[KevO]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', '[')url=http://www.sfu.ca/~asamsamb/THE%20%20CENTURY%20%20OF%20%20ROOTS/THE%20%20CENTURY%20%20OF%20%20ROOTS.htm]THE CENTURY OF ROOTS[/url]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he 21st century is still young as there are another ninety-three years to go. So it might sound over-ambitious to claim that 'The Event of the Century' is already behind us. But I'll gladly take the risk; for I seriously believe that the peaking of the global production of crude oil --- commonly know as 'Peak Oil' --- has occurred in 2006 and will be 'The Event' bound to dominate the history of the 21st century:

[EnergyUnlimited]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Hawkcreek', '[')b]dhfenton wrote:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he military interventions that we have seen so far prove fairly conclusively that occupation doesn't work any more.

[kokoda]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newsseeker', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayame', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kokoda', '
')Nobody may get to retire in the future. You will get to work until you are either too frail, too sick, too hungry or too injured to do so ... at which point you will die.

[Newsseeker]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kokoda', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Newsseeker', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ayame', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kokoda', '
')Nobody may get to retire in the future. You will get to work until you are either too frail, too sick, too hungry or too injured to do so ... at which point you will die.

[Newsseeker]

http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/Arc ... Event.html

[Troyboy1208]

What a profound and sobering article...Im going to go take my antidepressant now. I had no idea that this particular expert had such an explicit timeline. Whats scary is that Bakhtiari doesnt seem to have an ulterior motive for doing this other than trying to educate people. I have been talkinga bout peak oil for several years now and it often falls on deaf ears. Most people think ethanol will save us...sheesh the ignorance

[Newsseeker]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Troyboy1208', 'W')hat a profound and sobering article...Im going to go take my antidepressant now. I had no idea that this particular expert had such an explicit timeline. Whats scary is that Bakhtiari doesnt seem to have an ulterior motive for doing this other than trying to educate people. I have been talkinga bout peak oil for several years now and it often falls on deaf ears. Most people think ethanol will save us...sheesh the ignorance

[AFO]

Thus, according to Bakhtiari, in 2006, depletion was greater, by more than 1 mb/d, than new discoveries and reserve growth, including oil produced from unconventional sources such as the tar sands.

According to my calculation, that equals to 1% depletion for 2006.
How may more cumulative depletion % will it take for people to be convinced that peak oil is real & has arrived.

[Newsseeker]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AFO', 'T')hus, according to Bakhtiari, in 2006, depletion was greater, by more than 1 mb/d, than new discoveries and reserve growth, including oil produced from unconventional sources such as the tar sands.

According to my calculation, that equals to 1% depletion for 2006.
How may more cumulative depletion % will it take for people to be convinced that peak oil is real & has arrived.

[Cobra_Strike]

There was a article posted a few days ago, where a chairmen/CEO or something talked about 'production meeting demand unless there were more refinery explosions' well...a few months fro now, assuming that the decline continues, those refinery problems will be cited as the cause of the failure to meet demand.

I would think that above ground factors will be blamed, even a decade after peak, for production shortfalls. Even after many of the otherwise smart people in the world have realized that its geological shortcoming that are reducing production. That or war will sidetrack people...

[Newsseeker]

Right you are Cobra. People never tire of looking for excuses and fail to see the elephant in the room. There is a growing chorus about refinery issues and this summer but if KSA continues to cut production my money is on underlying geological issues otherwise known as PO having happened in May 2005.

[Coolman]

I always liked Bakhtiari. He is from the middle east too and that is why I respect him. He does not seem to have any outside motive. I believe he will be the most correct when it comes to the peak.

I also think Jeffery Brown and Kenneth Deffeyes are smart guys too, they are both on the same boat as Bakhtiari.

[shortonoil]

AFO said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')hus, according to Bakhtiari, in 2006, depletion was greater, by more than 1 mb/d, than new discoveries and reserve growth, including oil produced from unconventional sources such as the tar sands.

[vision-master]

Last night a good show was on PBS HDTV. It looks like Germany is the leader with solar power. They figure by 2020 30% of their power needs will be taken care of by solar.

Also, there is a power plant somewhere out west (USA) that uses some kind of heat shields to heat water into steam to generate enough electricity for 150,000 homes. Hey, it's a start.

Tech will keep us out of the stone age, but we will have to change our ways. Also, they said the USA as a country ain't doing much to get off da dang oil.

[EnergyUnlimited]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AFO', 'T')hus, according to Bakhtiari, in 2006, depletion was greater, by more than 1 mb/d, than new discoveries and reserve growth, including oil produced from unconventional sources such as the tar sands.

According to my calculation, that equals to 1% depletion for 2006.
How may more cumulative depletion % will it take for people to be convinced that peak oil is real & has arrived.

[UFCjunkie]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'T')ech will keep us out of the stone age

[vision-master]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('UFCjunkie', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'T')ech will keep us out of the stone age

[shortonoil]

AFO said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')here will be a lot of fake reasons given to deny PO reality.

[DantesPeak]

Shortonoil – well put, as usual.

Declining EROEI is showing up in the US as a surge in oil product demand. Granted that is significantly to do with the use of ethanol, its reduced energy efficiency and the requirement of more diesel in the farm belt to grow corn. But if technology was going to rescue us, we would increasing efficiency in oil product use – not the other way around.

I’m afraid our political and economic systems won’t be adaptable, and may act in a counter-productive fashion, in solving the problems associated with PO.

[shortonoil]

DantesPeak said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')’m afraid our political and economic systems won’t be adaptable, and may act in a counter-productive fashion, in solving the problems associated with PO.