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THE Stephen Hawking Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Hawking - Black Holes and Entropy

Unread postby ipWinston » Tue 24 Oct 2006, 14:53:39

hmm if i recall correctly its Keplers Law that states that the laws of the universe apply all throughout the universe...if that helps you at all
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No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby TheDude » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 12:11:16

Humans must colonize other planets. So get off your butts and colonize!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')awking, a 64-year-old father of three who rarely gives interviews and who wrote the best-selling "A Brief History of Time," suggested propulsion like that used by the fictional starship Enterprise "to boldly go where no man has gone before" could help solve the problem.

"Science fiction has developed the idea of warp drive, which takes you instantly to your destination," said.

"Unfortunately, this would violate the scientific law which says that nothing can travel faster than light."

However, by using "matter/antimatter annihilation," velocities just below the speed of light could be reached, making it possible to reach the next star in about six years.

"It wouldn't seem so long for those on board," he said.


So let's get to annihilating that matter/antimatter! Hurry up chop chop!
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby morph » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 13:00:44

Link from BBC news

will it ever happen? unlikely
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 13:18:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('TheDude', '[')url=http://news.yahoo.com/s/nm/20061130/ts_nm/space_hawking_dc]Humans must colonize other planets.[/url] So get off your butts and colonize!

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')awking, a 64-year-old father of three who rarely gives interviews and who wrote the best-selling "A Brief History of Time," suggested propulsion like that used by the fictional starship Enterprise "to boldly go where no man has gone before" could help solve the problem.

"Science fiction has developed the idea of warp drive, which takes you instantly to your destination," said.

"Unfortunately, this would violate the scientific law which says that nothing can travel faster than light."

However, by using "matter/antimatter annihilation," velocities just below the speed of light could be reached, making it possible to reach the next star in about six years.

"It wouldn't seem so long for those on board," he said.


So let's get to annihilating that matter/antimatter! Hurry up chop chop!


It is quite interesting, that Hawking is making an error with respect to physics of propulsion.
Antimatter has a specific impulse in range of 1 000 000 seconds and that mean that after about 12 days at acceleration of 1 g (9.81m/s2) spacecraft composed of ca 70% of matter-antimatter fuel and 30% of structural parts would exhaust all fuel on board reaching speed 9 810 000 m/s, equals 9810km/s, what is about 3% of c only. And remaining 30% of payload would have to contain ca 2/3 of its mass in form of fuel to allow for decelleration.
Shortly, if your matter/antimatter fuel takes 90% of total initial mass, than you can accellerate and decellerate your spacecraft to about 3% of c only, and this is asuming perfect efficiency (as we know, no such a thing).
Shortly, antimatter will not take you to stars, unless you are prepared for at least 140 years long journey to the "nearby" Alpha Centaurii.

As I had already noticed in another thread, our only proposed way to travel with speeds in range of 30-50% of c is R. Bussard's cosmic ram jet design, which may possibly be constructed after few centuries of technological progress at current rate, or not constructed at all...

Hawking, bad boy! Better do your maths before you say something!
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby rogerhb » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 15:59:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')Unfortunately, this would violate the scientific law which says that nothing can travel faster than light."


Which is no obstacle to economists.
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby PolestaR » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 16:02:25

Pretty sure this has been covered before on the forum.. but alas.. it's sad to someone who has significant smarts be so stupid. It's like us saying "well we will be saved from peak oil if the core of the earth infinitely regenerates fossil fuels at whatever output we want" - riiight.

Academics commonly suffer from being unable to see "the big picture" which just goes to show, maybe you should be grateful for not being Einstein.
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby Ingenuity_Gap » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 16:21:32

What Hawking conveniently forgets is that the higher the speed, the more dangerous the radiation generated by dust and atoms in space.

At interstellar speeds a speckle of dust will behave like a bomb on the outer shell of the starship.

Nature's Tiniest Space Junk

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') 10-4 gm speck of dust racing along at 30 km/s carries about the same energy as a very high energy cosmic ray, ~3 x 10^20 electron volts. Collisions with high-speed space dust can electrify satellites, scrambling software and triggering mistaken control procedures.


30 km/s is just 0.01 % of c. What do you think happens at 150,000 km/s or 50% of c?

How are you going to protect the sensitive electronics and instruments? Or the humans inside the ship? Or the ship itself?

Tuvok, raise shields? Well, in case we develop those shields in the next century or so, what amount of energy will they require? Will that shield energy compete with the energy for propulsion?

And even if we do that, anti-matter is not a source of energy. You cannot find it at large, it disintegrates instantly when close to "normal" matter.

You need an extreme amount of energy to "create" anti-matter and hold it in place.

The last time I checked the forums, we were in for a terrible energy crunch. They call it Peak Oil I heard.
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby AWPrime » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 16:25:35

Antimatter is also worse than fusion, for it needs too much containment equipment.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby Ingenuity_Gap » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 16:42:44

I say we are so badly "Star Trekked", that even smart minds like Hawking can regurgitate stupid things like "interstellar travel is coming to a Walmart near you soon".

Note: I adore Star Trek, it's my favourite SF show, but I realize it's just a movie and I appreciate it for the sake of it.
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 16:58:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ingenuity_Gap', 'W')hat Hawking conveniently forgets is that the higher the speed, the more dangerous the radiation generated by dust and atoms in space.

At interstellar speeds a speckle of dust will behave like a bomb on the outer shell of the starship.

Nature's Tiniest Space Junk

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A') 10-4 gm speck of dust racing along at 30 km/s carries about the same energy as a very high energy cosmic ray, ~3 x 10^20 electron volts. Collisions with high-speed space dust can electrify satellites, scrambling software and triggering mistaken control procedures.


30 km/s is just 0.01 % of c. What do you think happens at 150,000 km/s or 50% of c?

How are you going to protect the sensitive electronics and instruments? Or the humans inside the ship? Or the ship itself?

You are missing one point.
Interstellar space contains many orders of magnitude fewer dust, than an Earth orbit or inner Solar System.
For this reason your concerns are rather irrelevant.

Interstellar dust speck at 50% of c would also not behave like a bomb. It would rather pierce a hole through a spacecraft and leave without depositing much of its energy.
NB. I mean here something like 10 E-4g and NOT something like 10g stone. The latter would certainly destroy our craft. Well, bad luck, try again...
Last edited by EnergyUnlimited on Thu 30 Nov 2006, 17:09:00, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 17:03:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('AWPrime', 'A')ntimatter is also worse than fusion, for it needs too much containment equipment.

Antimatter in only worse, because it is unsuitable for interstellar propulsion (and rather expensive at the moment).
Read my post about Hawking's maths error in respect of specific impulse above.
Any spacecraft capable to achieve significant fraction of c would be more than likely fusion driven and fusion fuel would be acquired from interstellar gas.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby AWPrime » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 17:22:00

I have heard that the containment equipment would weigh 1000 tons for every gram of antimatter.

Fusion beats that.
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby Ingenuity_Gap » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 18:01:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'Y')ou are missing one point.
Interstellar space contains many orders of magnitude fewer dust, than an Earth orbit or inner Solar System.
For this reason your concerns are rather irrelevant.


Interstellar and even intergalactic space contains atoms and subatomic particles, not in a significant concentration, but enough to transform them into a constant stream of deadly radiation at speeds comparable to c.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'I')nterstellar dust speck at 50% of c would also not behave like a bomb. It would rather pierce a hole through a spacecraft and leave without depositing much of its energy.
NB. I mean here something like 10 E-4g and NOT something like 10g stone. The latter would certainly destroy our craft. Well, bad luck, try again...


Piercing a hole through the spacecraft and through me? I don't think the presumed astro-travellers will be happy to hear that.

Conclusion: We still badly need those shields, Mr. La Forge. And deflecting those particles will be very costly energy-wise. The higher the speed, the higher the energy needed.
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby Ingenuity_Gap » Thu 30 Nov 2006, 18:25:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'I')nterstellar dust speck at 50% of c would also not behave like a bomb. It would rather pierce a hole through a spacecraft and leave without depositing much of its energy.
NB. I mean here something like 10 E-4g and NOT something like 10g stone. The latter would certainly destroy our craft. Well, bad luck, try again...


A speck of dust (approx. 10^-4 g) at 50% of c has the energy equivalent of 250 kg of TNT. Not a bomb you say?
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 01 Dec 2006, 03:39:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ingenuity_Gap', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'Y')ou are missing one point.
Interstellar space contains many orders of magnitude fewer dust, than an Earth orbit or inner Solar System.
For this reason your concerns are rather irrelevant.


Interstellar and even intergalactic space contains atoms and subatomic particles, not in a significant concentration, but enough to transform them into a constant stream of deadly radiation at speeds comparable to c.

These are charged particles and magnetic/electrostatic fields would be deflecting them.
As they are mainly protons, they could even be driven by mentioned EM fields into fusion reactors and actually make a power source for propulsion systems (cosmic ram jet design). Production of such fields would not be energy intensive process, and if mentioned protons are susesquently used as a fusion fuel for propulsion you would get decent EROEI.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'I')nterstellar dust speck at 50% of c would also not behave like a bomb. It would rather pierce a hole through a spacecraft and leave without depositing much of its energy.
NB. I mean here something like 10 E-4g and NOT something like 10g stone. The latter would certainly destroy our craft. Well, bad luck, try again...


Piercing a hole through the spacecraft and through me? I don't think the presumed astro-travellers will be happy to hear that.

The hole pierced through you would be small enough, that you would not notice that it exists at all.
OK, you could feel a tiny pin prick once a day or so.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'C')onclusion: We still badly need those shields, Mr. La Forge. And deflecting those particles will be very costly energy-wise. The higher the speed, the higher the energy needed.
For reasons as stated above your conclusion is false.
Last edited by EnergyUnlimited on Fri 01 Dec 2006, 04:40:36, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby EnergyUnlimited » Fri 01 Dec 2006, 03:55:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ingenuity_Gap', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'I')nterstellar dust speck at 50% of c would also not behave like a bomb. It would rather pierce a hole through a spacecraft and leave without depositing much of its energy.
NB. I mean here something like 10 E-4g and NOT something like 10g stone. The latter would certainly destroy our craft. Well, bad luck, try again...


A speck of dust (approx. 10^-4 g) at 50% of c has the energy equivalent of 250 kg of TNT. Not a bomb you say?

It is irrelevant, how much energy is carried by a given particle, but it is relevant how much of this energy is deposited to a target object, eg spacecraft.
Because such particle would simply pierce a tiny hole in the structure and fly away, only tiny fraction of percentage point of this energy would be actually deposited into a spacecraft.
If you wish to see such particle as a bomb, than it would be one, which fails to explode.

NB. Some clevel system localizing and sealing those micropunctures on the craft would come handy.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby TheDude » Fri 01 Dec 2006, 17:59:29

For more info on this beyond-our-ken subject you might pick up Analog editor Ben Bova's book on Space Travel, in his series of Science Fiction Writing manuals. It was published in 1997 tho so the Science might be a little out of date...
Wasn't Hawking on a TNG episode? I remember fondly his spot on the Simpsons. This is probably a good spot to repeat the rubric that the popular conception of SF (especially space travel) is still rooted in the literature of the 1930's (outer space dogfights and what have you). Funny that Hawking is still reading Lensman books and watching Roddenberry for his hard speculation. Well, sad really, he's such an icon he could do a lot of good with his prestige but is just leading people down the wrong road. Kudos to James Lovelock for writing Revenge of Gaia which is no fun at all and makes nary a mention of salvation in the stars.
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Re: No, really: Humans must colonize other planets: Hawking

Unread postby Ingenuity_Gap » Sun 03 Dec 2006, 15:25:54

Your enthusiasm is outstanding, even by SF standards. You seem to have answers to everything. You really make things look easy.

Only there's a problem with your approach: it's too good to be true. You never mention any problems, difficulties or dangers, or if you mention them, they can be effortlessly overcome.

It's this pinkish view of the world that brought us in this PO/GW/Resource Depletion/Pollution mess. People like you somehow convinced the vast majority of us that life is just an easy ride to more, better, easier.

Well not anymore. More and more people are starting to realize that the promises of easy life create way more problems than they solve.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'T')hese are charged particles and magnetic/electrostatic fields would be deflecting them.
As they are mainly protons, they could even be driven by mentioned EM fields into fusion reactors and actually make a power source for propulsion systems (cosmic ram jet design). Production of such fields would not be energy intensive process, and if mentioned protons are susesquently used as a fusion fuel for propulsion you would get decent EROEI.


Well all those "mainly protons" conveniently ignore the rest of the Interstellar Medium. And that's only what we theorize know about it. You must realize that nobody actually traveled past the heliosphere (Pioneer & Voyager) or at speeds higher than 30 km/s (Deep Space 1).

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he ISM consists of an extremely dilute (by terrestrial standards) plasma, gas and dust, consisting of a mixture of ions, atoms, molecules, larger dust grains, electromagnetic radiation, cosmic rays, and magnetic fields. The matter consists of about 99% gas and 1% dust by mass. It fills interstellar space. This mixture is usually extremely tenuous, with typical gas densities ranging from a few hundred to a few hundred million particles per cubic meter. As a result of primordial nucleosynthesis, the gas is roughly 90% hydrogen and 10% helium by number, with additional elements ("metals" in astronomical parlance) present in trace amounts.


What are the space travelers going to do about the neutral particles? They can't be deflected in magnetic/electrostatic fields. Oh, I forget, a few inches of lead will solve our problems. Or maybe a giant vacuum cleaner will suck them from the front of the ship and spit them at the back.

What happens to the ship and its occupants if any of the systems fail? How are they going to fix them? There's no repair shop on the way to Alpha Centauri. Carrying spare parts will definitely increase the payload and the energy consumption. Communication with Earth will certainly be impractical to say the least, due to the enormous distances: "Houston, here is the Enterprise, we have a problem!". After few days, weeks, months, years the answer will be more than helpful, yeah right.

So the would-be space explorers will need to be completely self-sufficient. During the long space voyages, anything can go wrong and it certainly will, eventually.

You see, we have similar technical backgrounds. The difference is you don't seem to comprehend the limitations. And that's the whole point actually. Knowing when to say “Enough!” and acting accordingly is what separates knowledge from wisdom.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', 'T')he hole pierced through you would be small enough, that you would not notice that it exists at all.
OK, you could feel a tiny pin prick once a day or so.


A tiny pin prick, you say? How old are you, EU? If you’re older than 12 years, you should consider seeing a doctor. They can help people grow up these days.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby BlisteredWhippet » Sun 03 Dec 2006, 18:23:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('EnergyUnlimited', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'H')ow will you "randomly" engineer genetic mutations to avoid genetic defects?


Typical doomer viev:
1. Bleak
2. Groundless
3. Shortsighted


Well, we can eliminate shortsightedness with genetic engineering. :lol:

Its interesting that Hawking has a disease which is suspected of being genetic in nature, and he manages to pop out 3 children. Of course we're going to need another planet.

And why go to a star system? We can go to Mars, or the Saturn moons.

We can construct deflection shields for space debris similar to munitions-deflecting panels on armored vehicles, for sub-light, intrasolar travel and living.

Hawking would make a great spacemonkey, IMHO. He's already used to confinement.
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Re: Stephen Hawking says humans must go into space

Unread postby AWPrime » Sun 03 Dec 2006, 18:30:40

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('BlisteredWhippet', 'A')nd why go to a star system? We can go to Mars, or the Saturn moons.

I think that the lower gravity might be a problem.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e can construct deflection shields for space debris similar to munitions-deflecting panels on armored vehicles, for sub-light, intrasolar travel and living.

Would they last long enough before becoming scrapnel?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')awking would make a great spacemonkey, IMHO. He's already used to confinement.

So true
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