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Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

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Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby jimmydean » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 10:30:33

Delphi Warning

Is this the key sign of the end of north america manufacturing and the start of a long drawn out depression?

By GM's own admission a couple of months back they opted to buy $1B+ in parts from India last year. Western corporations are in survival mode now as they look to exploit the east for cheap labour in the hopes that they are not the last one to file Chapter 11 ;)

Granted the supposed Delphi average union wage/benefit pkg is $65 which seems a bit extreme!
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby JoeW » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 11:00:38

I'm not sure where the $65/hr avg comes from, but I will add that about a year ago they were talking about the offshoring of American jobs and they posted the average wage for autoworkers in a number of countries. The US was at the top (no surprise there) at something like $37/hr and at or near the bottom was South Korea, and I think that figure might have been $2/hr.
The reality is that the average American auto worker is grossly overpaid, and the average South Korean auto worker is grossly underpaid.
When I saw how ridiculous the difference was, it occurred to me that perhaps the offshoring of those jobs wasn't a bad thing at all.
The average auto worker is standing there in an assembly line doing the same thing over and over again, right? $37/hr for that? Sounds like a job you really could get just about anybody to do, even someone without any education whatsoever.
If there are any auto workers out there, feel free to jump in and justify the high wages because I have got to have some fundamental misunderstanding of the nature of the work that is done.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby gary_malcolm » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 11:12:08

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JoeW', ' ') $37/hr for that?


Wages are good. They support local economies. They pay for houses, schools, food, in short EVERYTHING. Let's pay everyone $2.00/hour and see where that get's the economy.

Remember Henry Ford? He increased wages to make his employees able to spend more.

We are the engine that creates GDP.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby Eli » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 11:19:13

The only real problem with all this is that you still have to have someone able to buy the car you are making.

The Delphi worker in the US could own two brand new cars that cost 30,000 each while the Korean worker could afford a moped.

What is happening is the American consumer cannot afford to keep consuming.

Industries have to find new markets for growth in consumption but now we have reached the point were continued growth will cannibalize other markets.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby FoxV » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 11:36:32

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'I')ndustries have to find new markets for growth in consumption but now we have reached the point were continued growth will cannibalize other markets.

I think you've hit the ultimate failing of globalization there. Its all just a pyramid scheme that only works for those that started it, but ultimately collapses.

one thing to also note about this, is that Delphi is applying now to avoid the new Bankruptcy laws due next week.

I wonder who else is going to file this week (I heard there are now bankruptcy lawyers speciallizing in applying before the new rules kick in)
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby Jack » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 11:42:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JoeW', '
')The reality is that the average American auto worker is grossly overpaid, and the average South Korean auto worker is grossly underpaid.


Let me preface this by assuring you that I'm not an auto worker!

Keep in mind that the entire wage structure of the U.S. is high in comparison to a great many other nations. On the other side of the equation, the cost structure is also high.

If we cut the wage structure - whether of auto workers or medical doctors - we reduce the ability to pay prices to support the existing cost structure.

And in a highly leveraged economy, with lots of debt, that could lead to massive defaults. The implications are not pretty; keep in mind that the sudden reduction in global demand means that this is not a problem that will remain within the U.S.

And, too, there is the political dynamic. It has been said that no one is more conservative than the fellow who has just gotten married, purchased his first house, and been promoted to foreman. What might we conclude about the fellow who has just lost his job and his house, and hears his children crying due to hunger? He will wish to blame others, and he will be angry. He will want rapid and fundamental change.

We might not wish to dismiss the problems of the Delphi workers lightly. The consequences could appear upon our doorsteps rather too quickly.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby frankthetank » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 11:46:18

They wanted to cut there wages to $10/hr. Thats **almost** WalMart wages.

What next, the US GOV files bankruptcy?
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby some_guy282 » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 12:03:43

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('frankthetank', '
')
What next, the US GOV files bankruptcy?



All joking aside, that's what we can more or less expect when the foreign investors call in their debts and dump their dollars.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby falser » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 12:23:37

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('JoeW', 'T')he reality is that the average American auto worker is grossly overpaid, and the average South Korean auto worker is grossly underpaid.
When I saw how ridiculous the difference was, it occurred to me that perhaps the offshoring of those jobs wasn't a bad thing at all.
The average auto worker is standing there in an assembly line doing the same thing over and over again, right? $37/hr for that? Sounds like a job you really could get just about anybody to do, even someone without any education whatsoever.
If there are any auto workers out there, feel free to jump in and justify the high wages because I have got to have some fundamental misunderstanding of the nature of the work that is done.


The actual cause of this phenomenon is the US dollar is grossly overvalued. US labor will never compete against other countries who's currencies are worth less.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby nero » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 12:41:59

I have a real hard time believing the $2/hour figure for South Korea, but leaving that aside outsourcing is a big problem for the UAW. The question in my mind is why are the foreign workers paid so little? How is the fruit of their labour distributed, and why aren't those workers demanding a greater share of the wealth?

The only hope for unionism (and good blue collar wages) in america is an agressive push to internationalize worker's rights. But somehow "globalization" doesn't include the globalization of worker's rights or environmental standards.
Biofuels: The "What else we got to burn?" answer to peak oil.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby strider3700 » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 12:43:44

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('falser', '
')
The actual cause of this phenomenon is the US dollar is grossly overvalued. US labor will never compete against other countries who's currencies are worth less.


Exactly, and thanks to oil being priced in dollars the rest of the world is forced into a game of catch up. This is why Irans threat of changing to the euro for oil pricing is so serious for the US. If the us dollar drops to 1/3 of it's current level their workers can compete price wise but the US couldn't afford it's current oil binge and you'll see real demand destruction.
shame on us, doomed from the start
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby Eli » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 12:44:29

And now we come full circle back to the undeniable fact that Global growth and growth in the United States was driven literally by cheap energy and cheap oil.

Without cheap energy available there is no growth and expansion. If Oil costs 100 dollars you can be damn sure that continued growth is not going to happen. When you get down to it this is an organic problem based on thermodynamics.

Right now the world economy is just looking for another sucker to buy into the Ponzi scheme since there biggest investor the US is now headed south.

When a Ponzi scheme collapses it is always the last person to buy in that gets screwed the most so look out China.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby jaws » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 12:47:28

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'T')he only real problem with all this is that you still have to have someone able to buy the car you are making.

The Delphi worker in the US could own two brand new cars that cost 30,000 each while the Korean worker could afford a moped.
The real problem is at that at current prices no one wants to buy the cars they are making. GM cars are second-grade. They aren't worth the sticker price they set on them. Prices will have to be aggressively cut to attract buyers back, but at the wages their workers are paid GM can't turn a profit on lower-priced cars.

A 60% pay cut is reasonable. No one deserves to get paid more than the market rate for their work. Think of all the Walmart workers who would love to get a manufacturing job but can't because labor unions keep wages above the market rate. Is that fair to them?
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby Eli » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 12:53:46

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('jaws', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Eli', 'T')he only real problem with all this is that you still have to have someone able to buy the car you are making.

The Delphi worker in the US could own two brand new cars that cost 30,000 each while the Korean worker could afford a moped.
The real problem is at that at current prices no one wants to buy the cars they are making. GM cars are second-grade. They aren't worth the sticker price they set on them. Prices will have to be aggressively cut to attract buyers back, but at the wages their workers are paid GM can't turn a profit on lower-priced cars.

A 60% pay cut is reasonable. No one deserves to get paid more than the market rate for their work. Think of all the Walmart workers who would love to get a manufacturing job but can't because labor unions keep wages above the market rate. Is that fair to them?


Jaws what I meant was that the US leads the world in demand for car sales if the average worker can't afford to buy a car that demand evaporates and there has to be a new source of demand created or you sell less cars. You can not really ship off a job without destroying your market.

Right now the world economy is shuffling the deck chairs on the Titanic.

So if you ship of all the jobs that allow thousands of people to buy cars in the first place the whole thing comes crashing down. And if you have energy costs that go rapidly up each time new demand is created which is where we are at with PO world wide you are screwed in the very beginning.

I wasn't talking about more than just GM really.

Thanks Spuddy I had that bit about Henry Ford in mind :)
Last edited by Eli on Tue 11 Oct 2005, 12:58:57, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby spudbuddy » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 12:57:09

Henry Ford's original game plan was a novel concept for its time; he wanted his workers to be able to afford the product that they manufactured.
North America never could compete with a global wage scale. It always was a rather delicate balancing act.

But absolutely - the whole pyramid scheme turns upside down when the almighty American consumer can no long consume...who's going to buy the stuff filling up the box stores?
I live in a great big expensive city - where $16/hr affords nothing more than a "just-out-of-college" entry level starter job.
50% of that income rents a tiny apartment. Wages are inflated, but so are prices, too. Middle income earners have lost a lot of ground.
The playing board is set up entirely for high rollers.
Add that to jobless recoveries...boom years for only the top 5%....same old stuff.

I think the only thing ultimately that will give job outsourcing and offshoring the real kick in the pants it deserves, is when transportation costs counterbalance the money saved on labor.
Remember...to a corporation, labor is like a social disease (STD's, athlete's foot, SARS, etc.)
All they want for Christmas is to pass that off to a good Simon Legree, who will whip the slaves with no mercy.
It always looks good on paper...in the long run will go over and sink more or less like the Bismark.............
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby cube » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 13:09:22

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gary_malcolm', '.')........
Remember Henry Ford? He increased wages to make his employees able to spend more.

We are the engine that creates GDP.
I consider him one of the greatest American innovators but (putting the historical romance aside) the fact is his way of doing things wouldn't work today. Henry Ford didn't have to worry about globalization.

Secondly this notion that you need to incease wages so people can spend more is nothing more then a sound byte. Somehow I doubt Henry Ford truely believed that. I'm guessing he must of said those words for PR campaign.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby jimmydean » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 13:16:29

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Jack', '
')Keep in mind that the entire wage structure of the U.S. is high in comparison to a great many other nations. On the other side of the equation, the cost structure is also high.

If we cut the wage structure - whether of auto workers or medical doctors - we reduce the ability to pay prices to support the existing cost structure.

And in a highly leveraged economy, with lots of debt, that could lead to massive defaults. The implications are not pretty; keep in mind that the sudden reduction in global demand means that this is not a problem that will remain within the U.S.


The FDR has known this for quite some time hence money has been cheap for a long while to keep the western consumer intoxicated and keep our party going. The real economic pressures of deflation due to cheap foreign labour/goods have been suppressed with cheap money. The other part of the deflationary period we are entering is unavoidable ; jobs vanishing. As you indicate I highly doubt the "cost structure" will come down fast enough to match the loss in real wages and hence massive defaults both corporate and consumer. Hey wasn't the timing of that bankrupcy bill good? :-)

Until things go BOOM some corporations will continue to reap high margins for lower quality goods made abroad. Hell I'm sure Nike could turn a profit on selling most pairs for $10 with that cheap foreign labour; perhaps after some cost restructuring and letting go of cost centers. For those big corporations that don't want to or can't offshore well there is a chapter in the book numbered 11 for them. The little guys at the bottom of the ladder can then will have fewer jobs to chase for less pay.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby pup55 » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 13:45:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n 1999, the average Korean wage was US$1,241 per month, 35% of the average Japan wage, 49% of the average US wage, and comparable to Taiwan’s average, at $1,169. The average wage increased by 8% to US$1,338 in 2000,


Pacific Bridge

Anyway there is some evidence that the Korean wage has risen to the point that some of that work has been outsourced to filipinos.

This whole issue is a really serious problem, and not just for the UAW.

What makes it even more serious is that at some point in the day, nearly everyone is vulnerable to having an even more qualified worker in a lower wage country take their job, thus putting them out into the street. Alternately, some undocumented or partially documented worker from a third world country can be imported to work in your place.

At some point this will blow up in the faces of the policy makers that have allowed this to happen. Reason: Eli's point above. If there is no middle class, there are no consumers of value-added goods.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby Eli » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 14:08:36

Mowing a lawn and getting 10 dollars an hour tax free all of sudden sounds to people like a good job and all of sudden the Illegal workers are being shipped back south again.


Constitution? We don't need no stinking constitution.
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Re: Delphi Debacle: workers must work for 1/3 pay!

Unread postby Peakoil_Tarzan » Tue 11 Oct 2005, 14:24:24

The benefits of "Globalization" were greatly oversold to the general populace. Not only have the promised benefits failed to materialize for the average American, people in many developing countries have had the rug pulled out from under them by the neo-liberal economic policies of the American politicians and their corporate sponsors. Mexican farmers who once earned a living selling their produce locally have been shut out of the marketplace by the big chain's demands for large quantities of cosmetically perfect and bland, blister-packed produce. In India, farmers burned Monsanto's offices because they rightly feared that they were soon to be swamped by GMO crops that would render their product essentially valueless.

The great irony, of course, is that -- and Eli correctly points this out -- as capital accumulates in fewer and fewer hands, and the average worker becomes less able to buy the thing that he manufactures (and which makes the capitalist "rich"), the whole system begins to fail -- not just for the worker but eventually for the capitalist too. While you can argue that $37/hr. is too much to pay an autoworker, take away his/her salary and soon you have no market for your product. This week it might be Delphi; in 2007, it is likely to be GM. Mr. Wagoner may indeed feel that he has no choice but to eventually jetison GM's wage and pension responsibilities, but he should also understand that he is simultaneously cutting his own throat.
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