-109.htm
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Re: new Edens

Unread postby BigTex » Mon 27 Aug 2007, 12:55:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')hy couldn't they be helped to create their own new Eden?


http://www.greenbeltmovement.org/

http://www.iirr.org/saem/page106-109.htm


I think that the zombies would try to create their own Eden, but it wouldn't be as good as the enlightened peoples' Eden. That's what would make them attack.

To the point about "resources", I agree that it is a term packed with assumptions. However, as long as we are creatures that get hungry several times a day it's hard not to think in terms of "resources". In fact, if you think about it in terms of Maslow's hierarchy of needs, it's only after we have the necessary resources secured that we can even begin to think about enlightenment, self-actualization, the meaning of life, and so forth.

Society is a machine that needs a big battery to function. The battery needs resources to stay charged.

As far as whether the resources orientation is good or bad, I wasn't in on any of the meetings in which the decisions about having an indistrialized society were made. I just showed up one day in 1970 and I've been trying to figure all this s*** out ever since.
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zombies....

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 27 Aug 2007, 13:01:49

I've never met a zombie, so I don't know how insanely irrational they are. I guess if they'd rather attack me than learn from me, there's nothing much I can do about it!


:)
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Re: zombies....

Unread postby BigTex » Mon 27 Aug 2007, 13:18:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'I')'ve never met a zombie, so I don't know how insanely irrational they are. I guess if they'd rather attack me than learn from me, there's nothing much I can do about it!


:)


A zombie is your neighbor after he hasn't eaten for a week.
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