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Economic growth to end soon - forever

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby Pops » Sat 05 May 2007, 18:09:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NEOPO', '[')i]<in a hush voice> The password for today is... acerbic 8)

<allows a tossed salad joke to come to his mind but is hesitant to use it> :-D


Damn it!

The very next post I read after typing acerbic contained acerbic!

Monte is right! The stinking population of the world is just too large when I rack my limited brain for a good word and someone has beat me to it!!

Time to initiate ZPG –and now!

I must admit my connotation for acerbic is more like cutting or pithy.

On second thought, I have had some pithy salads however, but only from my own garden.


But that’s for a different thread.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby Zentric » Sat 05 May 2007, 18:11:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('billp', 'I') read on Internet that the Chinese are getting get tired of their about 4% returns on treasuries.

I read that the Chinese are thinking of investing their money in the us stock market instead which, I read, could drive the us stock market DJI to over $36,000.


Certainly would make sense in the 'outmaneuver your enemy' Art of War view of things. If the Chinese finance ministers were to feel:

a) confident that Bushco and Wall Street need another year or two to solidify plutocratic control over America,

b) that this present process is virtually unstoppable,

c) that a stock market bubble is essential for allowing this fascist coup to happen in an 'orderly way,'

then what's to stop the Chinese from participating, manipulating and profiting from this bubble for its own purposes?
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby cube » Sat 05 May 2007, 20:05:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '.')..

The "end of growth" might lead to the survival of the human species.
It is my observation that humans do NOT need fossil fuels or nuclear weapons to destroy themselves. All it takes is the simplest of technologies like a good old fashion Roman short sword or slash and burn agriculture. :-D
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby roccman » Sat 05 May 2007, 20:45:42

From a global perspective the game being played is ....

"which country goes BK first..."
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby farmersbase » Sat 05 May 2007, 21:34:23

looking at the peak oil clock, we stilll have 30 years to go

in the meantime technological developments will grow fast,
farmers influence will be very big, because their potential
is huge to produce biologiacal fuels. further other developments
will grow very rapid, wind- solar- hydrogen- and other energy
sources.

there has and never will be an end of economic growth,
it is like waves in the sea, with ups and downs.

economic growth will continue in an other direction, but stay

the problem of human mankind nowadays is not knowledge,
but logistics and the positive intentention to divide the wealth
of this world honestlly
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby joewp » Sat 05 May 2007, 21:40:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('farmersbase', 'l')ooking at the peak oil clock, we stilll have 30 years to go

in the meantime technological developments will grow fast,
farmers influence will be very big, because their potential
is huge to produce biologiacal fuels. further other developments
will grow very rapid, wind- solar- hydrogen- and other energy
sources.

there has and never will be an end of economic growth,
it is like waves in the sea, with ups and downs.

economic growth will continue in an other direction, but stay

the problem of human mankind nowadays is not knowledge,
but logistics and the positive intentention to divide the wealth
of this world honestlly


You just keep believing that growth will continue in a finite environment. Please stay away from me and my family, thanks; We don't need to drive on food.

Oh yeah, you need a new clock.
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"Only when the last tree is cut; only when the last river is polluted; only when the last fish is caught; only then will they realize that you cannot eat money." - Cree Indian Proverb
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby Lore » Sat 05 May 2007, 21:48:22

We "had" 30 years ( days of Jimmy Carter), I believe we are now on year 28 and the clock is ticking!
The things that will destroy America are prosperity-at-any-price, peace-at-any-price, safety-first instead of duty-first, the love of soft living, and the get-rich-quick theory of life.
... Theodore Roosevelt
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby Ludi » Sat 05 May 2007, 21:50:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', 'A')ll it takes is the simplest of technologies like a good old fashion Roman short sword or slash and burn agriculture.



Which are part of our culture of growth.
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby shortonoil » Sat 05 May 2007, 22:45:13

farmersbase said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'i')n the meantime technological developments will grow fast


All animals have been granted, through evolutionary forces, a method to survive in their various ecological niches. Technology is our species primary survival mechanism, it is derived from our instinctual capacity to mimic. For humans to forsake it, would be like a bird tearing off its wings or a turtle disposing of its shell; it would spell extinction for the species. This we can not do.

The problem lies not in our ability to develop technology, it is in the fact that we associate technological advance with growth; infinite grow is obviously not possible on a finite planet. Our erroneously held concept that wealth is represented through consumption is no longer a practical or usable concept in a world of declining resources. Your concept of growth has become an oxymoron.
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby Novus » Sun 06 May 2007, 12:19:32

Not every civilization requires growth to function. The ancient Greeks for example had an entirely different idea about growth. Their sense of place in the world was that things were generally getting worse with each generation. They always refered to the past as the golden ages and that over time they were decending from the golden times. For the ancient Greeks the ideal generation was one that pasted the world onto the next generation exacty as they had found it. To do otherwise placed them further the golden ages. Ancient Greek civilization lasted for 700+ years where as our industrial civilization is scarcely 200 years old.
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby Fredrik » Sun 06 May 2007, 17:49:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('farmersbase', 'l')ooking at the peak oil clock, we stilll have 30 years to go

in the meantime technological developments will grow fast,
farmers influence will be very big, because their potential
is huge to produce biologiacal fuels. further other developments
will grow very rapid, wind- solar- hydrogen- and other energy
sources.


I think you could do yourself a favor by taking a more serious look into the concept of peak oil and the actual viability of alternatives. You can start educating yourself here, here, here,
and (for more in-depth studies) here.
"Only scarcity and effort make life worth living."
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Mon 07 May 2007, 01:26:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '
')All animals have been granted, through evolutionary forces, a method to survive in their various ecological niches. Technology is our species primary survival mechanism, it is derived from our instinctual capacity to mimic. For humans to forsake it, would be like a bird tearing off its wings or a turtle disposing of its shell; it would spell extinction for the species. This we can not do.


Well dammit, give me the technology of the Mbuti (pygmies) to build leaf huts, smoke out bees, make simple clothes and weapons, and sing intricate songs to wake up Mother Forest once in a while when the hunting is slow.

Give me the technology Bushmen and Inuit and pre-horse Plains Indians, all stone age, relatively nonwarlike, and got along just fine.

Give me the technology of the Vietnamese farmers/horticulturists, who knew how to weave tiny traps to catch fish.

Yes, we're the technological species, but good God. We're Nature's equivalent of the human-evolved turkey with breasts so big it can't stand up - a success within a certain niche, not a success overall. Our strange niche is we got into the oil cookie jar.
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby farmersbase » Mon 07 May 2007, 19:41:01

to previous posters

then go to the bush, ask your friends for a donkey, do not pay
them for it, because you do not believe in money. in case you have, take your family with you on the road, never ask them if they like it.

throw away your personal computer and your belongings
when you arrived at your longedfor place, believe me,
you will start your own proces of economic growth

there will be not an end of economic growth,

happily, mankind is forced to go and search for other directions
in economic growth
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby shortonoil » Mon 07 May 2007, 19:55:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'h')appily, mankind is forced to go and search for other directions
in economic growth

But this time it will be a sustainable one, or we will have failed as a species; that we won't do - that we can not do.
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby farmersbase » Mon 07 May 2007, 19:59:31

thanks shortonoil

finally a positive attitude
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby Pops » Mon 07 May 2007, 20:04:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('farmersbase', 't')hrow away your personal computer and your belongings
when you arrived at your longedfor place, believe me,
you will start your own proces of economic growth


I think I like this guy.

The mule may have kicked his clock and his techno-faith may be some different than mine…

But he is right on this point.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby farmersbase » Mon 07 May 2007, 20:53:20

dear POPS

thanks

perhaps we should close this discussion

and start a new topic/theme/discussion

"directions of ehtic and economic growth"

it is up to you
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby Pops » Mon 07 May 2007, 21:24:03

There is lots of talk around here regarding the futility and fragility of the existing economic model.

Few passages are as succinct as yours I quoted.

Over time (beyond my time) I think a new one will replace this one - perhaps part old and new.

Feel free to start any topic you please.
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby Revi » Mon 07 May 2007, 21:45:18

Things are changing. Farmers here in Maine are getting younger. Our local farmer's market has gone from 5 vendors to 14 this year. There is going to be a new economy, for some. I agree that traditional economic growth based on increasing amounts of fossil fuel is over, but the new economy is just getting started.

We changed our lives around and added a bit of farming into our household balance sheet. We now are getting half our energy from the sun instead of fossil fuels. Our personal economy is actually holding its own. We switched to solar to heat our water and bought a woodlot which we harvest for at least half our heat, and all our maple syrup. Our cars are more efficient, and all our appliances are too. The way I see it, solar based technology is saving us. We save over $2500 every year from the changes we've made. We'd be in trouble without it, since the cost of energy has almost tripled in the past 5 years.

If you miss this opportunity you will regret it. Now is the time to change things, while we have some options. Here's what we've done:

http://www.msad54.org/sahs/appliedarts/ ... /index.htm
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Re: Economic growth to end soon - forever

Unread postby farmersbase » Tue 08 May 2007, 07:19:32

TO REVI

excellent contribution, we like the photo-gallery

what about, farming, food ?
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