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Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby Kingcoal » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 10:53:16

It goes back to the old saying that if you borrow a $million and can't pay it back, you have a problem, but if you borrow a $billion and can't pay it back, the bank has a problem also. The world would love it if the US started paying down its accounts, but they wouldn't love the associated huge slow down in sales. All over the developing world, fast growing economies would have to downsize production, which would be devastating because you would suddenly have mass unemployment. God knows what would happen to equities, commodities and currencies.

On the other hand, if the EU would step up and start buying like crazy, the torch could be handed over and Euric and Lorenzo would be in heaven. The EU would then become the driver of the world economy and the Euro would replace the dollar as the de facto currency. This would require the EU members to give up their producer status and reinvent themselves as "service economies." The EU central bank would have to vastly expand its ability to print Euros and the EU would have to form a military capable of policing the world. Somehow, with the strength of EU labor Unions, I don't see that happening. In my opinion, Europe has he best of all worlds now and the vast majority of EU residents know it (excluding a couple that post on this site.)

Until a new candidate comes along, the world will continue to feed the monster no matter how much the debt.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby rwwff » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 12:36:12

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kingcoal', 'I')t goes back to the old saying that if you borrow a $million and can't pay it back, you have a problem, but if you borrow a $billion and can't pay it back, the bank has a problem also. The world would love it if the US started paying down its accounts, but they wouldn't love the associated huge slow down in sales. All over the developing world, fast growing economies would have to downsize production, which would be devastating because you would suddenly have mass unemployment. God knows what would happen to equities, commodities and currencies.


The current account status isn't debt, its an indicator of who is holding dollars in their checking accounts. Those people are not so much creditors, as they are future customers, and they are "saving" those dollars for use in a variety of ways. China uses them to buy oil, and to control the exchange rate of their currency, for instance. China would love to use them to purchase more sensitive US manufacturing technology, and they say so openly. Having all those dolalrs also really ties their economy to ours, some refer to it as a "death grip", but I think it is a mutual "death grip". Wherever we're going, we're going together.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he EU would then become the driver of the world economy and the Euro would replace the dollar as the de facto currency. This would require the EU members to give up their producer status and reinvent themselves as "service economies." The EU central bank would have to vastly expand its ability to print Euros and the EU would have to form a military capable of policing the world.


I don't think you could make that sale to them if you came with a tanker full of gold bars.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby MrBill » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 14:26:48

RE coalition of the willing. US politics aside. Who is called upon to police the world's warzones? The UK, the USA, Australia and to some degree a host of other countries, like France, when it suits them, and Canada when they also get roped into a multi-national force. But really, going back to Australia. Above and beyond the call of duty in Asia disputes you'l l find Aussies roped in to helping out. Those who can do, those who can't hurl abuse from the sidelines.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 14:42:26

How about we take a look at foreign debt levels per capita?

Or maybe as a % of GDP?

Is anyone interested in that data? I could create a basic spreadsheet for it...
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby Fergus » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 14:45:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'H')ow about we take a look at foreign debt levels per capita?

Or maybe as a % of GDP?

Is anyone interested in that data? I could create a basic spreadsheet for it...


Sure nuff. Go to work. Too much information is never a bad thing when dealing with the end of the world.

As G.I. Joe would say. "Knowing is half the battle". We wont know till you show us.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby rwwff » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 15:07:05

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'H')ow about we take a look at foreign debt levels per capita?

Or maybe as a % of GDP?

Is anyone interested in that data? I could create a basic spreadsheet for it...


I don't know what data you have available, but it might be very enlightening to see it split between long term(>=10yr) and short term(<=1yr), as well as the middle. GPD would be morer representative, per capita just exagerates the differences between India and the US without really telling you much about the economy itself, other than the fact that India has a lot more people whose net worths in dollars are very low.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby Tyler_JC » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 15:36:58

I think there's a problem with the data that the CIA factbook puts out.

I got some pretty crazy numbers!

The first set of big numbers is the external debt of each nation.

Mind you, the second set of numbers is external debt per capita (I don't think it is the net external debt per capita, meaning, some of these countries must be net creditors...or else where would the money come from??)

The third set of numbers is the Debt as a % of GDP.

United States$8,837,000,000,000 ...$29,610...71% of GDP
China $252,800,000,000 ...$192...3% of GDP
Japan $1,545,000,000,000 ...$12,121...38% of GDP
India $125,500,000,000 ...$114...3% of GDP
Germany $3,626,000,000,000 ...$43,992...145% of GDP
United Kingdom $7,107,000,000,000 ...$117,259...388% of GDP
France $2,826,000,000,000 ...$46,422...156% of GDP

Italy $922,500,000,000 ...$15,869...54% of GDP
Russia $215,300,000,000 ...$1,507...14% of GDP
Brazil $188,000,000,000 ...$1,000...12% of GDP
Canada $922,500,000,000 ...$27,871...83% of GDP
Mexico $137,200,000,000 ...$1,277...13% of GDP
Spain $970,700,000,000 ...$24,029...94% of GDP
Korea, South$153,900,000,000 ...$3,151...16% of GDP
Indonesia $135,000,000,000 ...$550...16% of GDP
Australia $323,400,000,000 ...$15,959...51% of GDP
Taiwan $87,500,000,000 ...$3,798...14% of GDP
Turkey $170,100,000,000...$2,416...30% of GDP
Iran $19,060,000,000 ...$277...3% of GDP
Netherlands$1,645,000,000,000 ...$99,749...329% of GDP
Ireland $1,049,000,000,000 ...$258,232...637% of GDP
Belgium $980,100,000,000 ...$94,430...302% of GDP
Switzerland $856,000,000,000 ...$113,770...354% of GDP
Sweden $516,100,000,000 ...$57,239...193% of GDP
Austria $510,600,000,000 ...$62,322...191% of GDP


Clearly something is wrong with the CIA Factbook's definition of external debt.

In this scenario, Ireland is in need of a serious IMF bailout! :o

Also, Iran looks like a major economic superpower compared to the financially devastated nations of Central and Northern Europe. :roll:

I can't find a decent list of net external debt by country.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby jaws » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 16:58:31

Keep in mind that if you apply GAAP accounting rules to the U.S. debt the number is a lot larger than if you take the official government number.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby Madpaddy » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 17:33:39

Irelands national debt is 38billion euros and its GDP is €161 billion euros. I would say we don't have a major problem (YET). My source is the Irish Central Statisitics Office.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby rwwff » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 17:38:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'K')eep in mind that if you apply GAAP accounting rules to the U.S. debt the number is a lot larger than if you take the official government number.


That depends on whether you consider SS, Medicare, and Medicaid as unfunded liabilities, or whether you consider them as current, discretionary expenses. I know they are sold to the public as a true liability; but the way law works, they are actually discretionary expenses that the government could choose to terminate at will.

There is no constitutional right to any of those checks.

Maybe a realistic accounting would conclude that it is extremely unlikely that congress would choose to stop paying out those checks in the near term; but the accounting rules like to exclude subjective predictions as much as possible and so there has to be some legal recourse that can force the debtor to pay the creditor if voluntary payment is not made. In the case of SS, Medicare, Medicaid; no such legal recourse exists. If the government decides tomorrow to terminate those programs; its over.

This reasoning applies to both the unfunded liability argument for future payouts, and the bonds "purchased" by the Social Security program with the funds collected that are in excess of payout.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby rogerhb » Mon 14 Aug 2006, 18:10:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'T')hose who can do, those who can't hurl abuse from the sidelines.


NZ was in Yugoslavia, Timor Este, and had a presence in Iraq once it became a UN op. NZ has had a long time presence in Sinai, and has observers in Lebanon.

It has also offered assistence to any new UN deployment to Lebanon.

The thing to notice is that *all* of these are in co-operation with the UN.

I will continue to hurl abuse at the "coalition of the willing" who invaded a sovereign nation illegally and who abuse international law and the United Nations, and hence abuse the rest of the world.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 15 Aug 2006, 02:58:14

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'T')hose who can do, those who can't hurl abuse from the sidelines.


NZ was in Yugoslavia, Timor Este, and had a presence in Iraq once it became a UN op. NZ has had a long time presence in Sinai, and has observers in Lebanon.

It has also offered assistence to any new UN deployment to Lebanon.

The thing to notice is that *all* of these are in co-operation with the UN.

I will continue to hurl abuse at the "coalition of the willing" who invaded a sovereign nation illegally and who abuse international law and the United Nations, and hence abuse the rest of the world.


I am not disrepecting the Kiwi's role in international peace keeping or defending America's, but the fact is that international peace keepers, on an ad hoc basis, or coordinated by the UN, seem to come from the same countries time and again, and Australia seems to contribute more than its fair share of peace keepers and observers for all of Asia's various conflicts.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')deally, it should not be like this
Why should Australia assume all these burdens? The simple answer is that no one else is willing. Whenever things get tough in the South Pacific, the call goes out not to the United Nations in New York but to the prime minister's lodge in Canberra. This has been the pattern since the first big intervention in East Timor, in 1999, which Australia led and for which it provided more than half the troops.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby Doly » Tue 15 Aug 2006, 05:14:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'A')re they getting a British pension/benefits? Or am I mistaken?


No, no, they're getting a Spanish pension.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '
')A recession may make the cost of living for the average person cheaper as the tourists and foreign investors go home.


They don't live in a touristy area.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '
')In any case, Spaniards should stop burning down their forests to stimulate the housing industry as a first step!! ; - )


The vast majority of Spaniards are against forest burning. The problem is, it only takes one person to start a fire. There were some stupid laws in the past that made it convenient for some owners of forested land to burn it down, but that's been tackled by now.

The reason the problem continues, I believe, it's because it's very easy to have a big fire when everything is so dry!
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby rogerhb » Tue 15 Aug 2006, 05:34:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'I')deally, it should not be like this
Why should Australia assume all these burdens? The simple answer is that no one else is willing. Whenever things get tough in the South Pacific, the call goes out not to the United Nations in New York but to the prime minister's lodge in Canberra.


I believe this is deliberate,

(a) monitoring your own backyard is important for both yourself and those being 'monitored'.

(b) Australia has a special interest in

i. Oil in the sea between Timor and Australia
ii. Keeping the peace in this region

(c) Howard wants to be Bush's Southern Sheriff.

Honestly, places like The Solomans etc are going to respond far better to Australian and New Zealander troops than American....

Personally I think you should get a UN rebate for the more ops you do.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 15 Aug 2006, 09:30:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', '
')I believe this is deliberate,

(a) monitoring your own backyard is important for both yourself and those being 'monitored'.

(b) Australia has a special interest in

i. Oil in the sea between Timor and Australia
ii. Keeping the peace in this region

(c) [s]Howard wants to be Bush's Southern Sheriff[/s].

Honestly, places like The Solomans etc are going to respond far better to Australian and New Zealander troops than American....

Personally I think you should get a UN rebate for the more ops you do.


Agreed!
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby MrBill » Tue 15 Aug 2006, 09:42:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'A')re they getting a British pension/benefits? Or am I mistaken?


No, no, they're getting a Spanish pension.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '
')A recession may make the cost of living for the average person cheaper as the tourists and foreign investors go home.


They don't live in a touristy area.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', '
')In any case, Spaniards should stop burning down their forests to stimulate the housing industry as a first step!! ; - )


The vast majority of Spaniards are against forest burning. The problem is, it only takes one person to start a fire. There were some stupid laws in the past that made it convenient for some owners of forested land to burn it down, but that's been tackled by now.

The reason the problem continues, I believe, it's because it's very easy to have a big fire when everything is so dry!


Okay, then my mistake to make assumptions based on your being in London.

Well, there is not much they can do then. Spain benefited from faster growth from entering the EU and getting regional aid; as well as FDI from other EU countries; lower interest rates and a stable currency from joing the eurozone; and a boost to economic growth from inward investment in the form of real estate and second homes.

If they did not use this favorable environment to pay down debt and get their house in order, and instead chose to run larger than acceptable public deficits, another stimulus, then they will pay for this with slower growth going forward; or lower living standards as they pay down debt and work excesses out of their economy; as they now do not have the option of devaluing the escudo anymore now that they are in the eurozone.

Plus, you have a lot of regional fighting for autonomy that diverts attention away from ecoomic issues; North African migrants entering Spain, which increases the need for policing and dealing with illegal immigrants; and a Spanish fishing fleet completely out of size to the amount of fish that can be sustainably harvested and processed.

Against this backdrop, Spain is not very well placed with its deficits, and monetary straightjacket, unless Europe grows more quickly and a rising tide raises Spain's boats as well?
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby sch_peakoiler » Wed 16 Aug 2006, 12:19:56

I read this list again and one interesting occured to me. Actually I have been thinking about this for some time now.

First I sum up:

So what do we have: US has basically put others into a situation where US prints whatever dollars they want and other countries are FORCED to accept them as "legal tender". Schmonsequences will be dire if it is not the case - all the world's economy will contract shoud America stop bying. Right? This is the general opinion of many on this forum and I totally agree with it.

Basically, US f'd the world in the A and continues to do so every frelling day. any US citizen on welfare gets more money than a chinese serf sees in a year! An american is worried that he will probably have to move out of a SF 1000 house to a ...... SHOCK AND AWE - SF 500 house!!! You barely survive this, I agree, but this is not what I would call an economic hardship. USA rules the world, in theory and in practice.

Now the thing I thought about.

And who created this situation? People who rule the USA. Be it the President or be it the shadow illuminati - they did this. Is this not the most brilliant thing you can do for your citizens? Is it not the absolute example of how the government can be there for its citizens, putting them before anything, standing for them and their interests? Yet the same people on this forum who agree with what I wrote above - blame the US government. For nothing actually. Is there a reason to blame a government for, a government which got your country to the top of the power and wealth?? Is it not a wrong perception of the situation by these people?
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby Petrodollar » Wed 16 Aug 2006, 13:30:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he first thing I noticed that the 4 countries with the worst debt, are/were members of the "Coalition of the Willing":

Spain
Australia
UK
US

That's interesting.


Well, at the time Spain was the only surprise to me. Just a couple of points clarification, and a refresher on some 20th and 21st century geostrategy-military history. The combat troop distribution for the March 2003 invasion of Iraq was limited to the following 3 nations:

US: 255,000 toops in various Persian Gulf nations (i.e. Kuwait, Qatar, UAE and Saudi Arabia - the later were transferred in April 2003 to Qatar due to domestic pressure within Saudi Arabia...and this of course was one of Osama bin Laden's six princple greviances with US foreign policies as listed in Imperial Hubris..)

UK: 45,000 combat troops

Australia: a paltry 2,000 troops

Source: Chalmers Johnson, Sorrows of Empire: Militarism, Secrecy, and the End of the Republic, Metropolitan Books, 2004, p. 283.

My point? Neither Spain nor any other country contributed any combat units/regiments to the invasion, but rather, provided some logisitcal support from ships, etc.

Turning to the larger question about the "Coalition of the Willing" - any military adventure in the Persian Gulf - especially from foreign forces - should be viewed with the simple question: Who profits? In a moment I will point out Australia's potential strategic/economic motives, but first some historical context...

Indeed, anyone who has seriously studied military history knows that ever since oil was discovered in Mesopataina and Persia about 100 years ago, various industrailized western nations have been manuvering and sometimes openly fighting over who was going to gain control over the oil - the most valuable natural resource of the 20th & 21st centures.

World War I was in many ways the world's first war over the oil in Iraq. Why? Well, at the onset of the 20th century, Germany recognized the strategic and economic importance of oil, and from 1899 to 1914 attempted to build a ‘Berlin-to-Baghdad’ railroad (around 1903 German geologists determined that the area around Mesopatania likely had some very large hydrocarbon deposits). Along with an advanced naval fleet, the German railroad project created a significant geopolitical rift with the British Empire - the then superpower - who was adamently determined for 15 years to block the proposed railroad plan that would allow Germany overland access to oil.

At the time the British Navy was determined to convert her fleet from coal-burning to oil-burning ships, and Berlin’s plans to gain access to large amounts of petroleum in modern day Iraq was a important but hidden factor in Britain’s declaration of war against Germany in 1914. In 1918, the final year of WWI, Sir Maurice Hankey, Britain’s First Secretary of the War Cabinet wrote,

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')il in the next war will occupy the place of coal in the present war, or at least a parallel place to coal. The only big potential supply that we can get under British control is the Persian [now Iran] and Mesopotamian [now Iraq] supply…Control over these oil supplies becomes a first class British war aim.


Not surprisingly, the British did exactly what Sir Hankey recommended; in 1919 they carved-up the defeated Ottoman Empire and colonized the oil-rich regions of Iran and Iraq. Lord Cuzon, chairman of the Inter-Allied Petroleum Conference, recognized how oil had revolutionized modern warfare when he famously remarked after WWI, “The Allied cause had floated to victory upon a wave of oil.”

Indeed, while Germany had a large domestic supply of coal, she had little domestic oil - and it was the US oil embargo that drove the Japanes to bomb Pearl Harbor in Dec. 1941 and in that same month invade the Dutch-East Indies (modern day Indonesia) in an effort to get oil that it was no longer getting from the US. Likewise, it was the desire to control oil that drive Hitler to make his worst mistake in WWII - invading Russia....

Source: Daniel Yergin’s classic book, The Prize: The Epic Quest for Oil, Money and Power, 1991, pages 183 & 188.

Turning to today's events, is critically important to note that the principle purpose of the US-led Coaltion Provisional Authority, the de facto dictator of Iraq from April 2003 until June 2004, was to make sure that all of Saddam's previous oil contracts with France, Russia, China, and 27 other nations from Alergia to Vietnam - were rendered null and void - and that only the UK/UK/Austrialian companies would gain control.

Dick Cheney reviewed these documents back in March 2001...

Iraqi Oil Foreign Suitors: List #1: Algeria through Italy, Judicial Watch, http://www.judicialwatch.org/IraqOilFrgnSuitors.pdf

Iraqi Oil Foreign Suitors: List # 2: Japan through Vietnam, Judicial Watch, http://www.judicialwatch.org/IraqOilGasProj.pdf

...and obviously the fact that the US and UK were locked out of Iraq - and the fact that Iraq has switched to petroeuros for its oil exports - was a completely unacceptable issue that the Bush administration was determined to undo - regardless of the UN or the international community's position regarding Iraq's hydrocarbon resources or choice of petro-currencies.

Indeed, the only non-US or UK oil frim that the Bush administration/CPA allowed into Iraq immediately after the invasion was the Australian-based Worley Group. Some call it "neoliberial trade," but the correct term in this case was blatant imperial plundering by the corportacracy. (i.e., the military-industrial-petroluem-banking conglomerate who fund the political campaigns of the ruling elites and along with help from the intelligence agencies - run the foreign policies in a proto-fascist system that is addicted to oil and feverishly seeks to channel the tremendous wealth that flows from oil - especially in the Mid East...but I digress)

Since 2004, numerous other Australian companies have been invited to spoils, but this is also percisely why the Bush adminsitration has not been able to internationalize the rebuilding of the Iraq and gain the desperately needed assistance of the UN back in 2003-2004. Their greed would not allow it....but I digress.

For their contribution of 2,000 combat troops, here are the rewards given to the Howard goverment:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')So who are Australia’s war profiteers?
Australian businesses have been quick to snap up opportunities in Iraq with the assistance of the federal government and Austrade. In April 2004, the government put on a “Rebuilding Iraq Subcontracting Conference” which was also attended by William Lash from the US department of commerce. Austrade also has permanent staff in Bagdad to assist Australian companies.

By far the biggest war profiteer is the Worley Group, a massive oil and infrastructure company that provides most of Melbourne’s gas through the Longford gas plant. Worley, along with the US based Parsons corporation, have a US $800 million contract to manage oil infrastructures and distribution in northern Iraq. The contract, awarded by the US Army Corps of Engineers, essentially acts to privatise Iraqi oil resources, with the profits shipped out of Iraq back to the US and Australia. The US Army Corps of Engineers routinely awards contracts to foreign rather than Iraqi business. They are awarded by the occupiers to the benefit of the occupiers. Ordinary Iraqis have no say in who will manage the countries resources.


...and of course that was only the beginning of the colonial plundering that is going on inside Iraq...and driving the insurgency I might add...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Woodside, Australia’s second largest oil and gas company, has signed a $2.5 million deal with the Iraqi Oil Ministry to explore the potential of oil and gas projects in northern Iraq. Woodside are also working in conjunction with Curtin University in Perth to train Iraqi Oil Ministry personnel. Woodside is 34% owned by Royal Dutch Shell and is also involved, with the assistance of the Australian government, in stealing oil and gas inside East Timor’s maritime boundary, something the East Timorese have had little luck in challenging.

The list goes on and on....

(excerpt)
Whether it’s the Snowy Mountain Engineering Corporation, the Australian Wheat Board or GRM International, Australian corporations have been very successful in securing contracts as part of the neo-colonisation of Iraq and taking advantage of the “region’s most promising market” in the words of the 2005 Rebuild Iraq Expo website.

In this sense, one can’t demand “troops out” without simultaneously demanding “corporations out!” During the recent Australian election then opposition leader Mark Latham’s “troops out” proposal would have left most military personal in Iraq to “protect Australian interests”; that is to protect the businesses profiting from the occupation.


Concerns about a US-led oil grab, as expressed by various foreign governments such as Russia and France during 2002-2003 were certianly not unfounded accusations, considering the explicit comments of former CIA director James Woolsey. In an interview with the Washington Post 7-months before the war, he warned, “France and Russia have oil companies and interests in Iraq. They should be told that if they are of assistance in moving Iraq toward decent government, we’ll do the best we can to ensure that the new government and American companies work closely with them.” But he added, “If they throw in their lot with Saddam, it will be difficult to the point of impossible to persuade the new Iraqi government to work with them.”

Woolsey’s unveiled message about future oil prospects in Iraq was clear: join the “coalition of the willing” — or your oil contracts will be voided.

Source: Dan Morgan and David B Ottoway, “Iraqi War Scenario, Oil Is the Key Issue; US Drillers Eye Huge Petroleum Pool,” Washington Post, September 15, 2002

Well, I hope that helps clear up why Australia donated 2,000 combat troops to the "Coalition of the neo-Colonial Occupiers" - its the same pattern that has been going on for 100 years in Mesopotamia and Persia - the quest to control the black gold and the enourmous profits that have flowed from the gooey black stuff...

I'll end this post with some sentiments from those locals..

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Oil is Allah’s gift to the Arab people.
— Optimistic Arab saying

There will be no democracy for the Arab people until the oil runs out.
— Cynical Arab saying
Last edited by Petrodollar on Fri 18 Aug 2006, 09:28:35, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby ClassicSpiderman » Thu 17 Aug 2006, 04:20:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'I') think there's a problem with the data that the CIA factbook puts out....I got some pretty crazy numbers!

United States$8,837,000,000,000 ...$29,610...71% of GDP
Canada $922,500,000,000 ...$27,871...83% of GDP


Canada has been running balanced budgets every year since the 1990s and making extra payments. The national debt is around 550 billion or so.

Unless the 922 billion figure includes the various provincial governments? I know that Alberta has paid off it's debt and the governments of Saskatchewan and Quebec have run balanced budgets for years now (and probably other provinces as well).

The 8.8 trillion figure is the national figure for the US--what about the various state governments? I bet it is a lot higher.

I would take the CIA factbook's international debt figures with a grain of salt.
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Re: Current Account Balance Ranking by Country - 2006

Unread postby MrBill » Thu 17 Aug 2006, 05:04:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')s of March 31, 2004, the Government had $440.2 billion of market debt composed of marketable bonds, Treasury bills, retail debt, foreign currency debt, Canada Pension Plan bonds, and obligations related to capital leases, and $61.7 billion of liquid financial assets composed of domestic cash balances and foreign exchange assets.

(blah, blah, blah continued)

Combined with forecast economic growth, the federal debt-to-GDP ratio—the level of debt in relation to the country’s annual income—remains on a downward track. On an accrual basis, the federal debt (accumulated deficit) as a percentage of the economy is projected to fall to 38.8 per cent in 2004–05, down from its peak of 68.4 per cent in 1995–96. With the commitment to balanced budgets in each of the next five fiscal years, it is forecast to decline to about 30.6 per cent in 2009–10.

In terms of international debt burden comparisons, taking into account the accounting methods of various sovereigns, the debt burden of Canada’s total government sector has declined the fastest among Group of Seven (G-7) countries since the mid-1990s. Between 1995 and 2004, Canada’s net financial liabilities as a percentage of GDP (akin to the debt-to-GDP ratio) are estimated to have been reduced by 38.2 percentage points. Consequently, Canada’s total government debt burden moved from being the second highest among the G-7 countries to the lowest in 2004. According to the OECD, Canada’s debt burden is expected to decline further in both 2005 and 2006, while the debt burdens of the other G-7 countries, with the exception of Italy, will increase.

Debt Management Strategy - 2005-2006: 1

Higher growth in western Canada and in parts of Quebec and the Maritimes from higher oil and gas prices as well for other natural resources and commodities, resulting in faster economic growth, should ensure that tax receipts (42-46% on average) remain robust enough to continue to fund debt reduction. Of course, a slowing US economy is a dark cloud on the horizon as far as manufacturing exports such as autos and of course housing related exports such as finished lumber.

However, note, Canada runs a $60 billion trade surplus on a 12-month trailing average, while the current account surplus is just $31.8 billion for the last 12-mos. The budget balance as a percentage of GDP is +2.2% in 2006. Therefore, private borrowing combined with Provincial deficits must be draining approximately $28.2 billion from the current account surplus in excess of a net trade surplus of $60 billion per year.

So not all Provinces are running balanced budgets, while Canadian consumers and business may be also running personal savings deficits as well. Those could bite if the US economy slows or goes into recession and Canada's trade surplus also drops.

Of course, those budget surpluses at the Federal level will help if the economy slows, and there is a cushion in the form of the strong Canadian dollar ($1.12) and low domestic inflation (2.85% vs. 4.3% in the USA), so that Canada could let the C$ slide a little and temporarily boost spending to cope with a slowdown. Although that is always easier to start than to put an end to given Canada's past problems with debts and deficits if you know what I mean?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ur total tax bill has increased

In 2006, the average Canadian family (with two or more individuals) earned $79,396 in income and paid a total of $36,650 in taxes. The cash income of the average Canadian family increased by 4.2 percent ($3,172) between 2005 and 2006 (Table 4). This compares to a much smaller increase of 1.4 percent ($510) in the total tax bill of the average Canadian family.

The largest increase among the myriad taxes came in the form of income taxes—up $482 for the average Canadian family. Other notable increases were in property taxes ($145) and profit taxes ($114).

The largest decreases for the average Canadian family from 2005 to 2006 were in sales taxes ($123) and natural resource levies ($155).

Canadians Celebrate Tax Freedom Day on June 19th
The organized state is a wonderful invention whereby everyone can live at someone else's expense.
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