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PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Only PO.com could attract diametrically opposite types

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Only PO.com could attract diametrically opposite types

Postby Specop_007 » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 01:40:17

Its amazing the diversity of people that come here. I really think only a website like peakoil.com could bring such vastly different groups to the same forum.
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Postby NevadaGhosts » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 02:06:27

I can just see all the optimists here (who make fun of us survivalist types) 4 years from now, hiding in an abandoned home. Cold, hungry, and scared. Holding and shaking their heads... 'This isn't happening! This isn't possible!'
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Postby Guest » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 02:52:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NevadaGhosts', 'I') can just see all the optimists here (who make fun of us survivalist types) 4 years from now, hiding in an abandoned home. Cold, hungry, and scared. Holding and shaking their heads... 'This isn't happening! This isn't possible!'


Matt Savinar made a good point near the end of his coast to coast interview. Something along the lines of there will be people living in abandoned gas stations still claiming, "shale oil is coming online - no need to worry." and "it's going to be a gradual decline - only the third world will be hurt."
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Postby jato » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 03:22:53

My personal favorite: "Don't worry, the government will save us!" Translated= Other people will save me. I don't have to worry about providing my own food, clothing, shelter & protection.
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Postby Specop_007 » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 04:05:49

Yes, but even in a broader sense. Most boards usually cater to a specific LIMITED subject. Say....Knitting. You might discuss the various weaves and knits, but at the end of the day your all knitters.
But a topic such as this, which takes a good portion of survival and a good portion of conservation is rather like forming a board and having members of both PETA and the NRA on it.
We have survivalists and hippies. We have people who dont think you should own anything more then a butterknife and people who think you should be able to own any weapon you can afford. People who are mentally weak and have thoughts of suicide and people with strong minds who are ready for anything. And the list goes on and on.
Pretty impressive mix of people, no wonder we see such heated threads.
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Postby jato » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 04:13:58

I agree.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')retty impressive mix of people, no wonder we see such heated threads.


Well, you certainly get pretty heated sometimes!

:-D

[smilie=5badair.gif]
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Postby Barbara » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 04:23:32

What is most amazing is that while we have such different people, flames and offences are very very rare.
I hope the world will react to Peak Oil in the same civilized manner. (Of course, I'm not speaking of Specop! :lol: :) )
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are closer than they appear.
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Postby Specop_007 » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 04:42:01

Make no mistake on 3 issues people.

1) I am a dick. I do not like you, I do not like people, I do not like humanity, I have no vested interest one way or the other if you all live very happy, fufilling lifes or die a slow painful death.

2) Most of what I say is simply for the kneejerk reactions I can get out of people. Goes back to being a dick. I want to see how far you'll go, how mad you get just for the express amusement of seeing how far you'll go and how mad you'll get.

3) I do get a good level of satisfaction in the discussion I have with people here

You may now return to your normal posting, and I will continue to go see what fire needs a dash of gas. (While we still have the gas to waste on fire dashing!)

8)
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Postby pepper2000 » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 17:06:15

The only common thread I can see is that most of us are very dissatisfied with the current state of the world, though often for a variety of reasons.
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Postby trespam » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 17:35:19

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('NevadaGhosts', 'I') can just see all the optimists here (who make fun of us survivalist types) 4 years from now, hiding in an abandoned home. Cold, hungry, and scared. Holding and shaking their heads... 'This isn't happening! This isn't possible!'


Sorry, but 4 years just isn't a good time frame. In four years, SUV sales will be in the dumpster, GM and other hucksters will be in the dolldrums, oil will probably be $100/barrel, the dollar will be lower, unemployment will be higher, the stock market will be maybe 30% lower, and John Kerry will be running for reelection after having INCREASED the number of troops in Iraq in order to cleanup the mess that George Jr has made.

And for once, I agree with Spec Ops:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Specop_007', '
')1) I am a dick.
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Postby Tyler_JC » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 20:28:56

Regardless of what happens people like Spec ops will always survive. If life continues as normal, they will continue stacking up on weapons/food/whatever. If TSHTF, they may finally get a chance to use those weapons, foodstuffs, and whatevers.

The optimists will only survive if they are right. If they are wrong, they die. If they are right, life goes on.

It's Pascal's Wager. If God is real and you believe it...congrats, you get into Heaven. If God is real and you don't believe it...you're f**ked. If God doesn't exist, it doesn't matter what you do.

God (Peak Oil) does exist and its consequences are real. This isn't something we can talk about and not think about like, "saving the rainforest" or "saving the whales". We have to do something to make the next 50 (ish) years less painful. That is the point of this forum, to inform people and give them options. If you don't want to do anything, fine, but don't expect Neveda or specops to save you.
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Postby Pops » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 20:39:32

I agree 007. As one of the first posters here, I’m really impressed with how the board has grown. And as a neophyte message board poster I’m also impressed at how open Admin and Aaron have been in letting it seeks its own “feelâ€
The legitimate object of government, is to do for a community of people, whatever they need to have done, but can not do, at all, or can not, so well do, for themselves -- in their separate, and individual capacities.
-- Abraham Lincoln, Fragment on Government (July 1, 1854)
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Postby trespam » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 20:49:06

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'R')egardless of what happens people like Spec ops will always survive. If life continues as normal, they will continue stacking up on weapons/food/whatever. If TSHTF, they may finally get a chance to use those weapons, foodstuffs, and whatevers.

The optimists will only survive if they are right. If they are wrong, they die. If they are right, life goes on.

It's Pascal's Wager. If God is real and you believe it...congrats, you get into Heaven. If God is real and you don't believe it...you're f**ked. If God doesn't exist, it doesn't matter what you do.

God (Peak Oil) does exist and its consequences are real. This isn't something we can talk about and not think about like, "saving the rainforest" or "saving the whales". We have to do something to make the next 50 (ish) years less painful. That is the point of this forum, to inform people and give them options. If you don't want to do anything, fine, but don't expect Neveda or specops to save you.


Pascal didn't think it through: what if you believe in the wrong god? The real one might just be pissed. Perhaps more pissed than if you had simply taken the agnostic approach. Anyway: any God that is worried about something as silly as me believing in him/her is not one I give a rats ass about.

But that Pascal thing has nothing to do with this. I believe in peak oil. That's why I moved money into an oil fund and into a commodities hedge fund. I also own two hybrid cars so I can get a little farther on a gallon of gas. And I will solarize my house. That is doing something. I think it important to have an emergency supply of good as well.

But...There are people on this board who think that society is going to collapse next year, the following year, etc. I think those people lack perspective. If the population centers truly did fall apart as the extremists think that they will, many of the people in the centers will move out and seize the supplies that others have stored up. There are people who will survive by taking from others. And there will be enough of them so that all the preparations in the world will do no good.

But that is a dream. What we are facing in the next ten years, say, is another correction in the housing market (some people have short memories and forget that housing prices dropped by up to 40% in the late 80s early 90s in many places in the US), the stock market will either drop further or stagnate (it's historically overpriced), oil consumption will run into production limits and we'll have some production crises because of terrorism, we'll see a lot less building, a lot less traveling around, and just with that we'll be able to reduce oil consumption by probably 15%. A lot of people will lose their jobs, and the standard of living will decrease, crime will increase, etc.

If people want to run to the hills, great. For the time being, I'm just looking for the best place to put money. I'm thinking intermediate term euro denominated bonds might a good place to park money for a while (in addition to commodities and oil).
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Postby holmes » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 21:02:35

I agree 20 or 30 more years of semi normalcy. i have no idea what to invest in. definately have ideas.
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Postby Tyler_JC » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 21:33:05

Pascal was working for The Catholic Church. Thus, there was no god other than the Catholic God. Muslims and other infidels were doomed anyway so they weren't included in his theory.

More to the point, God does not equal peak oil. I had meant to say that God = fast crash after peak. If you believe in a fast crash and plan for it, congrats. If you plan for a slow crash and a fast one happens...not good.

For me, I don't have enough money or enough influence to plan for either kind of crash. I can convince my mother not to buy that Jeep Liberty (what is she thinking??). I told her almost everything I know about Peak Oil. She replied, “Well, I can afford gas at any price. It doesn’t really matter if a gallon costs 10 dollars, I’ll always be able to fill up.â€
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Postby TheSupplyGuy » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 21:35:59

I too have been amazed at the lack of flaming, etc. going on here. I guess its just good I don't use PeakSpeak, since I tend to get passionate when I'm actually speaking :) .
In the long run, men hit only what they aim at. Therefore, though they should fail immediately, they had better aim at something high.-Thoreau
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Postby small_steps » Tue 26 Oct 2004, 22:18:13

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Tyler_JC', 'R')egardless of what happens people like Spec ops will always survive. If life continues as normal, they will continue stacking up on weapons/food/whatever. If TSHTF, they may finally get a chance to use those weapons, foodstuffs, and whatevers.


It could be argued that showing your neighbors your preparations, etc, would make you a bit more of target, as they know who is likely prepared for the SHTF. While some are better shots than others, there will come a time when you run out of bullets, food, if all you do is defend yourself from the unprepared. Just might want to keep your preps out of sight, and out of mind of the others.
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