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THE 401k Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Ramifications to cashing out 401k EARLY?

Unread postby codesuidae » Mon 30 Oct 2006, 11:52:09

I definately agree with keeping the 401k around, particularly if your employer matches your contribution. Mine matches 50% up to 5% of my annual income. Many match 100%. That is a good chunk of free money and an automatic return on investment of 50%-100% in the time it takes to vest. It's pretty hard to beat that.

While its tempting to liquidate the fund and you may have reasons to do so, remember that planning is all about risk managment. The economy is still good right now, so take advantage of it to increase your economic power.
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Re: Ramifications to cashing out 401k EARLY?

Unread postby emailking » Mon 30 Oct 2006, 12:56:31

I don't get any matching so I contribute nothing. They automatically contribute 3% of my salary (will increase to a max of 6% over the next 3 years). So I just let the money sit there. I don't expect to ever see any of it.
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Re: Ramifications to cashing out 401k EARLY?

Unread postby Bytesmiths » Mon 30 Oct 2006, 14:29:36

I agree with emailking and dissimulo -- if it doesn't cost you anything, use it as a hedge.

No one knows what will happen. I think it's safe to say the future will not be like the past. So the best advice might be to buck conventional wisdom, while hedging your bets so you don't lose everything if conventional wisdom proves correct!
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Re: Ramifications to cashing out 401k EARLY?

Unread postby lateStarter » Mon 30 Oct 2006, 15:41:47

From my own experience, the money is a bit easier to get to if it has been rolled over into an IRA. I couldn't find anyway to avoid the 10% penalty, but I was happy to have 90% of what was in the account as opposed to 0%.

What made it less painful for me was to not be employed at my formerly high-paying salary level - actually I wasn't even employed at all (by choice). Then, I just took out enough each year (usually around 15k) so that with standard deductions and no other income I was able to avoid paying the additional 20+% I would have had to pay since it is treated as income.

The other thing that helped with it being in an IRA was they gave me the option of paying the 10% at withdrawal or later. Some places will take take out the 10% immediately, no questions asked.

I haven't squandered it (all) but have been investing in land and other hard assets (stuff I can touch). I also used a portion of the funds to pay off credit card debt. Currently, I have no mortage, no car payments, and in less than 1 year, I will be totally debt free except for my wife's student loan (remaining balance, less than 3K and at a very low interest rate)...

Bottom line for me is the belief that I would have had as much chance of seeing that money in the future as I would have had getting any SS money that is supposed to be coming my way. If there was anyway to get at that money early, I'd be all over it.
We have been brought into the present condition in which we are unable neither to tolerate the evils from which we suffer, nor the remedies we need to cure them. - Livy
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Re: Ramifications to cashing out 401k EARLY?

Unread postby mikeh433 » Sat 04 Nov 2006, 20:29:48

This is just my opinion, but with too much study - maybe sound or maybe not. I have heard there are alot of people who never before bought gold that have started to for the very first time, as they sense that something is terribly wrong. That is THEIR opinion based upon whatever they base it upon.

My opinion is you have 2 weeks to do that, out of stocks. Then enough time to wait another 2 weeks for check and purchase and shipment. BUT, this forum is mostly about buying/doing other things, so consider doing 1/2 that - very seriously. The best off is one who don't need gold, because they are not in serious want. But if you still need RE or land, then get some gold, silver and that for those investments are currently, and I think will continue moving in extreme opposite directions.

With that said, I have found one of my orders is delayed 2-3 weeks before shipment. What if it all worked out OK, except you never got the shipment before TSHTF, nor anytime afterward?
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What about our 401k?

Unread postby korosten » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 11:52:58

Hi, Just 2 days ago I went from being in total denial to thinking of selling our house and moving - I feel like a nut case :-). Anyway, I was wondering what might happen to our 401k's once things get a bit nasty. My guess is that stocks and money will lose value drastically.

So, what should we do? Would you take out the money now (or soon) and pay the tax and other penalty? Or wait and see and risk losing it all?
Last edited by Ferretlover on Sat 21 Mar 2009, 08:09:27, edited 1 time in total.
Reason: Merged with THE 401k Thread.
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 12:37:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('korosten', 'H')i,

Just 2 days ago I went from being in total denial to thinking of selling our house and moving - I feel like a nut case :-).

Anyway, I was wondering what might happen to our 401k's once things get a bit nasty. My guess is that stocks and money will lose value drastically.

So, what should we do? Would you take out the money now (or soon) and pay the tax and other penalty?

Or wait and see and risk losing it all?

Thanks,
Chantal


We already have several threads about this type of thing...but I'll give you a response before merging it.

Planning for the Future Forum

There are several good threads in their about peak oil investments.

The general agreement in that forum is that gold, silver, energy-related stocks, non-oil transportation stocks, foreign investments in currency and bonds, and inflation protected securities are the best bets.

My only suggestion is to avoid consumer electronics and retail. In the coming recession, Wal*Mart and Best Buy are going to take a major hit.
"www.peakoil.com is the Myspace of the Apocalypse."
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby Merlin » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 12:45:20

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('korosten', 'W')ould you take out the money now (or soon) and pay the tax and other penalty?

Or wait and see and risk losing it all?


Everyone's situation is different.

First, do you think you are able to fortell the date of the big crash (losing it all)? If so, then cashing out and paying the taxes and penalties might have merit -- although you'd still be faced with the problem of what to do with the cash. Leave it in the bank (and risk losing it all)? Or buy gold and silver, bury it in the back yard, and risk losing it all when your secret gets out?

Second, there are folks who have retired with rather sizable 401k/IRA investments. Should someone with half a million pre-tax dollars, cash out and pay the ordinary income taxes due in one lump? I shudder at the thought. And even if they do, back to what to do with the cash.

If you spend all your savings on a homestead and preps and the big economic crash doesn't happen for ten years, you can live in poverty until then. Won't that make you happy?
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby roccman » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 12:49:22

"First, do you think you are able to fortell the date of the big crash (losing it all)?"

3rd 1/4 07
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 12:58:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('korosten', 'A')nyway, I was wondering what might happen to our 401k's once things get a bit nasty. My guess is that stocks and money will lose value drastically.

So, what should we do? Would you take out the money now (or soon) and pay the tax and other penalty?

Or wait and see and risk losing it all?


It is often said that the difference between the rich and the poor is that the poor work for money and money works for the rich.

In the future, that role will reverse, IMHO.

Land that will grow food is the best investment for your money, or owning your home outright. If you have a lot of equity, sell that house and buy one outright.
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby roccman » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 13:05:23

"sell that house and buy one outright"

In this market selling is getting harder ahd harder to do.

Credit is getting harder and harder to get.

People are scared.
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby clueless » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 13:24:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')sell that house and buy one outright"

In this market selling is getting harder ahd harder to do.

Credit is getting harder and harder to get.

People are scared.


I could not agree more - Truly owning a home changes your entire perspective on life. It is amazing how much debt affects all your decision making. I personnally don't think they will be able to reinflate the housing bubble any time soon with the new lending standards being (politically) enforced.

If you have a home you can always do something short of a catstrophic collpase, which you cannot plan for anyway.

The house I am renting from the state of Oregon for 2k per year is paid off and I can live on what most people pay in rent and interest.

Want to plan for the future in the most practical way ? Leave your 401k money where it is and get the bankers out of your pockets.
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby Mircea » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 14:10:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('roccman', '"')sell that house and buy one outright"

In this market selling is getting harder ahd harder to do.

Credit is getting harder and harder to get.

People are scared.


Then now is the time to sell, while you still have a chance.

The 3 conditions you stated should be a big slap in the face to wake you up to reality.

I tell everyone here to sell now and buy something for $30,000 to $65,000 in one of the older neighborhoods that's has mass transit access and is near to plenty of venues.

Pay cash to own it outright, then use a little bit of left over money to convert the electric wiring to earth-ground, install good windows, if it has steam or electric heat, leave it alone, but if it has natural gas, replace it with steam or electric, install ceiling fans and an attic fan, regrout and retile the bathroom and refinish the floors. Then take the rest of the money and divide it up between dollars, pound sterling and Euros. If you're lukcy you can find a 2 or 3 family home so you have the possibility of renting in the future to have at least some income.

At least being in an urban area you have access to mass transit, or more opportunities to car-pool, you have ready access to retail and entertainment venues, and you have access to government services should you need them.

A lot of people can't/won't do that. It just astounds me that morons buy houses without putting 50%-60% down. To make matters worse, some of the morons went out of their way to prove their IQ is zero buy taking out 2nd mortgages and burning up what little equity they had with a HELOC.

For those who don't sell now, the possibilities are:

1) You get down-sized and the bank forecloses.
2) The value drops and you lose your equity. Being over-limit on your HELOC and unable to come up with several thousand in cash, the bank forecloses.
3) The value drops and you're stuck with it, plus you burn up all of you discretionary income on fuel and higher prices for everything else, unless you have good access to mass transit.
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby Daculling » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 14:30:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mircea', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('roccman', 'T')hen take the rest of the money and divide it up between dollars, pound sterling and Euros.


Anyone have an opinion on the Aussi dollar? Seems to me they have a lot of exportable resources and Europe has little as well as dept as bad or worse than the US. The Aussi is paying over 5% right now... I think their housing crash preceded ours also but I'm not sure... Europe's looks to be about a year behind ours. I've been looking for a recent foreign currency thread but can't find one.
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby mmasters » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 17:34:08

The USD loses value it will drag other currencies down with it. Some will fare better than others but there is no safe haven in modern currencies.
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby z28colt » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 17:51:36

What's the best way to invest in foriegn currencies? I've been wanting to open a bank account in euros, sterling, or AUD, but I'm not sure how to do so cheaply.
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby Daculling » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 18:00:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('mmasters', 'S')ome will fare better than others but there is no safe haven in modern currencies.


Right, but I can't see putting all my money in gold so I want to figure out which will do better than others... is that wrong?


z28colt... there are currency ETFs out there.
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby roccman » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 18:07:55

"I can't see putting all my money in gold"

Why?

Globally we have placed all our money in oil and in my mind every company on the NYSE tacitly assumes cheap oil will continue to be available in the future. We know this is an illusion. So every company on the NYSE is overvalued.

This rational extends to ETFs as well as the assumption is the same about the availability of cheap oil.

So why not all gold?
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 18:18:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('z28colt', 'W')hat's the best way to invest in foriegn currencies? I've been wanting to open a bank account in euros, sterling, or AUD, but I'm not sure how to do so cheaply.


This is not an investment forum.

Post that question in the Open forum.
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Re: What about our 401k?

Unread postby Daculling » Sat 09 Jun 2007, 18:27:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('roccman', '
')
So why not all gold?


Because in deflation cash is where you want to be. I'm on the fence on that one though.


korosten - You are new to this... don't freak out. Breath deeply. Visit the prep forum. Start a garden. Don't do anything rash.

Now, the house... ask roccman for some links. :)

MonteQuest - Where does my post belong? Depletion Econ? Open or Psychology?
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