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THE Jared Diamond Thread (merged)

What's on your mind?
General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Jared Diamond on nuclear power

Postby Starvid » Sun 19 Mar 2006, 11:13:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('backstop', '
')Starvid -

I'm amused by the incoherence of your resonse -

The great majority of Americans support action against Iran being allowed nuclear capacity, and, as a Brit, my question was addressed to Americans on the board.

Ok, sorry. I thought you were an American. Some people on this board have thought I was an American in disguise and I know that's not funny.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('backstop', '
')I don't see the imperialism you claim to dislike as a particularly American invention, and when you write :

"Okay, we could tell people that no one but the Great powers can develop enrichment and reprocessing facilities"

it would appear that your opposition to it is scarcely even skin deep.

You don't understand me then. I consider it an act of imperialism (not neccesarily of the American variety) when another country tries to decide another countries energy policy, which is partly what the US is trying with Iran (or Russia is doing with Ukraine).

Stopping reprocessing and enrichment in nasty countries is completely different. This is something the world community does together to limit nuclear weapons proliferation.

Iran has all the right in the world to build power reactors, but no one would like to see Iranian nuclear bombs, not even the Russians, Chinese or any of the usual bogeymen.

Maybe one could call this an act of imperialism. I would rather see it as an act of majority rule for the common security and stability.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('backstop', 'I')n the world of a plutonium economy, with, as you propose, just a few nations being allowed enrichment & reprocessing capacity
and all others being reduced to client dependency,
I see the concreting in of a nuclear imperialism, not its eradication from the planet.

regards,

Backstop

I don't agree.

On one hand one could see nuclear power used only in countries which currently have nuclear power or nuclear weapons. Even though this is only maybe one country in five, about 4/5 of the global population live in these countries. The others could burn coal and gas if they'd like.

On the other hand, reprocessing and enrichment needs to be done on a very large scale to be done cheaply and efficiently. Every country will not need it's own nuclear fuel industry, just as not all countries have their own steel or plastics industry.

It would be enough if all of the interested Great powers had reprocessing and enrichment services, because all countries are either Great powers or within the sphere of influence of a Great power. And if your get a conflict with your current Great power you can always switch to another as the Gerat powers balance each other.

The only countries that would be out of the nuclear fuel loop would be international pariahs like North Korea, and that's a good thing, isn't it?

One could also have some kind of multinational ful centres, but since "multinational" means "aggregate of Great power interests" it wouldn't differ much from what I outlined above.
Peak oil is not an energy crisis. It is a liquid fuel crisis.
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Re: Jared Diamond on nuclear power

Postby formandfile » Sun 19 Mar 2006, 19:19:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leanan', '
')More and more college-ready kids these days find they cannot afford college. They have the grades and the SAT scores, but they can't afford the thousands of dollars in tuition, room, board, books, etc. Some give up. Some try, and end up dropping out for economic reasons, often meaning they have huge debts with no degree to show for it. I'm not sure I would have finished college in today's economic conditions. I don't think my family could have afforded it.


Tell them to move to Georgia....here as long as you can maintain a 3.0 GPA or higher the state pays 100% of all tuition and fees, plus 300 bucks per year for books (which granted, buys like 3 books, but still...) Combine it with whats left of the federal pell grant and you can live quite comfortably with a dead end service job and have plenty of time left for studying...or posting on peak oil boards :roll:

Honestly i think its easier than ever to attend school today....in spite of federal pell grant cuts. Maintaining a 3.0 isnt rocket science, unless you attend Georgia Tech, where all the engineers you're speaking of are currently attending (many of which for free).
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Re: Jared Diamond on nuclear power

Postby TheTurtle » Sun 19 Mar 2006, 19:30:09

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Odin', 'S')hhhhhhh! Don't bother the Doomers, they can't stand imagining they will not be forced into thier sick dystopia.


Odin, you and I and everyone else on this board are already living in a sick dystopia. You just haven't figured that out yet.
“Humankind has not woven the web of life. We are but one thread within it. Whatever we do to the web, we do to ourselves.” (Ted Perry)
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Re: Jared Diamond on nuclear power

Postby jimk » Mon 20 Mar 2006, 23:54:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Starvid', '
')It would be enough if all of the interested Great powers had reprocessing and enrichment services, because all countries are either Great powers or within the sphere of influence of a Great power. And if your get a conflict with your current Great power you can always switch to another as the Gerat powers balance each other.


It does seem like these discussions are useless, of whether or not nuclear power is a good idea. Who has any power to make a decision about this? Industrial might is military might, & these are based on access to resources, with energy at the head of the line. If there's option to WIN BIG, somebody is going to grab it. Most likely whoever is already on top!

In the ten thousand year perspective, all the plutonium etc. that we'll create - that won't likely be helping our 300th generation. But that won't deter us.

The fundamental problem on the table, as I see it: these materials are dangerous enough, just as toxins (powdered PuO2) & of course as weapons materials, that the technology will bring with it heavy political & military control. But power corrupts. Science and technology rely on open dialog - they wither with secrecy and suppression of investigations.

So what happens as corruption and concentration of control continue to expand, as we make the shift to nuclear technology. It is surely more profitable to build nuclear reactors sloppily than to build them carefully. And of course sloppy mining, reprocessing, and waste disposal are much more profitable. All these details will be shrouded in every deeper layers of secrecy and kept under military control.

So really the problem is not at all in ten thousand years. That might be the case if everything were handled with great care. But under sloppy and corrupt management, the problems can happen far faster.

Powerdown looks like an unachievably positive option. Not unreasonable to hypothesize that we got booted out of lazy fruit-picking paradise ten thousand years ago because of militarization. That's what'll keep us from going back to paradise. Maybe we can figure out a way to steer ourselves away from the deepest pits of suffering? But look who's driving the bus. Can we open the back windows and stick our hands out to push against the wind and maybe steer the slightest bit?

Individual survival of course is not a real option. I heard a report on NPR about some lady who was 102 & providing essential care for a couple of 90+ year old family members. But nobody gets past about 115, and I don't see that changing anytime soon, regardless of the fantasies of Kurzweil & Tipler.

Maybe we can build up some small sane subcultures to live through the nuclear fascist empire? Half-sane subcultural survival. That's the brightest viable possibility I see.
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Re: Jared Diamond on nuclear power

Postby Shadizar » Tue 21 Mar 2006, 00:54:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'J')ared Diamond saying he's for nukes is like Jared Diamiond saying that at the climax of the easter island society they should have tried to increase the rate of deforestation and resources devoted to statue building


I think its more like him telling the Easter Islanders to fashion their statues out of dirt instead of stone, so as not to have to cut down their trees, drive animals to extinction, and continue to accelerate their collapse.

-Shadizar
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Re: Jared Diamond on nuclear power

Postby Ludi » Tue 21 Mar 2006, 02:57:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Shadizar', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'J')ared Diamond saying he's for nukes is like Jared Diamiond saying that at the climax of the easter island society they should have tried to increase the rate of deforestation and resources devoted to statue building


I think its more like him telling the Easter Islanders to fashion their statues out of dirt instead of stone, so as not to have to cut down their trees, drive animals to extinction, and continue to accelerate their collapse.

-Shadizar


Why do they have to fashion statues at all?
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Re: Jared Diamond on nuclear power

Postby Shadizar » Tue 21 Mar 2006, 10:22:47

Good question. You might as well ask why humans build churches, pyramids, SUVs, stadiums, McMansions etc.. They don't serve a critical survival purpose.

-Shadizar
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Re: Jared Diamond on nuclear power

Postby Leanan » Tue 21 Mar 2006, 10:27:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')hy do they have to fashion statues at all?


Because if one group stops building the statues, the others will assume they are weak, and attack them?
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Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby pjd2 » Tue 17 Apr 2007, 16:00:26

FYI:

All you Chicagoland "collapsers' might find this interesting:

"Pulitzer Prize winner, Jared Diamond (Guns, Germs, and Steel) is the featured speaker at a free lecture on the Elmhurst College Campus. The 2007 Roland Quest Lecture, titled “How Great Civilizations Collapse” is Sunday, April 22, 2007, 7:00 p.m. in Hammerschmidt Memorial Chapel.'
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby Polemic » Tue 17 Apr 2007, 16:39:35

Michael Levin's Review of "Guns, Germs, & Steel"

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he gaps in achievement among world cultures are an obvious problem for racial egalitarians. If no group is more talented than any other, why did Eurasians rather than Africans split the atom? Why didn’t indigenous Americans invent arithmetic?

Egalitarians usually dodge such questions, citing American "racism" to explain black and Hispanic failures in the United States despite its irrelevance to the "developing (i.e. undeveloped) world." To his credit, Jared Diamond has confronted this issue head-on. He hopes to explain the attainments of each race—he reluctantly accepts the concept of race—wholly in terms of geography and ecology rather than differences in innate abilities.

Guns, Germs, and Steel should be taken seriously, first, because it has just won a Pulitzer Prize. This will bring it extra attention, and the cachet of the Pulitzer will convince many people that hereditarian accounts of history have been safely disposed of at last. Second, despite his political correctness ("The oldest Java ‘man’ fossils may actually have belonged to a Java woman") and predictable digs at whites, Prof. Diamond is intellectually serious. He is a vastly more interesting, less tendentious writer than Stephen Jay Gould, whom he resembles in being an academic popularizer of evolutionary biology (Prof. Diamond teaches medicine at UCLA). In fact, when a few years ago I first came across Prof. Diamond’s work in magazines like Discover and Natural History, my reaction was "These are the pieces Gould is trying to write." Third, as I will explain, everything valid in this book fits nicely into, indeed enriches, the hereditarian view of history.

Prof. Diamond is an environmentalist in the strictest sense. Unlike hereditarians, who typically attribute group differences to both genetic and environmental factors, he considers environmental factors only—chiefly plants, wildlife, and geography. For him, genes account for none of the variance in technology, literacy, military success or other aspects of different cultures. (Whether he thinks genes contribute to individual differences is unclear.) Prof. Diamond therefore sets himself a daunting task: phenomena as complex as cultural divergence are apt to have complex causes, so the fewer variables a theory of divergence permits, the less plausible it is likely to be. It will be interesting to see whether Prof. Diamond’s focus on geography attracts the dread label "reductionist" so often slapped on hereditarians.

Prof. Diamond limits himself as he does because he assumes virtually without argument that all human groups are of identical average intelligence—except perhaps for New Guineans fresh from the Stone Age, who "in mental ability . . . are probably genetically innately superior to Westerners." These views are defended with obiter dicta that readers of AR have heard before. For example, "sound evidence for the existence of human differences in intelligence that parallel human differences in technology is lacking. . . . [T]ests of cognitive ability (like IQ tests) tend to measure cultural learning and not pure innate intelligence, whatever that is." As for New Guineans, not only do they strike him as sparkling conversationalists, their Hobbesian milieu of interpersonal violence, accidents and starvation culls the less intelligent. Westerners, because of their governments, written laws, police forces and medical science, experience gentler selective pressures. On top of that, Western children stupefy themselves with TV. (How a mere half century of TV could affect our genes, Prof. Diamond does not say.)

Continued...
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby LaLaLand » Tue 17 Apr 2007, 17:09:17

I live in Madison WI, I want to go to this lecture. Do any of you living in the Chicago metro area want to hook-up somewhere in the western suburbs, drink beer, and discuss our demise? Or, do you just want to drink beer before the lecture so we can fall asleep during the lecture just like we did in college?
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby Plantagenet » Tue 17 Apr 2007, 19:43:34

I saw Jared Diamond lecture here at the University of Alaska about a year ago.

He's definitely worth hearing.
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby pjd2 » Tue 17 Apr 2007, 20:22:22

Re: Polemic's Post.

Yeah. He is a bit biased toward his hunter gatherer lifestyles (as are a lot of posters on PO), especially the New Guineans (sp) due to his living in close proximity to them. However, he has done excellent work portraying some mechanisms of collapse due to environmental factors.

Re: Lalaland
I'm a school nerd, so no pints before-hand. As for afterwards, we will see if work and the significant other allow for me to have a late night.

Re: Plantagenet
I borrowed his "Gun Germs and Steel" national geographic documentary from the library. He is a very elegant speaker, even if he does get a little bit too emotionally involved with his subject matter. Unless he cries like he did in the documentary I think I will throughly enjoy his talk.
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby Polemic » Tue 17 Apr 2007, 21:10:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('pjd2', 'R')e: Polemic's Post.

Yeah. He is a bit biased toward his hunter gatherer lifestyles (as are a lot of posters on PO), especially the New Guineans (sp) due to his living in close proximity to them. However, he has done excellent work portraying some mechanisms of collapse due to environmental factors.


I see Jared Diamond as just one of the latest incarnations of "Boasian anthropologists."

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')While the Boas school was promoting integration and racial equivalence, it was also critical of, in Prof. MacDonald's words, "American culture as overly homogeneous, hypocritical, emotionally and aesthetically repressive (especially with regard to sexuality). Central to this program was creating ethnographies of idyllic [Third-World] cultures that were free of the negatively perceived traits that were attributed to Western culture."

The role of the anthropologist became one of criticizing everything about Western society while glorifying everything primitive. Prof. MacDonald notes that Boasian portrayals of non-Western peoples deliberately ignored barbarism and cruelty or simply attributed it to contamination from the West. He sees this as a deliberate attempt to undermine the confidence of Western societies and to make them permeable to Third World influences and people. Today, this view is enshrined in the dogma that America must remain open to immigration because immigrants bring spirit and energy that natives somehow lack."
Source

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '.')..By the end of the twentieth century a remarkable theoretical and ideological shift had taken place. The basic tenants of a Darwinian approach — according to which inherited differences matter in real life — are routinely attacked as being morally and ethically repugnant. (In this view, truth or falsity is irrelevant, and only “feel good” slogans matter.) In this ideologically driven atmosphere, emotion-charged terms such as “racist,” “sexist,” “Nazi” and “neo-Nazi,” are routinely hurled at proponents of a Darwinian perspective.

Darwinian scientists are castigated for “genetic determinism,” which is dismissed as being overly simplistic. But this is a dishonest criticism. The label is a “straw man.” In fact, no Darwinian scientist has ever been a “genetic determinist.” Today the so-called social sciences support the prevailing notions and slogans of modern liberal democracy. These notions and slogans include: egalitarianism, the leveling down of everyone in society; environmental determinism, which assumes that heredity is socially insignificant; biological equality with cultural relativism, the “Politically Correct” view according to which all cultures are equally good, except for “bad” Western Christian civilization; Marxist socialism and Communism, which are regarded as the broadly “progressive” path to an ideal future (Hunt, 1999; Pearson, 1996; 1997; Whitney, 1997; 2000).

...Gelya Frank (1997), in an example of Jewish triumphalist writing, points out that cultural anthropology remains largely a Jewish endeavor that consists of training for social activism. Svonkin (1997) writes in a similar vein. MacDonald (1998) presents an extensive and excellent study of these activities.

With knowledge of behavior genetics and race differences increasing at a prodigious rate (Whitney, 1999), members of the Jewish intelligentsia are, if anything, becoming more strident in attempting to subvert Darwinian psychology. Examples include the widely praised book by Jared Diamond, Guns, Germs, and Steel: The Fates of Human Societies (1997), which argues against genetic race differences, and Alas, Poor Darwin: Arguments Against Evolutionary Psychology (Rose, 2000).

Even though this process is common knowledge among academics, the suppression of knowledge about Jewish involvement in issues linking genetics, race, psychology is being actively pursued. In many countries “politically incorrect” discussion of these topics can get one fired, while worldwide the Anti-Defamation League, the Simon Wiesenthal Center, and allied pressure groups are pushing to criminalize any serious discussion of race differences (Whitney, 1998b).
Source
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby ECM » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 00:36:22

I live about 2 hours from there and have the time so I may go to the lecture.

Any idea on how long it lasts?
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby blukatzen » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 00:53:48

I live in Chicago, we'll see...usually off on Sundays. Usually I am doing "PeakCollapse" on Sundays off from work. :lol:
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby Newsseeker » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 10:43:28

Any idea what the talk will be on?
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby pjd2 » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 12:44:06

The title of the talk according to the email I recieved will be “How Great Civilizations Collapse”

Also found at the Elmhurst Website:
"Sunday, April 22, Pulitzer Prize-winning author Dr. Jared Diamond will deliver the annual Roland Quest Lecture at Elmhurst College. His talk, titled “Collapse,” will address why some societies throughout history have thrived while others have not -- and importantly, how this applies to the modern world.

Diamond’s lecture will begin at 7:00 p.m. in Hammerschmidt Chapel. Admission is free, the public is welcome, and educators may receive CPDU credits for attending."

Elmhust Website: http://public.elmhurst.edu/

also from the email i recieved:
"Please assist us in communicating information about this speaker with interested parties.
Learn more at (630) 617-6100 or www.elmhurst.edu."
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby pjd2 » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 12:47:18

Deleted Double post
Last edited by pjd2 on Wed 18 Apr 2007, 12:51:13, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Jared Diamond lecture Elmhurst, IL

Postby pjd2 » Wed 18 Apr 2007, 12:48:06

I have no idea how long the lecture will be, nor what other speakers to expect.

I recieved this e-mail through some volunteer work I do, and decided to post it here due to a lot of people's interest in his works (he is an often quoted source for possible collapse outcomes).

Between the opening post and the previous one, that is all the information I recieved in the email.
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