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THE Uranium Supply Thread pt 4 (merged)

Discussions of conventional and alternative energy production technologies.

Re: Uranium Supply

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Thu 14 Jun 2007, 23:04:24

kolm, your post gives me even more evidence that current uranium supplies are very underestimated.

If they are factoring in a long term price of only 14% of current prices...I can only imagine what the reserves would look like at today's prices.

And that ignores any future increase in prices.

Price and EROEI are not synonyms.

Why?

Because Energy is not the only cost involved with uranium production.
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Re: Uranium Supply

Unread postby Etika » Mon 02 Jul 2007, 16:30:22

For some reason one extremely important source of nuclear fuel is almost always forgotten. The spent fuel removed from reactors contains still a lot of usable uranium (and some plutonium).

For technical reasons the maximum burnup of the fuel is typically around 25-30%. If really pushing, 40% might be possible. This means that over 50% of the usable fuel is still in the assemblies when they are removed from the reactor. Reprocessing the spent fuel so that the usable components are separated and used to make new fuel is technically possible and starts to be economically viable with the current fuel prices. The reason why it is not done on a larger scale is mostly political - the end product of reprocessing is also very good material for nuclear bombs. However I'd expect the opposition for reprocessing die out as people realise ho valuable the spent fuel can be - both in the terms of fuel and energy.

Spent fuel and dismantled nuclear warheads alone would contain enough uranium to run the current reactors for ~100 years. The potential sources for uranium are so diverse that that "peak uranium" won't be coming soon.
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depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby eric_b » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 00:10:38

"Slipping nukes under the wire" Depleted Uranium: link
The use of DU amounts to a self-destructive, suicidal, gesture. And to think its use was coolly contemplated at the highest echelons of US decision making shows the level of insanity we've reached. That we should purposely choose to contaminate the very ground, the Earth - our food supply, for evanescent treasure speaks of the power and blindness of human greed. This stuff has a half-life measured in billions of years and attacks our very genetic structure, damning many future generations.

From the link:$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n a declassified memo to General Leslie R. Groves, dated October 30, 1943, three of the top physicists in the Manhattan Project, Dr James B Conant, A H Compton, and H C Urey, made their recommendation, as members of the Subcommittee of the S-1 Executive Committee, on the ‘Use of Radioactive Materials as a Military Weapon’:
"As a gas warfare instrument the material would be ground into particles of microscopic size to form dust and smoke and distributed by a ground-fired projectile, land vehicles, or aerial bombs. In this form it would be inhaled by personnel. The amount necessary to cause death to a person inhaling the material is extremely small … There are no known methods of treatment for such a casualty … it will permeate a standard gas mask filter in quantities large enough to be extremely damaging."
As a Terrain Contaminant: "To be used in this manner, the radioactive materials would be spread on the ground either from the air or from the ground if in enemy controlled territory. In order to deny terrain to either side except at the expense of exposing personnel to harmful radiations … Areas so contaminated by radioactive material would be dangerous until the slow natural decay of the material took place … for average terrain no decontaminating methods are known. No effective protective clothing for personnel seems possible of development. … Reservoirs or wells would be contaminated or food poisoned with an effect similar to that resulting from inhalation of dust or smoke."
Internal Exposure: "… Particles smaller than 1µ [micron] are more likely to be deposited in the alveoli where they will either remain indefinitely or be absorbed into the lymphatics or blood. … could get into the gastro-intestinal tract from polluted water, or food, or air. … may be absorbed from the lungs or G-I tract into the blood and so distributed throughout the body."

And, this:$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')lobal radioactive contamination from atmospheric testing was the equivalent of 40,000 Hiroshima bombs, and still contaminates the atmosphere and lower orbital space today. The amount of low level radioactive pollution from depleted uranium released since 1991, is many times more (deposited internally in the body), than was released from atmospheric testing fallout.

The author & whistleblower, Leuren Moret, was told shortly after leaving Lawrence Livermore Labs:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')rophetically, an acquaintance coolly said to me, a year after I left the lab, 'You are in a police net you will never get out of ... for the rest of your life.

This, for attempting to speak the truth on the use of depleted uranium.
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby mmasters » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 00:20:32

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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 06:18:00

Given that the LNT (Linear No Threshold) theory on low radiation doses has been disproven every time it has been tested claiming that any dose is deadly is just plain false. Many of those who make the claim do not realize it is false, however some person such as Prof Gofman are very well aware, however they have a large financial interest in perpetuating the lie.

Truely low dose materials are not a threat. Mixing in stories about Co-60 contaminated jewelry is misleading to say the least, Co-60 was planned to be used for radiological warefare and definately does not qualify as low dose for about 10 years after date of manufacture.

Depleated Uranium is a heavy metal threat, not a radiological threat. If you get it in your system 99% of your chances of dieing from it have to due with its chemistry, not its radiology.
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby Specop_007 » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 08:40:39

Oh, are we doing this again?

I love the "OMG DU WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE" crowd. I get endless amounts of amusement from them. :-D
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby Geko45 » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 10:36:31

Are we discussing Depleted Uranium or Democratic Underground?

:P

The idea of getting radiation sickness from depleted uranium is absurd. However, DU is a heavy metal (which is why it makes such a good projectile) and can cause other problems in much the same way that lead does.
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby smallpoxgirl » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 11:14:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', 'I') love the "OMG DU WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE" crowd.


Uhhh...hate to break it to you Specop, but we are all going to die. Just a question of when and why.
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 13:48:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', 'I') love the "OMG DU WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE" crowd.


Uhhh...hate to break it to you Specop, but we are all going to die. Just a question of when and why.


Good point Smallpoxgirl! It's the We are all gonna die prematurely crowd that gets on my nerves LOL.
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby shakespear1 » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 15:37:23

I had no clue of the seriousness of DU :-( The stats on Gulf I vets is just astounding.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_code('', 'Just 467 U.S. personnel were wounded in the three-week Persian Gulf War in 1990-1991. Out of 580,400 soldiers who served in Gulf War I, 11,000 are dead, and by 2000 there were 325,000 on permanent medical disability. This astounding number of disabled vets means that a decade later, 56 percent of those soldiers who served now have medical problems.')
Rest is here: Link
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby eric_b » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 15:55:39

Let's see, Tanada is a shameless nuke booster, Spec's a shill, and SPG is a gun nut. Is it any surprise these people are the ones saying 'no worries'. lol

And where did I ever say anything about 'we're all going to die'? Sheesh. Anyway as SPG said.. we are all going to die, eventually.

Back to depleted uranium, it can be argued simply from the point of chemical toxicity that you don't want to be spreading large amounts of heavy metal dust (what happens to DU rounds on impact) in an urban environment.

However the element is also, despite what the DoD would have us believe, a radiological hazard, possibly a substantial one. It's controversial for good reason, and I would argue that it's likely more toxic that the 'TPTB' are willing to admit. We're talking about profit here after all.
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Re: Uranium Supply

Unread postby MCrab » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 18:10:49

Uranium price falls for first time in four years

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'U')ranium prices fell after almost four years of gains as power utilities slowed purchases, industry consulting company TradeTech LLC said.

Spot prices for uranium oxide concentrate dropped US$3 to US$135 a pound last week, Denver-based TradeTech said June 30 in its weekly Nuclear Market Review.


Sshhhh!! Don't tell M_B_S....he'll cry! :twisted:
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 19:50:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shakespear1', 'I') had no clue of the seriousness of DU :-( The stats on Gulf I vets is just astounding.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_code('', 'Just 467 U.S. personnel were wounded in the three-week Persian Gulf War in 1990-1991. Out of 580,400 soldiers who served in Gulf War I, 11,000 are dead, and by 2000 there were 325,000 on permanent medical disability. This astounding number of disabled vets means that a decade later, 56 percent of those soldiers who served now have medical problems.')
Rest is here ...

It really is astounding the number of ways you can lie with statistics, isn't it? For instance the time period between GW I and GW II is short enough that many of the older soldiers in the current conflict were young soldiers in the first, some 170,000 of them. The highest numbers I found in my quick search of reputibel websites were quite astounding, to me the 30% casualty rate is quite bad enough without the hyperbole figure of 56% on the web page you cite above.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hus the actual casualty rate from combat during 1990-1991 is probably higher than the 29.3% rate the new VA report verifies. However, combat activities did not stop in 1991. Therefore, since August 1991 a cumulative total of 1,127,458 individuals have been deployed to the Gulf with 851480 veterans now eligible for veterans benefits.

Consequently the VA officially recognizes in the May 2002 report that a total of 262,586 individuals are "disabled veterans" due to duty in the Gulf and that
10,617 veterans have died of combat related injuries or illnesses since the initiation of the Gulf War during August 1990. That gives us a verified casualty rate of 30.8%.

from LINK I and LINK II $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he percentage of Gulf War veterans granted disabled status -- 26 percent -- is now higher than for any modern U.S. combat experience and is two and one half times the disability rate from the 10-year-long Vietnam War, according to VA sources.

VA Public Information Officer Jim Benson told FedBuzz that more than 183,000 veterans have been granted "disability status for one or more conditions" resulting from Operation Desert Storm between August of 1990 and April of 1991. Benson said that another 36,782 disability claims by Gulf War vets are now pending and are being evaluated. About 700,000 members of the U.S. Armed Forces took part in the nine-month military campaign that decided the outcome of the Gulf War.

A point of interest, from reading reports released at the time a lot of personell were exposed to highly toxic vapor clouds released when Iraqi SCUD missiles were shot down or hit on the ground, nasty stuff rocket propellent. SCUD Fuel poisening in GWI LINK Also a known factor is the Anthrax vaccine used on deployed troops, 41% of US Service personell deployed to the gulf received the shot and they make up the vast majority of those suffering from GWI. Vaccine linked to GWI

In case anyone cares this issue matters to me, I have friends and relatives who served at the time and I would have been serving at the time myself except for the fact that I failed my entrance physical for military service. GWI is real, it is nasty, and nobody knows 100% what the main cause is, however there is strong evidence that it comes from Anthrax vaccine coupled with other exposures received during the war. There is little evidence that DU contamination is a cause, though there is some evidence that it is a contributing factor for those vaccinated and then exposed to DU.
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 20:01:35

You got me, I must be a $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')hameless nuke booster
because I do not lie or attempt to mislead anyone on Nuclear issues and therefore I have nothing to be ashamed of.
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby Bas » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 20:20:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')lso a known factor is the Anthrax vaccine used on deployed troops, 41% of US Service personell deployed to the gulf received the shot and they make up the vast majority of those suffering from GWI. Vaccine linked to GWI


Your link doesn't back up that claim. Is there a specific time when they got these shots? Like during Gulf War 1? In that case there could be a strong correlation between the vaccine and GWI, but this does not at all have to mean that there is a relation between the two.
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby Tanada » Tue 03 Jul 2007, 20:56:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bas', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')lso a known factor is the Anthrax vaccine used on deployed troops, 41% of US Service personell deployed to the gulf received the shot and they make up the vast majority of those suffering from GWI. Vaccine linked to GWI
Your link doesn't back up that claim. Is there a specific time when they got these shots? Like during Gulf War 1? In that case there could be a strong correlation between the vaccine and GWI, but this does not at all have to mean that there is a relation between the two.

My bad, here is the correct link LINK
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby Specop_007 » Wed 04 Jul 2007, 16:59:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eric_b', 'L')et's see, Tanada is a shameless nuke booster, Spec's a shill, and SPG is a gun nut. Is it any surprise these people are the ones saying 'no worries'. lol

And where did I ever say anything about 'we're all going to die'? Sheesh. Anyway as SPG said.. we are all going to die, eventually.

Back to depleted uranium, it can be argued simply from the point of chemical toxicity that you don't want to be spreading large amounts of heavy metal dust (what happens to DU rounds on impact) in an urban environment.

However the element is also, despite what the DoD would have us believe, a radiological hazard, possibly a substantial one. It's controversial for good reason, and I would argue that it's likely more toxic that the 'TPTB' are willing to admit. We're talking about profit here after all.


Awww gee, I'm sorry did we ruin your "OMG THE DU NUKES WE'RE ALL GONNE DIEZ!" party?

:lol:
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Re: depleted uranium - slipping nukes under the wire

Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Wed 04 Jul 2007, 17:38:35

DU is NASTY SHIT. Sure we're evolved to deal with some radioactivity, in fact if I didn't have other plans it would be fun to go to the beach and lie on some granite rocks.... but DU is being used to salt the earth over there at far higher than natural levels, and it's very poisonous on its own as a heavy metal.

US will get its "judgement at nuremberg".
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Re: Uranium Supply

Unread postby PraiseDoom » Thu 05 Jul 2007, 16:51:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', '
')Price and EROEI are not synonyms.

Why?

Because Energy is not the only cost involved with uranium production.


HOW DARE YOU QUESTION THE DOGMA!!!!!!

Pretending that the economics of the situation is ANYTHING other than purely Doom oriented is heresy, and you need yo-self some education!!

Read the Prophet Ruppert quickly!! And Repent!
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Re: Uranium Supply

Unread postby Zardoz » Sun 08 Jul 2007, 01:30:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('PraiseDoom', 'H')OW DARE YOU QUESTION THE DOGMA!!!!!!

Pretending that the economics of the situation is ANYTHING other than purely Doom oriented is heresy, and you need yo-self some education!!

Read the Prophet Ruppert quickly!! And Repent!

You really need to come up with some sort of new shtick, JD. This is getting old...
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