by The_Toecutter » Thu 19 Jan 2006, 22:23:41
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'T')he big and open question remains how long we have to wait for this product in the form of 6/12V @ 120-225Ah battery?
I'm waiting for an actual product and not company statements.
What I want to know is, when will I be able to buy some of these bastards to put in my Triumph, and how much power per unit weight do they put out?
300-400 miles range per charge sounds very nice for lead acid, when current lead acid would only give that car about 80-100 miles range.
If they don't provide at least 150 peak horsepower for an 800 pound pack of them though, I would rather stick with batteries like the Exide Orbital or Optima D750. My current plans are either a 1,125 pound pack of Optima D750s, or a 1,148 pound pack of Exide Orbitals.
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') guess the point I was making is that its not likely that the ICE is going anywhere soon, nifty keen new batteries or not. Large capacity Li batteries exist already which have better specifications than these proposed new batteries. They are not being used for electric vehicles because of cost. Even with double the life and 1/3 the weight the cost alone would be the reason ICE engines would continue to be used.
Cost is not an issue with production for automotive volume and large numbers of electric cars produced.
Even today's lithium ion batteries would dip to < $250/kWh according to AC Propulsion if EVs using them were mass produced.
For a 30 kWh pack, that's $7,500. An aerodynamic Honda Civic sedan sized car that consumes 150 wh/mile would have a 200 mile range from this pack, and this pack would likely last in excess of 100,000 miles, if not double that. 400 cycle life to 100% discharge, and they last longer with the shallower discharges that would be more typical of american driving patterns. Most people don't drive more than 40 miles per day...
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') seriously doubt your numbers are correct there since I just bought 2 concorde 2120L AGM's at a delivered cost to me of about $750.00 US. Those two wouldn't even come close to running an EV any reasonable distance. I estimate my cost for a moderate EV pak using these conventional lead acids would be something closer to $4000 US.
These are expensive batteries.
More typical of lead acid batteries for EV use are Trojan T105 flooded lead acid batteries(6V, 225AH, $60, 61 pounds weight), Exide Orbital AGM batteries(12V, 55AH, $96, 41 pounds), Optima D750 Yellowtop AGM batteries(12V, 65 AH, $100 from manufacturer, otherwise $145 retail, 45 pounds), among others.
An electric pickup truck might consume 300 wh/mile and use a 120V pack of Trojan T105 batteries. Counting in Peukert's effect, it might have about 15 kWh of usable capacity, or 50 miles range. This would be a $1,200 battery pack, and hobbyists typically get 20,000 miles or 5 years from such a pack, whichever comes first. They are considered 'dead' when they no longer deliver 80% of rated capacity. Many people choose to use them after that as well, with reduced range.
The battery pack I'm planning for my car, either 28 Exide Orbitals or 25 Optima D750s, would be $2,500 for the 25 Optimas. With proper battery management and testing from the company to verify the batteries are up to spec, it is theoretically possible for life to exceed 60,000-80,000 miles.
Commuter cars quotes the cycle life for the Optima D750 as follows:
%discharge/Cycle Life
10%/4600
20%/4250
30%/3400
40%/2100
50%/1200
60%/600
70%/400
80%/250
100%/200
My commute, round trip, plus miscallaneous stops is about 40 miles worst case. Out of 100 miles range, that's 2,100 cycle life, or over 80,000 miles. That works out to a meagre $.0313/mile battery cost with 80,000 mile pack life...
But, I don't expect my pack to last that long. It is possible in theory, but I'm not counting on it. So lets say 40,000 miles. That is $.0625/mile for batteries.
Electricity where I live is $.10/kWh, and this car is simulated to achieve about 150 wh/mile at 65 mph(assuming I do body modifications to lower coefficient of drag to .26 or so, although if I play with various scenarios, results vary from 130 wh/mile to 180 wh/mile). The charger I will use is 92% efficient, batteries 80% efficient. Electricity cost would be thus $.020/mile.
Brakes and tires and windshield wipers work out to about $.005/mile.
So $.0875/mile?
With gas at $2.20/gallon, and a typical maintenance cost for an IC car about $.04/mile, any gasoline powered car that gets under 46 miles per gallon would be more expensive to operate than this Triumph I intend to build, assuming the gas car has that $.04/mile maintenance cost.
And unlike a typical car, this Triumph will be able to hit 140 mph and do 0-60 mph in 5.5 to 6 seconds from simulation, which is basically performance like a Porsche Boxter or Audi TT. Try finding a production car available in the U.S. that goes from 0-60 mph in that time and gets 46 miles per gallon...
Looks like the economics work out very well. Porsche performance for less than Geo Metro money. People who think EVs aren't economically viable haven't crunched the numbers or shopped around.
Advanced lithium and nickel batteries are even cheaper to use per mile than the AGMs I plan due to much longer life.
As for these Firefly batteries, I'd pay $8k for a pack of them, but only if they offered decent power and were garunteed to last at least 100,000 miles...
The unnecessary felling of a tree, perhaps the old growth of centuries, seems to me a crime little short of murder. ~Thomas Jefferson