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The Cause of Peak Oil

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby DefiledEngine » Sat 03 Jun 2006, 15:22:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')What you describe is the "struggle for survival". Darwin's "Survival of the fittest" has nothing to do with choice. It is about random genetic mutation. If you are born with mutated genes that tend to promote your survival and reproduction, then they will be passed on.

Being "successful" has nothing to do with choice, it is a random possibility that causes evolution.


Is doesn't? I thought that natural selection/survival of the fittest is all about the males/females who can make the females/males choose them and thus are succesful, and can pass on their genes.
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby dinopello » Sat 03 Jun 2006, 15:53:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Wildwell', '.')..letting the ‘throw away’, automobile culture to get out of hand. Public planning is very important in this, people use whatever is convenient for them, and locating shopping malls, miles away from anywhere where you can only get to by car, means more car traffic. Letting industry locate all over the place and relying on trucks, rather than encouraging it to use less damaging forms of transport is also a matter for government.


This is THE answer to what factors/situations are causing/aggrevating the problem. If it is true (I think it not) that one needs a car to get laid, then it is mostly because of the practicalities of dating and life in the physical environment in which you live. Does a women need a car to get laid ? Probably, if she lives out in some isolated exurban pod. How else would she meet anyone?

Here, you walk 2 minutes to the coffee shop and the market and 5 minutes to the movie theatres/bars/restaurants etc and 2 metro stops to dozens of performing arts locations and museums. A car is a pain in the ass around here more than anything.

Living in a walkable, urban environment is kind of like being in college, you are constantly in contact with the opposite sex in casual, everyday environments where you often see the same people over time and they become not stangers. Then, at least my experience is that your success of getting laid is more a function of how many times you try. A car isn't even a factor.

However, do most people in America live in some isolated, exurban pod? Maybe so, and this will not be easy or quick to change. But change it will.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', 'l')adies are leading the men around by the testicles, and not the other way around.


And thank goodness for that.
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby foodnotlawns » Sat 03 Jun 2006, 17:06:38

I think married people who have children should have to either pay a fine or accept lashes ala Singapore criminal justice system, before being allowed to get divorced.

I am a child of divorce, and if neither spouse is criminal and/or abusive, a married couple should be strongly discouraged from getting divorced.

I knew a couple with children who said, "We are getting divorced" and I bashed them so hard that the woman will never speak to me again. the divorced husband/tossed out father still talks to me. But I tried real hard to prevent that breakup. I called them shitbag losers and told them they are going to hell for what they are doing to their children.

If you have kids and you plan to deprive them of a home with both mom and dad, you are a piece of garbage and I'd like to inflict corporal punishment on you, for the sake of your children, you bastard pieces of shit. Fuck you Shannymara. How dare you do this to your children. Think about it before you do this. He doesn't beat you or drink up your paychecks or molest the children, does he? Then how dare you break up the family, you swine.

Ban me if you like. I would be all in favor of public corporal punishment of frivolous divorcers.
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby EnergyUnlimited » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 03:07:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('foodnotlawns', 'I') think married people who have children should have to either pay a fine or accept lashes ala Singapore criminal justice system, before being allowed to get divorced.

I am a child of divorce, and if neither spouse is criminal and/or abusive, a married couple should be strongly discouraged from getting divorced.

I knew a couple with children who said, "We are getting divorced" and I bashed them so hard that the woman will never speak to me again. the divorced husband/tossed out father still talks to me. But I tried real hard to prevent that breakup. I called them shitbag losers and told them they are going to hell for what they are doing to their children.

If you have kids and you plan to deprive them of a home with both mom and dad, you are a piece of garbage and I'd like to inflict corporal punishment on you, for the sake of your children, you bastard pieces of shit. Fuck you Shannymara. How dare you do this to your children. Think about it before you do this. He doesn't beat you or drink up your paychecks or molest the children, does he? Then how dare you break up the family, you swine.

Ban me if you like. I would be all in favor of public corporal punishment of frivolous divorcers.


Well, but what would you do to those who have children, but never bothered to get married in the first place?
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby Graeme » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 03:16:31

Aaron started a really funny thread, which is quite rare here. I had quite a chuckle at the beginning. For goodness sake, lighten up. This was supposed to be tongue-in-cheek. Right, Aaron?
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby Graeme » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 03:52:00

On a slightly more serious note, I just found this:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')ew Zealand was the only country in a study which included the United States, Canada, Britain and Australia where more women than men were classed as very sexually active, The Independent newspaper in Britain reports.

The report did not say how many women in New Zealand were sexually active, compared with men.

The study, in the Journal of Sex and Marital Therapy, of 6000 people aged 40 to 80 – in Britain, the United States, Canada, Australia and New Zealand – showed the number of sexually active women in Britain was below 60 per cent.

In the US, Australia and Canada, 80 per cent of men were reported as sexually active, which was defined as having sex at least once in the previous year.

In Britain, only 70 per cent of men in Britain had sex in the past year and British men have the worst sex lives, while Canadians had the best.

According to the research, 41 per cent of British men and 33 per cent of women were very sexually active – having had sex at least once in the previous week.


stuff
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby EnergySpin » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 04:09:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MacG', 'I') learned that even left greenies love affluence when it comes to "the real deal".

[smilie=cachas.gif]

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MacG', '
')Had a very nice full-night date with a delicious ex-gymnast MILF yesterday. Some strange muscles are aching right now.

MILF's are known to be superior beings ... they only have one thing in mind (and that ain't a car).
The problem is that once one becomes a DILF (the male equivalent of a MILF) one needs petroleum based vehicular and pharmaceutical products to perform the "F" in DILF.
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby Raxozanne » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 04:13:04

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DefiledEngine', ' ')Is doesn't? I thought that natural selection/survival of the fittest is all about the males/females who can make the females/males choose them and thus are succesful, and can pass on their genes.


That kind of selection is called sexual selection.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', 'S')eems to me that the ladies are leading the men around by the testicles, and not the other way around.
I'm insulted almost every time I turn on my TV these days, by the white male bashing. Today's post-Metro Sexual Male image is weak & stupid, and caters specifically to the psychology of affluent female consumers who affect purchases.


Maybe the women are making up for lost time. Don't worry I'm quite sure that post peak things will get back to the way they have almost always been throughout history and men will once again be controlling women with the threat of a beating. If that is what makes you feel comfortable...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', 'A')nd I recognize that PO is caused by our use of oil for energy... I was spinning more for a "first cause".


Well that's obvious, oil was extremely handy to keep the industrial revolution going (especially for lubricating all those machines) and transporting goods around cheaply. I am wondering what kind of emotions made you seek to find out women as the underlying reason even if it was tongue in cheek.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Graeme', 'A')aron started a really funny thread, which is quite rare here. I had quite a chuckle at the beginning.


Well that's nice for you, but I didn't. This thread just helped to reinforce my view that PO.com is an old boys club.
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby Graeme » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 05:12:35

Sorry Raxozanne, I didn't mean to cause any offense to you or any other lady. Perhaps you would like to read the following article about women and peak oil. This has been posted elsewhere but I think now that it is appropriate here:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')Perhaps women and ethnic minorities are already very busy with urgent concerns, such as health care, unequal educational opportunities, urban violence, single parenting, etc.,” she noted. “Educational opportunities still favor Caucasian males, and especially in the sciences,” Weller added. She felt that “the dryness of the topic is not appealing to many women.” Weller lamented that “we seem to have made oil and money our God.” She advocated a different style of discussion within Peak Oil circles that would honor “the values of nurturing, creating relationship, and visions for our grandchildren.”

When the masculine and the feminine work well together, they can get more accomplished then when they are apart, separate, and isolated from each other, or competitive and hostile to each other. Plus that, it can be more fun, especially if we are facing what James Howard Kunstler describes in his book as “The Long Emergency.” Working on potentially disastrous realities, such as Peak Oil and Climate Change, can be serious and lead to burn out. We could benefit from more Peak Oil/Climate Change humor.


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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby Lighthouse » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 05:23:10

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Graeme', 'O')n a slightly more serious note, I just found this:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.')..

The Independent newspaper in Britain reports.

...

were reported as sexually active, which was defined as having sex at least once in the previous year. ...


stuff


ahem, the British consider themselves sexually active when they get laid once a year? Poor buggers....
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby killJOY » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 07:04:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') think married people who have children should have to either pay a fine or accept lashes ala Singapore criminal justice system, before being allowed to get divorced.

I am a child of divorce, and if neither spouse is criminal and/or abusive, a married couple should be strongly discouraged from getting divorced.

I knew a couple with children who said, "We are getting divorced" and I bashed them so hard that the woman will never speak to me again. the divorced husband/tossed out father still talks to me. But I tried real hard to prevent that breakup. I called them shitbag losers and told them they are going to hell for what they are doing to their children.

If you have kids and you plan to deprive them of a home with both mom and dad, you are a piece of garbage and I'd like to inflict corporal punishment on you, for the sake of your children, you bastard pieces of shit.



foodnotlawns, you don't have a grip on reality. Whatever your problems are, they are not caused by your parents' divorce. Whatever your problems are, you can't lay the blame at anyone else's feet. Whatever your problems are, you have to take responsibility for them.

You're in the grip of the "nurture assumption," a massive popular delusion that stems from the quackery of Freud.

Read The Nurture Assumption by Judith Rich Harris. It just might change your outlook on your life and on parenting.

Every parent should read the book, too, for it will release them from a lot of the guilt foisted on them by the therapist witch doctors who currently control much of the mental health field. Here's a juicy quote:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he idea of zero parental influence

Is it dangerous to claim that parents have no power at all (other than genetic) to shape their child's personality, intelligence, or the way he or she behaves outside the family home? More to the point, is this claim false? Was I wrong when I proposed that parents' power to do these things by environmental means is zero, nada, zilch?

A confession: When I first made this proposal ten years ago, I didn't fully believe it myself. I took an extreme position, the null hypothesis of zero parental influence, for the sake of scientific clarity. Making myself an easy target, I invited the establishment — research psychologists in the academic world — to shoot me down. I didn't think it would be all that difficult for them to do so. It was clear by then that there weren't any big effects of parenting, but I thought there must be modest effects that I would ultimately have to acknowledge.

The establishment's failure to shoot me down has been nothing short of astonishing. One developmental psychologist even admitted, one year ago on this very website, that researchers hadn't yet found proof that "parents do shape their children," but she was still convinced that they will eventually find it, if they just keep searching long enough.
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby EnergySpin » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 07:39:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('killJOY', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') think married people who have children should have to either pay a fine or accept lashes ala Singapore criminal justice system, before being allowed to get divorced.

I am a child of divorce, and if neither spouse is criminal and/or abusive, a married couple should be strongly discouraged from getting divorced.

I knew a couple with children who said, "We are getting divorced" and I bashed them so hard that the woman will never speak to me again. the divorced husband/tossed out father still talks to me. But I tried real hard to prevent that breakup. I called them shitbag losers and told them they are going to hell for what they are doing to their children.

If you have kids and you plan to deprive them of a home with both mom and dad, you are a piece of garbage and I'd like to inflict corporal punishment on you, for the sake of your children, you bastard pieces of shit.



foodnotlawns, you don't have a grip on reality. Whatever your problems are, they are not caused by your parents' divorce. Whatever your problems are, you can't lay the blame at anyone else's feet. Whatever your problems are, you have to take responsibility for them.

You're in the grip of the "nurture assumption," a massive popular delusion that stems from the quackery of Freud.

Read The Nurture Assumption by Judith Rich Harris. It just might change your outlook on your life and on parenting.

Every parent should read the book, too, for it will release them from a lot of the guilt foisted on them by the therapist witch doctors who currently control much of the mental health field. Here's a juicy quote:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he idea of zero parental influence

Is it dangerous to claim that parents have no power at all (other than genetic) to shape their child's personality, intelligence, or the way he or she behaves outside the family home? More to the point, is this claim false? Was I wrong when I proposed that parents' power to do these things by environmental means is zero, nada, zilch?

A confession: When I first made this proposal ten years ago, I didn't fully believe it myself. I took an extreme position, the null hypothesis of zero parental influence, for the sake of scientific clarity. Making myself an easy target, I invited the establishment — research psychologists in the academic world — to shoot me down. I didn't think it would be all that difficult for them to do so. It was clear by then that there weren't any big effects of parenting, but I thought there must be modest effects that I would ultimately have to acknowledge.

The establishment's failure to shoot me down has been nothing short of astonishing. One developmental psychologist even admitted, one year ago on this very website, that researchers hadn't yet found proof that "parents do shape their children," but she was still convinced that they will eventually find it, if they just keep searching long enough.

Amazing amount of horseshit .... let me guess the author failed to pay attention during neurobiology courses and she went straight from the Bell Curve crap to her epiphany?

The only way for parents to have minimal (if not zero) effect upon the development of a child is for a) the environment to have no role in the final development of the brain or
b) parents do not belong to the environment at all ... :roll:

I thought we settled the issue (environment vs genes) a few decades ago with Hebb's postulate followed by the LTP/LTD experimental findings of the 70s-80s and the visual cortex sensory deprivation experiments in kittens.
Foodnotlawns is partially right to blame his parents for his experience and he is also right in demanding a legal/social framework that protects the constitution of marriage over the income of divorce lawyers.
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby killJOY » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 07:50:23

Read the book.

She answers EVERYTHING YOU JUST MENTIONED. (for example, "nurture" is not the same as "environment." the biggest environmental influence on children is peers.)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'h')e is also right in demanding a legal/social framework that protects the constitution of marriage over the income of divorce lawyers.


100% full agreement. (yet beside the point)
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby EnergySpin » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 08:00:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('killJOY', 'R')ead the book.

She answers EVERYTHING YOU JUST MENTIONED. (for example, "nurture" is not the same as "environment." the biggest environmental influence on children is peers.)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'h')e is also right in demanding a legal/social framework that protects the constitution of marriage over the income of divorce lawyers.


100% full agreement. (yet beside the point)

I might do that ... but I do have a problem (not with you), when are people are making such claims and then proceed to sell you a book.
Considering the "genetic determinism" bombardment/propaganda of the last 2 decades it is important for the non-experts to realize that the "environment-nurture" contributes by at least 50% (if not more) contribution to the final outcome (6-pack Joe vs a Nobel Laureate) and that there are multiple distinct/overlapping biological mechanisms that underline this contribution.
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby foodnotlawns » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 08:03:46

Growing up, I saw it clear as day; the kids who lived in an un-mutilated household with their original mom and original dad were happier, healthier, and got into less trouble -- they did better overall. The kids from destroyed families were a wreck.

I have one child and I will do anything to make sure she gets to adulthood with a whole, undestroyed family.

I suppose if Shannymara is going to have some arrangement where both parents are staying put in the house with the kids, that's fine, I guess.

I don't care about so-called "sexual morality" until it affects the life of a child. If you don't have kids, do as you please. The only point of sexual morality is when there are children who would be adversely affected, and/or a community/tribe that would be affected. Modern society is hardly a community or a tribe, it's more like a "free market" of atomized human beings, a cold cold place, which is why the family is so important for children.
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby Raxozanne » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 08:26:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Graeme', 'S')orry Raxozanne, I didn't mean to cause any offense to you or any other lady. Perhaps you would like to read the following article about women and peak oil. This has been posted elsewhere but I think now that it is appropriate here:


Don't worry about it. Sometimes I wonder if I react too strongly but what got my goat was the title of the thread 'the cause of peak oil' and then it made it seem like it was just women. I know Aaron was foolin' but then everyone seemed to jump on board which antagonised me a fair bit. If other reasons had been mentioned along with 'trying to attract women' then that would be fine because I'm sure that men have bought cars and bigger and faster ones at that to look good to women along with trying to show up other men. It's a sad affair the battle of the sexes but inevitable.
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby killJOY » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 08:56:37

Aaron, I apologize for hijacking this, just one last word.

E-spin, you're intelligent and I enjoy your posts. I'm sure you'll understand this:

The environment VERSUS genes debate is a false debate, a red herring. Books like Harris', Pinker's, and whoever wrote "Nurture Via Nature" have completely changed my thinking.

My new working hypothesis: Genes and environment are not even separate, antagonistic, identifiable categories!!

Because: what is a gene and where did it come from?

Why, a gene is a compilation of ancestral environments! No selection, no gene.

And (for humans especially), what does the environment consist of?

Why, other genetic beings: parents, siblings, relatives, friends, enemies, cornucopians....

There's no longer a "war" in my head between "which is environmental and which is genetic?" They're expressions of the same thing

Harris takes great pains to inform us that "nurture"--that is, parental influence--makes up a tiny percent of a child's "environmental" influence.

Think about it: "environment" consists of:
--the womb in which the child develops
--the time period into which the child is born
--the culture into which the child is born
--the physical surroundings, including landscape and climate
--the particular society
--the groups of peers and antagonists
--siblings, relatives (and even ancestors)


--and, oh, yes, parents. What is their job? Well, evolution has made damn sure (via ancestral environments encoded in their genes) that they do it, or we wouldn't be here: feed, clothe, shelter.

dude above said:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')rowing up, I saw it clear as day; the kids who lived in an un-mutilated household with their original mom and original dad were happier, healthier, and got into less trouble -- they did better overall. The kids from destroyed families were a wreck.


Nice anecdote. Now test it. Repeatedly. With controls in place.

Just one question: Why does it surprise you that stable people give birth to stable families, whereas unstable people have unstable families?

Nothing is as it seems.

Rich describes a tribe that was ABSOLUTELY CONVINCED that their children would not be able to sit upright unless they piled sand up around their bodies to assist them.

Lo and behold, all those kids they religiously piled sand up around developed into normal sitting kids.

Are you laughing yet???
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby EnergySpin » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 09:36:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('killJOY', '
')
My new working hypothesis: Genes and environment are not even separate, antagonistic, identifiable categories!!

Actually the antagonism was created by political theorists and people who wanted to get rich by selling books :-D.
But one can actually separate what is genetic (DNA-based) from what is not genetic (non DNA based). (Of course there are other forms of heredity which are not DNA based, e.g. there was a report in Nature about 1 wk ago that demoed paramutation phenomena in mice.
(http://www.nature.com/nature/journal/v4 ... 25-07.html)
Recent molecular biology work on the transcription apparatus does support an expanded view such as the one you are promoting:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('killJOY', '
')Why, a gene is a compilation of ancestral environments! No selection, no gene.

but there is an added twist:
The way a particular DNA program (gene sequence) is interprted is actually based on the accumulated (over years) effect of environmental impacts. The over decades/generations stuff is pretty difficult to establish (and may never be established).

If you can spare the time there are a couple of papers that look into the Gene 1 +Gene 2 + ...+Gene N + Envrionment question in organisms simpler than man.
http://www.duke.edu/~you/publications/g ... ctions.pdf

I will stop hijacking the thread .... have a nice weekend everyone!
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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby Aaron » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 10:34:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')arris takes great pains to inform us that "nurture"--that is, parental influence--makes up a tiny percent of a child's "environmental" influence.


It has been my personal experience, as a single parent, that my child absorbs about 10% of what I say... & almost 100% of what I don't say.

An individual's environment defines the architecture... the framework within which their genetic disposition expresses itself.

Parents get "pole position" in this process normally. Tiny variations in starting conditions will affect each sequential development in series, greatly multiplying their downstream effects.

It is these beginning conditions which define for the growing child what is possible... & what is not.

So while I notice my son seems to retain little of what I intend him to... (perhaps filed away for future reference as I have done), I also notice that his expression of our genes in bounded by how I live my life.

5 minutes later, he could not tell you with any accuracy what I just told him... but he could repeat [b]verbatim[/b], what I said to another adult.

And I will confess to a certain amount of gilding the Lilly here... (I'm known for that around here, as well as using arcane references :)

But I also meant to make a point, which might not be obvious on first blush... or at least without foreknowledge of my tendency to obscure my actual opinion. My writing style is often to create the conditions which I think justify my own personal opinion, then let the reader draw whatever conclusions they like.

And on that rather obsequious note, I'll yield the floor to further speculation about my little post...

(here's a hint - my female counterparts have never had a more dedicated admirer & advocate than myself.)
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: The Cause of Peak Oil

Postby kochevnik » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 13:12:44

:!:

Ha !

Parents don't matter ? Only because of the fucked up culture we have developed thanks to a sea of cheap energy. Put your kid in a box for five years and see what comes out the other end - a blob, unable to speak, walk, or crawl. Or ask my young son who just made the mistake of pulling the plug out of the back of my computer after his father had spent 20+ minutes writing a much longer version of this post. I guarantee you that his father has changed his behavior in that particular area for good. :-x

It's true that kids nowadays are more influenced by their peers, (their culture), and others besides their parents. That is exactly why millions of parents have commenced homeshooling and pulling their kids out of the clutches of miinimum wage slave day care workers. Spend some time around home-schooled kids and you will see what an amazing difference PARENTS can make in a kids life.

The problem of PO is that we have developed a wide range of CULTURAL MALADAPTATIONS which seem to work quite well in an an age of cheap oil, but which, in the future, will result in their most stringent adherents joining their heavily influenced peers at the bottom of a mass grave. I've dated women from around the world and I think in terms of behaviors that are anti-survival in nature, USA women are far and away the worst of the lot (and no, female poster here don't count - Shanny and the rest are literally one in a million women - you should be quite proud).

To be attractive to a 'typical' USA woman you need to be a shallow, materialistic, androgynous, anal-retentive, primping, whining pretty boy. You primary skills need to include the ability and willingness to steal, lie, cheat, backstab and suck dick all the way to the top of the corporate pyramid. In a post-peak world, the first one of these weasels I deal with will definitely have their life expectancy shortened considerably. How's that for 'survival of the fittest' :)

The cause of PO is that we, as a society, have travelled very, very far from what constitutes good, decent human beings. All of us are to blame for that - but don't worry, the situation is very shorty about to be rectified. :)
kochevnik
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