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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Time to Raise the Price of Gas

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby jdumars » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 00:49:16

I love watching the US mainstream media tapdance all over PO...

IT'S DOWN!
CNN: Gas prices edge lower, further declines seen
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')wo other elements helped explain the price slippage: flat demand for gasoline and heavy imports, she said.

"Unless there are big snafus in refinery operations or a resurgence in oil prices, then ... the price will probably drop further from here," she said.


IT'S UP!CNN: Lower gas prices? Not so fast says US
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'E')IA now expects a higher average summer motor fuel price because of strong gasoline demand, high crude oil prices and tighter domestic fuel supplies because many oil refineries have been shut for routine maintenance, an EIA official told Reuters. The official would not say how much the agency will increase its forecast for summer pump prices.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby azreal60 » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 00:56:17

Yeah but you guys don't get it. Our entire economy is Dependant, heavily dependant, on the service industry. If that goes away, it all folds like a house of cards overnight. No one has any discresionary income, and that's a bankers worst nightmare. We are already waaay overextended over here. If we got a really hard push, it would all come flying down. I speak from the experence of one of the people who would be flying down. And I even made an effort to get out of debt. But some debts you can't get rid of without paying more than you have.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby pea-jay » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 01:26:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('azreal60', 'Y')eah but you guys don't get it. Our entire economy is Dependant, heavily dependant, on the service industry. If that goes away, it all folds like a house of cards overnight. No one has any discresionary income, and that's a bankers worst nightmare. We are already waaay overextended over here. If we got a really hard push, it would all come flying down. I speak from the experence of one of the people who would be flying down. And I even made an effort to get out of debt. But some debts you can't get rid of without paying more than you have.


Lets look at that scenario:
A collapse like that and soon would finally be enough to lower gas demand below supply levels and for a change oil prices will drop. Demand destruction like you describe would likely be larger than what is geologically necessary. As a consequence, oil falls significantly, non-peak oil aware idiot economists say see, I told you so when it comes to commodity issues and the "did we peak" debate gets shoved into the future when (and if) demand recovers somewhat.

Barring an Iranian (mis)adventure, I think things could play out this way.
UNplanning the future...
http://unplanning.blogspot.com
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby mrobert » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 03:43:18

A bit off-topic.
On Sunday, I attended at a local car tuning show. Among many cars, I saw a Ford Explorer. I remembered along the lines, that there was a quote from an article about someone filling up a Ford Explorer and how expensive it was.

Wonderfull vehicle, I must admit. But for GOD's sake ... I can't see how someone can use that thing for personal transportation.

Look what I drive :
Image

1.4L, 16 valve engine, slightly modified for performance.
It has front/read and side steel bars built in, for safety.

I was twice involved in an accident. I once got hit from the behind by a small bus, and once I was driving backwards in a dark parking lot and hit a jerk who left his car in the middle of nowhere.
On the second ocassions, the police officer asked (I quote ) :
"Son, are you f*cking around with me? You claim you have hit a vehicle. That vehicle is totally busted on the left side, and you claim that the 0.5 inch scratch on your rear bumper is the only damage you got? Are you sure you want to sign your statement?"

On the first ocassion, the bus had about 3 times more damage then I did.

It's a coupe. If I fold the rear seats, I can put a cow in my trunk.

I won't mention the mileage I get ... I don't want to hurt anyone's feelings.

-------------
It's not a solution to PeakOil, but it can curve the consumption curve enough to push peak oil in the future, and buy us time to think of a way out of it.

There is a high chance that PeakOil will be the best thing that happened to mankind since the invention of fire.
It will "eliminate" ignorant and foolish people, making the world a better place for the rest of us.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby untothislast » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 04:34:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pea-jay', 'L')ets look at that scenario:
A collapse like that and soon would finally be enough to lower gas demand below supply levels and for a change oil prices will drop. Demand destruction like you describe would likely be larger than what is geologically necessary.


We're facing a lose-lose scenario. Carry on using up resources at our present rate, and we're stuffed. Experience demand-destruction, and our global economy - which depends upon us consuming insanely at an ever more voracious rate - is stuffed.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby Doly » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 05:56:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('untothislast', 'W')e're facing a lose-lose scenario. Carry on using up resources at our present rate, and we're stuffed. Experience demand-destruction, and our global economy - which depends upon us consuming insanely at an ever more voracious rate - is stuffed.


You're wrong in thinking we have to options. The option of using up resources at our present rate is becoming physically impossible.

That's why I'm convinced our global economy is going to crash.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby killJOY » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 05:57:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('unknown', 'E')ver feel like you are being jerked around???

Oil prices jujmp on Iranian Leaders threat to supply

Didn't they threaten the exact same thing about two months ago? but the price didn't jump then...


You've put your finger on what I find most LOATHSOME about economics analysis: ad hoc, post hoc entrail reading (on-the-spot making shit up; after this, therefore because of this reasoning).

"They" always have a "reason" for the latest rise/fall in prices of goods and stocks, and they state it with the assurance of someone saying that the sun always rises.

"Markets were jittery due to...blah blah." How do you know that? Did someone interview all the "markets" and take into account all factors?

Whenever anyone anywhere issues an economics prognostication or the definitive "interpretation" of a past trend, you always have to ask yourself: "How do they know that?"

Which is effect and which is cause?

How do you isolate and test for all the variables in a "market"?

What controlled studies have been done to establish cause/effect relationships?

How do we know "markets" didn't react in such-and-such a way to event X because people believe they should react that way?

Perhaps one day it will come to light that economists know nothing.

The only thing that matters is supply and demand. It's a bone-head simple "science" that has been gussied up to look as complex as particle physics, but it's really as fraudulent as psychoanalysis and literary "theory."
Peak oil = comet Kohoutek.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby untothislast » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 07:12:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', 'T')hat's why I'm convinced our global economy is going to crash.


I can't see any other result either.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby Lokutus » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 08:05:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('vision-master', 'Y')up, hard times a coming. I can feel it in my bones.


Are you a time traveller posting from last December? It's been about $3.19 here for three months at least,
What will arrive first? Peak Oil or the Second Coming? My money is now on the latter.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby Pablo2079 » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 10:26:19

We haven't been below $3 for a long time. My wife was on a roadtrip with some friends to North Idaho and actually called me to tell me she found gas at $2.90. She sounded happy...... imagine if she had run into that price last year, I don't think it would have been a happy call.

I suppose that's the West coast for you... I think we're all over $3 now.... from San Ysidro, CA to Blaine, WA.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby gnm » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 10:33:45

Been hovering around $2.85 here in NM... at least for regular. Most places are just this week moving over $3.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby PWALPOCO » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 15:29:14

It was sobering when I was filling the tank of my small MG , the price was something like £1-04 per litre.

Thats about $7.30 (US Gallon) @ $1.86 : £1

Rather alarming when for the first time the "litres" counter was going up faster than the "£" counter.


So I can imagine it is equally disturbing for you guys across the pond in the colonies (lol) when your fuel goes over the $3 barrier.

Im glad I live not too far from work and shops and can keep the fuel bill down a bit but others arent so lucky I guess.

Paul
All that it takes for evil to triumph is for good men to do nothing.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby gnm » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 15:37:35

What do you figure the percentage increase has been there in England over the last couple years? We were at something like $1.70/gal a few years back so thats what? maybe %50-%70?

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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby Geko45 » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 15:53:18

Just because I'm feeling particularly doomerish today...

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Geko45 - Producer of Doomer Porn
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby SoothSayer » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 16:24:57

For a history of UK petrol (gas) prices see here.

(Gallons are UK not smaller US)

A 14% increase over last 5 years ... actually a bit more now as data is slightly out of date.
Technology will save us!
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby mekrob » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 16:31:00

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Geko45', 'J')ust because I'm feeling particularly doomerish today...

Image


Damnit. This was one hell of a bad time to buy a new stretch Hummer.
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Re: Let the show begin! Record $2.95 gal gas hits the pumps.

Unread postby FaceDown » Tue 06 Jun 2006, 23:26:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'D')amnit. This was one hell of a bad time to buy a new stretch Hummer.


LOL. Ok. That one got me laughing.

Gasoline here in Denver is a low, low price of $2.75/gal. We are living the good life.
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