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THE Price Gouging Thread

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: MoveOn.org doesn't get it: New Price Gouging Ads

Postby Eli » Wed 12 Apr 2006, 10:14:25

What move on is doing is called pandering.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')ander- 1. To act as a go-between or liaison in sexual intrigues; function as a procurer.
2. To cater to the lower tastes and desires of others or exploit their weaknesses: “He refused to pander to nostalgia and escapism” (New York Times).


See the liberal politicians in this case want to get into power, just like those on the right want to get in to office and they will do or say anything to get elected.
So, MoveOn is set up as a "go-between" for the politicians to "procure" voters. It is all rather simple really MoveOn goes out and gets the voters and then the Politicians screw them over.
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Re: MoveOn.org doesn't get it: New Price Gouging Ads

Postby Windmills » Wed 12 Apr 2006, 18:55:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'W')hy is it price gouging when you charge a 20% markup (say, $3 gasoline when your wholesale+taxes =$2.50) on gasoline but good business sense when you charge 100% markup on a Chinese blender, tv, t-shirt?

Prezactly. Price gouging is a socialist term and doesn't belong in the vocabulary of free market capitalists. If you own it, you're supposed to be able to sell it for whatever price you want, whenever you want. Too many confused Americans think they believe in a free market but can't stop whining about all the socialist reforms they want to pass to make the market less free.
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Re: MoveOn.org doesn't get it: New Price Gouging Ads

Postby jbrown » Wed 12 Apr 2006, 19:41:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BitterSweetCrude', 'Y')ou can see the ads on the moveon.org website if anyone is interested.Thoughts?

Can you point to the exact url? I searched MoveOn.org and couldn't find the video you are refering to.
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Re: MoveOn.org doesn't get it: New Price Gouging Ads

Postby MrBill » Thu 13 Apr 2006, 11:34:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Windmills', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', 'W')hy is it price gouging when you charge a 20% markup (say, $3 gasoline when your wholesale+taxes =$2.50) on gasoline but good business sense when you charge 100% markup on a Chinese blender, tv, t-shirt?

Prezactly. Price gouging is a socialist term and doesn't belong in the vocabulary of free market capitalists. If you own it, you're supposed to be able to sell it for whatever price you want, whenever you want. Too many confused Americans think they believe in a free market but can't stop whining about all the socialist reforms they want to pass to make the market less free.

Exactly, one that can afford a $75.000 Hummer, but doesn't want to pay $3.00 for gasoline/diesel, and wants their $500.000 home to increase by double digits per year, does not want any capital gains on any profit, but believes the interest expense should be tax deductable. It makes perfect sense to me, it's called having your cake and eating it too.
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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Price gouging

Postby Carlhole » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 17:39:27

I'm sitting here watching Hardball - not with Chris Matthews - with David Gregory who is sitting in. And Gregory is asking two state governors about "sky-rocketing gas prices. Both governors insist that this is price gouging by the oil companies and are talking about the "obscene profits" made by the majors this year (XOM - $36 billion).
I've heard this again and again for a couple of years now, but the news shows never seem to have voices from Wall Street, like, say an oil analyst with Merril Lynch, who could describe exactly what is going on with oil company profits. Or have several of them on to argue about it like they do.

Whenever oil company executives are interviewed on the subject, they say that they do not set prices, prices are set by the markets. And they are right. But yet they HAVE made a ton of money lately, AND they've ben given huge tax breaks by Bush. So what exactly is going on with oil company profits? What's the detailed Wall Street answer?
If the majors sit on reserves as a normal part of their business operations and those reserves increase in value trememdously, that's not really gouging.

If individual gas stations are hiking the price of gas per gallon by much more than the increase per barrel would indicate, then that is gouging by gas station owners, not the majors.
Does anyone here have access to oil analyst reports about this subject?
I used to be a broker with Merrill Lynch and used to devour those kinds of reports. I wish I could just log on and read them now.
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Re: Price gouging

Postby bobcousins » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 17:52:40

You don't need a Wall St broker to explain it. It is supply and demand - Economics 101. It is really very simple, but some people seem to find it too abstract a concept. I guess you really need to understand where value comes from.
It's worth noting the lifetime of the oil extraction and production infrastructure, investment decsions were made decades ago, when the IOCs production costs were based on oil at $15/barrel. If people want to pay $75/barrel - that is not their fault!!
There is an article over at the TOD if you are interested.
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Re: Price gouging

Postby jimk » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 18:42:50

It does seem like an efficient marketplace shouldn't support an equilibrium where anybody is making huge profits. Whenever there are huge profits being made, that should motivate some new supplier to come in and make just a little less profit by selling at a slightly lower price.
But crude oil is clearly not an efficient marketplace! Here's what I think is going on: there are only so many low cost oil fields, and they are owned by particular players, and those players can block anybody else from drilling or pumping oil out of those fields.
Oil field ownership is basically a monopoly, and monopolies are market inefficiencies.

An analogy would be some patented technology. For example, a patented drug. A drug company might be able to manufacture the drug very cheaply. But if that drug cures a common deadly disease, the drug company can charge a very high price, and make a huge profit.
The idea behind patents is that they help everyone in the long run because the prospect of such huge profits is what motivates people to invest lots of resources into risky research. Oil field ownership is obviously more complicated, since there is a lot of international politics involved. But still, it's expensive and risky to explore for oil, so some nice juicy return is not completely unreasonable. Perhaps the specifics of the present situation are out of line though, I don't have the perspective really to offer a meaningful opinion.

When the oil fields are owned by a public corporation, then maybe this is a more practical way to manage things than to allow everybody to drill some oil field. Everybody can just buy the stock. It may be smarter to let just a few experts manage the oil field to get the most oil out of it. If all those juicy profits either get returned to shareholders or get reinvested wisely in future exploration etc., then really the economic system hasn't done such a bad job of mediating the collective decision making. If, on the other hand, the executives of some public corporation don't act in the interest of their shareholders but instead funnel the profits into their own pockets, then the economic system isn't working well.

Then too there are the broader social questions, e.g. what if the stock is not really owned in any socially equitable way but narrowly held, or the oil fields are owned privately by just a few individuals or families, so the decision making gets distorted in a way to amplify inequities. But these problems are not specific to the oil business. Of course, since oil is just about the biggest business on the planet, the general problem of self-reinforcing inequity will manifest there most obviously.
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Re: Price gouging

Postby big_rc » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 19:19:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jimk', 'I')t does seem like an efficient marketplace shouldn't support an equilibrium where anybody is making huge profits. Whenever there are huge profits being made, that should motivate some new supplier to come in and make just a little less profit by selling at a slightly lower price.
But crude oil is clearly not an efficient marketplace!

Sorry my man but this is absolutely wrong. The crude market is one of the most efficient markets on the planet. People can easily make obscene profits in an efficient market if there is an ample lag time between capital investment and supply. This gives the players already in the market a huge headstart. Also you can make obscene profits when you target your project cashflows for $20/barrel and end up with $75/barrel.
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Re: Price gouging

Postby jimk » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 19:50:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('big_rc', 'T')he crude market is one of the most efficient markets on the planet.

Certainly there is efficiency in determining a price and getting the oil shipped from supplier to consumer.
But it sure seems that the planet has just so many oil fields that can be pumped profitably at $10/barrel, or $15, $20, etc. Once those $10 fields are locked up, no future suppliers can produce profitably at that price.

Are you saying that a legally enforced monopoly (e.g. property rights over an efficient oil field) doesn't introduce inefficiency into a market?
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Re: Price gouging

Postby firestarter » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 20:07:52

I heard a gentleman from Public Citizen go on about it only costing $20 to get a barrel of oil out of the ground, implying that the $55 spread between $20 and $75 bucks was where the gouging originates. He saw the bidding middle man (trader) as no more than a shill of the oil companies, being that the oil companies are generally lock key operations.
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Re: Price gouging

Postby big_rc » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 20:30:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jimk', 'B')ut it sure seems that the planet has just so many oil fields that can be pumped profitably at $10/barrel, or $15, $20, etc. Once those $10 fields are locked up, no future suppliers can produce profitably at that price.
Are you saying that a legally enforced monopoly (e.g. property rights over an efficient oil field) doesn't introduce inefficiency into a market?

Legally enforced monopolies in the form of property rights over an oil field do not introduce inefficiency into a market. If there were no property rights, then we would enter into a situation called "tragedy of the commons" where noone holds any rights, so everyone tries to extract the resource as fast as possible. This is why the world's fisheries are in dire straits. My argument is that people with property rights maintain their property much, much better than people with no property rights. But if you don't believe in having control of your property and doing with it what you see fit, then please provide your address because I wouldn't mind coming to expropriate a little bit of your house. (I promise I won't take too much.)
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I don't think of all the misery, but of all the beauty that still remains.--Anne Frank
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Re: Price gouging

Postby jimk » Tue 25 Apr 2006, 21:27:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('big_rc', 'L')egally enforced monopolies in the form of property rights over an oil field do not introduce inefficiency into a market. If there were no property rights, then we would enter into a situation called "tragedy of the commons" where noone holds any rights, so everyone tries to extract the resource as fast as possible. This is why the world's fisheries are in dire straits.

Inefficiency is not defined in terms of alternative arrangements. An efficient market is one where the price gets set so the marginal cost for suppliers is equal to the marginal benefit to consumers. The inefficiency in the oil market comes from the fact that marginal costs are different for different suppliers. The folks who own very efficient oil fields have very low marginal cost. The oil market settles on a price where the marginal benefit to consumers will equal the marginal cost to the least efficient supplier. The high efficiency suppliers make large profits.

Thermodynamics might provide a good analogy. Carnot's theorem shows that there is a limit to how efficient an engine can be. That limit is a function of the temperatures of the thermal reservoirs that the engine uses to generate mechanical power. The maximum is less than 100%. So thermodynamic efficiency is not measured relative to some ideal engine, but instead is measured on an absolute scale.

Similarly, it might be that our current arrangement regarding oil field ownership is the best possible arrangement. Even if that were true, the monopolistic nature of oil field ownership - coupled to the limited nature of the resource and its non-uniform distribution - would still make that market inefficient.

The situation with fisheries sure does look like a tragedy. But I don't think anybody is making the kind of profits that the oil companies are. Perhaps it would be better to limit fishing rights and to auction them off or somehow introduce some monopolies into the fishing business to improve the management of fish stocks. While it might help the fish, I bet fish prices would go up and so would profits.
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Re: Price gouging

Postby bobcousins » Wed 26 Apr 2006, 04:43:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jimk', 'I')nefficiency is not defined in terms of alternative arrangements. An efficient market is one where the price gets set so the marginal cost for suppliers is equal to the marginal benefit to consumers. The inefficiency in the oil market comes from the fact that marginal costs are different for different suppliers. The folks who own very efficient oil fields have very low marginal cost. The oil market settles on a price where the marginal benefit to consumers will equal the marginal cost to the least efficient supplier. The high efficiency suppliers make large profits.

Oh, that's rubbish. You use the term "efficient" in three different contexts. Instead of making up nonsense based on thermodynamics, why not learn some basic economics?
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Re: Price gouging

Postby Lighthouse » Wed 26 Apr 2006, 04:58:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jimk', '.').. Inefficiency is not defined in terms of alternative arrangements. An efficient market is one where the price gets set so the marginal cost for suppliers is equal to the marginal benefit to consumers. The inefficiency in the oil market comes from the fact that marginal costs are different for different suppliers. The folks who own very efficient oil fields have very low marginal cost. The oil market settles on a price where the marginal benefit to consumers will equal the marginal cost to the least efficient supplier. The high efficiency suppliers make large profits...

And don't forget the inefficiency of a very efficent, but chaotic market where bidder and seller have the opportunity to meet a a specific price which is usually driven by supply and demand. Not to mention the platform where this market, driven by the inefficiency of that specific but very chaotic market, operates on. Believe me its all a simple question of how much an when. :roll:
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Re: Price gouging

Postby Doly » Wed 26 Apr 2006, 05:37:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jimk', 'E')ven if that were true, the monopolistic nature of oil field ownership - coupled to the limited nature of the resource and its non-uniform distribution - would still make that market inefficient.

Why is a monopoly less efficient?
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Re: Price gouging

Postby kerosene » Wed 26 Apr 2006, 06:33:41

the idea of a monopoly being less effcient is as follows.
15 guys sell potatoes. The price is 1 $/lbs
3 guys raise their prices to 2$/lbs - nobody buys from them

slowly on of the farmers collects capital and buys all other farms. Now he has all the potatoes. He sets the price at 2.50$ - everybody have to buy from him. see.
That hardly is the case in the current oil industry though. Everything is being brought online it seems. ebem the 'evil' opec is breaking its quotas.
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Re: Price gouging

Postby jimk » Thu 27 Apr 2006, 01:36:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bobcousins', 'Y')ou use the term "efficient" in three different contexts. Instead of making up nonsense based on thermodynamics, why not learn some basic economics?

You're right, I used "efficiency" in three different senses. That was surely unnecessarily confusing!
And I think it's true that my use of "efficiency" to describe a market that works well to match marginal costs and benefits, that's not the official definition of efficiency according to economists.

But that doesn't make my idea nonsense. It just means I haven't done such a great job communicating it.
So if anybody does know some economics and would like to pitch in, rather than sending me back to college...

Surely there is in economics some examination of how various market structures allow buyers and sellers to negotiate a price. I am looking at the market in broad terms, like how people who would like to buy or sell might be required to do so or forbidden to do so by means other than monetary, e.g. threat of violence.

Is there, in economics, a term that captures some measurement of how well a market structure works in pairing up buyers and sellers?
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kerosene', 's')lowly on of the farmers collects capital and buys all other farms. Now he has all the potatoes.
He sets the price at 2.50$ - everybody have to buy from him. see.
That hardly is the case in the current oil industry though.

The current oil business isn't so far from your potato example. If there are just one or two farms where potatoes can be grown at low cost, then the owners of those farms are going to make huge profits once the demand exceeds their capacity to produce and folks start paying high enough prices that less productive fields can also be used to meet the demand.
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Re: Price gouging

Postby Jellric » Thu 27 Apr 2006, 02:11:41

You cannot haul Supply and Demand before a congressional panel.
So people need a scapegoat.
The response thus far has been depressing to me.
Seems people would rather feel good than do good.
Maybe when gas hits 6$/gallon opinions will change.
Until then I'm stocking up on gold and silver coins/ mining stocks and supplies..
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Re: Price gouging

Postby bobcousins » Thu 27 Apr 2006, 11:16:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jimk', 'I')s there, in economics, a term that captures some measurement of how well a market structure works in pairing up buyers and sellers?

Well yes, it's called efficiency! Where efficiency is defined as maximizing value. At the optimal point, there is no better transaction.

Where you came in though is to say that an efficient market doesn't support making large profits. The market theory doesn't actually say anything about whether a profit is made - it just says that value is maximized, that can also mean minimizing losses. It's possible that all sellers are selling at a tidy profit, or are selling at a loss. But the price is set by supply vs demand at that time, not by underlying profit margins.

Obviously in the real world no business can survive long running at a loss. Incidentally, this is why the thermodynamic analogy is faulty, you can't have negative energy, so the process is confined to one direction. In economics, you can have a temporary deficit.
Anyway, if a seller can sell out his stock at market price there is no incentive for him to reduce price below market, he would just sell out quicker. As for restricted markets, I think this can be considered as movements of the supply/demand curves.
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Re: Price gouging

Postby jimk » Thu 27 Apr 2006, 18:31:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('bobcousins', 'A')s for restricted markets, I think this can be considered as movements of the supply/demand curves.

Well, it's true that I don't know enough economics to be able to formulate this precisely, especially in standard terminology. But it seems to me that there is an important difference between markets where there are no rigid barriers to new suppliers and those with rigid barriers.

In a market where anybody is free to build their own widget factory and become a widget supplier, then if somebody is making a vast profit selling widgets, other folks will get into the game and undercut that original seller. That's the famous "invisible hand" at work. Of course the profit will need to cover the investment in the factory, the risks, etc. - otherwise new players won't jump in. And if the market is rapidly changing relative to the time it takes for somebody to get production going, then big profits are possible over short times. But in a stable situation, an unrestricted market will naturally limit profits.

In a monopoly situation where new suppliers are prevented from entering the market, then the sole supplier can clearly make huge profits over an indefinite period.
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