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All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Discussions related to the physiological and psychological effects of peak oil on our members and future generations.

Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Doly » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 07:55:48

My two pennies here: I think the strategy of getting ready for PO at individual level is fundamentally good. There is only one thing missing to make it a winning strategy: the approval by authority.

Our political authorities aren't really going for that strategy (especially in the USA, one could imagine Europe favoring it if the pressure mounts). There isn't a whole lot one can do about that directly. (Don't tell me that it's a democracy and people vote. People vote once every 4 years. That may be too far in the future.) There are a number of indirect approaches, all worth trying, but as a general rule they aren't terribly effective. (Not many anti-war demonstrations have achieved their goal).

But it's good to remember that the president, prime minister, or whoever has the highest political position in your country, is definitely not the only authority. There are many kinds of people that others respect: religious leaders, important businessmen, celebrities, etc. I suggest that we try to approach figures with authority of any kind, and we try to convince them that preparation for PO is important.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby gg3 » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 08:37:34

Back to page 1 here: Social Darwinism:

Is neither social science nor Darwinian, but a psuedoscientific bastadization of both in the name of the abdication of all moral standards by individuals who believe they'll beat the statistical odds in a manner similar to winning the lottery.

Psuedoscience because its central claim is a post-hoc / ergo propter-hoc logical fallacy that whatever "happens" was "meant to be." It is inherently untestable (technically, unfalsifyable): incapable of making testable predictions, and, like any popular psuedoscientific BS, it takes whatever "happens" as "proof" that it is "correct."

---

Humans have an interesting characteristic known as projection. They often attribute to others, characteristics that are part and parcel of their own personalities.

So here we see the proud proclamations that humans are inherently selfish, greedy, lazy, violent, mean, bad, cruel, hell-bent on killing each other any time they want to grab something, incapable of cooperating honestly or competing fairly, but rather, exist in a perpetual Hobbesian nightmare of the war of each against each and all against all, held in check only by abject fear or the rationalized versions thereof.

I say, speak for yourselves, all ye who espouse such bullshit.

Better yet, find some love in your lives, and hopefully it will grow some synapses where they're needed most.

---

Grayzone, did you ever stop to think what it takes to get off a planet and into space? Minimally, it takes an absence of random violence for a lengthy period of time in order to enable the necessary science & technology to develop; and it takes freedom of scientific inquiry. These characteristics are incompatible with a species that is predatory upon itself.

The very characteristics you extol are those that will keep us confined on our dust-mote in a corner of a single galaxy. EdF called you on this BS too. Your social darwinism is incompatible with the evolution of our species.

---

Aaron, your blogfull of mean-spirited nastiness is a pretty poor defense mechanism for your abject terror. Here's me giving you a great big wakeup slap in the face (but a loving and kind slap in the face!) and saying deal with it or you're doomed.

Mean people do suck. You can do better than put up a blog that makes you sound like one of 'em. And you're too smart to believe in psuedoscience.

---

There is plenty to be scared of, and no point living in denial. Healthy fear is sometimes difficult to distinguish from unhealthy fear. But we do ourselves a major disservice by compounding the two together into a toxic soup whose consumption leads to projectile-vomiting of language espousing values & behavior more suited to Nazis and Stalinists, or at best, cave-men.

More later...
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Aaron » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 09:20:07

Feel the love brother...

Image

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')umans have an interesting characteristic known as projection. They often attribute to others, characteristics that are part and parcel of their own personalities.


Yes empathy. Apparently dolphins do it as well.

What aspect of the photo above do you think I'm "projecting"?

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'H')obbesian nightmare of the war of each against each and all against all, held in check only by abject fear or the rationalized versions thereof.

I say, speak for yourselves, all ye who espouse such bullshit.


Naw... I still choose to speak for the begging child above... or any of the 10 million folks who starved to death last year as you sit in your ivory tower espousing cooperation.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'B')etter yet, find some love in your lives, and hopefully it will grow some synapses where they're needed most.


Someone needs to grow a pair of something... & I don't think it's neurons guy.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')aron, your blogfull of mean-spirited nastiness is a pretty poor defense mechanism for your abject terror.


If you mean it's a defense mechanism... then you might have a point... but that does not mean it's wrong.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'd')eal with it or you're doomed.


Funny how this language thing works.

That's my central message of course.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'M')ean people do suck. You can do better than put up a blog that makes you sound like one of 'em. And you're too smart to believe in psuedoscience.


OK... so now I'm mean for pointing out mean-spirited stuff?

History judges what's a "healthy fear" yes?

Social Darwinism is to Darwinism as economics is to math... it's a frozen subset of a more pervasive theory.

And I never said anything about it.

Perhaps you're right... perhaps enough people will understand what's at stake, come together and meet the coming hydrocarbon dilemma head-on, for the benefit of all mankind...

...for the first time in history.

Or perhaps the strong will wield their power for their own benefit, seizing what they desire.

As evidenced by the centuries long string of human conquest.

Cutting to the chase... who is more guilty?

The perpetrators of selfish, greedy, lazy, violent, mean, bad, cruel, acts.

The sheep who turn the other way, denying it's happening?

Or those who stand to convince fence-sitters it's not happening,

The dead know only one thing... it's better to be alive.
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby gg3 » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 09:35:43

page 2 & 3...

Aaron, the reason we enjoy prosperity at the expense of the millions whose resources we steal, is that *we* ourselves are not *directly and personally* engaged in the stealing. The stealing, raping, looting, pillaging, slave-driving, and murder, is all cleverly camouflaged. The responsiblity is diffused enough that it seems to evaporate. This is not an accident.

We vote for candidates who claim that our "way of life" is non-negotiable, and then their captive media simply don't show us what's going on at the other end.

We shop for "low low prices" at stores that go to great pains to disguise the fact that their goods are coming from conditions not much different from slave labor.

We live in ignorant little monkey-cages, with a pressbutton wired both to our pleasure-centers on one hand and to a gun pointed at innocent passersby on the other hand. We press the button and it gives us pleasure, and we don't see the bloody carnage outside our cages.

And we can barely connect the dots, for example between the SUV and the woman stoned to death for "adultery" in the village square in Saudi. The picture of the shiny luxury vehicle does not mix with the picture of the Saudi woman's brains splattered on the pavement.

Why do you think the Bush Regime goes to such great lengths to block the release of photos of Iraqi torture victims, or the flag-draped coffins of America's warriors coming home to their final resting place? Why do you think the major broadcast networks systematically refuse to air advertisements that speak for a less consumptive lifestyle?

Most sane people, if they truly understood the connections and the consequences, would change their behavior. They don't because they're addicted to The Lifestyle, as surely as anyone with alcoholism or a needle in their arms.

---

Wildwell, the way you have to deal with those proponents of relentlessly selfish development, is to call out their BS in the most vigorous terms you can manage; give them no quarter; do not let them weasel out of it.

In any public forum you can find, tear their arguements to shreds. Try to avoid ad-hominems if possible, while using the strongest language you can find.

And then pour on the lawsuits and everything else needed to stop them.

There will probably come a time when it's necessary to fight the good fight on a more physical level.

By the way, a five-pound bag of sugar (or better yet the equivalent quantity of sugar syrup) tossed into the loading hopper of a truckload of concrete (the funnel-shaped hopper at the top rear of the mixer) will cause it to go out of spec sufficiently that it can't be used in a structure. Or if it is used, and the fact of the sugar comes to light, the structure will need expensive re-work. Keep this in mind next time someone tries to build a WalMart in your neighborhood.

Cooperation and a good gun collection are not mutually exclusive. A civilized society -whether macro or micro scale- always needs the means and willingness to defend itself against barbarian incursions.

---

Kunstler also predicted that Y2K would be armageddon. Instead what happened is all the geeks toiled away long into the wee hours to fix every damn stinking piece of the infrastructure. And then after the big day came & went, rather than getting a pat on the back for preventing a disaster, what we got was a dotcom crash that left a good many of us unemployed. Fortunately I avoided that fate, which I suppose means I'm a good survivor (ha!) (and good survivor that I am, I have not been seduced by social darwinist psuedoscientific nonsense). And then the retrospectives claimed that Y2K was bunk because the disaster did not come. Just as people pooh-pooh vaccinations because there's no polio or whatnot going around.

---

Dwelling on fear can lead to anxiety disorders. Fear and anxiety cloud the mind and impair judgement.

More later (tomorrow or the next day)...
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Aaron » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 10:03:51

As if on cue...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')ising fuel prices are stoking popular anger around the world, throwing politicians on the defensive and forcing governments to resort to price freezes, tax cuts and other measures to soothe voter resentment.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')resident Olusegun Obasanjo promised in a nationally televised Independence Day speech that the cost of gasoline would not increase further until the end of 2006, no matter what happened in global oil markets. He acted after furious demonstrations shut down whole sections of major cities around the country over the past several weeks.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n the European Union, there was a brief attempt by the 25 member governments to maintain a united front against consumer demands for tax cuts, rebates and other subsidies to offset rising fuel prices.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'P')oland and Hungary approved fuel tax cuts and Belgium promised a rebate on home heating fuel taxes. In France, where a gallon of regular unleaded gasoline fetches up to $6.81 in Paris, thousands of farmers and truck drivers staged brief street demonstrations two weeks ago, and the government offered them a $36 million package of gas tax breaks and rebates.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'I')n Canada, too, the government, facing an election next year, is scrambling to put together a package to present to the cabinet this week, including a new agency to monitor gas prices, help for low-income Canadians with their home heating bills, and new powers to investigate price-fixing complaints.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'R')uth Bridger, a spokeswoman for the AA Motoring Trust, a British consumer advocacy group, said Britons look at the sport-utility vehicles that dominate U.S. highways and think, "Serves you right."

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'W')ord of the impending price hike sparked protests in many cities; on Friday, police were using tear gas to disperse thousands of demonstrators. The reaction was muted compared with the deadly rioting triggered by previous price hikes, but the government is bracing for possible violence as the impact sinks in.


$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '[')b]Mohammed Sani, 28, said he can recall that gas prices were one-sixth the price they are now under military dictator Sani Abacha in the 1990s. He said he would welcome a return to military rule if gas prices returned to those levels.

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', '"')We are not happy with democracy," Sani said. "All our eyes are on petroleum" prices.

Washington Post
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby gnm » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 10:08:52

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', '
')Kunstler also predicted that Y2K would be armageddon. Instead what happened is all the geeks toiled away long into the wee hours to fix every damn stinking piece of the infrastructure. And then after the big day came & went, rather than getting a pat on the back for preventing a disaster, what we got was a dotcom crash that left a good many of us unemployed. Fortunately I avoided that fate, which I suppose means I'm a good survivor (ha!) (and good survivor that I am, I have not been seduced by social darwinist psuedoscientific nonsense). And then the retrospectives claimed that Y2K was bunk because the disaster did not come. Just as people pooh-pooh vaccinations because there's no polio or whatnot going around.


Yeah no kidding - I was one of those geeks... There were people whom I told "this could be bad you might want to..." but by the time it actually hit I wasn't really even stressed. Just went to bed early. I knew things were probably going to work out more or less glitch free thanks to all the efforts. And of course now if I try to tell people about resource depletion NG/peak oil all I get is "yeah yeah you said Y2K was going to be bad too" and I say "no I said it _could_ be bad, important difference! And this is not about a technical fix - you can't program more resources. We are going to hit a wall here fairly soon!" - Alas it falls on deaf ears now..

-G
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Macsporan » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 10:45:41

The technology, the time and the resources exist to enable a soft landing from PO.

What we need is the political will to do it.

Individually and collectively it is our task to make sure we get it.

If we don't, we have we to blame but ourselves, and no claim to anybody's sympathy either now or in the future.

If we do, we get a chance at a liveable future for our grandchildren.

If we don't it might take civilisation a few centuries to recover.

It will be a very different civilisation of course, as different as the Middle Ages were from the Roman Empire; and much will be forgotten that might have been saved, and the chances of our decendents being part of it will be very remote.

It is entirely your choice if you want to preserve something from the civilisaton that gave you birth; so join the political party of your choice and start the Long March to power and the salvation of the Human Race.

Sitting at home drooling over your guns won't save you.

Agonising over the Internet won't save you.

Politic like your life depends on it.

Because it does.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby gnm » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 11:00:06

Enlighten me Mac, what technology or resource is going to replace fossil fuel within 50 years? For sake of argument lets say you only have to produce 50% of what we are currently using. Oh and you have to account for growth - lets be generous and say only 8 Billion by 2020 instead of 9... And how will that be implemented?

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-G
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Andrew_S » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 11:30:16

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'E')nlighten me Mac, what technology or resource is going to replace fossil fuel within 50 years? For sake of argument lets say you only have to produce 50% of what we are currently using. Oh and you have to account for growth - lets be generous and say only 8 Billion by 2020 instead of 9... And how will that be implemented?

8O
-G


I like to think I'm a moderate. I'm inclined to agree with Mac because I think that different types of societies could fare differently depending on how they handle things. I think some could manage a powerdown without people going Mad Max, provided though they don't get invaded by desparate hordes.

So trying to inform and persuade the people and leaders is a worthwhile effort. A little sooner is better than nothing.

Of the developed countries the U.S.A. looks the most vulnerable to societal chaos in at least some regions. Need to get to work on those trains and buses. In terms of land, climate and remaining mineral resources the U.S.A. (even better plus Canada) is not so terribly bad off if they come to terms with what's necessary - a deliberate powerdown.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby gnm » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 12:06:48

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Andrew_S', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'E')nlighten me Mac, what technology or resource is going to replace fossil fuel within 50 years? For sake of argument lets say you only have to produce 50% of what we are currently using. Oh and you have to account for growth - lets be generous and say only 8 Billion by 2020 instead of 9... And how will that be implemented?

8O
-G


I like to think I'm a moderate. I'm inclined to agree with Mac because I think that different types of societies could fare differently depending on how they handle things. I think some could manage a powerdown without people going Mad Max, provided though they don't get invaded by desparate hordes.

So trying to inform and persuade the people and leaders is a worthwhile effort. A little sooner is better than nothing.

Of the developed countries the U.S.A. looks the most vulnerable to societal chaos in at least some regions. Need to get to work on those trains and buses. In terms of land, climate and remaining mineral resources the U.S.A. (even better plus Canada) is not so terribly bad off if they come to terms with what's necessary - a deliberate powerdown.


Seriously - tell me what technology or resource?

I do believe in politicing and informing! And in conservation. I'm doing my part. I still don't think it will end well. As usual it will probably result in economic depressions which do not get better and endless resource wars...

-G
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Ludi » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 12:13:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'M')ost sane people, if they truly understood the connections and the consequences, would change their behavior. They don't because they're addicted to The Lifestyle, as surely as anyone with alcoholism or a needle in their arms..


gg3, it is extremely difficult to change our way of life. Very few are able to do so because we simply don't have the skills or the support of another cultural paradigm. How many here are in any way self-sufficient, or even local community sufficient?

It's easy to say "sane people will change their behavior" but who is changing to any meaningful degree? Is this due to ignorance? How can it be? Has every member of PO.com "changed their behavior?"
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Andrew_S » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 12:17:17

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Andrew_S', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', 'E')nlighten me Mac, what technology or resource is going to replace fossil fuel within 50 years? For sake of argument lets say you only have to produce 50% of what we are currently using. Oh and you have to account for growth - lets be generous and say only 8 Billion by 2020 instead of 9... And how will that be implemented?

8O
-G


I like to think I'm a moderate. I'm inclined to agree with Mac because I think that different types of societies could fare differently depending on how they handle things. I think some could manage a powerdown without people going Mad Max, provided though they don't get invaded by desparate hordes.

So trying to inform and persuade the people and leaders is a worthwhile effort. A little sooner is better than nothing.

Of the developed countries the U.S.A. looks the most vulnerable to societal chaos in at least some regions. Need to get to work on those trains and buses. In terms of land, climate and remaining mineral resources the U.S.A. (even better plus Canada) is not so terribly bad off if they come to terms with what's necessary - a deliberate powerdown.


Seriously - tell me what technology or resource?

I do believe in politicing and informing! And in conservation. I'm doing my part. I still don't think it will end well. As usual it will probably result in economic depressions which do not get better and endless resource wars...

-G


Sorry, I should have said outright I do not know of any. So powerdown will likely be necessary and my thoughts were about how society handles things.

I'm a moderate - I doubt whether a "soft" landing can occur. But there may be a choice between moderately hard and very hard. So, I was agreeing with Mac's sentiment about politicking and such which it seems you do also.

I think the third world will mostly be a disaster. The world population will be lower sometime later this century for lack of energy, but the reductions probably won't be evenly distributed.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Ayoob » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 12:39:51

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Ludi', '')$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gg3', 'M')ost sane people, if they truly understood the connections and the consequences, would change their behavior. They don't because they're addicted to The Lifestyle, as surely as anyone with alcoholism or a needle in their arms..


gg3, it is extremely difficult to change our way of life. Very few are able to do so because we simply don't have the skills or the support of another cultural paradigm. How many here are in any way self-sufficient, or even local community sufficient?

It's easy to say "sane people will change their behavior" but who is changing to any meaningful degree? Is this due to ignorance? How can it be? Has every member of PO.com "changed their behavior?"


If you don't think you can change your behavior now, before the chaos and poverty set in, what are you gonna do afterwards?

I just saw a Disney documentary that came out last summer. The moment that sticks in my mind the most is a blind man standing on top of Mt Everest with his unseeing eyes and the oxygen mask in his hand notstaring into a camera for a picture he'll never see. But there he was, standing on top of Mt Everest, and there I was, lying on my bed watching him do it on TV with a beer in my hand.

Anyway. You're pretty likely to be doing tomorrow the same thing you're doing today.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby oowolf » Mon 03 Oct 2005, 16:30:58

When the present death-culture has consumed all it can it will then consume itself just as the western Roman Empire did. Only our downfall will be much more rapid and catastrophic. I'm a junior college dropout and I realized this by the age of 23. So I escaped the wage-slave, detritovore, pretentious, unsustainable "lifestyle" I was born into and have spent the last 30+ years tending my organic garden and sipping lager by a year-round trout stream in Montana. It was either that---or the insanity of an existentially inauthentic existence. I can live on $1000/year, and I feel that I live very well, thank you.
I am only responsible for my own beahvior--the rest of humanity may persue the coming Fool's Armageddon. I choose not to.
When the bombs fall or the zombie hordes arrive, or the asteroid, or supervolcano, or H5N1, or climate crash, etc, etc THEN I can die--as Black Elk said--knowing I have lived a "good life"--having lived "in the moment" always knowing that life is but a "temporary confusion"(A. Bierce).
Why do so many of you remain "dangerous children".
No fear.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby some_guy282 » Tue 04 Oct 2005, 01:06:55

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('gnm', ' ')Seriously - tell me what technology or resource?

I do believe in politicing and informing! And in conservation. I'm doing my part. I still don't think it will end well. As usual it will probably result in economic depressions which do not get better and endless resource wars...

-G


I'm also wondering what depletion models they're looking at. Technology and resources are arguably there, but methinks it's a little late in the game for all that.
In individuals, insanity is rare; but in groups, parties, nations, and epochs it is the rule. – Nietzsche

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History is a set of lies agreed upon. – Napoleon Bonaparte
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby gg3 » Tue 04 Oct 2005, 08:15:30

Catching up to current...

Aaron, I hope you know that I don't have any personal negs toward you, in fact on many things we generally agree.

However I have a duty to kill off the social darwinist meme wherever it pops up, not just because it's evil, but because it's false. A seductive falsehood that lulls people into opium-dreams of personal superiority.

Like "master race" theories, social darwinism is psuedoscience that plays to peoples' insecurities, by tearing at the fabric of civilized behavior in favor of barbarianism justified ex-post-facto. It also fans the flames of fear at the expense of reason.

That is not good for our species' ability to survive the coming crises.

The only thing that makes social Darwinism seem "realistic" is that it matches certain emotional templates such as fear, insecurity, the desire for superiority, and so on. A person who feels crappy about life is more receptive to theories that suggest life is even crappier.

It is one thing to recognize fear and talk it out. It's another to fan the flames and reinforce it. Engineers and warriors alike, are at their best when detached and rational.

Global statements to the effect that "all humans are..." are generally false.

For any measurable characteristic of humans, reality is a normal-curve, with some individuals high, some low, and most in the middle.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Aaron » Tue 04 Oct 2005, 08:44:47

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'A')aron, I hope you know that I don't have any personal negs toward you, in fact on many things we generally agree.


Same here

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'G')lobal statements to the effect that "all humans are..." are generally false.


Agreed

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'F')or any measurable characteristic of humans, reality is a normal-curve, with some individuals high, some low, and most in the middle.


Agreed

Man that's quite a bit of agreeing... especially when we are disagreeing...

Still does not address my central message though.

Scarcity promotes poverty.

Poverty promotes conflict.

Quid Pro Quo
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Aaron » Tue 04 Oct 2005, 09:07:46

Here's an example of what I mean...

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('', 'J')apan, as a relatively small island, and with no oil industry to speak of, had to look elsewhere for its oil, and this was the reason for the proposed embargo. It was thought that this action would provoke Japan into an incident. Ex-President Herbert Hoover also saw the manipulations leading to war and he warned the United States in August, 1941: "The American people should insistently demand that Congress put a stop to step-by-step projection of the United States into undeclared war... ."


As the leading producer of oil at the time, the US embargo of Japan forced the issue of American involvement in WWII.

Without oil, Japan was forced into a decision.

Time to choose... cut bait or fish?

They chose to fish.

What will the world's nations choose today?

A power-down into poverty?

or

Will they choose to "fish"?
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby backstop » Tue 04 Oct 2005, 12:08:24

$this->bbcode_second_pass_quote('Aaron', '
')Without oil, Japan was forced into a decision.

Time to choose... cut bait or fish?

They chose to fish.

What will the world's nations choose today?

A power-down into poverty?

or

Will they choose to "fish"?


Aaron -

I don't see anyone here denying the risk of catastrophic conflict as an outcome of the problematique, of which PO is just one aspect.

The questions are over the utility of aggressively declaring such outcome to be inevitable, as if the future were merely the past repeated.

In reality we have some chances of achieving a relatively orderly powerdown, but these are hugely diminished by the apathy of the population in beleiving that "they" (other people) won't lift a finger to help, and I daren't stand alone. So I'll do nothing ????

I personally don't mind how slim the chances appear to be - but I must object directly to them being denied outright as that actively diminishes them by affirming other peoples' fashionable apathy.

In addition to eroding the morale that is critical to facing the problems, there is a further disbenefit of exaggerating the hazards' intractability.

This is that people are more willing to consider and acknowledge those problems which have at least a visible possibility of resolution. To deny that potential solubility seems to me to be in fact encouraging the party to carry on regardless until the cliff collapses beneath it.

Which clearly ain't your intention . . . . 8)

regards,

Backstop
"The best of conservation . . . is written not with a pen but with an axe."
(from "A Sand County Almanac" by Aldo Leopold, 1948.
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Re: All Kidding Aside, I'm Scared

Unread postby Aaron » Tue 04 Oct 2005, 12:50:14

Let's try this...

If anybody understands the need for a unified effort around the world to confront the challenges of hydrocarbon depletion, it's the folks in here.

So let's see what the educated think about your idea of evolution thru cooperation.

Poll
The problem is, of course, that not only is economics bankrupt, but it has always been nothing more than politics in disguise... economics is a form of brain damage.

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