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Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby rwwff » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 00:36:33

graph:

1) I think yall are still wanting things to happen to quickly.
2) honestly thinking here, is the hunter gatherer guy in 4078 ce happier than the industrial cubicle warrior of 2005?

aliens:

If I were them, I'd let the situation fully play out without interference. If there's something left worth talking to in a couple hundred years we could intervene then. Knowledge should still be pretty solid; only tech application would be toast.
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby Falconoffury » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 01:50:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou are essentially telling me and everyone else that it will be impossible. Should we not have any children then?


Not none. Just far less than the current birth rate.
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby venky » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 02:20:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gigashadow', 'W')hat, exactly, is so important about preserving the human race?


What do you have against the human race? :shock:
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby Doly » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 05:54:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Gigashadow', 'W')hat, exactly, is so important about preserving the human race?


That I belong to it, and I'd like to survive?
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby robski » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 06:19:57

Crazily deep thread.

But here's something to consider from my favourite philosopher, Terence Mckenna:


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ear with me. So this process of complexification is going on in nature. When you look at it you realize that it happened faster and faster. It took a long time for there to be life, or just for planets to form, and stars to settle down. Then once you get life, you get a very rapid proliferation of form, and by rapid I mean in scales of hundreds of millions of years, and then you get higher animals. After that you get animals like ourselves, and you get language, and culture, and writing, and electronic media. Each of these steps occurs more and more quickly, leading to the conclusion that human history and the presence of tool making, poetry making, and thinking creatures on this planet have something to do with being caught, or you might otherwise say, fortunately positioned very close to a kind of anomaly that is haunting space and time. You can think of it as a collision with a hyper dimensional black hole.

We and our universe and everything in it are being sucked closer and closer into the presence of something which seems to be made out of pure idea. It's very hard to English, but it explains basically what's going on on this planet - why it is that 50,000 years ago, shit-hurling monkeys decided to set off on the long march toward the space shuttle, and an integrated global economy, and toxic pollution, and the whole ball of wax? A process of some sort unique in nature was unleashed 25-50,000 years ago. From that point on there was a tremendous push into symbolic expression and the cultural consequence of symbolic expression which is technology. And now, we've run the nut right off the end of the bolt, and the planet's finite limits are being reached. But the process shows no sign of slowing down. So rather than see it as some apocalypse or some terrible flaw of human fate run amok, I see it as a natural phenomenon. Human history is not our fault.

The world is getting weirder and weirder by leaps and bounds. It's moving faster and faster. It's very science fiction. You have potentially human life-extinguishing epidemic diseases, at the same time that you have whispers of cold fusion and journeys to the stars. Meanwhile people are meeting little rubbery beings in their bedrooms in the middle of the night, and having rectal examinations. All this crazy shit is going on which is called the melt-down of Western civilization at the end of the second millennium. Then if you toss psychedelic drugs into the mix, shamanic plants and this sort of thing, and make journeys out into the architectonic superspace of the culture, you quickly realize the cosmic egg is cracking.


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Unread postby katkinkate » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 18:48:01

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ingenuity_Gap', '.')...Let's fix those things first before it's too late and then we can talk about exporting the plagues from Earth to the Universe at large.

If we don't deal with PO and GW right away, we may never-ever reach a point were we will colonize the space.

And that's something that papa Hawking omitted to tell us. Why?


He's an unrealistic dreamer?
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby Dezakin » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 19:20:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jogger', 'p')hysicist Stephen Hawking recently said that in order for humans to survive in the future they must colonize space. You are essentially telling me and everyone else that it will be impossible. Should we not have any children then?


Moon and Mars are very difficult but remain within the realm of possibility. Realistically, I don't think it happens.


Sure it will happen, just not in the timescale that entheusiasts make it out to be. Launch costs have to come down and the global economy has to go up. This puts space colonization somewhere between 70 and 170 years out. A 40 trillion dollar economy just isn't enough to fund space colonization, especially when less than .1% is going towards space at all.

Now in 50 years when we're pushing a 300 trillion dollar economy with more productive technology, better computers and (slightly) cheaper launch techniques we'll see the beginnings of inerplanetary industry that is more profit and less stunt. But not before then.

As for humanity's chance of survival? Nil. We'll either become robots or be killed by robots, or be killed by people that became robots. But thats a fair ways off.
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby katkinkate » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 19:44:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('robski', 'C')razily deep thread.

But here's something to consider from my favourite philosopher, Terence Mckenna:


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ear with me. So this process of complexification is going on in nature. When you look at it you realize that it happened faster and faster. It took a long time for there to be life, or just for planets to form, and stars to settle down. Then once you get life, you get a very rapid proliferation of form, and by rapid I mean in scales of hundreds of millions of years, and then you get higher animals.


Actually billions of years for 'higher' animals. I assume he means those with a backbone (fish, amphibians, reptiles, dinosaurs).

First switch of scales. He went from cosmic scale development of galaxies, solar systems and planets to development of life. In the meantime the cosmic scale stuff is still happening at about the same rate as before.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mckenna', 'A')fter that you get animals like ourselves, and you get language, and culture, and writing, and electronic media.


Next scale switch - development of life in general to the scale of one species. In the meantime the rest of the planet's life is continuing to evolve at about the same rates as ever.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mckenna', 'E')ach of these steps occurs more and more quickly, ...


'Cause like, each 'step' is on a many orders of magnitude smaller scale than the one before, right.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Mckenna', '.')... leading to the (Kat insert) false (/Kat insert) conclusion that human history and the presence of tool making, poetry making, and thinking creatures on this planet have something to do with being caught, or you might otherwise say, fortunately positioned very close to a kind of anomaly ..... blah, blah, blah


Sorry to shoot your favourite philosopher's ideas down in flames mate, but this kind of false 'logic' really gets up my nose.
Kind regards, Katkinkate

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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby rwwff » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 19:44:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', 'A')s for humanity's chance of survival? Nil. We'll either become robots or be killed by robots, or be killed by people that became robots. But thats a fair ways off.


Don't say that, I was hoping on being in group number three. Batou rwwff reporting as ordered.
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby robski » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 21:20:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('katkinkate', 'S')orry to shoot your favourite philosopher's ideas down in flames mate, but this kind of false 'logic' really gets up my nose.


Hey! that's no way to treat a fellow Queenslander. :)
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby Jogger » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 22:12:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jogger', 'p')hysicist Stephen Hawking recently said that in order for humans to survive in the future they must colonize space. You are essentially telling me and everyone else that it will be impossible. Should we not have any children then?


Moon and Mars are very difficult but remain within the realm of possibility. Realistically, I don't think it happens.


Sure it will happen, just not in the timescale that entheusiasts make it out to be. Launch costs have to come down and the global economy has to go up. This puts space colonization somewhere between 70 and 170 years out. A 40 trillion dollar economy just isn't enough to fund space colonization, especially when less than .1% is going towards space at all.

Now in 50 years when we're pushing a 300 trillion dollar economy with more productive technology, better computers and (slightly) cheaper launch techniques we'll see the beginnings of inerplanetary industry that is more profit and less stunt. But not before then.

As for humanity's chance of survival? Nil. We'll either become robots or be killed by robots, or be killed by people that became robots. But thats a fair ways off.


How many people do you think will be colonizing space in 200 years? Millions? I highly doubt your prediction is correct.

We don't even know what mother nature has in store for us between now and then. A major natural disaster could permanently end space exploration.

Here in Madison, WI we have obesity, laziness, drinking, smoking, lots of football fanatics and people with poor work ethics. There was a fight the other day at a nearby bar involving 500 people. I'm sure it's no different in other cities.

I wouldn't want to be on a spaceship heading to Mars with people we have on Earth today. Either a fight will break out or they'll push the wrong button and the ship will blow up.

But, you probably think the human race will make a major turnaround for the better in the future. Keep dreaming, and check your spelling of the word "entheusiasts."
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby katkinkate » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 22:27:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('robski', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('katkinkate', 'S')orry to shoot your favourite philosopher's ideas down in flames mate, but this kind of false 'logic' really gets up my nose.


Hey! that's no way to treat a fellow Queenslander. :)


Didn't mean to diss you, mate. Just Mckenna's blurb on the natural superiority of the human species as obviously the creation and evolution of the entire universe was just for us, right. :lol:
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby qwerty » Fri 22 Sep 2006, 22:32:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('katkinkate', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('robski', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('katkinkate', 'S')orry to shoot your favourite philosopher's ideas down in flames mate, but this kind of false 'logic' really gets up my nose.


Hey! that's no way to treat a fellow Queenslander. :)


Didn't mean to diss you, mate. Just Mckenna's blurb on the natural superiority of the human species as obviously the creation and evolution of the entire universe was just for us, right. :lol:


you r both wrong. there is no universe. only the illusion of awareness/perception
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby Dezakin » Sat 23 Sep 2006, 05:46:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jogger', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rwwff', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jogger', 'p')hysicist Stephen Hawking recently said that in order for humans to survive in the future they must colonize space. You are essentially telling me and everyone else that it will be impossible. Should we not have any children then?


Moon and Mars are very difficult but remain within the realm of possibility. Realistically, I don't think it happens.


Sure it will happen, just not in the timescale that entheusiasts make it out to be. Launch costs have to come down and the global economy has to go up. This puts space colonization somewhere between 70 and 170 years out. A 40 trillion dollar economy just isn't enough to fund space colonization, especially when less than .1% is going towards space at all.

Now in 50 years when we're pushing a 300 trillion dollar economy with more productive technology, better computers and (slightly) cheaper launch techniques we'll see the beginnings of inerplanetary industry that is more profit and less stunt. But not before then.

As for humanity's chance of survival? Nil. We'll either become robots or be killed by robots, or be killed by people that became robots. But thats a fair ways off.


How many people do you think will be colonizing space in 200 years? Millions?

Depends how you define 'people.'

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') highly doubt your prediction is correct.
I'm sure you do, but it doesnt change how the future will unfold.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e don't even know what mother nature has in store for us between now and then. A major natural disaster could permanently end space exploration.
It would have to be something that derailed all of civilization. An enormous meteor strike would do it, as would global thermonuclear war on a grand scale. Not much else would.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')ere in Madison, WI we have obesity, laziness, drinking, smoking, lots of football fanatics and people with poor work ethics. There was a fight the other day at a nearby bar involving 500 people. I'm sure it's no different in other cities.
Sounds like most of history, and we still do better every year.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') wouldn't want to be on a spaceship heading to Mars with people we have on Earth today. Either a fight will break out or they'll push the wrong button and the ship will blow up.
This sort of thing happens eventually. Life is risk.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')ut, you probably think the human race will make a major turnaround for the better in the future.
Sure. Eventually our robot overlords will kill us all.
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby jato » Sat 23 Sep 2006, 06:45:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')es, I know it's very unlikely, but maybe aliens will save some humans.


I wonder how the aliens, assuming they are space faring, overcame Peak Oil on thier own planet?
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby katkinkate » Sat 23 Sep 2006, 08:19:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jato', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')es, I know it's very unlikely, but maybe aliens will save some humans.


I wonder how the aliens, assuming they are space faring, overcame Peak Oil on thier own planet?


Maybe they live in the part of the galaxy that the ?trilithium? crystals from Startrek come from.
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby Dezakin » Tue 26 Sep 2006, 03:33:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('katkinkate', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jato', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')es, I know it's very unlikely, but maybe aliens will save some humans.


I wonder how the aliens, assuming they are space faring, overcame Peak Oil on thier own planet?


Maybe they live in the part of the galaxy that the ?trilithium? crystals from Startrek come from.

Or even uranium deposits. Pity we dont have any of that magic sci-fi metal here on earth.
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby Doly » Tue 26 Sep 2006, 05:16:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jato', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')es, I know it's very unlikely, but maybe aliens will save some humans.


I wonder how the aliens, assuming they are space faring, overcame Peak Oil on thier own planet?


They didn't suffer from it because their planet had no oil.

I've read that, while coal formed many times on Earth, oil is considered to be the result of only two events. In other Earthlike planets, there might be no oil at all.
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Re: Exploring the galaxy for other habitable planets

Unread postby Pablo2079 » Tue 26 Sep 2006, 23:37:17

Interesting to consider how things would have played out without oil... or coal for that matter. Hard to fathom where we'd be now.

As for hoping aliens come to the rescue.... yeah.... that's pretty sad... makes me even more of a doomer to think people even consider that as a possibility.


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