by MrBill » Sat 28 Jul 2007, 05:49:39
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', 'I') guess I have to explain myself now huh?
I believe that ultimately what is important is whether the rest of the world wishes to hold onto US dollars. The fact that oil is priced in US dollars is irrelevant.
What's keeping the US dollar afloat right now is the central bankers of the world (especially Asian nations) holding onto US dollars.
Correct. Demand for USD does NOT come from pricing OIL in USD, but from OPEC and non-OPEC oil producers and Asian exporters deciding to retain some or all of their export receipts in USD denominated assets.
I have covered this before. I can post links, but right now I am off to the beach, so no time.
Basically,
1. you sell yen, yuan or euros to buy USD
2. you then sell USD to buy oil
3. net net there is no extra demand for USD
and then
4. the exporter can sell USD to buy yen, yuan or euro assets
If they decide to keep their export receipts in USD that is another matter altogether. That is because they want USD assets. Why I do not know, but apparently they do despite their public concerns to the contrary.
You can make the argument that OPEC or non-OPEC oil producers or Asian exporters need to keep USD to pay for imports, but as Asians and Germans are large exporters as well you can argue that those trade flows could also be denominated in yen, yuan or euros if they so choose. No one forces them to use the USD. And some like Iran obviously would prefer not to.
Off to the beach now. Cheers.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.