by SilverHair » Sat 01 Jan 2005, 04:58:50
There is no thuth, just probablity estimates.
There is so much noise that it is difficult to discern the real trends and waves. If you watch some of the videos shown of the Asian tsumani, you should notice that people when the wave was right in front of them did not really understand what was happening. They just relied on their own experiences, and major waves were not part of that experience, so they just backed up a little and expected things to go back to normal, and the result was catastrophic.
If oil gets a little short and prices rise, then people expect that things will go back to normal and that the wave will not overtake them. They back up a little and adjust their finances so that they get by with higher gas and oil prices. They have no idea that an energy tsunami is about to overwhelm them; I doubt that most of you really perceive the size of the wave that is about to suffocate you either, and I guess that your perparations are laughable.
This is the way life is. We mostly don't believe what we have not experienced, so we mostly are not prepared. We might hear of bizarre ideas about future frenzies, but we cannot integrate the true nature of what is to be, so we deny, or we underestimate, or we assume away, and that is why even those with an inkling of the population reduction that nature commands, think you are immune and that is why only the most stealth will survive a 2/3rds reduction in humankind.
Think that circa 1500, 1/2 of the population of England knew that the plague would kill them over an 18 month span? Think that in 1860 anyone really understood that they were on the verge of an horific civil conflict?
My own conclusion is that we are about 10 to 15 years away from the most horific energy tsunami ever imagined, complete with starvation, civil conflict, disease, and pestelence all leading to a 100 year period of human population decline unimaginable as is the death toll from the curent Asian tsunami.
So, if you are confused about reality, as was the hypothet of the initial post in this thread, then you are probably not likely to be among those who outsmart the wave; though luckm and good by.