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THE Price Gouging Thread

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: "From Peak Oil To Dark Age? - BusinessWeek (Wow!)

Postby threadbear » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 13:08:03

{Off-topic posts split to thread by emersonbiggins}

Of course we're unprepared for Peak Oil, the prices magically seem to settle lower everytime we reach the point where it becomes a genuine concern for the masses. Peak Oil, geologic reality AND short term gouging opportunity.
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Re: "From Peak Oil To Dark Age? - BusinessWeek (Wow!)

Postby AirlinePilot » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 13:36:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', ' ') Peak Oil, geologic reality AND short term gouging opportunity.

Thread, dont take this the wrong way, no malice intended, but I think we get where your coming from. You keep jumping into threads and harping on the collusion gouging thing. We get it. You can think what you want but your just barking up the wrong tree. I dont get the feeling there are many of us in here who believe that. I do believe there is a very small part of price which is likely gouging, but its insignificant, and they still make gobs of extra money even at this low level of gouge due to scale.

It really takes nothing more than the depletion of a resource which no one thought was depleting to display what we are seeing with energy companies and their profits. I'm way past being pissed off about it, rather I'm trying to just be a bit ahead of the curve on what might go down. I think it's the best plan for everyone. Time to stop whining and wondering and start doing.
I do enjoy the pot stirring though! Its fun :)
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Re: "From Peak Oil To Dark Age? - BusinessWeek (Wow!)

Postby threadbear » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 13:39:27

Who is this "we" you're referring to AP? Do you wish the forums to be a weapon of mass discussion or just a private party for people who think exactly as you do?
Last edited by threadbear on Fri 15 Jun 2007, 14:11:52, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: "From Peak Oil To Dark Age? - BusinessWeek (Wow!)

Postby emersonbiggins » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 13:54:14

Image

What was that you said about gouging again?
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

George Carlin
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Re: "From Peak Oil To Dark Age? - BusinessWeek (Wow!)

Postby threadbear » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 14:13:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('emersonbiggins', '[')img]http://i61.photobucket.com/albums/h57/texasrainmaker/ProfitsOilVsOtherIndust3rdQ2005.gif[/img]

What was that you said about gouging again?


This is profits AFTER salaries and bonuses, Emerson. That's the point. That is also a dated graph. Try to find one that is current and accurately discounts for the windfall profits accrued directly to the top.
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby azreal60 » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 14:46:51

Wackenhut camps? Really, I wasn't aware wackenhut was doing prison camps for americans...
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby threadbear » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 15:35:24

If you live in the US, you generally have very little idea of what is going on in your own country.
From Prison related blog: "But if you’re an investor, this is all good news! Prison corporate profits are up! 37% in the last quarter!
Who needs a draft, when you can get all your military needs met by slave labor inmates paying their debt to the state? And the savings! Erm, did I say “savings?” Well, I meant “saving your children from the scourge of drugs.” Surely that’s worth any price?
There were 5 private prisons operating in 1995.They expect that number to exceed 350,000 in ten years" link
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Re: "From Peak Oil To Dark Age? - BusinessWeek (Wow!)

Postby emersonbiggins » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 15:55:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'T')his is profits AFTER salaries and bonuses, Emerson. That's the point. That is also a dated graph. Try to find one that is current and accurately discounts for the windfall profits accrued directly to the top.

Here are a few points out of an MSNBC article from this April:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n fact, the oil industry's profit margin last year was 8.5 percent — higher than the average for all industries — but less than half the profit of banks.

So, from the looks of it, the situation has not fundamentally changed from before, at least regarding profits as a % of revenues.
Also, $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hat about CEO pay?
Chevron's CEO received $37 million in total compensation last year. Conoco Phillips' CEO got $17 million. Those are big numbers, but experts say they are in line with Wall Street's inflated standards.
Then there's Exxon's CEO and his stunning $400 million pay and retirement package — which an industry spokesman still defends.


2006 CEO compensation: link and link to MSNBC article

Also, from Wiki, concerning the infamous XOM $400m "Golden Parachute" for former CEO Lee Raymound: $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')n August 4, 2005, Raymond announced that he would retire at the end of 2005 as ExxonMobil's Chairman and CEO. ExxonMobil president Rex W. Tillerson succeeded Raymond on 1 January 2006. On April 14, 2006, it was reported that Raymond's retirement package was worth about $400 million, the largest in history for a U.S. public company. However, the majority of that sum consisted of retirement-independent salary, bonuses, stock options, and restricted stock awards from his final year and prior years that, while high, are by no means unprecedented among major American CEOs. Retirement-specific payments in accordance with the standard pension plan provided to all ExxonMobil employees totaled around $100 million, calculated based on his over forty years of service and his salary upon retirement.
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby threadbear » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 16:35:29

Emerson, The information from MSNBC article is from the pulic relations arms of the oil industry. I hope you don't mind if I don't take it too seriously.
But getting back to the centrl theme of this thread, take a look at this from the Atlanta Journal Constitution:
BP memo links budget cuts, oil spill

Severe company budget cuts at a time when BP PLC was making huge profits put pressure on managers to ignore corrosion protection at the oil company's North Slope pipelines that sprung leaks last year, according to internal company documents. A House committee investigating the Alaska spills, which forced a partial shutdown of Prudhoe Bay oil production last summer, released a half-dozen e-mails and other documents that showed that anti-corrosion programs repeatedly were targeted for cost cutting, including on the lines that eventually failed. "BP field managers were being asked to choose between saving money and critical maintenance," said Rep. Bart Stupak (D-Mich.), chairman of the Energy and Commerce investigations subcommittee. He said the cost-cutting from 1999 through 2005 came at a time London-based BP PLC made a total of more than $106 billion in profits. link
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby AirlinePilot » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 17:31:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'I')f you live in the US, you generally have very little idea of what is going on in your own country.

Statements lke that ,while true of the majority of uninformed Americans, is definitely NOT the case for US participants of this board. You need to be careful and qualify stuff like this thread or your going to lose your audience.
Smear away as you like, but the reality is most US members of this board are here because of their awareness.
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby DantesPeak » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 18:45:10

In addition to what I’ve said recently in other similar ‘price gouging’ threads, it should be noted that wholesale gasoline prices – at least the NYC harbor based futures price – are less than in most of the rest of the world. To a great extent, the prices we pay in the US and Canada are based on the marginal price paid for gasoline imports. For example, the West Coast of the US is paying higher prices to get costly imports from the Far East.

Granted those existing refineries in California will make more money as the cost of obtaining the marginal imported barrel of gasoline increases. Is that gouging? If drought wiped out half of the farmers’ crops but the other half could then charge twice as much, is that gouging? Why are unusual gains on home real estate not considered gouging – and effectively not even taxed as a capital gain in the US?

My definition of gouging would be intentionally trying to constrain supply and/or force prices higher to consumers that have no alternative place to buy. Anyway, there are already federal laws against conspiracies and monopolistic practices and state laws against price gouging. If there is widespread gouging, not only has no one provided proof but no one has even shown how it would be possible.
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby threadbear » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 21:28:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'I')f you live in the US, you generally have very little idea of what is going on in your own country.

Statements lke that ,while true of the majority of uninformed Americans, is definitely NOT the case for US participants of this board. You need to be careful and qualify stuff like this thread or your going to lose your audience. Smear away as you like, but the reality is most US members of this board are here because of their awareness.

I should have been more specific. I find that unless someone has been in prison, or knows someone in prison, the prison industrial complex is ignored, even by the alternative media. It's a huge issue, because so many Americans are incarcerated, that it's a real elephant in the living room phenomenon. Did you know much about the prison for profit system, AP?
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby threadbear » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 21:32:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', ' ')Anyway, there are already federal laws against conspiracies and monopolistic practices and state laws against price gouging. If there is widespread gouging, not only has no one provided proof but no one has even shown how it would be possible.

Well, gee, maybe not doing the bare minimum maintenance, during times of windfall profits, might constitute some kind of intent? Hmmm. There's a BIG poser. :lol: :lol:
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby DantesPeak » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 22:08:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', ' ') Anyway, there are already federal laws against conspiracies and monopolistic practices and state laws against price gouging. If there is widespread gouging, not only has no one provided proof but no one has even shown how it would be possible.

Well, gee, maybe not doing the bare minimum maintenance, during times of windfall profits, might constitute some kind of intent? Hmmm. There's a BIG poser. :lol: :lol:

You posted an article that BP neglected pipeline maintenence on a field with rapidly declining output when prices were low. While that is true, it's not an example that can be applied to the 150 US refineries. I've posted numererous articles that safety and operational concerns are getting more attention this year, albeit the energy industry seems to be shorthanded quality workers in the US because so many professionals have moved to the Tar Sands or the ME.

The refining industry has spent enourmous sums expanding and updating refineries, plus keeping things running. The fact that additional maintenence could have been done, if personnel and resources were available, doesn't prove there was any conspiracy to raise prices - just as only a few years ago or so, low refinery margins didn't mean there was a conspiracy to reduce prices.
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby threadbear » Fri 15 Jun 2007, 22:35:17

You have a finite resource, with maybe five years left, at current prices, unless you steadily and with great presence of mind, DRAG it out. Then, perhaps you can eek 10 years out of it at even higher prices. Supply already limited, is subject to overly rigorous controls, OR through the opposite, letting it rot. Either way, it all serves oil corporations really well, now doesn't it?
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby AirlinePilot » Sat 16 Jun 2007, 03:35:19

thread, I'll make a prediction for you and this is based on what others are saying here and my own observations about "how things work".
The oil companies and anyone associated with infrastructure,exploration and probably just about anything to do with Oil, NG, Gasoline and liquid fuels will do very well over the next year or so. After that I believe many of these companies will get whacked by whats coming just like everyone else. There will be no avoiding the ever increasing cost of extracting resource from the planet. What I also think will happen is that the government will step in and do everything in its power to subsidize these companies for a good while because oil and NG are essential.

Real gouging is what we saw here in GA after Katrina. Gasoline at 6$ a gallon within 48 hours of the colonial pipeline news. It went on for exactly one day and then the state cracked down with laws already on the books to prevent it. It worked. Very stiff fines and possible jail time here. Reporting and stopping the crimes was easy, its kind of high vis.
No one is going to get out of this smelling good. They might be making a butt load of cash right now but that wont last.
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby threadbear » Sat 16 Jun 2007, 12:50:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AirlinePilot', 't')hread, I'll make a prediction for you and this is based on what others are saying here and my own observations about "how things work". The oil companies and anyone associated with infrastructure,exploration and probably just about anything to do with Oil, NG, Gasoline and liquid fuels will do very well over the next year or so. After that I believe many of these companies will get whacked by whats coming just like everyone else. There will be no avoiding the ever increasing cost of extracting resource from the planet. What I also think will happen is that the government will step in and do everything in its power to subsidize these companies for a good while because oil and NG are essential.
Real gouging is what we saw here in GA after Katrina. Gasoline at 6$ a gallon within 48 hours of the colonial pipeline news. It went on for exactly one day and then the state cracked down with laws already on the books to prevent it. It worked. Very stiff fines and possible jail time here. Reporting and stopping the crimes was easy, its kind of high vis. No one is going to get out of this smelling good. They might be making a butt load of cash right now but that wont last.

You could well be right. The problems with supply could simply overwhelm and then tshtf. It's a strong possibility.
The difficulty I have AP, is the idea of the fed stepping in and subsidizing any corporation that has been acting, since the Bush admin took over, like an unregulated monopoly. And I mean unregulated from an anti-competetive law, point of view, not from an environmental or safety perspective.

If you watch the film "Who killed the electric car", it seems obvious that both the car industry and it's sister, the oil industry, are sympatico, and will, at the last moment cry for even more govt help. A great head scratching "how could we have known?" moment will follow. And that will be utter B.S.

And btw, am not anti-American. When I see how your country is being gutted and many jobs outsourced by the corporatocracy and 40 million more good jobs set to be outsourced, it makes me ill. This, together with what appears to be an emerging police state is scary, as it doesn't bode well for Canada. We won't be able to maintain an open society, due to proximity.
There's plenty of criticism to go around. Canadians, despite their halos, are just Americans with less money and less power. It's a problem of power. Can you think of any imperial power that hasn't gone the way of absolute power corrupting absolutely? I can't.
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby MonteQuest » Sat 16 Jun 2007, 13:17:36

Are We Being Gouged at the Pump? $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he cry in the streets these days is that Big Oil is gouging us, at the pump and at the refineries, as well as, manipulating the price of crude oil.
What's the reality?
Folks, the reality is there is just 'no evidence' to support claims of gouging, now, or for the last 20 years. Oil companies do not set the price of oil or gasoline anymore than farmers set the price of corn.
Oil, like corn, is a publicly traded commodity. It is bought and sold like a stock on three different exchanges: NYMEX, London's International Petroleum Exchange (IPE), and the SGX - Singapore Exchange.
Traders bid the price up, much like an auction. Oil companies naturally win. But the crude price is set by market demand, not by some cabal of oil tycoons sitting around a big table. When there are more buyers than sellers, the price goes up.
In fact, if you have a good broker for your stock allocation, he has you in energy stocks right now. Every time you buy into the oil futures market, you help drive up the price of oil.

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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby threadbear » Sat 16 Jun 2007, 14:05:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '[')b]Are We Being Gouged at the Pump?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he cry in the streets these days is that Big Oil is gouging us, at the pump and at the refineries, as well as, manipulating the price of crude oil. What's the reality?
Folks, the reality is there is just 'no evidence' to support claims of gouging, now, or for the last 20 years. Oil companies do not set the price of oil or gasoline anymore than farmers set the price of corn.
Oil, like corn, is a publicly traded commodity. It is bought and sold like a stock on three different exchanges: NYMEX, London's International Petroleum Exchange (IPE), and the SGX - Singapore Exchange.
Traders bid the price up, much like an auction. Oil companies naturally win. But the crude price is set by market demand, not by some cabal of oil tycoons sitting around a big table. When there are more buyers than sellers, the price goes up.
In fact, if you have a good broker for your stock allocation, he has you in energy stocks right now. Every time you buy into the oil futures market, you help drive up the price of oil.

Monte's Blog

The markets are driven by perception. When oil company execs make public declarations, for example, that they intend to continue to buy back a great deal of their own stock with company profits,rather than put it into exploration and development, that drives the market higher. It could turn out to be a form of a finite resource pump and dump scheme. Perhaps it's not technically illegal, but highly unethical. It would be different if they were operating in a classic free market, the forces of which impose a kind of social contract between consumer and seller.

This is a cause of concern. If these issues aren't resolved in the US, the nuclear industry, poised to take over where oil leaves off, will continue in the same vain.
And it may turn out to be worse than the present situation with gasoline. If we move towards pure plug technology for automobiles, we will be running almost everything on electricity, much of which could be nuclear generated.

In truth there are no anti-gouging laws in the US. The FTC is ham-strung, as a result. The republocrats are unlikely to draw up legislation in the future to create them, for obvious reasons, in spite of all the tough talk.
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Re: Price Gouging - Does It Exist? Can it exist?

Postby cube » Sat 16 Jun 2007, 14:51:18

Oil isn't the only thing that has gone up in price.

However I guess commodities like corn, wheat, and rice just aren't "sexy" enough to deserve their own conspiracy theories. :roll:
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