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The World Before Fossil Fuels

General discussions of the systemic, societal and civilisational effects of depletion.

Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby MonteQuest » Tue 15 Nov 2005, 23:44:27

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('orz', 'M')icrobiology would be as well established without fossil fuels to sustain the societies that allowed such research?


The microbiology I speak of is the discovery of "germ theory" that told us to "wash our hands."

Would life expectancy have reached the levels of today without fossil fuels? No, but knowing that germs (that you cannot see )can make you sick and to increase personal hygiene requires no energy, other than that used to engage self-discipline.

People would have lived longer and produced more offspring. If they crowded into urnban areas, like in the Bubonic Plague times, then an outbreak of a pandemic would most likely occur.

How many people would the earth have today if we had germ theory and no fossil fuels? No one knows, except that it would be less than now.

Basic biology. Poorer food/energy source.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby MonteQuest » Tue 15 Nov 2005, 23:56:02

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('smallpoxgirl', 'I')t can be. Or you can use it like the Easter Islanders or 18th century Europeans, or 19th century Americans, and then it gets depleted.


When the white man landed at Plymouth Rock, a squirrel could jump from tree to tree all the way to the Mississippi. Passenger pigeons were so plentiful that they would cause darkness on a sunny day as they flew by.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'O')ne of the first settlers in Virginia wrote that, `There are wild pigeons in winter beyond number or imagination, myself have seen three or four hours together flocks in the air, so thick that even have they shadowed the sky from us.'

As late as 1854 in Wayne County, New York, a local resident wrote that. `There would be days and days when the air was alive with them, hardly a break occurring in the flocks for half a day at a time.

The birds fed mainly on acorns, chestnuts and beech nuts in the extensive woodlands of North America and so when these were steadily cut down their habitat and food supplies were reduced.

The last known specimens were seen in most states of the eastern United States, in the 1890s, and the passenger pigeon died out in the wild in Ohio about 1900. The last survivor of a species that had once numbered 5 billion died in captivity in 1914.


Naw, we wouldn't have denuded the forests. :roll:
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby MonteQuest » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 00:12:34

I cannot but have empathy for people like orz.

While I find his positions untenable; I can appreciate the passion.

I think he/she might be young and hoping for a bright future. Who wants to hear someone raining on his parade?

The message of reality is harsh, and not easily heard or listened to.

I, too, was once young and hopeful.

Not so young now, but still hopeful. Otherwise, why would I volunteer so much time here? Ego feeding? :lol:

No, I wish to make a positive difference. Sorry if reality makes the message negative.

My mindset comes from learning the hard knocks of reality in a finite world.

From one of my writings:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')t the tender age of three, I went to live with my grandparents on a farm in Northwest Missouri; just a stone's throw from the Iowa line. It was there, under the influence of my grandfather, that the ground work was laid for the conservation ethic that has so dominated my life. He was a very frugal man; making do with what he had, and if forced to buy something, it was usually second-hand. This austere life, coupled with his discrete use of insecticides, herbicides, and inorganic fertilizers, made a great impression on me. It was my first lesson in the philosophy...that less is more.

During the peaceful post-war years of the 1950's, life was idyllic for a small boy with 212 acres to roam. I learned to hunt and to fish, milk a cow, drive a tractor, and, as my mother once observed, enjoy being little. I enjoyed hunting a great deal; but in later years, as I grew more aware of the environment, I found that hunting no longer had place in my life. We ate everything we shot in those days; but it was not subsistence hunting—it was sport.

Nature is at her best in the eyes of a small boy. I spent a great deal of time playing down by the "crick" on those lazy, hot summer afternoons of my early childhood; building dams, catching frogs, and remembering the first word from my Dick and Jane book.... Look! I shall never forget that time in my life. It was the best. The freedom I had then as a boy can not be bought anywhere. I will cherish those memories forever.


Doomer? No, a realist. My views are not biased by anything other than what I see as the facts of reality.

Folks, we are just animals fighting over food.
Last edited by MonteQuest on Wed 16 Nov 2005, 02:05:52, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby orz » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 01:51:08

I suppose we've both made clear our views:

I dream of (and believe in) growth beyond this planet until we are spread out among the stars till the end of time (and maybe even beyond that :-D ).

You dream of (and believe in) simple sustainability on this planet until fate decides our time is up and we go the way of the dinosaur.

Only time will tell, and that's something I think we can both agree on.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby MonteQuest » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 02:09:38

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('orz', 'I') suppose we've both made clear our views:

I dream of (and believe in) growth beyond this planet until we are spread out among the stars till the end of time (and maybe even beyond that :-D ).

You dream of (and believe in) simple sustainability on this planet until fate decides our time is up and we go the way of the dinosaur.

Only time will tell, and that's something I think we can both agree on.


Yup, pretty damn close. :-D

Orz,

Ever do the math just to off-load the planet to keep up with the population?

250,000 people a day must go to space. 8O
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby orz » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 02:18:04

To be perfectly honest, I'm not wholly concerned with die off, nor do I disagree that it probably will happen to some extent. My issue is the olduvai theory presented here that we will all drop back to a stone age from which we will never rise again. I would die happily(ok maybe not entirely happily, but I would be at peace) tonight, just knowing that man would one day walk the stars.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby Dezakin » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 15:53:11

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou still have failed to tell me what energy you would use to create steel in order to create nuclear.

Apparently monte is unfamiliar with the modern steel industry and its love of electric arc mills.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby Ludi » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 16:16:42

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'Y')ou still have failed to tell me what energy you would use to create steel in order to create nuclear.

Apparently monte is unfamiliar with the modern steel industry and its love of electric arc mills.


Where would this electricity come from without fossil fuels?
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby Ludi » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 16:35:59

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')e can't even dig a hole in the ground 26 miles long without going massively overbudget. The Channel Tunnel will never return a profit. Do you have any idea how far 90,000 km is?

Space elevators obviously wont be built because electromagnetic catipults will allways be cheaper and safer. I think theres some psychological jack and the beanstalk attachment to the idea of an elevator.
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$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')here would this electricity come from without fossil fuels?

Do we really need to go over this again? Nuclear of course. If you have umbrage with that argument we have a long thread in the technology forum.


Well, I seem to have lost the thread of this thread - I thought you all were talking about how would we get to nuclear without fossil fuels, and here you say we would get to nuclear with nuclear. Oh man, I'm so confused!

It seems to me there must be steel required in the manufacture of nuclear plants, so how would you get the steel if you didn't have the nuclear first?

Oh, I'm so lost....

:?

No, as it turns out, I'm not lost and confused. The discussionis about how to get to nuclear without fossil fuels. You can't get to nuclear with nuclear, this makes no sense.

Is that the kind of thinking you ordinarily use, Dezakin - that we could have gotten to nuclear without fossil fuels by using nuclear? Does that even make one shred of sense??
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby SchroedingersCat » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 16:53:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SchroedingersCat', ' ')We had fire. We developed technology mostly based on burning things. That doesn't mean there aren't other ways.


No, there are not. The laws of thermodynamcis are based upon the fact that hot moves to cold. Never the other way. We utilize the movement of heat down this gradient to do work. Wind is the result of high pressures moving to lows caused by an uneven heating of the earth's surface by the combustion of hydrogen on the sun.

We developed technology by taping the heat released during a rapid, self-sustaining exothermic oxidation of the combustible gases ejected from a fuel to do work.


I must disagree. The sun does not burn hydrogen. It fuses it into heavier elements, producing radiation in the process. There is no 'oxidation of combustible gases' going on. Wind, solar and hydro power are all based on fusion.

I went back to your first post in this thread to see if I missed something. I found: $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o, the question must arise: How much technology would the world have achieved without the advent and exploitation of fossil fuels?


I now see that you have some specific definition of technology that you are working with -- most likely that of our current 21st century, industrial lifestyle.

It seems that perhaps the question should be how much mastery of metallurgy would the world have achieved without fossil fuels.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby orz » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 17:01:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')s that the kind of thinking you ordinarily use, Dezakin - that we could have gotten to nuclear without fossil fuels by using nuclear? Does that even make one shred of sense??


Dezakin is arguing that we could use current nuclear facilities to make the transition to full nuclear if needed. Why would any argue that you can create nuclear power using nuclear power?
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby Dezakin » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 17:49:41

Responding to monte's ignorant blather is all I'm doing:
$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'N')o alternative energy today can produce that kind of heat.

Any induction furnace does it.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby Ludi » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 18:11:10

Orz, this is the thread of the conversation:



$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Montequest', 'Y')ou still have failed to tell me what energy you would use to create steel in order to create nuclear.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', 'A')pparently monte is unfamiliar with the modern steel industry and its love of electric arc mills.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', 'W')here would this electricity come from without fossil fuels?


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', 'D')o we really need to go over this again? Nuclear of course.




Good gods, are you guys even capable of following a rational train of thought?

And these are the minds that will lead us to the future! 8O
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby DoctorDoom » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 18:33:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '
')Answer the question: what energy?


Biofuels. We have one thing our primitive ancestors did not - fairly good knowledge of chemistry and physics. We could if necessary produce the equivalent of diesel and thus run a power-up to nukes etc. even if no fossil fuels remained, provided we don't lose our knowledge base.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby Dezakin » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 18:53:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')ood gods, are you guys even capable of following a rational train of thought?


Oh come on Ludi, I'm not taking the bait of arguing the hypotheticals of whether industrial civilization could emerge if we didnt have fossil to kickstart it. Thats for soc.history.what-if.

I'm countering montequests claim that theres no way to do steel production with anything besides fossil, which is clearly false. You can run induction furnaces and electric arc mills from hydro, geothermal, and nuclear. The argument that our nuclear capacity will implode as we undergo some ridiculous mad max implosion of civilzation scenario is stupid fantasy.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby MonteQuest » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 20:17:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SchroedingersCat', ' ')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('SchroedingersCat', ' ')We had fire. We developed technology mostly based on burning things. That doesn't mean there aren't other ways.


No, there are not. The laws of thermodynamcis are based upon the fact that hot moves to cold. Never the other way. We utilize the movement of heat down this gradient to do work. Wind is the result of high pressures moving to lows caused by an uneven heating of the earth's surface by the combustion of hydrogen on the sun.

We developed technology by taping the heat released during a rapid, self-sustaining exothermic oxidation of the combustible gases ejected from a fuel to do work.


I must disagree. The sun does not burn hydrogen. It fuses it into heavier elements, producing radiation in the process. There is no 'oxidation of combustible gases' going on. Wind, solar and hydro power are all based on fusion.


Ah, yes, thanks for catching that. Sun 101. :oops: Should have read:

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ind is the result of high pressures moving to lows caused by an uneven heating of the earth's surface by the fusion of hydrogen on the sun.


Everything else stands. We tap the thermal gradient created by fusion on the sun and the exothermic oxidation of the combustible gases ejected from fuels to do work.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I') went back to your first post in this thread to see if I missed something. I found: $this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'S')o, the question must arise: How much technology would the world have achieved without the advent and exploitation of fossil fuels?

I now see that you have some specific definition of technology that you are working with -- most likely that of our current 21st century, industrial lifestyle.

It seems that perhaps the question should be how much mastery of metallurgy would the world have achieved without fossil fuels.

Or where would the energy have come from to utilize that mastery?
Last edited by MonteQuest on Sat 19 Nov 2005, 00:34:15, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby MonteQuest » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 21:14:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', ' ')I'm countering montequests claim that theres no way to do steel production with anything besides fossil, which is clearly false. You can run induction furnaces and electric arc mills from hydro, geothermal, and nuclear.


We did not have nuclear pre-fossil fuels for one.

The generators and steam turbines required to produce the electricity would have to have been made from steel.

And lastly, since the smelting process still needs a raw material with a high carbon content to draw off oxygen from the iron ore .... 8)

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')ore than 3,000 years after this early beginning of the Iron Age, modern iron and steelmakers still use the same carbothermic process discovered by early ironmakers.

Most modern electric furnaces also use a combination of oxy-fuel burners, pulverized coal injection, and oxygen injection to supplement electrical energy input. In the most modern furnaces, oxygen injected to combust pulverized coal injection and carbon charged into the furnace in scrap steel, direct reduced iron, pig iron, coke or coal can be as high as 40 Nm3/ton. For blast furnace production to continue into the future even at current levels in the United States and other developed countries, continued progress must be made on reducing the coke rate of furnaces through coal injection.
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Responding to Dezakin's ignorant blather is all I'm doing...

If we were able to achieve the heat, we would have to use charcoal from wood to reduce the iron ore or some form of non-fossil high carbon content material. Other than wood, what would it be?
Last edited by MonteQuest on Wed 16 Nov 2005, 22:16:40, edited 3 times in total.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby Ludi » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 21:20:23

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Dezakin', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')ood gods, are you guys even capable of following a rational train of thought?


Oh come on Ludi, I'm not taking the bait of arguing the hypotheticals of whether industrial civilization could emerge if we didnt have fossil to kickstart it. Thats for soc.history.what-if.

I'm countering montequests claim that theres no way to do steel production with anything besides fossil, which is clearly false. You can run induction furnaces and electric arc mills from hydro, geothermal, and nuclear. The argument that our nuclear capacity will implode as we undergo some ridiculous mad max implosion of civilzation scenario is stupid fantasy.


No, I'm serious, Dezakin. You don't seem to be able to follow a logical train of thought. I think you are the one who is confused.
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby MonteQuest » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 21:35:45

The nano discussion has been split to here:

Nano Technology
http://peakoil.com/fortopic14945.html
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Re: The World Before Fossil Fuels

Postby smallpoxgirl » Wed 16 Nov 2005, 22:03:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('MonteQuest', 'W')hen the white man landed at Plymouth Rock, a squirrel could jump from tree to tree all the way to the Mississippi. Passenger pigeons were so plentiful that they would cause darkness on a sunny day as they flew by.


That's to say nothing of 60 million bison that once ranged from the Yukon to Mexico and from Maryland to the Cascade Mountains in Washington state. map

Would have denuded the forests nothing. We did denude them. Without coal, North America would be slick as a billiard ball.
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