Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Resource wars: Oil

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Resource wars: Oil

Unread postby UncoveringTruths » Fri 17 Dec 2004, 21:20:41

I assume that when Iraq invaded Kuwait that was the first Oil grab the world has known(I'm probably wrong). Then we inturn grab Iraq's oil, shortly afterwards the Ruskies are taking the Oil back they sold in the first place. Maybe the forementioned is all to simplistic.

I guess my question is how much will we see of Oil grabbing as we observe the Geoploitical landscape unfold?

Things seem to be getting fluid for some real aknowledgement of the underlying issues.

Come on Uncle Sam!
Gimme the bad news first, Don't tell me you saved some money with that dam gecko! :lol:
User avatar
UncoveringTruths
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 887
Joined: Thu 04 Nov 2004, 04:00:00

Re: Grabby Oil?

Unread postby Bytesmiths » Fri 17 Dec 2004, 22:27:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('UncoveringTruths', 'I') assume that when Iraq invaded Kuwait that was the first Oil grab the world has known...
Oh heavens, no!

My guess is England's push into the middle east during WWI was the first. There was no real tactical reason to let Lawrence organize the Arabs against the Turks. And THAT move has destabilized everything over there since!

Since that time, we've had The Teapot Dome, Hitler going after Romania, the US's installment of the Shah in Iran... probably many more if you look carefully at things like civil war in Niger and military coup in Venezuela.

But if you define "oil grab" carefully enough, you're probably right. :-)
:::: Jan Steinman, Communication Steward, EcoReality, a forming sustainable community. Be the change! ::::
User avatar
Bytesmiths
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 730
Joined: Wed 27 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Salt Spring Island, Cascadia

Unread postby Chocky » Sat 18 Dec 2004, 01:47:57

Japan's expansion prior to and during WW2 was largely to do with trying to obtain oil
User avatar
Chocky
Coal
Coal
 
Posts: 485
Joined: Wed 20 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: The Land of Do-As-You-Please

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 18 Dec 2004, 03:03:45

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Chocky', 'J')apan's expansion prior to and during WW2 was largely to do with trying to obtain oil


A little unedited history from my book:

After Hitler invaded the U.S.S.R. in late June 1941, and Japan occupied the rest of Indochina, FDR froze all Japanese assets, thus cutting off trade, including oil. Without oil, Japan could not long continue the war against China; without oil, the Japanese Empire would wither and die. Japan made numerous efforts to negotiate using diplomatic measures to avoid war, but the U.S. rejected their offers. Six days before he cut the oil lifeline, he was warned in a memo from the navy chief of war plans that “doing so would lead promptly to Japanese action against the Philippines, which would involve us in a Pacific War.â€
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO

Unread postby Bytesmiths » Sat 18 Dec 2004, 03:36:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'A') little unedited history from my book:
For those of us who don't know, what book is that?
:::: Jan Steinman, Communication Steward, EcoReality, a forming sustainable community. Be the change! ::::
User avatar
Bytesmiths
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 730
Joined: Wed 27 Oct 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Salt Spring Island, Cascadia

Unread postby Ayoob_Reloaded » Sat 18 Dec 2004, 05:26:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Chocky', 'J')apan's expansion prior to and during WW2 was largely to do with trying to obtain oil


A little unedited history from my book:

After Hitler invaded the U.S.S.R. in late June 1941, and Japan occupied the rest of Indochina, FDR froze all Japanese assets, thus cutting off trade, including oil. Without oil, Japan could not long continue the war against China; without oil, the Japanese Empire would wither and die. Japan made numerous efforts to negotiate using diplomatic measures to avoid war, but the U.S. rejected their offers. Six days before he cut the oil lifeline, he was warned in a memo from the navy chief of war plans that “doing so would lead promptly to Japanese action against the Philippines, which would involve us in a Pacific War.â€
User avatar
Ayoob_Reloaded
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 355
Joined: Tue 07 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Top

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 18 Dec 2004, 12:32:34

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bytesmiths', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'A') little unedited history from my book:
For those of us who don't know, what book is that?


Madmen at the Helm, available in PDF format. Send pm with an e-mail addy.

MQ
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Unread postby andy2001 » Sat 18 Dec 2004, 15:28:02

One interesting point about the cause of the invasion of Kuwait is that Kuwait was using sideways drilling to steal Iraq’s Oil before the invasion.
User avatar
andy2001
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 6
Joined: Wed 24 Nov 2004, 04:00:00
Location: England,Canvey Island

Unread postby MonteQuest » Sat 18 Dec 2004, 18:56:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('andy2001', 'O')ne interesting point about the cause of the invasion of Kuwait is that Kuwait was using sideways drilling to steal Iraq’s Oil before the invasion.


The story of the Iraq-Kuwait confrontation that led to the Gulf War is well known. Following months of Iraqi demands for debt relief and Kuwaiti refusals to forgive Iraq's $10 billion debt from the Iran-Iraq War, Iraqi forces moved to the northern border of the tiny sheikdom in 1990. Iraq claimed that Kuwait’s slant drilling by Santa Fe Drilling was illegally extracting oil (valued at $2.5 billion) from the Rumaila oil field on the Iraqi side of the de facto line of demarcation between the two countries. Santa Fe Drilling is a subsidiary of Sante Fe International, owned 100 percent by the Al Sabah family of Kuwait. On its board of directors were former President Gerald Ford (the President that appointed George Bush Senior to Director of the CIA), General Brent Scowcroft (at the time Bush Senior’s National Security Advisor) and Roderich Hills (husband of Carla Hills, Bush Senior’s Trade Representative).

It seems forgotten by our amnesiac—and CFR controlled—media that we once energetically supported Saddam Hussein in Iraq's war against Iran; and so he thought, not unnaturally, that we wouldn't mind his taking back land that had been part of Iraq for over 4000 years! Remember Saddam Hussein, in the Baghdad court room, wearing his natty pin-striped suit and scratching his homeless person beard wondering what the big fuss was about?

In a July 25, 1990 meeting with U.S. ambassador April Glaspie, Saddam Hussein was informed, “We have no opinion on the Arab-Arab conflicts, like your border disagreement with Kuwait.â€
A Saudi saying, "My father rode a camel. I drive a car. My son flies a jet-plane. His son will ride a camel."
User avatar
MonteQuest
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 16593
Joined: Mon 06 Sep 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Westboro, MO
Top

Unread postby savethehumans » Sat 18 Dec 2004, 19:03:40

Oil-grabbing has been like breathing since the early 20th century.

In the future, it will be more like huffing and puffing, as it gets harder to grab/retrieve any oil AT ALL.

Then things'll get REALLY nasty.... :shock:
User avatar
savethehumans
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1468
Joined: Wed 20 Oct 2004, 03:00:00

Oil wars: another (undecided) hypothesis

Unread postby Barbara » Fri 10 Feb 2006, 12:22:31

I was thinking of the coming Iran war, and suddenly I had a sort of illumination.
I've read that Iran, in 2004, exported 63% of its production only. Can't imagine what was the internal use percentage in 2005 and what will be in 2006. They say that Iran will be a net importer around 2007/2008.

Given that, we now know that ALL the oil coming from the 2nd world oil reserves will be used by those "useless iranians", instead of flowing happily into our energivore industrialized democratic countries. All these oil producing countries are also developing countries, and they need oil for themselves.
Same happened in Indonesia (OPEC President, now a net importer). Same in Iraq, where people is now paying an huge amount of money to fill their tanks, when in Saddam times they could do it for nuts.

So, with Peak Oil coming, someone has to kiss goodbye to industrialization and disappear back into the Middle Age, and for sure won't be us. Oil wars are not just to grab that fast depleting oil, neither just to "control oil", but to draw a line where you can go on developing or you must stop.

In other words, it's a clash of civilizations.
**no english mothertongue**
--------
Objects in the rear view mirror
are closer than they appear.
Barbara
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1121
Joined: Wed 26 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Zoorope

Re: Oil wars: another (maybe wrong) hypothesis

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Fri 10 Feb 2006, 13:06:26

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Barbara', 'O')il wars are not just to grab that fast depleting oil, neither just to "control oil", but to draw a line where you can go on developing or you must stop.

In other words, it's a clash of civilizations.


Even though you are likely correct, I still fail to see the justification for recent American involvement in the Middle East. The West has chose to build its civilization around a paradigm that mandates importing resources from distant, often unfriendly, sources. We made our choice decades ago. Now those choices are becoming all-too relevant.
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

George Carlin
User avatar
emersonbiggins
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5150
Joined: Sun 10 Jul 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Dallas
Top

Re: Oil wars: another (maybe wrong) hypothesis

Unread postby Barbara » Fri 10 Feb 2006, 13:22:36

It's not important it's a distant source, as long as "they" don't need it. And it's not important they're unfriendly, as long as they're primitive. But when they become industrialized and need the oil, then they're competitors. Better bomb those competitors and steal the oil first, than wait for them to become STRONG competitors and decide they'll use it for themselves keeping you at bay with a good military technology menace.

PS I'm not justificating at all, just trying to better understand their crazy 'Plan B'!
**no english mothertongue**
--------
Objects in the rear view mirror
are closer than they appear.
Barbara
Heavy Crude
Heavy Crude
 
Posts: 1121
Joined: Wed 26 May 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Zoorope

Re: Oil wars: another (maybe wrong) hypothesis

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Fri 10 Feb 2006, 13:39:15

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Barbara', 'I')t's not important it's a distant source, as long as "they" don't need it. And it's not important they're unfriendly, as long as they're primitive. But when they become industrialized and need the oil, then they're competitors. Better bomb those competitors and steal the oil first, than wait for them to become STRONG competitors and decide they'll use it for themselves keeping you at bay with a good military technology menace.

PS I'm not justificating at all, just trying to better understand their crazy 'Plan B'!


I might understand your scenario if we were lining up to bomb China or India, two of the largest emerging economies in the world, but I don't understand it in the context of bombing Iraq/Iran, other than to secure oil supplies for America under military and petrodollar hegemony. Iraq/Iran currently does not present a real threat of industrializing and exponentially increasing their oil use, as China and India clearly are doing now.
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

George Carlin
User avatar
emersonbiggins
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5150
Joined: Sun 10 Jul 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Dallas
Top

Re: Oil wars: another (undecided) hypothesis

Unread postby Daryl » Fri 10 Feb 2006, 16:14:08

That's a good point. Chindia oil use dwarfs that of the Middle East exporting countries. And it is growing rapidly. Iran is an interesting case though and Barabara may have a point about them. If they continue to grow their industry, less and less of their oil will be available for export. It's definitely in the interest of large oil users that Iran doesn't develop much further. Also note that all the Middle East exporters of oil are already importers of refined oil products like gasoline. Don't see Iran mining the Straits of Hormuz. Be blockading themselves as much as everyone else.
User avatar
Daryl
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 927
Joined: Mon 10 Oct 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Oil wars: another (undecided) hypothesis

Unread postby emersonbiggins » Fri 10 Feb 2006, 16:19:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Daryl', 'A')lso note that all the Middle East exporters of oil are already importers of refined oil products like gasoline. Don't see Iran mining the Straits of Hormuz. Be blockading themselves as much as everyone else.


Yeah, I'm not entirely sure about Iran either. Do you know how developed (if at all) their rail networks are? If they are well developed, they could probably risk ditching their cars altogether, but I'm sure that they use gasoline for other applications, as well. The fact that they are looking at nuclear power at all suggests, taken at face value (crazy, I know...), that they are intent on restructuring their society around electric applications, knowing that their peak is at hand.
"It's called the American Dream because you'd have to be asleep to believe it."

George Carlin
User avatar
emersonbiggins
Expert
Expert
 
Posts: 5150
Joined: Sun 10 Jul 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Dallas
Top

Resource war: Why wait?

Unread postby JohnDenver » Fri 31 Mar 2006, 22:23:38

One of the main arguments for doom is resource war. In history, humans have always fought wars over scarce resources, and they will continue to do so in the future. Human nature will not suddenly change.

The idea, basically, is a Darwinian struggle for survival, where the strong overpower the weak and seize their booty. It's all about theft.

So here's my question. If stealing other countries resources is such a good idea, why isn't everybody doing it right now? Britain seems to be strapped for natural gas these days, so why don't they just invade Qatar? Why doesn't the U.S. just invade Mexico and Canada and steal their oil? Why doesn't Germany take over Angola or Sudan? Why doesn't Israel take over Iraq? Why doesn't Japan seize Indonesia? Surely it's more in line with the known facts of human nature to just kill the people and take their resources. That's what people always do.

Of course, you could say that the U.S. is already fighting a resource war in Iraq, but that's just hype. The U.S. spent $1 trillion and got zero free oil out of the deal, so that hardly qualifies as a pirate raid. And if it was the oil they were after, why didn't they go after the easy pickings, like U.A.E. or Qatar or Kuwait? It's a lot easier to knock them off than to take over a populous country like Iraq.

So, to reiterate, if stealing other country's resources is such an inevitable, great idea, why isn't everybody doing it right now?
JohnDenver
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2145
Joined: Sun 29 Aug 2004, 03:00:00

Re: Resource war: Why wait?

Unread postby BrownDog » Fri 31 Mar 2006, 22:35:45

Because we're too busy fighting wars to spread democracy?
User avatar
BrownDog
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 266
Joined: Tue 24 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: N. TX

Re: Resource war: Why wait?

Unread postby dub_scratch » Fri 31 Mar 2006, 22:55:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JohnDenver', '
')Of course, you could say that the U.S. is already fighting a resource war in Iraq, but that's just hype. The U.S. spent $1 trillion and got zero free oil out of the deal, so that hardly qualifies as a pirate raid. And if it was the oil they were after, why didn't they go after the easy pickings, like U.A.E. or Qatar or Kuwait? It's a lot easier to knock them off than to take over a populous country like Iraq.



I think the U.S./ Iraq example is illustrious of the fact that resource wars over oil will be fruitless. Just because a plan to control oil in the ME seams to have not worked does not mean one did not exist.

Did the Bush admin go into Iraq for oil resource reasons? Well they have not admitted it, have they? And if they were to admit oil as the motive then that would be admitting that this is a war of aggression, which is illegal. But remember, these are Rotten Republicans running the show. Their primary concern is with wealth and the wealthy and it is quite clear that the stated reasons for the invasion was nothing but trumped-up hype to justify invading a country that has never attacked the US or has never been involved in any terrorist attack on Americans. And as far as that trillion dollars spent, that is taxpayer money that partly goes into Rotten Republican connected military contractors and manufacturers-- a sweet deal for GOP interests. It's Republican redistribution of wealth with money taken from my pocket.

IF the Iraq invasion was for oil I am glad it happened and I am glad it has failed as a strategy. History needs a lesson that resource was over energy is a dead-end for the aggressor.

And with that said, I agree with you JD. Resource wars over oil is PO doomer hype.
dub_scratch
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 700
Joined: Thu 16 Dec 2004, 04:00:00
Location: Santa Monica, CA
Top

Next

Return to Peak Oil Discussion

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests

cron