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THE Sec/o Energy, Sam Bodman Thread (merged)

A forum for discussion of regional topics including oil depletion but also government, society, and the future.

Re: US Energy Sec Bodman - We Need More Ethanol Imports

Unread postby Temperedoil » Thu 25 Jan 2007, 17:47:49

This would be an admission on the part of Bodman that the President's proposed solution to the problem of future oil supplies not meeting demand is unworkable. An admission, as far as we are likely to get from the White House, of the desperation of the situation. A warning to the American people that all is not well, and will be even worse in the years ahead.

In that sense, Bodman may perhaps be seen to be advising the American people that the times of profligate oil use are over. If the USA cannot find a quick solution, then what warning does that give for the rest of the oil dependent world?
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Re: US Energy Sec Bodman - We Need More Ethanol Imports

Unread postby DantesPeak » Fri 26 Jan 2007, 14:15:14

delete - wrong thread!
It's already over, now it's just a matter of adjusting.
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Re: US Energy Sec Bodman - We Need More Ethanol Imports

Unread postby nth » Fri 26 Jan 2007, 14:49:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('joewp', '
')
AND raise the price of food in yet more third world countries. I'm never going to use ethanol. I'm not comfortable driving on some starving person's food.


Higher food prices is more beneficial to developing states.
A large group of the world's poor live on their own farms, so will be positively affected. This is good policy as many states don't have any industry to rely on except agriculture to boost their quality of life.
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Re: US Energy Sec Bodman - We Need More Ethanol Imports

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Fri 26 Jan 2007, 15:52:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nth', 'H')igher food prices is more beneficial to developing states.


Yeah, it's great for Mubulu, the African corn farmer. Until Mubulu's neighbors can only afford $2 per bushel, and ADM's ethanol division swoops in and buys up everything at $4. Then Mubulu's neighbors drag him out of bed in the middle of the night, hack his limbs off, stuff the pieces into the trunk of Mubulu's Mercedes and burn his house down (with his family inside).
The whole of human history is a refutation by experiment of the concept of "moral world order". - Friedrich Nietzsche
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Re: US Energy Sec Bodman - We Need More Ethanol Imports

Unread postby nth » Fri 26 Jan 2007, 16:29:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dreamtwister', '
')
Yeah, it's great for Mubulu, the African corn farmer. Until Mubulu's neighbors can only afford $2 per bushel, and ADM's ethanol division swoops in and buys up everything at $4. Then Mubulu's neighbors drag him out of bed in the middle of the night, hack his limbs off, stuff the pieces into the trunk of Mubulu's Mercedes and burn his house down (with his family inside).


To me, this is just sick and weird.
Why don't we deal with reality?
You can see several states in Africa that joined the agricultural revolution and have developed a lot further along than states that don't. Many of these states do not have mines or oil, so agriculture is the only business they can export. I sure don't see those countries fall into chaos. The ones that go into chaos are the natural resource rich states.

I am not saying all is dandy, but we can clearly see high aggie good prices are beneficial to developing world in our short history after WW2. If you think we are entering a different paradigm, then make that argument, but don't just think the have-nots will kill the haves.
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Re: US Energy Sec Bodman - We Need More Ethanol Imports

Unread postby Dreamtwister » Sat 27 Jan 2007, 16:32:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nth', 'b')ut don't just think the have-nots will kill the haves.


Why not? History and human nature are both on my side. How far would you go to feed your family?
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Re: US Energy Sec Bodman - We Need More Ethanol Imports

Unread postby nth » Mon 29 Jan 2007, 15:48:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dreamtwister', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nth', 'b')ut don't just think the have-nots will kill the haves.


Why not? History and human nature are both on my side. How far would you go to feed your family?


Why not?
Because history is not on your side.
People want to conform and make a living the old fashion way. They earn it. People don't rob and steal unless they have no other choice. When states promote agriculture in poor areas, people take up the work. Very few instances where this does not occur.
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Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby eXpat » Fri 16 Feb 2007, 08:53:57

Interesting article in Reuters today about Energy policies , Reuters

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')Energy security is inextricably linked to our national interest. Period. Full stop," Bodman said. "And this is true for all the nations of the world."


That's was pretty clear, give us our resources that happen to be in your soil, o else.... That's a very stong statement to Chavez and Evo Morales.
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby No-Oil » Fri 16 Feb 2007, 10:34:17

But the big question when it comes will be "Are the American public willing to kill their sons to feed their cars" ? If Iraq or Nam or any other US war since WW2 is anything to go by, then the answer will be a resounding NO.

Not to mention that the US is in HOC up to its eyeballs to the rest of the world & the FED is controlled by foreign bankers, who WILL get their money & if that means killing the US economy to do it then they will. No more money supply = no more smart bombs or planes or ships etc & thus the grunt on the ground will carry the can with rifle in hand.
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby Zardoz » Fri 16 Feb 2007, 11:04:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('eXpat', '.')..That was pretty clear: Give us our resources that happen to be in your soil, or else....

Bookmark this story, folks. Add it to your list of favorites. It's very significant.

What a blatant, in-your-face, gun-to-your-head threat. We Yankees are an arrogant lot, aren't we? Bodman probably has a "What's our oil doing under their sand?" bumper sticker on his car.

This administration never fails to amaze, huh?
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby turp182 » Fri 16 Feb 2007, 11:28:20

I don't think things will work out the way the US hopes. This is a veiled threat to oil producers, that's for sure.

But once the threats start it's time for oil exporters to take control (which is easy).

The US isn’t in a position of power to ask for access to other countries resources. We come from the position of the largest user and largest "EDIT - importer", a position of incredible weakness (our specialty is exporting our wealth via huge trade deficits). About the only thing going for us is our military (not to be discounted for even a second, but streched at this point which everyone knows).

Oil exporters can take control by claiming to be in depletion (that's the key, make the fight over dwindling resources, it's a Catch-22 as any fight uses immense amounts of those resources). All they have to do is slow down their extraction operations (easy to do if nationalized without transparency).

At that point prices rise, and oil exporters reap the wealth benefits. Controlling flow rates guarantees more wealth over a longer period of time.

High oil prices would cripple the US’s ability to respond (economy at home would start cracking, military operations become more and more expensive).

So threats should be met with "but we are running out!"
Last edited by turp182 on Fri 16 Feb 2007, 14:10:59, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby DesertBear2 » Fri 16 Feb 2007, 11:52:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('turp182', ' ')All they have to do is slow down their extraction operations (easy to do if nationalized without transparency).

At that point prices rise, and oil exporters reap the wealth benefits. Controlling flow rates guarantees more wealth over a longer period of time.



All the energy exporting nations need to do is let all the inefficiences in their systems accumulate or worsen. New exploration and production just will never quite happen. Sorry, yankees, but we have no oil or gas to sell anymore- just got enough for our own economy!

It's not just a matter of selling off the energy resources at the most profitable price. It's going to be about survival of civilization on the most basic level. As Simmons says, the true price of a barrel of oil should be about $300/bbl. Why should the energy resource countries pump themselves dry to get a current price of $50/bbl when they will desperately need these resources in the near future?

And to pump away their precious reserves for what cause? To fuel all the spoiled fat boys in the US who want to continue their fantasies of wilderness adventures in their SUVs? For more sprawling Mcmansion developments for bankrupt Americans?
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby jdmartin » Fri 16 Feb 2007, 14:18:50

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('No-Oil', 'B')ut the big question when it comes will be "Are the American public willing to kill their sons to feed their cars" ? If Iraq or Nam or any other US war since WW2 is anything to go by, then the answer will be a resounding NO.

Not to mention that the US is in HOC up to its eyeballs to the rest of the world & the FED is controlled by foreign bankers, who WILL get their money & if that means killing the US economy to do it then they will. No more money supply = no more smart bombs or planes or ships etc & thus the grunt on the ground will carry the can with rifle in hand.


You don't know us Yanks that good, my friend. I have no doubt that oil shortages, real or imagined, will have us expeditioning across the globe. Americans are not going to put up with $7 gasoline without blowing the shit out of someone. Neither is China. Frankly, I wouldn't be feeling all that good if I was living in Venezuela, Nigeria, Middle east et al.

Europeans have a track history, within many of their lifetimes, of sucking it up when times got scarce. Most Americans that know anything about sucking it up are dead or on death's doorstep right now. And those that were alive can tell you that the idea of a possible civil war/revolution wasn't that far fetched in the minds of a lot of people waiting in 12 block breadlines.
After fueling up their cars, Twyman says they bowed their heads and asked God for cheaper gas.There was no immediate answer, but he says other motorists joined in and the service station owner didn't run them off.
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby neocone » Fri 16 Feb 2007, 18:57:56

Now oil... tomorrow food supplies.

I do believe a large portion of Africa is slated to grow the ethanol required by North America, as well as the food. Nevermind the people dying outside the heavily fortified complexes and the corpses on the barbed wires.

Iraq is a case in point: Bodies are dumped in sight of the gates to the "green zone".

At this point the concept of fighting for the iraqi freedom, as much a joke it was, is now blatantly ignored even by the politburo cheerleaders... and this is totally frightening.

Soon the political discourse out of Washington won't even bother any lip service to "freedom" and "democracy".

This is where the turn to despotic fascism will happen: We are the chosen race, the rest can die, or their well being is of no interest to us, and for every american dead we will execute 50 "terrorists" to make an example. We need the lebensraum for the prosperity of the master race, and enough ressources for it to roam free and every master race family to have 2 SUVs and a house, etc...
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby grabby » Sun 18 Feb 2007, 15:27:53

Don't worry, be happy.
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby eXpat » Mon 19 Feb 2007, 08:18:21

Sam Bodman has apparently decided that Resource wars is the way to go, looking for previous enterviews of him, he has always forecasted that there are difficult times ahead.
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby DesertBear2 » Tue 20 Feb 2007, 03:54:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jdmartin', '
')You don't know us Yanks that good, my friend. I have no doubt that oil shortages, real or imagined, will have us expeditioning across the globe. Americans are not going to put up with $7 gasoline without blowing the shit out of someone.


I would agree with this 100%. Especially so with a bunch of gamblers like the Bush regime.

Another point to consider is that Americans just no longer seem to care about suffering and death in faraway places. I don't know anyone who gives a damn about the death toll among Iraqi civilians. For most Americans, reality consists of a mixture of cyber-escapism and Hollywood imagery.

So most people here will probably support extreme violence in a bid to escape a future of energy shortages. Americans have truly turned to the dark side.
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby I_Like_Plants » Tue 20 Feb 2007, 04:23:25

I believe Americans are indeed willing to sacrifice their sons and daughters to feed their cars.

Especially since the class that makes the decisions and the class that goes over and gets killed are very separated in the US.

Especially since the the class that signs up and fights and dies has been conditioned very well to hate itself. The working class in the US is a very brutalized class, a class of people who have learned to consider themselves as having little value, most of them have been "latchkey" kids and basically treated like shit from a young age, it's one reason they make great soldiers. There's actually a pretty high rate of US soldiers signing up for more stints of duty over there, since while Iraq is an awful place to be, they're actually being treated more like human beings, there's more social connectedness, in the US Army than in US life for them.

Know this: US'ians are very willing to sacrifice their sons and daughters to feed their cars. Vietnam was not about cars.
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Re: Embrace the new paradigm... or else!

Unread postby TheDude » Tue 20 Feb 2007, 19:52:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DesertBear2', ' ')For most Americans, reality consists of a mixture of cyber-escapism and Hollywood imagery.

So most people here will probably support extreme violence in a bid to escape a future of energy shortages. Americans have truly turned to the dark side.


You decry Hollywood imagery in one sentence, and then use an example of it...
Hard to top that kind of irony!
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Economy in danger zone with oil price: Bodman

Unread postby KevO » Fri 03 Aug 2007, 05:13:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ASHINGTON (Reuters) - Near record high crude oil prices have put the U.S. economy in the "danger zone" and the world's producers must boost supply to prevent shortages, Energy Secretary Sam Bodman said on Thursday.

Sustained U.S. crude oil prices near the $80 level could harm the U.S. economy, and both OPEC and non-OPEC producers should "look at what the facts are," Bodman told reporters.

"We're in a ... danger zone right now, so that's why I hope that both OPEC and non-OPEC nations will look carefully at the facts," Bodman told reporters.

It was one of the strongest warnings from a Bush administration official to date on the impact of high crude oil and gasoline prices, which are already starting to take their toll on U.S. consumer spending.


full, happy article here
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