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US Gas shortage concern

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Newsseeker » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 09:56:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('KevO', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mechler', 'A')nyone think that the shortages will be severe enough to impact food deliveries to grocery stores? Did anything like that happen in the '70s?

I don't care so much if I can't get gas - I do care if I can't get food!

Mech


or more importantly, water!


I don't think that water from the tap will be affected but there could be empty shelves at stores and that could mean no bottled water. I have a feeling that this is going to be an interesting summer.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby DantesPeak » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 10:07:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mechler', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DantesPeak', '
')The awareness level is increasing. Still 99% of the country will falsely conclude when shortages start it has nothing to do with peak oil.


DP,

Forgive my ignorance, but isn't logical for most people to conclude that the current gas shortages have nothing to do with PO in light of the fact that US crude inventories are within averages (and increased this week, too, right?)

From what I've read from you and Pup, the main problems are refinery related (blame it on post-Katrina operations), lack of imports, and demand. Are any of the problems due to increased heavy oil (peak light sweet crude)?

Are there other links to PO that I'm missing? Naturally, if the refineries were not being supplied with enough crude we could cite PO, but that's not the case right now.



The short answer is that yes it is difficult to make a direct relationship between peak oil and gasoline inventory just by looking at US oil crude oil supply. However US oil supply is just that, it doesn't represent what is happening with the other 75% of the crude used in the world. Plus ironically, as refineries can't use the oil in certain places within the US, it ends up piling up.

So the problem is complex - the right oil is not available in the right place at the right time. This is happening not just in the US, but in the whole world. These problems appear to be an effect of PO - which brings lower quality oil and increasing difficulty using it efficiently (EROEI).
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby shortonoil » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 11:15:05

DantesPeak said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o the problem is complex - the right oil is not available in the right place at the right time. This is happening not just in the US, but in the whole world. These problems appear to be an effect of PO - which brings lower quality oil and increasing difficulty using it efficiently (EROEI).


You are 100% right on this one Dantes, but you must admit that trying to explain this to members of the general population would be like trying to teach a Dodo bird how to fly a 757; result - a lot of airplane crashes.

As to making homemade beer, you had better entertain the idea of smoking pot instead; you may want to eat the barley.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Zardoz » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 11:22:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '.')..As to making homemade beer, you had better entertain the idea of smoking pot instead; you may want to eat the barley.

Oh, man, what a classic line.

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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Gazzatrone » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 11:59:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('shortonoil', '.')..As to making homemade beer, you had better entertain the idea of smoking pot instead; you may want to eat the barley.

Oh, man, what a classic line.

*copies and pastes for future use as sig*


Did the pot thing, besides beer can still be construde as a food substance. There's enough calories to keep you going in a single pint.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Eli » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 12:08:58

Yup beer can substitute for food.

But the point about the grain is well taken.

All grain brewing is the cheapest way to go once the equipment is purchased. Ladder Tun made out of an old igloo ice chest is all you really need to steep the grains.


You could keep a 100lbs of grain on hand to do your brewing and it could also serve as emergency food stash.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Sheb » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 12:33:01

Over the past week, I have noticed two or more out-of-gas pumps at every gas station I have hit here in Charlottesville, Virginia(which is quite a bit, as I am currently rotating my supply).

Anyone else noticing an increase in "sorry out of gas" bags over pump nozzles? Where?
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby shortonoil » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 13:24:09

Sheb said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ver the past week, I have noticed two or more out-of-gas pumps at every gas station I have hit here in Charlottesville, Virginia(which is quite a bit, as I am currently rotating my supply).


Here along the banks of the Chesapeake, I too have noticed more “out gas of signs”, particularly on unleaded pumps. As I mentioned in a previous post, the further one is from the source, the greater the likely hood of shortages. In Virginia we are very near the end of the pipeline. I expect to see more of this as the stock numbers decline.

Addendum: One part of this scenario, that has not been discussed here, is what impact this will have on the world’s general economic status. Not to make a long story out of this, because it is, but the US and China are now engaged in a ever deteriorating death dance as the US consumer keeps China going and China keeps the US going by supplying vast quantities of cheap goods and building up huge quantities of US dollars. This has stretched the world’s fiat currencies to the limit. “Out of gas” will mean out of money, as US consumers falter and the housing collapse disappears into a black hole; foreign investors will desert the US financial markets for safer and better paying pastures. Outcome - not nice!
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Twilight » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 14:32:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'Y')up beer can substitute for food.

It's an even better way of substituting for safe water. It only takes 2% alcohol content to kill everything you should worry about. And the Mediterranean peoples didn't dilute water with wine for the crisp refreshing taste.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Gazzatrone » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 17:46:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Twilight', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'Y')up beer can substitute for food.

It's an even better way of substituting for safe water. It only takes 2% alcohol content to kill everything you should worry about. And the Mediterranean peoples didn't dilute water with wine for the crisp refreshing taste.


Considering I put the "home-brew" remark as a little light humour, seems it is a pretty good idea. In the long run.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby peripato » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 20:57:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'T')he just in time delivery model is set up to fail when there are fuel supply problems.

That is the whole point there is a minimum of excess stock on the shelves. In areas of California and Colorado I could see store shelves running bare. Will people starve that is very doubtful but there will probably be lots of people eating canned lima beans for a week because that is all they can get.

The U.K. fuel price protests in September 2000 provide a chilling example about how quickly things can unravel when fuel runs short given the interdependencies between the fuel energy sector and the other areas of the economy, especially food distribution.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby vision-master » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 21:11:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 's')hortonoil wrote:
...As to making homemade beer, you had better entertain the idea of smoking pot instead; you may want to eat the barley.


Way cheaper buzz then liquid refreshments!
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Sheb » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 22:25:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Twilight', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'Y')up beer can substitute for food.

It's an even better way of substituting for safe water. It only takes 2% alcohol content to kill everything you should worry about. And the Mediterranean peoples didn't dilute water with wine for the crisp refreshing taste.


Ture enough enough, Twilight. Although I had heard it was 1% alcohol that would kill any pathogenic (to mammals) microorganisms. I'm sure it is probably between 1% & 2%.

It is for this reason I take a small quantity of grain alcohol with me whenever I camp or hike. Should the need arise, it can be a water sanitizer, disinfectant, fire accelerant, and (in dire cases), an anesthetic. I still need to get a gallon or two for emergency supplies...though vodka may be a cheaper (per C2H5-OH content) substitute for home.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Twilight » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 23:10:11

Apologies for the off-topic post.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sheb', 'T')ure enough enough, Twilight. Although I had heard it was 1% alcohol that would kill any pathogenic (to mammals) microorganisms. I'm sure it is probably between 1% & 2%.

It is for this reason I take a small quantity of grain alcohol with me whenever I camp or hike. Should the need arise, it can be a water sanitizer, disinfectant, fire accelerant, and (in dire cases), an anesthetic. I still need to get a gallon or two for emergency supplies...though vodka may be a cheaper (per C2H5-OH content) substitute for home.

I've heard 1% too, but I don't like to use that as a guide. Better make sure, and at half the strength of weak beer, even a day's intake is not going to cause any unwanted side-effects, especially as it's spread out.

I like the grain alcohol idea for camping or hiking, but I've gone for vodka before just because it's more widely available. I have used water purification tablets in anger too, but it's never a good idea to rely on one thing. They do pack a lot more power for the size and weight, but you need to have them with you, they're not something you can improvise in an urban emergency. Plus, they're not going to disinfect a wound either.

The accelerant use could also be handy, but my vodka is too weak to burn, and that's intentional, I hate the idea of carrying liquid accelerant with me. To fill that niche, I take a small tin of black boot polish. I have yet to need it, but it's reassuring to know it can't leak.

Anyway, I'm so glad I've been spending my holidays in the hills rather than resort nightclubs. There's a lot of common-sense knowledge the great majority of people are going to miss when the first fuel shortages leave them cut off in their suburb. Even in the UK, during power cuts I've seen large numbers of people walking to a store to buy some candles. Some people don't even bother keeping candles in a cabinet! Though at least they only have to walk around the corner. I can only imagine what's going to happen when the new seasonal fuel shortages and a California grid event coincide. Walking to a store, several miles in the perfectly dark country night? Oh man. That's going to open a fresh new world of pain for millions. They'll learn, but it's going to be a new thing every year.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby gnm » Sat 28 Apr 2007, 23:50:13

Actually Twilight I have used water purification tablets to clean a wound. I mashed a few and mixed them with a half cup of water to clean a nasty tomahawk wound on my leg when I didnt have any other medical materials available for a couple days. The iodine based tabs work quite well in this respect.

-G
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Twilight » Sun 29 Apr 2007, 00:03:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'T')he iodine based tabs work quite well in this respect.

-G

Iodine, I recognise that. I do dimly remember an iodine solution used as disinfectant, but I think it was spirit-based. Can't be sure, was very young.

Problem is, all I see behind the counter are chlorine tablets. Less effective from what I understand, but they do the trick for making water drinkable.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Sheb » Sun 29 Apr 2007, 00:29:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'A')ctually Twilight I have used water purification tablets to clean a wound. I mashed a few and mixed them with a half cup of water to clean a nasty tomahawk wound on my leg when I didnt have any other medical materials available for a couple days. The iodine based tabs work quite well in this respect.

-G


Multi use is the way to go. Now, when you can numb pain *and* start fires with them, there'll be no stopping you!

Now, the question on everyone's mind, GNM...*how* did you get a tomahawk wound?
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Gazzatrone » Sun 29 Apr 2007, 06:46:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sheb', 'N')ow, the question on everyone's mind, GNM...*how* did you get a tomahawk wound?


You have to wonder don't you.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby Twilight » Sun 29 Apr 2007, 07:45:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Sheb', 'N')ow, the question on everyone's mind, GNM...*how* did you get a tomahawk wound?

I would guess it bounced off the target. I once had to move my leg out of the way fast, because a Hibben Thrower II decided to make a return trip. Sadly never got the chance to become proficient with any of that.
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Re: US Gas shortage concern

Unread postby gnm » Sun 29 Apr 2007, 08:30:59

ding ding ding Twilight wins the prize. Rather embarrasingly, I was practicing for speed. Throw a couple and step towards the target to retrieve them just as the last was thrown. I got into a rythm of sorts and got sloppy. One spun back and embedded itself in my shin - right on the corner of the blade no less. I looked down and my pant leg was soaked in blood from the knee down. So I walked back to camp and by the time I got there I had blood squelching in my shoe. The actual wound wasn't too bad. Maybe an inch and a half or 2. I suppose it could have used a couple stiches. But it didn't tear up too much muscle because the bone stopped it. I actually did use whiskey to clean it. and finally the iodine solution. It healed nicely after a month or so leaving only a small scar. Providone iodine is the name of the solution you are looking for. Its widely used in hospitals.

-G :oops:
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