Donate Bitcoin

Donate Paypal


PeakOil is You

PeakOil is You

Peakniks must embrace Economics!???

Discussions about the economic and financial ramifications of PEAK OIL

Re: Peakniks must embrace Economics!???

Unread postby CARVER » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 10:50:03

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('drew', 'T')he present political/economic system will continue for a long time yet, and no one here, even a potential revolutionist, has a chance in hell of changing it.


I suggest you read the following paper: The Terra Trade Reference Currency. That might change your mind.
User avatar
CARVER
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 396
Joined: Thu 19 May 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Holland

Re: Peakniks must embrace Economics!???

Unread postby seldom_seen » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 11:35:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DigitalCubano', 'H')eck, I know that for a cobb douglas production function and a convex cost function if the sum of the exponents is under unity there exists no economies of scale.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('DigitalCubano', 'd')on't vilify the dork carrying out an econometric analysis.

Yes, economists use math. As do all sorts of people in all sorts of applications.
I'm not sure what your point is. I have nothing against mathematics.
seldom_seen
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2229
Joined: Tue 12 Apr 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Peakniks must embrace Economics!???

Unread postby waveNRG » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 16:50:31

MONEY WHERE OUR MOUTHS ARE:

Many of us here agree to the certainty and inevitability of a shortfall of oil supply in meeting demand over the coming years.
Many of us here say that economists have it all wrong and that the economic system is fatally flawed, possibly that it helped get us in this mess and that it can't react to the impending challenge. I don't agree with this myself.

Here's an idea that might demonstrate my faith:

I don't know who the administrators of the peakoil.com group are but if they read this:
Can we organise a "Peakoil.com" investment fund?

A) Talk to the bank and organise an oil futures investment portfolio and publish the details online. Make it simple ....we will have a lower limit price below which we sell (say 35$ / barrel) to cut losses and an upper limit above which we sell (say 100$ / barrel milestone) after which the fund is recovered and redistributed per C below.

B) Organise an on-line payment mechanism whereby members can contribute to the fund with a credit card (say minimum $10 or something and there may be some tax or handling charge) before a given deadline after which the investment is made.

C) Once the sell happens, the payee receives 90% of his entitlement with 10% being invested in an alternative energy company voted for online by Peak Oil members. The portfolio will then be managed by the Peak Oil administrators as they wish from that point on and they collect the profits.
Give contributors who object to the principle of a free market the option to have all profits above their original investment (corrected for inflation) reinvested.

D) Start another investment fund for the 150$ milestone and keep on going!


The effect:
It may well prove a good means to promote Peak Oil.
We get a profit if we are right about Peak Oil.
We are investing in Alternative Energy.
Peak Oil administrators get a fund to reward and expand their work.

I'm in with $100 if it can be set up with integrity.

I will repost this as a new topic also I think ...see what happens!
User avatar
waveNRG
Wood
Wood
 
Posts: 17
Joined: Fri 23 Sep 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Ireland / Sweden

Re: Peakniks must embrace Economics!???

Unread postby ubercynicmeister » Mon 12 Dec 2005, 21:39:30

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('RacerJace', 'n')ice slam dunk there ubercynicmeister. my sentiments exactly... good post


LOL, thanks Racer.

I seeems that the Economist has decided that it's all just slapstick comedy, without actually answering any of my points.

I have to go, so I'll have to leave the whole point unanswered for now but to note that others have made the same point: "investors only invest in what exists".

Research to create the stuff to invest in is (under that idea) wasted money. Because it's "investing in what does not exist".

Note Well: I certainly support research, even if it gives us bad news. But it's a fact that under the Freemarket, we're doing less and less and less of it, we're spending less and less money on it, we're supporting less and less of it. This is without considering Peak Oil or anything else, just straight research.

So much for the Freemarket Fundamentalism that states that "the freemarket will always find alternatives". How can something find anything, Peak Oil or NO Peak Oil, if it won't even allow anyone to look?
User avatar
ubercynicmeister
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 640
Joined: Sun 25 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: Hunter Valley, New South Wales, Australia

Re: Peakniks must embrace Economics!???

Unread postby RacerJace » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 00:07:39

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('ubercynicmeister', '.').....
I seeems that the Economist has decided that it's all just slapstick comedy, without actually answering any of my points.

I have to go, so I'll have to leave the whole point unanswered for now but to note that others have made the same point: "investors only invest in what exists".

Research to create the stuff to invest in is (under that idea) wasted money. Because it's "investing in what does not exist".

Note Well: I certainly support research, even if it gives us bad news. But it's a fact that under the Freemarket, we're doing less and less and less of it, we're spending less and less money on it, we're supporting less and less of it. This is without considering Peak Oil or anything else, just straight research.

So much for the Freemarket Fundamentalism that states that "the freemarket will always find alternatives". How can something find anything, Peak Oil or NO Peak Oil, if it won't even allow anyone to look?


Abso-*cking-lutley.. I'm an R&D Projects Manager for an automotive supplier company. In this industry in Australia there is almost no emphasis on the R and what's left on the D is shrinking at a rapid rate. It's all about maximising profit on the timeframe of a new model release (2 - 4 years). Everyone is locked in to their existing low risk capital infrastructure and so leveraged that there is no room to move. Even the hybrid technology is a conservative attempt only just starting to be realised under serious market pressures.
User avatar
RacerJace
Lignite
Lignite
 
Posts: 236
Joined: Sun 16 Oct 2005, 03:00:00
Location: Australia
Top

Re: Peakniks must embrace Economics!???

Unread postby DigitalCubano » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 00:31:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('seldom_seen', 'Y')es, economists use math. As do all sorts of people in all sorts of applications.
I'm not sure what your point is. I have nothing against mathematics.


I was just providing one example of how Diseconomies of Scale are taught to engineers. Also, I was contesting your claim that Economics should include the factors you mentioned. Basically, I think you have a fair beef with policy-makers rather than with economists.
User avatar
DigitalCubano
Permanently Banned
 
Posts: 434
Joined: Fri 19 Aug 2005, 03:00:00
Top

Re: Peakniks must embrace Economics!???

Unread postby Battle_Scarred_Galactico » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 06:54:25

"I would be optimistic too if my thinking existed in a vacuum." - Seldom_seen


Best quote on PO.com
---
Battle_Scarred_Galactico
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 935
Joined: Thu 07 Apr 2005, 03:00:00

Re: Peakniks must embrace Economics!???

Unread postby drew » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 08:46:09

Boy, that sure is scary,

"I suggest you read the following paper: The Terra Trade Reference Currency. That might change your mind."

but it IS more of what we have now, ie: corporate political control

This is the system I believe you have a fat chance in hell of changing.

Scary of not, I don't know if political leaders will accept such a display of corporate power as to allow such a currency, even politicians have standards, low as they are, and are certainly uncooperatively filled with big egos and other traits such as nationalism.


Drew
User avatar
drew
Tar Sands
Tar Sands
 
Posts: 953
Joined: Thu 22 Jul 2004, 03:00:00
Location: canada

Re: Peakniks must embrace Economics!???

Unread postby killJOY » Tue 13 Dec 2005, 08:52:48

Those LARGE BLOCKS OF TEXT here (pro and con) can be summarized thus:


Image
Peak oil = comet Kohoutek.
User avatar
killJOY
Intermediate Crude
Intermediate Crude
 
Posts: 2220
Joined: Mon 21 Feb 2005, 04:00:00
Location: ^NNE^

Previous

Return to Economics & Finance

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest

cron