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THE US Economy Thread (merged)

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: US government near to debt limit

Postby uNkNowN ElEmEnt » Fri 10 Mar 2006, 14:57:48

I think that's why they made Bernake the Fed head. so they can just print their way out of any major problem... or so they think.
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Re: US government near to debt limit

Postby alecifel » Fri 10 Mar 2006, 15:21:35

This is the dilemma Bush created when he claimed the throne in 2000: he's promised the same dollar to two people. On one hand, he proposes to fight a war against any brown-toned nation with resources, and war is no inexpensive hobby. On the other, he's promised to fulfill Social Security and Medicare agreements. Now he may be promising that dollar to a third recipient, the energy industry.

I agree, that the ratio of overall debt to GDP is not a real concern, but the budget deficit is a critical issue to worry about. If we take the hyperinflation path to devaluate our debt, millions of Americans will be caught in the same squeeze as Mugabe's victims: what good is a salary of $1000 a week, when bread costs $200?
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US debt limit increase

Postby Eli » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 12:54:21

John Snow talking about the US Gov defaulting

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', ' ')"Rather, they should vote to raise the ceiling this week. It would be unthinkable for them not to take action," he said, warning that the "full faith and credit" of the US government was too precious to be compromised.

Snow has issued increasingly urgent warnings to Congress that the statutory debt limit of 8.184 trillion dollars will be hit this week, and that the government will then lose its borrowing power.


So if the US gov does not pass the legislation necessary the US of A will be proven to be broke.

{Title updated by SPG}
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby seldom_seen » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 12:59:58

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'S')o if the US gov does not pass the legislation necessary the US of A will be proven to be broke.

The legislation itself being nothing but increasing the spending limit on the government credit card to burn more funny money magically created by the fed.

Hmm, wish I could do that with my credit card.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby DantesPeak » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 13:00:28

The GWB adminstration and Congress have worried less about the debt limit than ever before. I suppose the expectation is the Republican majority in Congress will pass the bill increasing the debt limit when default becomes very near. Perhaps they are hoping this will get little public attention, but they may be wrong.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby bartholland » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 13:01:14

This debt ceiling is just a psychological ceiling isn't it?

What happens if this ceiling doesn't get raised?
Will there all of a sudden be now lending options anymore?
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby falser » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 13:52:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seldom_seen', 'H')mm, wish I could do that with my credit card.


I think all you do is call your credit card company and ask them to raise your debt limit -- it would be very un-American for them to limit how much you can borrow.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby Clouseau2 » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 14:06:51

Conservatives often complain that Bush is "betraying the Reagan legacy" but in one area he is very Reaganesque: He will come out of his 8 year term having doubled the federal debt.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby Geko45 » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 14:50:20

Ok, so they nearly hit the debt limit of 8.184 trillion last month, but Snow raided the G-Fund (government retirement) to obtain an additional 65.266 billion to keep operating for another month. The Treasury put the debt at 8.270 trillion as of March 10th. Subtract the 65 billion from that and you get 8.204 trillion or about 20 billion over the debt limit. We are already in default.

Debt limit of 8.184 comes from the Breitbart article posted above

Treasury raids the G-Fund for 65.266 billion

Current debt of 8.270 trillion according to the U.S. Treasury
Last edited by Geko45 on Tue 14 Mar 2006, 15:00:57, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby green_achers » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 14:55:45

Geko45, please fix your link. It screws up the whold thread for all of us. You can use the function to the far left on the second line of the task bar.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby Geko45 » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 15:03:21

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('green_achers', 'G')eko45, please fix your link. It screws up the whold thread for all of us. You can use the function to the far left on the second line of the task bar.

Displayed fine for me in 1024x768, but I changed it anyway.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby Falconoffury » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 15:10:00

Won't it be even worse if the debt ceiling gets raised? When is the USA going to draw the line and boldy declare, "This far... no further."
"If humans don't control their numbers, nature will." -Pimentel
"There is not enough trash to go around for everyone," said Banrel, one of the participants in the cattle massacre.
"Bush, Bush, listen well: Two shoes on your head," the protesters chant
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby smallpoxgirl » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 15:18:25

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Falconoffury', 'W')on't it be even worse if the debt ceiling gets raised? When is the USA going to draw the line and boldy declare, "This far... no further."


Probably the day after China forecloses on the White House.
"We were standing on the edges
Of a thousand burning bridges
Sifting through the ashes every day
What we thought would never end
Now is nothing more than a memory
The way things were before
I lost my way" - OCMS
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby nth » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 15:25:34

The only reason US can borrow more and more money is because people are willing to lend to US.

A person can do the same thing as long as other people are willing to lend him/her money.

US will default on debt? If that happens, then it is Mr. Snow's fault. HE should pay off debt first before spending the money on all the government spending programs.

Anyways, I wish Congress do nothing and let the US go into default.
Let's see what will happen after that.
hahaha
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby Geko45 » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 15:29:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nth', 'U')S will default on debt? If that happens, then it is Mr. Snow's fault. HE should pay off debt first before spending the money on all the government spending programs.

Mr. Snow doesn't get to decide how the money is spent. That is Congress's job. Mr. Snow's culpability lies in trying to pull every Enronesque tactic imaginable to avoid hitting the limit sooner. He should have taken a hands off approach and let the limit fly by. Congress won't ever learn until they get a good bloody nose once.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nyways, I wish Congress do nothing and let the US go into default. Let's see what will happen after that.

I have to admit that I have a certain morbid curiosity to see the same thing.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby Bleep » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 15:44:36

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nth', 'T')he only reason US can borrow more and more money is because people are willing to lend to US.

There's one reason...they buy our debt or civil war in the middle east unexpectedly moves closer to them. Already China and India have no pipelines to Iran or Iraq. Instead
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url=http://www.canada.com/topics/news/world/story.html?id=3956f52d-2b1a-4c38-9203-9f9c3d54e829&k=57855]Execution-style shootings kill dozens in Iraq over 24-hour period (link)[/url]
Police in the past 24 hours have found the bodies of at least 87 men killed in execution-style shootings in a wave of apparent sectarian killing...

I would be shocked to find out that chaos in the middle east was not part of the plan that's keeping those pipelines from being built.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby nth » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 15:59:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Geko45', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nth', 'U')S will default on debt? If that happens, then it is Mr. Snow's fault. HE should pay off debt first before spending the money on all the government spending programs.

Mr. Snow doesn't get to decide how the money is spent. That is Congress's job. Mr. Snow's culpability lies in trying to pull every Enronesque tactic imaginable to avoid hitting the limit sooner. He should have taken a hands off approach and let the limit fly by. Congress won't ever learn until they get a good bloody nose once.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')nyways, I wish Congress do nothing and let the US go into default. Let's see what will happen after that.

I have to admit that I have a certain morbid curiosity to see the same thing.


I just want to clarify my point. Congress tells the Executive branch how to spend the money. The actual collection and distribution of the money is governed by the Executive Branch. There are many times in US history where the President refused to spend the money according to Congress, which led to a legal showdown with the President seeking a compromise at the end.

Also, the Treasury controls how money is handled when they are already allocated but not yet funded or disbursed.
Take for example:
Congress funds a bridge to nowhere in Alaska.
Before Alaska's state government and Army Corps of Engineer determine who and how much to spend on building the bridge, the money is held by the Treasury.

Mr. Snow can select which spending bills to fund during these critical moments. If he decides to fund spending bill A first and then B, that will just result in funding delays for B, but legally, he will fund B sooner or later.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby nth » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 16:13:07

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Bleep', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('nth', 'T')he only reason US can borrow more and more money is because people are willing to lend to US.

There's one reason...they buy our debt or civil war in the middle east unexpectedly moves closer to them. Already China and India have no pipelines to Iran or Iraq. Instead
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')url=http://www.canada.com/topics/news/world/story.html?id=3956f52d-2b1a-4c38-9203-9f9c3d54e829&k=57855]Execution-style shootings kill dozens in Iraq over 24-hour period (link)[/url]
Police in the past 24 hours have found the bodies of at least 87 men killed in execution-style shootings in a wave of apparent sectarian killing...

I would be shocked to find out that chaos in the middle east was not part of the plan that's keeping those pipelines from being built.


Wow, that will really be some foresight if US went to war in Iraq because they foresee that China and India's economy will make oil scarce and also weaken US hegemony in the Middle East.

I just don't see Bush et al to be that smart.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby frankthetank » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 16:23:09

Could they start raiding other retirements accounts? I think as long as the USD remains the petrol dollar, life will continue as is, until peak takes us down the long path to darkness and despair.

Bush is a puppet attached by strings to his masters.
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Re: US may default on debt...

Postby Falconoffury » Tue 14 Mar 2006, 16:45:19

Raiding? You make them sound like pillagers with medieval weapons and animal skin clothing. I guess they might as well be.
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