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The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby rogerhb » Fri 14 Apr 2006, 03:19:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'W')hich particular economic law states that everyone will earn enough to feed themselves?
The law of comparative advantage.


I'm glad there is a law against starvation.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby kabu » Fri 14 Apr 2006, 13:37:23

I was being facetious. I'm pretty much a "godless commie".
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby MrBill » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 14:14:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'W')hich particular economic law states that everyone will earn enough to feed themselves?
The law of comparative advantage.


Now, I have a dilemma? Set the record straight and back Roger up or keep quiet? I guess intellectual honesty is the best policy in the long-run.


Comparative advantage does not guarantee anyone has enough to feed themselves. Witness sub-Sahara Africa in the middle of a drought. They do not have enough to eat and they have no jobs no matter if they are only willing to work for enough to eat. A failure, but not due to the market, but ironically failures in humanitary aid, failures of the victim's state/government to take care of them; and ironically, food aid may have guaranteed that there are too many Africans living in sub-Sahara Africa to support their numbers even if there was no drought. Let us not make light of a human tragidy.

On the other hand, China knows that they need to trade based on comparative advantage. Where as some African leaders rage against the west and how unfair everything is, China's biggest concern is to create jobs to keep 8-9 million new entrants into the job market employed, and how to get 2 million peasants to the areas that are short of workers.

Meanwhile, some rich world workers, seem intent to squandering every natural advantage which they have been luckily enough to have been born into? They live in debt despite earning 40:1 compared to the average Asian worker and 80:1 compared to those Africans who can also not help where they were born. But NZ is also a borrower of capital to fund their own current account deficit. Therefore, they have not earned the right to criticize others. Eat your sheep! ; - ))
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby MyOtherID » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 14:44:56

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'M')eanwhile, some rich world workers, seem intent to squandering every natural advantage which they have been luckily enough to have been born into? They live in debt despite earning 40:1 compared to the average Asian worker and 80:1 compared to those Africans who can also not help where they were born.


[font=Georgia]And that's largely the result of corporate brainwashing of the collective "rich world" populace into mindless consumerism. The message big business gives people in the West is "Spend, don't save." Capitalism sucks.[/font]
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby jaws » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 15:49:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'C')omparative advantage does not guarantee anyone has enough to feed themselves. Witness sub-Sahara Africa in the middle of a drought. They do not have enough to eat and they have no jobs no matter if they are only willing to work for enough to eat. A failure, but not due to the market, but ironically failures in humanitary aid, failures of the victim's state/government to take care of them;

If there are no jobs because there is no market because there is too much government interference, then that clearly has nothing to do with the law of comparative advantage. In fact if there were a market the law of comparative advantage would apply and there would be plenty of food for everyone.

Therefore it is socialism that causes starvation and malnutrition. The free market allows people to supply themselves with all the food they need.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby MyOtherID » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 16:03:33

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', 'T')herefore it is socialism that causes starvation and malnutrition. The free market allows people to supply themselves with all the food they need.


Nonsense. There is no real socialism in Africa, you armchair expert.

If you want to see socialism in action, go look at some of the Northern European nations. Their populations mostly love living there, under their benevolent and mild socialist systems.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby jaws » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 16:49:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MyOtherID', 'N')onsense. There is no real socialism in Africa, you armchair expert.
What exactly is real socialism then? The entire "third world" was built on socialist ideology, the idea that government control of the economy was necessary to catch up to the first world. They got what they have.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby kabu » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 18:31:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MyOtherID', 'N')onsense. There is no real socialism in Africa, you armchair expert.
What exactly is real socialism then? The entire "third world" was built on socialist ideology, the idea that government control of the economy was necessary to catch up to the first world. They got what they have.


Huh? Who developed this "socialist ideology" you speak of? Who wants the entire third-world to catch up? Two different crowds, if you ask me.

I wouldn’t worry about the exact definition of socialism because whatever it is, it completely excludes any private control over any and all resources that everyone’s in need of. This key aspect does not exist in Africa, does it? If it did, Africa would be absent of any significant corporate gains to be had there, which I believe is not the case. Capitalism and real Socialism, by definition, aren't likely to exist within the same state. Maybe I'm wrong- I haven't studied Africa- but why bring up socialism when you could simply just talk about a corrupt, centralized, incompetent system of governance?

It’s almost as if you just love capitalism so much that’ll you jump on any opportunity you can to blame a civilizations problems on anything that even remotely resembles a system that opposes it!

I myself am not going to blame Africa’s problems on present day, capitalist activity- not that’ll I rule out its hand in perpetuating them. Africa and its people were exploited for a long, long time, its culture thrown completely out of whack; and then all of a sudden its exploiters were politically motivated to feign having a conscious and decided do a bunch of food drops, helping to give it a human population that’s completely oversized, and out of sync with its environment. A differing political system in itself will not correct the situation. Simply pointing your finger at “socialism” is ridiculous.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby rogerhb » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 18:42:49

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MrBill', 'B')ut NZ is also a borrower of capital to fund their own current account deficit. Therefore, they have not earned the right to criticize others. Eat your sheep! ; - ))


crit·i·cize

1. To find fault with: criticized the decision as unrealistic.
2. To judge the merits and faults of; analyze and evaluate.

Yup, Kiwis are following the rest of the world in accumulating debt, it's insane. We do have the comparative advantages of distance and low population so that if the money system collapses and we default no one will come attacking us....
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby CrudeAwakening » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 18:53:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '
')Therefore it is socialism that causes starvation and malnutrition. The free market allows people to supply themselves with all the food they need.


Ah, socialism, that all-pervasive evil with a hand in all the world's ills.

Is socialism responsible for all imbalances of supply and demand?
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby rogerhb » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 19:02:41

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '
')Therefore it is socialism that causes starvation and malnutrition. The free market allows people to supply themselves with all the food they need.


Ah, socialism, that all-pervasive evil with a hand in all the world's ills.

Is socialism responsible for all imbalances of supply and demand?


Apparently yes, because all states are socialist at the moment, there are true no capitalist states. Even the good ol' US of A is socialist.

Theory being you can't just be a little bit capitalist, its a 100% deal or else you are socialist, so anywhere you have state pensions, a government run health system, unemployment benefit etc, it means you have a socialist state.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby jaws » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 19:14:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('kabu', 'I') wouldn’t worry about the exact definition of socialism because whatever it is, it completely excludes any private control over any and all resources that everyone’s in need of. This key aspect does not exist in Africa, does it? If it did, Africa would be absent of any significant corporate gains to be had there, which I believe is not the case. Capitalism and real Socialism, by definition, aren't likely to exist within the same state. Maybe I'm wrong- I haven't studied Africa- but why bring up socialism when you could simply just talk about a corrupt, centralized, incompetent system of governance?

It’s almost as if you just love capitalism so much that’ll you jump on any opportunity you can to blame a civilizations problems on anything that even remotely resembles a system that opposes it!

I myself am not going to blame Africa’s problems on present day, capitalist activity- not that’ll I rule out its hand in perpetuating them. Africa and its people were exploited for a long, long time, its culture thrown completely out of whack; and then all of a sudden its exploiters were politically motivated to feign having a conscious and decided do a bunch of food drops, helping to give it a human population that’s completely oversized, and out of sync with its environment. A differing political system in itself will not correct the situation. Simply pointing your finger at “socialism” is ridiculous.

Dictatorship, Monarchy and Democracy are political systems. Socialism is not a political system, it is an economic policy that can be pursued by either of the previous systems. It is the policy of aggression on property rights and individual liberty. It comes in different flavours, such as USSR-style collectivism, Scandinavian welfare-statism or latin-american conservatism, but it is always the same basic policy: the abolition of property rights and freedom of trade. The more socialism there is, the more chaos and impoverishment follows. Total socialism results in complete economic collapse, as experienced shortly after the Bolshevik revolution in 1917, and requires re-establishing some rights to property and trade.

A corrupt, centralized and incompetent system of governance will be the most likely to pursue such a policy. That's why Africa is poor, and increasingly so America as well.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', 'A')h, socialism, that all-pervasive evil with a hand in all the world's ills.

Is socialism responsible for all imbalances of supply and demand?

Yes. The longer you deny it, the more people will suffer, especially poor Africans.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'A')pparently yes, because all states are socialist at the moment, there are true no capitalist states. Even the good ol' US of A is socialist.

Theory being you can't just be a little bit capitalist, its a 100% deal or else you are socialist, so anywhere you have state pensions, a government run health system, unemployment benefit etc, it means you have a socialist state.

A 100% socialist state is impossible and results in economic collapse, but moderate levels of socialism can sustain themselves as long as the power of the state remains. Any amount of socialism will result in impoverishment though, therefore we see that the most impoverished countries have the highest level of government aggression against property rights and free trade.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby Shadizar » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 19:46:45

Could you please expain comparative advantage to me Jaws? I am having trouble coming to grips with it in the current global environment.

It seems to me that the U.S. is getting no real advantage from global trade right now. U.S. banking seems to be doing well in the deal, but I have trouble seeing how U.S. based (i.e. workers actually making products) manufacturers are benefiting from the lower wages and lower base material costs of other countries. They are doing great but jobs in the U.S., wages, and the trade defecit are hurting (as far as I can tell).

From what I've read (and its limited I'll admit) comparative advantage relies on lower wages, or lower material prices. How exactly is the U.S. economy benefiting from comparative advantage? The way I perceive it companies are benefiting more from employing overseas workers instead of U.S. workers for nearly any kind of manufacturing jobs.

Service jobs are wonderful in our booming economy, but what good are they in any kind of consumer retreat? That will happen someday. Maybe not today, but its inevitable at some point (am I wrong about that?).

I do think that we (U.S.) are winners in comparative advantage today, I just don't think the winner is the U.S. I have a suspicion its great for the free market and capitalism in the end, but in the short term the U.S. is the loser. What am I not seeing?

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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby rogerhb » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 20:08:08

My understanding of "comparative advantage" is that different communities will produce different goods, where you produce the goods that you will make the most profit on and sell those to people who would find it more expensive to make those goods themselves.

A good example is coffee only naturally grows near the equator, so it would be expensive for Inuits to get into the coffee growing business.

You do what you can do best and import the rest.

However this theory all depends on free trade, which we don't have. If you watch the news and see about "free-trade agreements" being signed between two countries, this highlights the problem that we don't actually have free trade and you have to go into special bilateral agreements to get it.

The two enemies of free trade are tarriffs and subsidised production, and of course Europe and the USA are the most guilty parties to this behaviour.

It also depends on cheap transport of goods.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby CrudeAwakening » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 20:15:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '
')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')s socialism responsible for all imbalances of supply and demand?

Yes. The longer you deny it, the more people will suffer, especially poor Africans.

Does this apply to the oil markets too? That if only we left things to the market and stopped socialist meddling, there'd be enough oil for everyone's needs from now till eternity? Are all shortages truly due to socialist market-meddling?
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby jaws » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 20:16:33

The easiest way to explain comparative advantage is with a desert island, "Robinson Crusoe" scenario. Picture Robinson Crusoe living on a desert island. Robinson is a successful banker on the mainland, but on a desert island his survival skills are mediocre. He can catch one fish per hour or forage 10 mangoes per hour, and that's all he has to sustain himself.

One day Robinson Crusoe runs into Friday. Friday has lived on the island for many years and has developped advanced skills at survival. He can can catch 2 fish per hour and forage 12 mangoes per hour.

The cost of producing a fish for Friday is 6 mangoes. The cost of producing a fish for Robinson Crusoe is 10 mangoes. Crusoe, being a clever banker, makes an exchange with Friday. He says I will trade you 8 mangoes for each fish that you catch.

Before the trade Robinson, by working 12 hours a day, could either catch 12 fish or get 120 mangoes (or a mix of both). But if he trades with Friday, he can catch 120 mangoes and exchange them for 15 fish! He thus gets 3 more fish than he would have caught by himself if he specializes in mangoes.

Friday, by working 12 hours a day, could either catch 24 fish or get 144 mangoes (or a mix of both). He can exchange his 24 fish for 192 mangoes, thus get 48 more mangoes than he could if he had foraged them himself.

Thus it doesn't matter if Friday is a lot more talented at surviving on the island. If both men cooperate and trade with one another, they are both going to increase the goods they can produce. If they don't want to consume more goods, then they can reduce the time they spend working.

For the global economy, it doesn't matter if Americans are getting more out of the deal than Chinese. They are both getting something, they are both getting more goods than they could have had if they didn't cooperate. Wages aren't being lowered, they're being increased.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby jaws » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 20:21:57

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', 'D')oes this apply to the oil markets too? That if only we left things to the market and stopped socialist meddling, there'd be enough oil for everyone's needs from now till eternity? Are all shortages truly due to socialist market-meddling?

There will always be enough oil to meet our needs, at some price. How we adjust to this price is made more complicated by socialist market-meddling.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby CrudeAwakening » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 20:34:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'I')t also depends on cheap transport of goods.

This assumption will pretty much fall apart within the next 10 years, if it hasn't already.

The original Ricardian theory of comparative advantage also depended on balanced trade between countries, and capital immobility, which clearly no longer are the case. But I believe economists have updated his theory to account for this.
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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby MyOtherID » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 20:35:22

These small/no government idiots want a world where they don't have to pay any taxes, where it's dog eat dog and may the best man win. They resent every cent they pay in taxes, seeing it as "wealth redistribution". They measure life in terms of possessions, and they have no concept of the communal good. They cannot see that their own safety and happiness will decrease in direct proportion to the extent the state is starved of funds used to fund health, education, transport and other systems.

It's a peculiar form of dementia they suffer from, most widely seen in the USA, but you'll also find sufferers in New Zealand, it seems.

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Re: The Economy must be doing worse than we're told

Postby kabu » Sat 15 Apr 2006, 20:38:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '
')Dictatorship, Monarchy and Democracy are political systems. Socialism is not a political system, it is an economic policy that can be pursued by either of the previous systems.


Oops, my bad for not distinguishing between the two at the end there. Want to become my editor?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')It is the policy of aggression on property rights and individual liberty.


It is the policy of aggression on the private, excessive consolidation of the means to produce and ustilize what everyone needs. It does allow for personal property, however. Individual liberty? Elaborate.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')The more socialism there is, the more chaos and impoverishment follows. Total socialism results in complete economic collapse, as experienced shortly after the Bolshevik revolution in 1917, and requires re-establishing some rights to property and trade.


If socialism is intrinsically chaotic and impovershing, then an explanatory model ought to be easy produce. If you'd prefer to just draw lines between a country's economic system and its complete collapse, then you should at least point us to all your research, otherwise we must accept your assertion based upon faith.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '
')A corrupt, centralized and incompetent system of governance will be the most likely to pursue such a policy. That's why Africa is poor, and increasingly so America as well.


Even if I grant that A leads to B, that doesn't mean that C was created by B; it could also be the case that A lead to C as well. In other words, don't mistake correlation for causation.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('CrudeAwakening', 'A')h, socialism, that all-pervasive evil with a hand in all the world's ills.

Is socialism responsible for all imbalances of supply and demand?
Yes. The longer you deny it, the more people will suffer, especially poor Africans.

It's true, and this also explains why the Africans were suffering even before the Europeans got to them. Don't worry, capitalism will liberate the African societies eventually. :roll:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('rogerhb', 'A')pparently yes, because all states are socialist at the moment, there are true no capitalist states. Even the good ol' US of A is socialist.

Theory being you can't just be a little bit capitalist, its a 100% deal or else you are socialist, so anywhere you have state pensions, a government run health system, unemployment benefit etc, it means you have a socialist state.
A 100% socialist state is impossible and results in economic collapse, but moderate levels of socialism can sustain themselves as long as the power of the state remains. Any amount of socialism will result in impoverishment though, therefore we see that the most impoverished countries have the highest level of government aggression against property rights and free trade.

100% socialist state automatically results in economic collapse, eh? I'm not saying you have to be dedicated you are to explaining these sweeping generalizations of yours, but it'd be helpful.

Roger, I know this is just semantics here, but I doubt you'll get many socialists agreeing that all you need is a tiny bit of redistribution for a state to be considered socialist. There is the term social-democracy though, so I can see where you're coming from. I'd think of it more as being gay or straight; research has shown (not that I want to digress, but I'll produce a citation from one of my textbooks if you wish) that nobody's 100% of either, and the two words merely desribe the opposite ends of a spectrum.
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