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Pinnochio Putin and Porky Pies!?

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General interest discussions, not necessarily related to depletion.

Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Richard » Sun 29 Jan 2006, 02:21:06

Have a look at this:[web]http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/world/europe/4658848.stm[/web]
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Russian_Cowboy » Mon 30 Jan 2006, 03:02:35

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Zardoz', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('OilBurner', 'T')here's a pattern developing now:

...Come to your own conclusions folks!


This is unbelievable. Give the Russkies credit: They've got a lot of god-damned nerve.

Bunch of thugs...


If the US can be a bunch of thugs and burn tens of thousands innocent Iraqis to cinders, why can't Russia? That Russia is an imperialist country and has always been that way is written in the history books all over the world. Imperialism is still more important there than free market. But like RonNM said, this wrangling about gas is primarily due to the depletion. The cheap reserves of natural gas in Russia are getting empty. So, Russia has to cut its gas supply to other countries. The countries least friendly to Russia have the gas cut off first.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Doly » Mon 30 Jan 2006, 08:36:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Russian_Cowboy', 'T')he countries least friendly to Russia have the gas cut off first.


It makes a hell of a lot of sense, doesn't it?
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Russian_Cowboy » Mon 30 Jan 2006, 13:08:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Doly', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Russian_Cowboy', 'T')he countries least friendly to Russia have the gas cut off first.


It makes a hell of a lot of sense, doesn't it?


It does not if you want to maximize your profit. It does, though, if you are an imperialist trying to return your former satellites into your orbit, even if the ordinary folks in those satellites would hate you anyways. Putin, Fradkov (Russia's prime minister) etc. are former Soviet apparatchiks, they were rank and file officials under the imperialist Soviet regime. In addition, they are too rich to worry about a few extra pennies or roubles they will lose due to their imperialist ambitions and due to not optimizing the profits of the state-owned companies like Gasprom
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby OneLoneClone » Tue 31 Jan 2006, 12:09:51

Russia resumes Georgia gas flow

Well, just to wrap this up... we have gas restored to Georgia via Iran and Russia, and Putin continues his charm offensive, using the british spyrock row to kick out human rights NGO's

Putin warning over 'puppet' NGOs

and here he goes bragging up his new missile system

Putin boasts of Russia's missile power

PR blunders, nah... Putin's had a good month I think. I guess we may never know if the russians really blew up their own pipes or not... but the story may come out someday...
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby shakespear1 » Tue 31 Jan 2006, 12:27:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_code('', 'The countries least friendly to Russia have the gas cut off first.')

Yepp, anyone would play it that way and it has been done before. Just look at that Communist State of Cuba. Embargo by US but none for China or other authoritarian states :-(
Men argue, nature acts !
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby cube » Tue 31 Jan 2006, 13:34:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leaf', 'W')hat you see in Georgia now you'll be seeing in Italy and Germany next decade...
I disagree. Western Europe is relatively affluent. They can pay the "free market" prices for gas. It is eastern europe that has enjoyed gas subsidies for so many years. They are having trouble adjusting. However I think in the near future Russia will end the discount gas prices to Eastern Europe.

Recall the Russia vs. Ukraine gas dispute months before? The ONLY reason why the Ukraine had any leverage in the negotiations is because Russia currently needs Ukrainian gas pipelines to transport gas to western europe. Once Russia completes the Northern European gas pipeline they can bypass eastern europe all together.
Image
Once that happens it will be time for Russia to "renegotiate" new conditions with the Ukraine.

If this was a game of chess I'd say the Russians are winning. It seems these former communists are adjusting quite well to the "free-market" system. :wink:
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Russian_Cowboy » Tue 31 Jan 2006, 17:16:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('cube', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Leaf', 'W')hat you see in Georgia now you'll be seeing in Italy and Germany next decade...
I disagree. Western Europe is relatively affluent. They can pay the "free market" prices for gas. It is eastern europe that has enjoyed gas subsidies for so many years. They are having trouble adjusting. However I think in the near future Russia will end the discount gas prices to Eastern Europe.

Recall the Russia vs. Ukraine gas dispute months before? The ONLY reason why the Ukraine had any leverage in the negotiations is because Russia currently needs Ukrainian gas pipelines to transport gas to western europe. Once Russia completes the Northern European gas pipeline they can bypass eastern europe all together.
Image
Once that happens it will be time for Russia to "renegotiate" new conditions with the Ukraine.

If this was a game of chess I'd say the Russians are winning. It seems these former communists are adjusting quite well to the "free-market" system. :wink:


I do not see what this affair has to do with the free market. Besides, the Northern European pipeline is not large enough to completely replace the gas pipelines running through Ukraine and Poland to the Western Europe.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby cube » Thu 02 Feb 2006, 18:57:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') do not see what this affair has to do with the free market.
In a free market system, goods and services are delivered to the highest bidder. The old days (when the USSR existed) of getting cheap energy at less then 10% of "free market" prices are OVER.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')esides, the Northern European pipeline is not large enough to completely replace the gas pipelines running through Ukraine and Poland to the Western Europe.
You're probably right...but then again it doesn't have too. The next time Russia and the Ukraine get into another spat, Russia will be in an even stronger position. In the worst case scenario the Ukraine can completely shut down all it's pipelines to western europe. When the Northern European pipeline gets finished this potential threat will carry less weight.

In a game of geo-politics victory is quite often won with a slight advantage not 100%.
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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby Luckystars » Fri 03 Feb 2006, 02:13:26

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Re: Poor Geogia Freezes in the Dark; Putin plays hardball

Unread postby OneLoneClone » Mon 13 Mar 2006, 17:32:26

Financial Times has an article about how Putin was scheming how to use natural resources to help regain Russian world power since 1999. It also goes on to show a $$ link between loyalty to Russia and gas prices.

Gazprom acts as lever in Putin’s power play

Link - But its behind a paywall

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')onths before the turn of the millennium, an article appeared in an obscure Russian academic journal. Natural resources, the writer passionately argued, offered the key to Russia “regaining its former might”.

“Russia’s natural resource potential defines its special place among industrialised countries,” he wrote. His name – then little known outside his country – was Vladimir Putin, Russia’s future president.

Seven years on, Russia leads the Group of Eight big industrialised nations and energy security heads the agenda for its presidency. Central to Russia’s clout is the state-controlled Gazprom – the world’s largest natural gas producer, the country’s most important energy resource and operator of most pipelines out of the former Soviet Union.

One question has grown in urgency since Russia wielded that clout on New Year’s day by suspending gas supplies to Ukraine: is Gazprom a conventional energy champion or a foreign policy tool second only to a nuclear arsenal in its potency? The question will be uppermost in the mind of José Manuel Barroso, European Commission president, as he travels to Moscow on Friday in an attempt to persuade Mr Putin to open Gazprom’s pipeline to Europe’s energy companies.

It is also a question of compelling importance to investors. At the very moment that Russia triggered its gas war with Ukraine – sparking a Europe-wide panic about energy security – the government kept a long-standing promise to lift restrictions on foreign ownership of Gazprom’s shares, turning the company into the largest emerging-market stock in the world.
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Russia Turning into Dictatorship under Putin

Unread postby HonestPessimist » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 16:26:42

Ex-PM warned Russia turning into a dictatorship

I've been saying it for sometimes that Putin has been slowly turning Russia back into a totalitarian system since he became President after Yelstin. Mikhail Kasyanov just confirmed my concerns. I admire Russia for its history, culture and people but Putin worries me more than Bush, being an ex-KGB man with a lot of his ex-KGB loyalists in his ministries. :(

Chavez is already turning Venezuela toward a total socialist dictatorship under his political moldings in the same fashion that Fidel Castro did for Cuba. I was informed not too long ago that freedom-loving Venezuelans are leaving Venezuela for other countries because of Chavez and his fanatically loyal leftists encroaching their controls on the whole country.

Iran is already an Islamic dictatorship with a limited democratic system under the watchful eyes of the Revolutionary Guards.

:( :(
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Re: Russia Turning into Dictatorship under Putin

Unread postby threadbear » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 17:20:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('HonestPessimist', '[')url=http://www.timesonline.co.uk/article/0,,2089-2115049,00.html]Ex-PM warned Russia turning into a dictatorship[/url]

I've been saying it for sometimes that Putin has been slowly turning Russia back into a totalitarian system since he became President after Yelstin. Mikhail Kasyanov just confirmed my concerns. I admire Russia for its history, culture and people but Putin worries me more than Bush, being an ex-KGB man with a lot of his ex-KGB loyalists in his ministries. :(

Chavez is already turning Venezuela toward a total socialist dictatorship under his political moldings in the same fashion that Fidel Castro did for Cuba. I was informed not too long ago that freedom-loving Venezuelans are leaving Venezuela for other countries because of Chavez and his fanatically loyal leftists encroaching their controls on the whole country.

Iran is already an Islamic dictatorship with a limited democratic system under the watchful eyes of the Revolutionary Guards.

:( :(


Please offer some kind of proof that Chavez is turning Venezuela into a dictatorship? He is a freely elected head of state, and fear mongering from free marketeers aside, is doing a wonderful job for his countrymen.

If Putin is trying to distribute some of the proceeds that flow from natural resources in a more equitable manner, all the more power to him. Cracking down on oligarchs like Podborsky, or whatever his name was, is a way of restoring justice and order in a country that was becoming an increasingly lawless thugocracy.
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Re: Russia Turning into Dictatorship under Putin

Unread postby Eddie_lomax » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 17:58:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')
Please offer some kind of proof that Chavez is turning Venezuela into a dictatorship? He is a freely elected head of state, and fear mongering from free marketeers aside, is doing a wonderful job for his countrymen.


I wouldn't say the guy was doing a wonderful job for his countrymen, sending cheap oil to the poor in America is just a political stunt to massage his own ego and lefty ideals at the expense of his own countrymen. If he were really doing a great job for his own people he'd be looking after them first and formost.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', 'I')f Putin is trying to distribute some of the proceeds that flow from natural resources in a more equitable manner, all the more power to him. Cracking down on oligarchs like Podborsky, or whatever his name was, is a way of restoring justice and order in a country that was becoming an increasingly lawless thugocracy.


I like Putin myself too, what was allowed to go on under Yeltsin was a travesty, with a variety of no-bodies walking off with massive wealth while the average Russian struggled to make ends meet. While not perfect at Putins goverment is at least benefiting their own people more instead of just big business, something that many of our western democracies seem to struggle to do.
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Re: Russia Turning into Dictatorship under Putin

Unread postby lutherquick » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 18:06:16

Just great...

The new American caveat is that anyone that has something we need to consume must be an evil dictator.
Must be, because Putin and Chavez aren't interested in US citizenship.

Yeltsin must have been a good guy, because he bought the American delusion, hook, line and sinker which dropped the Russian economy down 40%.
Enough with my sarcasm...

Truth is, Russian democracy and US democracy are about equal. Anyone in the US tries to over through the US government, then your in jail.
Anyone in America that does something called TRANSFER PRICING will have the FBI and IRS on their back using the RICO law.
So why is it when Yukos does transfer pricing at the loss of Russia it's bad? Well, maybe because America gained.
Why is it Cindy Sheehan can't protest in DC without getting arrested? Because she didn't get the proper license, and she isn't supporting the US hallucination that Saddam did 9/11, wmd were in Iraq and we are winning the war against the insurgency.

It's all based on double standards and hypocrisy.
And since America has the hegemonic edge, then what she says (not what she does), this goes...

Russian democracy is doing just great.
Kasyonov wants to be like Yeltsin and plunge Russia into another depression.

My guess is he will fail. People in Russia are impressed by a leader that has pledge allegiance to Russia's economy and Russia's more solid hegemony based on energy, not US hegemony based on fairy tales backed by worthless US dollars.

Kasyonov is a loser, he takes bribes and prefers the US dollar, the man is a traitor, he need to be working in the labor camp with the Yukos CxO team.
Poor Kasyonov, the spoiled little brat now wants to destroy the play house because the team caught him with his hands in the cookie jar.
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Re: Russia Turning into Dictatorship under Putin

Unread postby HonestPessimist » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 18:57:54

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')Please offer some kind of proof that Chavez is turning Venezuela into a dictatorship? He is a freely elected head of state, and fear mongering from free marketeers aside, is doing a wonderful job for his countrymen.


That doesn't surprised me about you "defending Chavez" knowing your leftist sentiments and supports for Chavez while ignoring the perils of Chavez's growing totalitarian powers over his country. To suggest that he's doing something "good" for his country and for the poor is understandably sentimental enough for you but I would caution you not to view Chavez in any more positive light given his unnecessary confrontations and bellicose rhetoric against the United States, Venezuela's biggest client-state, on the account of President Bush being the head of state.

While I do not totally agree with Bush's combative stance against Chavez, Chavez is making things worse for the relationship between Venezuela and the USA with more bellicose rhetoric and political stunts and spreading "fear of the US invasion" propaganda throughout the country and gearing up the poor citizens for a fictitious fight against the USA.

Let me state this to you, threadbear: the USA will not nor ever will invade Venezuela because of Chavez. The US military position nearing Venezuela is just a military posture, nothing more. They're only interesting in watching China's role in the South American continent. Multinational oil businesses like ExxonMobil won't let the USA invade Venezuela because such an invasion would damage and destroy the existing oil industrial facilities that ExxonMobil and other major oil companies spent on and maintained for decades. It is simply too cost-ineffective and Bush knows it.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('threadbear', '
')If Putin is trying to distribute some of the proceeds that flow from natural resources in a more equitable manner, all the more power to him. Cracking down on oligarchs like Podborsky, or whatever his name was, is a way of restoring justice and order in a country that was becoming an increasingly lawless thugocracy.


Um, no. You would be surprised that there is a powerful oligarchic faction backing Putin and they wanted Putin to eliminate smaller oligarchic rivals being a direct threat to that powerful faction. You would think Putin is doing something good for Russia and yet Putin is actually doing something significant for that powerful oligarchy with deep ties to the KGB. How do you think Putin got his G8 Summit in Russia this year? Putin is surrounded by ex-KGB thugs.
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Re: Russia Turning into Dictatorship under Putin

Unread postby threadbear » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 19:47:38

HP, Bushco supported and sanctioned an illegal coup that threw the guy in jail, until the grassroots support within the military restored democratic power. The reason you are so freaked by what looks like Chavez's weird bellicose posturing is because you only get part of the story in your tawdry, tightly controlled society. I pity your kind.
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Re: Russia Turning into Dictatorship under Putin

Unread postby threadbear » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 20:20:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ElijahJones', 'H')e's not a dictator in the sense of Saddam but yes, Putin will be democratically elected until such time as he decides to step down. It's a peculiar type of democracy that so many nations seem to practice.


I find the most peculiar type of 'democracy' is the rigging of elections. It's common in banana republics like the US.
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Re: Russia Turning into Dictatorship under Putin

Unread postby Kingcoal » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 21:12:05

Would I want to live in Venuezala? No. Would I want to live in Russia? No. Would I want to live in Iran? No. Do I want to keep living in the USA? Yes. I think it comes down to this.

America is not responsible for any of these country's wows. On the contrary, America pays dearly (as well as the rest of the world) for the oil from these countries.
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Re: Russia Turning into Dictatorship under Putin

Unread postby rogerhb » Sun 02 Apr 2006, 22:03:18

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kingcoal', 'A')merica is not responsible for any of these country's wows.


As in America is irresponsible?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Kingcoal', 'A')merica pays dearly (as well as the rest of the world) for the oil from these countries.


Are you claiming it's more dear if it comes from a country you dislike?
"Complex problems have simple, easy to understand, wrong answers." - Henry Louis Mencken
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