by dub_scratch » Tue 18 Jul 2006, 15:55:19
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The ME is several oil regions, all government-owned. It is a much newer oil region that matured with new efficient technologies. Finally it is mostly a hostile dead desert. One does not idly go out into one's backyard and drill a hobby well there. Each ME project demands a complete infrastructure replete with new roads, housing, security, and a finished pipeline. Of course there are few wells. Suffice it to say Lynch did not respond.
Still, if there are only 300 wells in SA he makes a good point sort of?
I asked Lynch a similar question and got no response. Lynch makes a big deal over the amount of drill holes in the US compared to the rest of the world but when pressed he could not give me the ratios of dry hole per wildcat well or discovery size per wildcat well.
Another point Maugeri and others like to make is how much technology has eliminated many dry holes. Well if that's the case, and if the US was wildcated without the benefit of much of this technology, would that not distort the drilling density issue and make it an unreliable indicator. It is intellectually dishonest to glibly spout out the drilling density thing and not put into some kind of analyzed context that includes economic, political and technological factors.
Of course, rigor is only a requirement for the oil supply skeptics. As far as Lynch, Maugeri et. al. are concerned, the universe is made up of nothing but oil until someone drills a hole and discoveries dirt and rock.