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Mr Bill speaks out

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby mmasters » Sat 27 Jan 2007, 16:26:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '
')I remember. It was Mmasters presenting The Money Masters, but I was unable to download it and view it unfortunately. I would have liked to have seen it for sure.

But I am quite embarassed that I caused this whole thread to be split from the other. Sorry about that. I will try to stay on topic. Cheers.

lol just to be straight there's no relation between me and the money masters. mmasters is a partial abbreviation of my name.

The presentation he's talking about was a different one with naked shorting and how brokerages use delivery failure on IOUs in the internal and external clearing systems to manipulate the market with short plays. Refco being the tip of the iceburg.

Anyways, Mr Bill- I have a copy of the money masters dvd I would be happy to give to you (I can cover the postage). PM me an address to send to.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby Micki » Sat 27 Jan 2007, 20:52:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') think where Micki and others get their knickers all twisted in a knot is the double counting aspect that they suspect goes on. That gold reserves are somehow counted twice?


Well for one, it makes the world look flushed in Gold.
i.e. CB X has 2000 tons gold in reserve.
They lease out 1000 tons to bullion bank that sells it.
On the books they track that they still have 2000 tons while on the market suddenly appeared 1000 tons. So it appears as if there is a total of 3000 tons.

Since IMF's whistle blower came out and highlighted the erronoius way of their accounting practice they have been under preassure to make adjustments and allow for some transparency, which there now may be a chance it is happening;
See: GATA and Gold Post from Tue Jan 23, 2007 4:40 pm

Furthermore the GATA claim is that the way in which gold leasing is done violates US anti-trust law, Sherman and Clayton Act etc.


It is also my understading that CB gold generally belongs to the people, not the bank. Leasing/shorting years of global gold production has created a risk of defaults should the gold need to be returned. We may therefore see the people "robbed" of their gold through leasing practices that never ensured return was guaranteed or even likely.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby drew » Sat 27 Jan 2007, 22:50:09

Nice rant Mr Bill! I agree with your take on things and agree that there really is no grand conspiracy. I simply think it is easier to make money, and also affect markets, when one is wealthy.

If I was Bill Gates and decided to dump my silver it would likely have an effect on the markets one would think.

If I made a million a year and played the market with 300 k I could take risks that someone making 40k a year couldn't.

The wealthy have better access to information and capital than the ordinary bloke. Even someone as dense as Paris Hilton can hire a good broker.

Making money trading is about taking risks, plain and simple, and the wealthy/professionals can afford risks that most people cant.

Their info is better too.

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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby firestarter » Sat 27 Jan 2007, 23:18:07

Mr Bill,

Last fall, someone linked this (click here) and wanted your comments relative to its content/accuracy. I think you were on vacation at the time and never viewed it. I found it very informative. Would appreciate any comments from you or others regarding its claims.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby threadbear » Sat 27 Jan 2007, 23:24:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('drew', 'N')ice rant Mr Bill! I agree with your take on things and agree that there really is no grand conspiracy. I simply think it is easier to make money, and also affect markets, when one is wealthy.

If I was Bill Gates and decided to dump my silver it would likely have an effect on the markets one would think.

If I made a million a year and played the market with 300 k I could take risks that someone making 40k a year couldn't.

The wealthy have better access to information and capital than the ordinary bloke. Even someone as dense as Paris Hilton can hire a good broker.

Making money trading is about taking risks, plain and simple, and the wealthy/professionals can afford risks that most people cant.

Their info is better too.

Drew


No conspiracy? The Hunt bros.intentionally cornered the silver market, manipulated prices way up. Think that was early 80's period. end of story. That, my dear, is a conspiracy. Enron? Worldcom?
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby MrBill » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 10:32:31

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('firestarter', 'M')r Bill,

Last fall, someone linked this (click here) and wanted your comments relative to its content/accuracy. I think you were on vacation at the time and never viewed it. I found it very informative. Would appreciate any comments from you or others regarding its claims.


yes, the darkside of the looking glass. as mentioned above that was posted by mmasters I think? I tried to download it and it was blocked by my firewall. so far I have not been able to view it.

mmasters mentioned refco? I am one of the few in this room that lost $20 mio when they criminally siezed collateral from us, and then went bankrupt before we could sue them. We just got a cheque in January for about $5 mio in partial re-payment from their assets. so as of this moment our loss is nomially $15 mio, plus the opportunity cost of that money, and the shares have since risen in value, another loss. one of my colleagues paid for that with his job and as refco was my counterpart I almost lost my job, too. needless to say it sure cut into our bonus pool last year!

this is why credit limits and counterpart risk management is absolutely critical as well as having air tight paperwork. in hindsight their continued settlement failures on short sales should have been an even bigger warning signal. we ha to warn them several times to either deliver shares or we would buy them in for their account. they always did, but always late.

ironically, I was in vienna last week and met the new head of capital markets, an old contact from me, of the Austrian bank that facilitated and was one of the victims of the refco fraud. every worldcom or enron hurts the credibility of the market and investors lose trust in the checks & controls.

unfortunately, those checks & controls usually work, but out and out fraud is very hard to guard against. it is the money launderer that always has their paperwork absolutely in order and every stamp in the right place. sarbox is a blunt instrument for fighting abuses like worldcom and enron, but they do impose costs on everyone for compliance and extra accounting.

but we should not confuse a market economy with the shortfalls of capitalism because in general it operates fairly well. and as for the abuses and greed that we see, especially, but not limited to America it does not make the market economy and capitalism at fault for every problem. that greed and market abuse is more likely symptomatic of a social contract that is breaking down between workers and companies, but is also about a myriad of social problems in general.

I am just watching Spanish riots on Euronews this weekend that are remniscient of the riots last spring in the suburbs of Paris. I mean why are they rioting? high unemployment amoung the unassimilated second generation of immigrants is one reason, but let's get this straight. they are not tearing up their EU passports and moving back enmasse to N. Africa, Latin America or wherever they come from. sometimes social unrest is not a sign that conditions are so bad, but also a sign that things are so good that bored youths can afford to riot and set cars and buses on fire without fear of being put in jail or deported. there is such a thing as legitimate social protest. bored youths partying on the weekend is not one of them.

Drew, "there is an old saying, when a rich man meets a clever man, the rich man is afterwards neither richer or cleverer!" ; - )
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby drew » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 10:58:54

Threadbear, those are individual events, and yes they are conspiracies, but that is not what I meant. The kind of stuff you are talking about is criminal in nature is it not? Also, that type of scam operates on a rather small scale, although some poor bastard burned by Enron wouldn't feel that way!

Conspiracies of a global nature were what I was talking about, and I dont think they exist. The game isn't rigged to the point that big players win all the time, just look at Amaranth.

I do think the wealthy have more risk tolerance and can afford better info, as well as having inside info that we could only dream of. That is insufficient to call 'conspiracy' imo.

If I buy just before the market turns who's fault is that? It cant just keep on going up for ever can it? BTW, I have sold quite a few times before a run was played out and I have no one to blame but myself do I?



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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby Kingcoal » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 13:07:36

Isn't it funny how it always comes down to conspiracy? The fundamental problem with big conspiracies is that the typical human is too dumb, petty and disloyal to make them work. Look at the mafia, it's a conspiracy, it's secret and it's full of rats. I think it's the same for governments - secrets, conspiracies and rats. People can't keep secrets, just ask the FBI. The temptation to brag is too great. Just add a little alcohol and out it comes.
"That's the problem with mercy, kid... It just ain't professional" - Fast Eddie, The Color of Money
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby firestarter » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 13:55:13

I think we need a primer regarding general semantics and obfuscation of reality vis-a-vis buzz words meant to silence or diminish the utterers of, such as the word conspiracy is designed to accomplish.

At any rate, conpiracies--existing or not existing-- are largely beside the point regarding market irregularities and inefficiencies. Given the nature of anything centrally managed, some folks have exclusive access to crucial market information--viz, power--that others do not have, and with this postioning comes absolute advantage, and given human nature, oft times illegitimate outcomes that necessarily favor the well connected over the the majority of everyday market participants.

The complexity of the financial markets also contribute to criminal behaviors therein that are deleterious (Darkside of the Looking Glass documents one such outcome) to the law abiding, unsuspecting market players. Whether or not the system is necessarily complex, what we have at work now, it seems to me, is a systemic operation that has become icreasingly hard to grasp by even the brightest minds, and as such invites immoral/criminal/greed inducing behaviors that benefit the few at the expense of the many. Those who benefit most, naturally like it that way. The status quo ante of the relative easily understood regarding commerce won't be pinned for very soon; for good reason.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby threadbear » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 16:58:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('drew', 'T')hreadbear, those are individual events, and yes they are conspiracies, but that is not what I meant. The kind of stuff you are talking about is criminal in nature is it not? Also, that type of scam operates on a rather small scale, although some poor bastard burned by Enron wouldn't feel that way!

Conspiracies of a global nature were what I was talking about, and I dont think they exist. The game isn't rigged to the point that big players win all the time, just look at Amaranth.

I do think the wealthy have more risk tolerance and can afford better info, as well as having inside info that we could only dream of. That is insufficient to call 'conspiracy' imo.

If I buy just before the market turns who's fault is that? It cant just keep on going up for ever can it? BTW, I have sold quite a few times before a run was played out and I have no one to blame but myself do I?



Drew


No, it is not small scale, Drew. The way accounting is done to produce statements to shareholders is an organized fraud. An investor relying on some kind of transparency and honesty in the system, is under the impression the company is much wealthier than it actually is. The money they spend on shares, after the company's sorry state or ponzi nature is revealed, can be lost. It isn't just Enron and World Com, it's many, many large corporations. Read up on the regulatory mechanisms, like the SEC, and how ineffective they have been, and you'll understand what is going on.

Do a google for derivatives time bomb and Warren Buffet, too.

Corporations and stock brokers, are criminal organizations, at the present time.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby drew » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 18:04:24

You amuse me Threadbear!

Is the stockbroker who puts in my trade a crook when I've done the research and made my decision without any input from him? There are crooked stockbrokers, I'll admit that, but the vast majority aren't. I'd know, my dad was a broker for 20 years.

I was curious too, about your accounting knowledge. The practice as I studied it in university seems to have a lot more in common with what Mr Bill has to say about it than what you claim.

There are crooks in accounting and in business and occasionally they get caught.

Typically an accounting firm will review the data and offer an opinion as to the quality of the info posited by the company for an annual or quarterly report. BS put out by the company in question usually results in a qualified opinion by the accounting firm.

This is a clear signal to would-be investors and shareholders that something is amiss.

Why do you think companies like Nortel and GM have had to restate earnings multiple times? The Nortel guys are probably trying to stay out of jail I'd figure. GM is just broke.

I can read financial statements although I am not very good at it or very fast. It certainly isn't hocus pocus like you seem to believe.

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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby threadbear » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 18:37:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('drew', 'Y')ou amuse me Threadbear!

Is the stockbroker who puts in my trade a crook when I've done the research and made my decision without any input from him? There are crooked stockbrokers, I'll admit that, but the vast majority aren't. I'd know, my dad was a broker for 20 years.

I was curious too, about your accounting knowledge. The practice as I studied it in university seems to have a lot more in common with what Mr Bill has to say about it than what you claim.

There are crooks in accounting and in business and occasionally they get caught.

Typically an accounting firm will review the data and offer an opinion as to the quality of the info posited by the company for an annual or quarterly report. BS put out by the company in question usually results in a qualified opinion by the accounting firm.

This is a clear signal to would-be investors and shareholders that something is amiss.

Why do you think companies like Nortel and GM have had to restate earnings multiple times? The Nortel guys are probably trying to stay out of jail I'd figure. GM is just broke.

I can read financial statements although I am not very good at it or very fast. It certainly isn't hocus pocus like you seem to believe.

Drew


Perhaps I should have said brokerages, rather than individual brokers. And yes... the brokerages who engage in pumping schemes, by "partnering" with certain funds should be held liable. This is exactly what my previous brokerage, is doing presently, after being taken to court for steering clients to a very limited number of funds. How "partnering" with funds is any different than steering clients towards them, is beyond me. The brokerage should have a policy of critical impartiality, at a bare minimum.

In 2005 I had a really difficult time getting my broker to let me continue to self direct my IRA into funds that I thought were suitable. It was a difficult, taxing experience. If I hadn't had intellectual confidence, it wouldn't have happened. I just would have backed off. As it was, I strong armed her into (eventually) transferring all of my shares into a precious metal fund that doubled in value in about 18 months. It wasn't the broker's fault. She was following company policy. This is the kind of soft crime that is actionable but just on the periphery of the illegal, so through clever use of language, the conflict of interest, is glossed over.


It hasn't always been this way. Fraud WAS limited to certain companies. But times change. Does your accounting background cover backdating of options, for starters? How about all of the other creative bookkeeping schemes currently employed to inflate profits? Leasing schemes, complex derivatives? Are you a forensic accountant? If not, don't trifle with me.

Do you model your political world view, from what you learned in civics class? Oh dear....and you condescend to me. Now, that's amusing.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby threadbear » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 18:45:19

Drew, For your amusement. My prior brokerage, the charges and the fine:

Edward Jones to Pay $75 Million to Settle Revenue Sharing Charges
FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
2004-177

Washington, D.C., Dec. 22, 2004 — The Securities and Exchange Commission, NASD and the New York Stock Exchange announced settled enforcement proceedings against Edward D. Jones & Co., L.P., a registered broker-dealer headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, related to allegations that Edward Jones failed to adequately disclose revenue sharing payments that it received from a select group of mutual fund families that Edward Jones recommended to its customers.

http://www.sec.gov/news/press/2004-177.htm
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby mmasters » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 19:20:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'b')ut we should not confuse a market economy with the shortfalls of capitalism because in general it operates fairly well. and as for the abuses and greed that we see, especially, but not limited to America it does not make the market economy and capitalism at fault for every problem.

This is what I mean by cheerleading.

What system have we ever experienced but a debt based one? Who's to say this one operates better than any other?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 't')hat greed and market abuse is more likely symptomatic of a social contract that is breaking down between workers and companies, but is also about a myriad of social problems in general.

And this is what I mean about being in denial.

The fact the system allows such abuses and proliferation of greed is no accident. It is fundamental to the system itself. This is where history is a great teacher.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby drew » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 20:35:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'A')re you a forensic accountant? If not, don't trifle with me.


Come on now Threadbear, I quite clearly stated that I was mediocre at reading statements.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'D')o you model your political world view, from what you learned in civics class? Oh dear....and you condescend to me. Now, that's amusing.


No, I didn't take civics in university, although I do have a somewhat usless degree unless you like classics. (gee it was the degree to get a few centuries ago!)

I took one second year accounting course so I would have some knowledge when it came to investing. On top of this I have spent hundreds of hours reading up on personal finance here in cyber space. I know very little compared to professionals, but vastly more than the average Joe.

For not knowing anything, I'd put my money with Mr Bill as opposed to your knowledge on the subject. This is nothing personal just an observation.

What I found amusing was the hyperbole you used. 'all of type x, and y, are evil!!!!!'

The world isn't so black and white, that's all.

For the record your complaints about your broker are completely valid. I faced similar problems and dealt with them equally well. Sadly, the people who don't do their home work do get taken advantage of, however that is not a crime as far as I know.

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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby threadbear » Sun 28 Jan 2007, 22:27:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('drew', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'A')re you a forensic accountant? If not, don't trifle with me.


Come on now Threadbear, I quite clearly stated that I was mediocre at reading statements.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'D')o you model your political world view, from what you learned in civics class? Oh dear....and you condescend to me. Now, that's amusing.


No, I didn't take civics in university, although I do have a somewhat usless degree unless you like classics. (gee it was the degree to get a few centuries ago!)

I took one second year accounting course so I would have some knowledge when it came to investing. On top of this I have spent hundreds of hours reading up on personal finance here in cyber space. I know very little compared to professionals, but vastly more than the average Joe.

For not knowing anything, I'd put my money with Mr Bill as opposed to your knowledge on the subject. This is nothing personal just an observation.

What I found amusing was the hyperbole you used. 'all of type x, and y, are evil!!!!!'

The world isn't so black and white, that's all.

For the record your complaints about your broker are completely valid. I faced similar problems and dealt with them equally well. Sadly, the people who don't do their home work do get taken advantage of, however that is not a crime as far as I know.

Drew


Yes, it is a crime. Did you read the follow up thread I posted about Edward Jones? I'm assuming, as Edward Jones is actually cited as one of the better brokerages that most of them act outside of the law, if only marginally. Most just aren't held to account. In the case of Edward Jones, the crime was institutionalized, not the fault of individual brokers. As far as putting your money with Mr. Bill rather than me, ask Mr. Bill if he's gotten 400% return on his money in 7 years. I'm far from financially brilliant, I managed it simply by adopting a paranoid world view and assuming that corporations and brokerages are lying sacks of sh**.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby max_power29 » Mon 29 Jan 2007, 02:44:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '
')
Speculators may not necessarily have devil's horns growing out of their heads but we're certainly not angels either. We make our profits off other people's misfortune/ miscalculation....with full knowledge of this. However it's not the general public that we feed off of...it's actually each other. Speculators make their money off of other speculators. That's the Long and Short of It :-D


I don't refer to ordinary "speculators", when I'm discussing market manipulators. Only the "chosen" ones who have been granted virtually unlimited leverage have the power to manipulate the markets. a lot of markets are smaller than everybody imagines too.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby max_power29 » Mon 29 Jan 2007, 02:49:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('drew', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'A')re you a forensic accountant? If not, don't trifle with me.


Come on now Threadbear, I quite clearly stated that I was mediocre at reading statements.


I would reccomend checking out Catherine Austin Fitt's work.
She is kick ass and credible.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby max_power29 » Mon 29 Jan 2007, 02:54:32

I've been reading up on Ponzi lately. I seriously can not figure out what he did wrong. I couldnt find anything.

He didn't do anything different than the current modern masters of arbitrage.

He was ruined when the media and other "experts" declared him to be bankrupt/ruined. So people lost confidence and his business crashed. The same thing would happen to any business, market, or central debt based fiat economy, if the "experts" and media pounced on it.
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Re: Mr Bill speaks out

Postby MrBill » Mon 29 Jan 2007, 04:44:50

There is no denying that power corrupts and that absolute power corrupts absolutely. I think that is well established. Hence the checks & balances that are imposed on the system to keep the playing field level.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'U').S. government prosecutors announced charges Tuesday against the former head of the United Nations oil-for-food program, accusing him of receiving $160,000 in kickbacks from sales of Iraqi oil under the government of Saddam Hussein.

The seven-count indictment, unsealed in Federal District Court in Manhattan, was brought against Benon V. Sevan, 69, a Cypriot who served as executive director of the $64 billion aid program from 1997 until mid-2003. He was accused together with Ephraim Nadler, 79, a naturalized American citizen born in Egypt, of taking illegal commissions from an Egyptian oil trader in exchange for helping him secure contracts to purchase Iraqi oil. Both were charged with conspiracy and wire fraud.
Ex-chief of UN oil-for-food program is charged



Look at the pressure to regulate private equity and hedge funds. Technically, it is none of the regulators business and private investors do not have to invest in either private equity or hedge funds. They have organized exchanges and publicly traded companies that are more transparent and have to follow a stricter set of rules and regulations.

But because all investors interact with one another. They all draw from the same pool of funding. They buy and sell the same types of instruments. The regulators are keen to keep an eye on private equity and hedge funds as well.

I am of a mixed opinion on this subject. First of all I can see the regulator's point of view. If something has the potential to disrupt markets and hurt individual investors then they need to be involved. However, private equity and hedge funds sprung up precisely because some markets were becoming over-regulated and compliance too expensive. So I feel for the investor or owners of capital that are fleeing the long-arm of the regulators who are also guilty of mission creep.

This forum on peak oil dot com is about the economic ramifications of hydrocarbon depletion. I think that is the main issue.

International accounting standards, organized exchanges, regulators, public companies, hedge funds, etc. are all fascinating subjects. I think personally the whole system has gotten too complex for its own health. However, you have to recognize that it has gotten so complex in response to each successive crisis in confidence where voters and shareholders have demanded the government get involved. It did not evolve of its own volition.

Aside from protecting widows and orphans the system now tries to protect every investor from making their own mistakes. Out of such complexity stems huge bureaucracies where it is possible to abide by the letter of the law while still violating its spirit. If tax loop holes and special purpose vehicles did not exist then accountants, lawyers and the bosses that hire them could not exploit them. Period.

I know it is popular to hate big business, big government, big oil and big brother. But let's be fair. Who creates big government for example except the voters and their collective actions over time. On that point I agree 100% with The Great Mogambo Guru (TGMG). We, collectively, simply cannot resist the temptation to meddle and as a result we end of making the system more complex and costlier instead of simpler to administer.

I bet that if publicly traded companies were absolutely free of all regulation that a) investors would be much more careful in which company they risked their money, and b) good companies would strive to be open and transparent in order to attract investor funding.

There should be no such thing as passive investing. I do not trust my banker, my broker, my investment advisor or anyone else when making decisions about my finances. It is my money and if I lose it they will not have to pay for it. I will suffer. So I read every contract before I sign it and I make my own investment decisions.

And, yes, my investment advisors have also lied to me by not disclosing all the transaction fees even though I directly asked them. So, yes, some of them are crooks. I am far more wary of the small time investment advisor collecting front-end fees from mutual fund sales then I am of regulated broker-dealers. If you have any doubts check that a broker is part of an investor compensation scheme and what the conditions of that scheme is as well as who regluates them and their ombudsman.

But just because I have been burned a few times it does not mean I have the luxury of not investing intelligently. Because asset price inflation is constantly eating away at my savings, and the uncertainly of the future, like peak oil depletion for example, means I need to grow my money, so that I have the assets to deal with that uncertainty. However, I am now even more careful than ever. Get a good lawyer and an accountant you can trust. They are money well invested.
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