by joewp » Fri 27 Apr 2007, 23:53:56
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Loki', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newsseeker', 'T')he author wants programs without the rebound. Given Jevons Paradox for the life of me I can't think of any. Can you?
The Jevons Paradox is a
hypothesis that is far from universally accepted (with the notable exception of the members of this forum, where it's gospel truth for some reason). I can think of at least two or three studies off the top of my head that fail to show any sign of the so-called paradox when looking at both electricity and gasoline at large spatial scales. On the contrary, they find that energy efficiency measures do exactly what common sense says they do---they save energy. There is a small takeback effect, but most studies put this at ~20%, often less. The religion of Jevons here on PO.com assumes the takeback effect is >100%, which is, as one economist put it, "palpably implausible."
Take whatever people here say about Jevons with a BIG grain of salt. As I pointed out earlier, most people (including both Monte and Aaron) can't even spell the man's name. How much confidence do you have that they will be able to rigorously evaluate his hypothesis and its modern equivalents?
Actually, you spell it wrong too. It's Jevons' Paradox.
Energy efficiencies don't "save" energy. If they do, please show me how the US is using less energy than 1970, since we have far more fuel efficient cars today. Please show how the US is using less electricity today, since every major appliance is far more efficient than 20 years ago. Please show how we're using less nat gas since houses are far better insulated than 30 years ago. If you have these studies "off the top of your head" please provide a link or something, because every single efficiency in the past has resulted in more energy use today.