by rwwff » Sun 04 Jun 2006, 16:43:03
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('lutherquick', 'L')ike Richard Heinburg said (I think it was him), about peak oil and resource wars, this is going to be "the last man standing". and I don't think it will be the US.
I do disagree with the proposed nature of these resource wars. Everyone keeps thinking the great powers are going to duke it out; but that makes zilch sense. What makes more sense is the great powers stripping more and more independence from the smaller countries; giving them fewer options for survival, until finally, they all either perish or cooperate.
Illustration: We aren't in a pit fight with 5 men duking it out. We're five men in a pit full of two hundred hungry wiener dogs. These 5 men don't particularly hate each other, but wouldn't sacrifice anything to aid the others. On the other hand, if the continued existance of the other helps them survive, they'd be pleased as punch to warn the other of an approaching weiner dog. The end result with the 5 men? 200 dead weiner dogs, killed and eaten, while they cut open the pit in order to escape.
Basically, the only way out of this mess is forward, from oil/coal, to fission, to fusion(or real geotherm), one mistep and it could all go down in a massive pile of turds. But the leaders of the great powers have all apparently decided to go for it.
Its gonna be a heck of a ride.