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THE Power Grid Thread (merged)

Discussions of conventional and alternative energy production technologies.

Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby yesplease » Mon 02 Jul 2007, 18:42:51

The only problem is that we don't accurately tax according to damage to road infrastructure/use in the first place. If this were the case, larger vehicles (aka semi's) would pay way, way more than they do currently. A bike compared to a car does nearly nothing, and pays nearly nothing. A car compared to a semi does nearly nothing, but ends up paying for the majority of damage the semi does...

Just another example of undustry manipulating gubberment to make as much mon3yz as possible.
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby xrotaryguy » Mon 02 Jul 2007, 19:15:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lawnchair', 'T')he United States produced 4055 TWh in the entirety of 2005, not per day. That is 11.65 TWh per day.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/cneaf/electricit ... s_sum.html

Might I suggest HP calculators next time?


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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby JRP3 » Mon 02 Jul 2007, 19:29:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PolestaR', '
')
That number (40 miles) will only get larger as time goes by, especially if driving a car, the actual cost of running it, is low.


Not if the range of those vehicles are limited, as they are, and not if other energy costs and therefore general living expenses increase, which they will.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PolestaR', '
')Yet miles traveled each year seems to be on a steady incline. Not sure which recent report you got which said people are moving back to the cities, meanwhile I can see with my eyes the very heavy growth of suburbia.

Miles traveled each year increase because the economy is still good and fuel is still cheap. Watch what happens when that changes. That will also collapse the suburban housing bubble.
As for increasing urban population:
http://tinyurl.com/2kyd5y
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby xrotaryguy » Mon 02 Jul 2007, 20:46:43

One gallon of gasoline does have 35 KWh per gallon, but only about 22% of that energy is actually used to move the car. Compare this to the 88% efficiency of an electric car, and there is a problem with the calculation. Electric cars would demand 3.5 TWh from the grid rather than 14 TWh. That’s 1277.5 additional TWh per year. If we currently use 4255 TWh per year, then the US would have to increase electricity generating capacity by about 30% to meet the needs of a 100% electric vehicle fleet. (Correct me if my Ti83 is making mistakes for me again :P )

It is interesting that the report says that the grid can support the same number of electric cars (180 million) as there are gasoline powered cars (204 million depending on who you ask) on the road today.
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby lawnchair » Mon 02 Jul 2007, 21:24:39

My back of the envelope is as follows: 'residential' (not commercial) miles are now over 2 trillion miles per year in the US. :? Equivalent of 18.25 solo miles per man,woman,child per day.

http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/rtecs/nhts_ ... index.html

The Tesla Roadster may not be the paragon of electric efficiency. I'm sure less powerful models are salable, but I'm sure bigger ones (minivans, etc) will sell. Call it average? But it is pretty damned good. In test circuits it gets 5 miles per kilowatthour (at the plug). Think about it, that's impressive. 20 miles per load in an electric tumble dryer. A fair bit less in real start-and-stop traffic, but it's a round number.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tesla_Roadster

2e12 / 5 = 400e9 ... 400 TWh per year under pretty optimal calculations. Your estimate of 1277.5 seems pretty reasonable for real-world scenarios.
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby Mesuge » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 10:54:52

The efficiency of electric car (incl. energy production/distribution) is roughly 30% as opposed to 14% for various ICEs (bio, CTL, gas, CNG), FC, etc.. Certainly not 88% !

Image

--
Now, to comment on yet another misconception, it has been on this forum mentioned and documented by various studies several times that just one loaded 18wheeler truck destroys the road as 10.000 passanger cars!

So, "fair share of roadtax for EVs" is a complete joke if we talk about light passanger cars or the "american trucks/pickups" upto say 1.5t of weight..
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 11:35:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mesuge', 'S')o, "fair share of roadtax for EVs" is a complete joke if we talk about light passanger cars or the "american trucks/pickups" upto say 1.5t of weight..


I agree, but there's no mechanism for funding our highway system commensurate with the impact that vehicles have on that system. Until trucks are charged what their impact actually costs, the increasing numbers of EVs and ultralights (as opposed to ICEs) are going to render the system insolvent in no time. "Fair share" taxing, or the lack thereof, won't mean much if roads are impassable.
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby JRP3 » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 12:53:46

It wouldn't be that hard to tax based on weight. On the other hand, roads full of potholes would slow traffic and make vehicles even more efficient, especially with regen suspension :-D
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby xrotaryguy » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 16:18:20

The 88% that I stated was not a well to wheel efficiency rating nor did it need to be given the calculation. My calculation still stands.

A 30% increase in electric generation is attainable, but how about a 30% decrease in consumption? That sounds even better doesn't it?
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby yesplease » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 16:33:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mesuge', 'T')he efficiency of electric car (incl. energy production/distribution) is roughly 30% as opposed to 14% for various ICEs (bio, CTL, gas, CNG), FC, etc.. Certainly not 88% !

xrotaryguy was comparing controller/electric motor eff to ICE engine eff. W/ EVs, the biggest hit is when the power is initially generated at whatever plant, and with cars, it's when the power is initially generated in the vehicle. That being said, centralized power generation is at least twice as efficient as distributed in this case. To compound this, in order for an EV to have decent cost/range, it would need be fairly efficient, and operated in an environment where it's advantages are maximized. I would guess that the average EV used in the proper setting is ~4-8 times more energy efficient than the average ICE powered vehicle used in the same setting.
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby xrotaryguy » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 18:04:44

Thanks :)
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby Mesuge » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 18:17:13

You wrote exactly in one sentence "88% efficiency of electric car" which is a nonsense, pls. read again the EV conversion website and its tables on the page you attempted to link as your source..

I'll be the last to question the uber efficiency of electric traction components like motor/charger/inverter-controller though, which are obviously often way above 90%..

Sorry, there has been so many detailed posts on EVs that you must be a more precise in your statements, there are several practicing owners of EVs lurking around..
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby xrotaryguy » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 22:40:29

Yes, I stated that electric cars are 88% efficient. I think I have said it several times now. The site that I used as a source says that electric cars are 88% efficient.

Why are you disputing me? You just said that ev's with regenerative braking are better than 90% efficient. My 88% claim is conservative.

My calculation used the 88% efficiency of an ev and the low efficiency of ic powered cars (in the low 20's) to reveal how much electrical demand will increase. A 30% increase in electricity demand is big, but it is not impossible to meet.
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby lawnchair » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 23:54:49

As regards the taxation: Yes, semis do the great majority of the damage. Weathering alone does plenty. But, there wouldn't need to be hundreds of thousands of additional lane-miles being built without the growing fleet of commuter cars and SUVs. The pricing structure needs to include the non-zero cost of building autolebensraum not needed for trucking alone.
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby PolestaR » Wed 04 Jul 2007, 03:16:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('xrotaryguy', 'T')he 88% that I stated was not a well to wheel efficiency rating nor did it need to be given the calculation. My calculation still stands.

A 30% increase in electric generation is attainable, but how about a 30% decrease in consumption? That sounds even better doesn't it?


You can't use 88% however because somehow energy needs to get localized to the car for you to determine the EVs actual energy use. You can't just pull electricity out of the air (well you can, that's another story), it needs to be STORED in the car (like petrol in an ICE). So in this case you need to include the efficiencies in charging the electrical storage on board the vehicle. Battery powered EVs are around 75% efficient, and that is the number you should be using, unless you know of some electrical storage method which is 100% efficient? No? Because if not then the EV will never be 88% efficient because it will lose energy in the charging process, and you NEED a charging process, they won't work without one. ;)

I suggest you (re)learn some basic maths and comparison skills because you've shown a severe lack of them to this point.
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby yesplease » Wed 04 Jul 2007, 15:58:16

xrotaryguy's figure seems reasonable. They stated it was for just the EV itself, not any of the processes used to transfer that electricity to it. Just like only using the mileage of a car and not including the energy lost refining/transporting the oil. Battery->Controller->Hub Motor could likely be at ~88%...
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby patrick_b » Wed 04 Jul 2007, 17:00:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mesuge', 'T')he efficiency of electric car (incl. energy production/distribution) is roughly 30% as opposed to 14% for various ICEs (bio, CTL, gas, CNG), FC, etc.. Certainly not 88% !
Image


Both numbers are correct !
This is not contradictory...
An electric car has indeed an efficiency of more than 80%.

But if you include the complete cylce from energy input to production and consumption, this goes down a lot. The reason is that converting heat (typically in a coal/gas/oil/wood/nuclear power plant) to mechanical force (to produce electricity) cannot be done without huge losses.. (google for carnot machine)

Typically a nuclear power plant converts only 36% of its input energy to electricity. The rest of the energy is basically heat and is converted to a huge water vapor cloud that comes out of the cooling towers....

If you multiply 88% * 36% you get 31.7%... If you add some other losses like electricity transport, you get about 30%... In our example, there is only about 30% of the heat generated by uranium fission that is actually used to move the car. But at the same time 88% of the electricity consumed moves the car.


The interest of electric cars is also that input energy can be generated in any way.... For example, if someone uses solar panels on his house and backyard to charge his car, it doesn't matter that the solar panels only convert a fraction of the sun's energy because we don't need to pay to receive sunlight. (The problem here is the surface used.) Same with wind turbines: we pay for the turbines, the surface used, but not for wind itself...
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby Starvid » Wed 04 Jul 2007, 17:43:53

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')Typically a nuclear power plant converts only 36% of its input energy to electricity. The rest of the energy is basically heat and is converted to a huge water vapor cloud that comes out of the cooling towers....

Still, that conversion is not fair to include in the well-to-wheel calculation.

I mean, what's the alternative? Leaving the uranium in the ground, for no us? That's extremely energy inefficient as it gives us no energy at all.

It's different for fossil fuels as they have alternative uses, but uranium hasn't. Hence, if it's not used, it's 100 % wasted instead of only 67 % wasted.
Last edited by Starvid on Thu 05 Jul 2007, 07:32:01, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Nation's grid could power almost 185 million electric ca

Unread postby shortonoil » Wed 04 Jul 2007, 21:09:28

I see one little snafu in your project to build 100 million EVs. If they cost an average of $20,000 apiece, then it will take 1.23 billion barrels of oil to build them. That will probably be harder to come by than the electricity to power them, unless you don’t mind starving to death while the nation goes electric. I think, a 100 million horses and a few more trains would be more practical.
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